Issued: 2:00 PM PST Thursday, November 24, 2022
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

It's a sunny and balmy Thanksgiving out there this afternoon with mountain temperatures well above freezing; 30s, 40s, and even some 50s can be found on the west side of the Cascades. High clouds have begun to stream over the area and overnight we should see high overcast fill-in by daybreak Friday.  Alpine winds should remain strong overnight, Camp Muir is already W50G75 mph. 

A frontal system sliding down from the north will spread light to moderate precipitation into the north Cascades early Friday morning and then slide down the Cascade crest during the daylight hours. As the frontal system slides further south during the day, precipitation intensity should wane into the late afternoon and evening hours. Snow levels will start high and cool with the onset of precipitation. Westerly flow through the Passes will keep the rain/snow line right around 3000-3500' mid-day and Friday afternoon. Snowfall totals should be light with this system and mainly accumulate at mid and upper elevations. 

Scattered showers and cooler snow levels will follow Friday night.  Moisture out ahead of the next frontal system will mainly affect the central-west and northwest Cascades during the day on Saturday.  Moderate snow will begin Saturday afternoon in the Mt Baker area but most other areas will have to wait until Saturday night for the bulk of the action. 

Happy Thanksgiving from the NWAC Weather Team!

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Night Partly cloudy, becoming overcast after midnight. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow becoming light showers in the afternoon. Moderateridgeline winds easing.
Thursday Night Partly cloudy, becoming overcast after midnight. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Light to moderate rain and snow becoming light showers in the afternoon. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds easing.
Thursday Night Mostly clear, becoming overcast after midnight.
Friday Light rain or snow developing in the morning.
Thursday Night Mostly clear, becoming overcast after midnight. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Cloudy. Light rain or snow developing mid-day.
Thursday Night Mostly clear, becoming overcast after midnight. Light east winds at Pass level. Increasing W winds at ridgeline overnight.
Friday Cloudy. Light rain or snow developing in the late morning. West winds becoming light to moderate in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Mostly clear, becoming overcast after midnight. Light east winds at Pass level. Increasing W winds at ridgeline overnight.
Friday Cloudy. Light rain or snow developing in the late morning. West winds becoming moderate in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Mostly clear, becoming overcast after midnight. Areas of valley fog. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Cloudy. Light rain or snow developing in the late morning.
Thursday Night Mostly clear, becoming overcast after midnight. Areas of valley fog.
Friday Cloudy. Light rain or snow developing in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Mostly clear, becoming overcast after midnight. Areas of valley fog.
Friday Cloudy. Chance of light rain or snow late.
Thursday Night Mostly clear, becoming overcast late.
Friday Cloudy. Chance of light rain or snow late. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds increasing in the afternoon.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 0 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 0.75 LT 0.10 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass 0 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Paradise 0 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
White Pass 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Washington Pass 0 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0 LT 0.10 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0
Timberline 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.75
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Evening* Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics 11000' 7000' 5000' 3000' 3000' 2500' 3000' 3500'
West North 9000' 7000' 5000' 3000' 3000' 2000' 2500' 3000'
West Central 10000' 8000' 5000' 3000' 3000' 2000' 2500' 3000'
West South 11000' 9500' 6500' 4500' 3000' 2000' 2500' 3500'
Stevens Pass 10000' 8500' 5000' 3000' 3000' 2000' 2500' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 10000' 9000' 5500' 3500' 3000' 2000' 2500' 3000'
East North 9000' 8500' 5000' 3500' 2500' 1500' 2500' 3000'
East Central 10000' 10000' 6500' 4000' 3000' 2000' 2500' 3500'
East South 11000' 10000' 6500' 4500' 3000' 2000' 2500' 3500'
Mt. Hood 12000' 12000' 9000' 6000' 4500' 3000' 3000' 3500'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Evening* 11000'
Thursday Night* 7000'
Friday Morning* 5000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Friday Evening 3000'
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
West North Elevation
Thursday Evening* 9000'
Thursday Night* 7000'
Friday Morning* 5000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Friday Evening 3000'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Evening* 10000'
Thursday Night* 8000'
Friday Morning* 5000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Friday Evening 3000'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
West South Elevation
Thursday Evening* 11000'
Thursday Night* 9500'
Friday Morning* 6500'
Friday Afternoon 4500'
Friday Evening 3000'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening* 10000'
Thursday Night* 8500'
Friday Morning* 5000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Friday Evening 3000'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening* 10000'
Thursday Night* 9000'
Friday Morning* 5500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Friday Evening 3000'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
East North Elevation
Thursday Evening* 9000'
Thursday Night* 8500'
Friday Morning* 5000'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Friday Evening 2500'
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Evening* 10000'
Thursday Night* 10000'
Friday Morning* 6500'
Friday Afternoon 4000'
Friday Evening 3000'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
East South Elevation
Thursday Evening* 11000'
Thursday Night* 10000'
Friday Morning* 6500'
Friday Afternoon 4500'
Friday Evening 3000'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening* 12000'
Thursday Night* 12000'
Friday Morning* 9000'
Friday Afternoon 6000'
Friday Evening 4500'
Friday Night 3000'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Night Friday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 44 / 37 35 / 28
West North 44 / 36 34 / 27
West Central 44 / 37 35 / 28
West South 45 / 38 38 / 29
Stevens Pass 39 / 33 37 / 28
Snoqualmie Pass 40 / 35 37 / 28
East North 39 / 28 34 / 29
East Central 38 / 32 35 / 30
East South 41 / 33 36 / 32
Mt. Hood 45 / 35 39 / 33
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 44 / 37
Friday 35 / 28
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 44 / 36
Friday 34 / 27
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 44 / 37
Friday 35 / 28
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 45 / 38
Friday 38 / 29
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 39 / 33
Friday 37 / 28
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 40 / 35
Friday 37 / 28
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 39 / 28
Friday 34 / 29
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 38 / 32
Friday 35 / 30
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 41 / 33
Friday 36 / 32
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 45 / 35
Friday 39 / 33

