The high-pressure ridge building over our region has resulted in a beautiful afternoon for most of our mountain locations. Cool temperatures, generally light winds, and plenty of blue sky abound. Look for this pattern to continue Wednesday night. With colder air well established east of the mountains, expect temperature inversions and patchy fog, particularly in valleys and passes near and east of the Cascade Crest. So, if you head out Thursday morning for a pre-Thanksgiving meal mountain adventure, you may find the trailheads much chillier than higher up the hillside.
As the ridge pushes inland Thursday, so too will much warmer air. Locations near the Olympics, Mt Hood, and the other Cascade volcanoes will feel the brunt of the heat, and freezing levels will start to soar. As the warm air moves over the mountains, you're likely to encounter multiple freezing levels, especially in the passes and east-side valleys where cold temperatures will try to persist at lower elevations. No matter how you look at it, Thanksgiving day will be the warmest and sunniest day of the week.
Clouds should start to arrive ahead of our next storm system Thursday night. While most locations stay dry, the Olympics and North Cascades will likely see a few showers in the wee hours of the morning. Precipitation should spread from the NW to the SE early Friday. With warm air in place for much of the Pacific Northwest, most locations will start this storm as rain or freezing rain. Fortunately, a cold front should sweep through the region and send the snowlevels plummeting to near 3-4000ft. This cooling trend will continue into Friday night as showers bring additional snow to the mountains.
Mostly sunny with increasing high clouds in the afternoon. Warming. Moderate SW winds.
Wednesday
Night
Partly cloudy becoming mostly clear. Winds becoming moderate from the SSW.
Thursday
Mostly sunny with some high clouds increasing in the afternoon. Temperatures warming significantly during the day. Moderate SSW winds becoming stronger in the afternoon.
Mostly sunny with a few high clouds late in the afternoon. Temperatures warming significantly during the day. Moderate SSW winds.
Wednesday
Night
Becoming mostly clear overnight. SW winds becoming light to moderate.
Thursday
Mostly sunny with high thin clouds increasing in the afternoon. Temperatures warming significantly during the day. SSW winds becoming moderate.
Wednesday
Night
Becoming mostly clear with patch fog near the Pass. Light east flow causing temperature inversions.
Thursday
Mostly sunny with temperature and inversions in the morning. Warming in the afternoon. High thin clouds increasing later in the day. East flow at Pass level with light to moderate SW ridgeline winds.
Wednesday
Night
Becoming mostly clear patch fog near the Pass. Light easterly flow causing temperature inversions. Ridgetop winds becoming SW light to moderate.
Thursday
Mostly sunny with temperature inversions in the morning. Warming in the afternoon. High clouds increasing late in the day. Light east flow at Pass level with moderate SSW ridgetop winds.
Wednesday
Night
Partly cloudy with clearing. Patchy fog in the mountain valleys. Light to moderate W winds becoming SW.
Thursday
Mostly sunny with patchy fog and temperature inversions in the valleys. Warming in the afternoon. Moderate SW winds increasing in the afternoon.
Wednesday
Night
Partly cloudy becoming mostly clear. Temperature inversions and fog in the valleys. W winds becoming moderate.
Thursday
Mostly sunny with temperature inversions and fog in the morning. Warming in the afternoon. Moderate SW winds increasing later in the day.
Wednesday
Night
Partly cloudy with some clearing overnight. Temperature inversions and fog possible in the mountain valleys. W winds becoming light to moderate.
Thursday
Mostly sunny with temperature inversions and fog possible in the morning. Significant warming in the afternoon. SW winds becoming moderate.
Wednesday
Night
Becoming mostly clear with temperature inversions and patchy fog. W winds becoming light to moderate.
Thursday
Mostly sunny with temperature inversions and fog possible in the morning. Significant warming in the afternoon. SW winds becoming moderate.
Issued: 1:51 PM PST Wednesday, November 23, 2022
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
Thursday
Thursday Night
Friday
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge
0
0
LT 0.10
0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area
0
0
LT 0.25
0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
0
0
LT 0.10
0.50 - 0.75
Stevens Pass
0
0
0
0.25
Snoqualmie Pass
0
0
0
0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt
0
0
0
LT 0.25
Paradise
0
0
0
0.25
White Pass
0
0
0
LT 0.10
Washington Pass
0
0
0
0.25
Mission Ridge
0
0
0
LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
0
0
0
0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
0
0
0
LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows
0
0
0
LT 0.25
Timberline
0
0
0
LT 0.25
Hurricane Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
LT 0.10
Friday
0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
LT 0.25
Friday
0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
LT 0.10
Friday
0.50 - 0.75
Stevens Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0.25
Snoqualmie Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
LT 0.25
Paradise
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0.25
White Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
LT 0.10
Washington Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0.25
Mission Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
LT 0.25
Timberline
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
LT 0.25
Issued: 1:51 PM PST Wednesday, November 23, 2022
Snow Level (ft)
Wednesday
Evening*
Wednesday
Night*
Thursday
Morning*
Thursday
Afternoon*
Thursday
Evening*
Thursday
Night*
Friday
Morning
Friday
Afternoon
Olympics
9000'
9500'
9500'
10500'
10000'
7000'
5000'
3000'
West North
5000'
4500'
5000'
9500'
8000'
7000'
4500'
3000'
West Central
6500'
6500'
7000'
10000'
8000'
7000'
5000'
3000'
West South
6500'
6500'
7000'
11000'
9000'
8000'
6000'
4000'
Stevens Pass
3000'
2500'
3000'
9000'
6000'
4000'
6000'
3000'
Snoqualmie Pass
3500'
3000'
3000'
9500'
6500'
6000'
6000'
3000'
East North
2500'
2000'
2000'
7000'
3000'
3000'
4000'
3000'
East Central
2500'
2000'
2000'
8000'
3000'
3000'
5000'
3000'
East South
4000'
4000'
4500'
11000'
7000'