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics SW 20-30 SW 25-35 SW 15-25 W 10-20
West North SSW 20-30 SW 20-30 S 25-35 SW 10-20
West Central SW 10-20 SW 15-25 SW 20-30 W 10-20
West South SSW 15-25 SW 10-20 SW 15-25 WSW 15-25
Stevens Pass S 5-15 SW 10-20 SW 15-25 WSW 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass S 10-20 SW 15-25 SW 20-30 WSW 20-30
East North SW 15-25 SW 20-30 SW 20-30 W 15-25
East Central SW 10-20 WSW 10-20 WSW 15-25 WSW 20-30
East South SW 10-20 WSW 15-25 WSW 15-25 W 20-30
Mt. Hood SW 10-20 WSW 15-25 WSW 20-30 WSW 25-35
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SW 20-30
Thursday Night SW 25-35
Friday Morning SW 15-25
Friday Afternoon W 10-20
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SSW 20-30
Thursday Night SW 20-30
Friday Morning S 25-35
Friday Afternoon SW 10-20
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SW 10-20
Thursday Night SW 15-25
Friday Morning SW 20-30
Friday Afternoon W 10-20
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SSW 15-25
Thursday Night SW 10-20
Friday Morning SW 15-25
Friday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 5-15
Thursday Night SW 10-20
Friday Morning SW 15-25
Friday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening S 10-20
Thursday Night SW 15-25
Friday Morning SW 20-30
Friday Afternoon WSW 20-30
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SW 15-25
Thursday Night SW 20-30
Friday Morning SW 20-30
Friday Afternoon W 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SW 10-20
Thursday Night WSW 10-20
Friday Morning WSW 15-25
Friday Afternoon WSW 20-30
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SW 10-20
Thursday Night WSW 15-25
Friday Morning WSW 15-25
Friday Afternoon W 20-30
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SW 10-20
Thursday Night WSW 15-25
Friday Morning WSW 20-30
Friday Afternoon WSW 25-35

Extended Weather Synopsis

A strong front will pass through Saturday night, bringing several inches to over a foot of snow to most mountain locations along with rapidly falling temperatures and snow levels.  Good post-frontal NW flow aloft may add some additional fluffy inches along the west slopes of the Cascades and Mt Hood on Sunday.  We'll see snow showers diminish on Monday as we temporarily dry out.  Another cold storm will bring additional snowfall Tuesday.  Cold weather is likely to stay with us through the end of next week.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Night* Sunday Sunday Night Monday
West North 3500' 1500' 1000' 0
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 1500' 1000' 500'
Mt. Hood 3500' 3000' 1500' 1000'
West North Elevation
Saturday Night* 3500'
Sunday 1500'
Sunday Night 1000'
Monday 0'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night* 3500'
Sunday 1500'
Sunday Night 1000'
Monday 500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night* 3500'
Sunday 3000'
Sunday Night 1500'
Monday 1000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Nov 23, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.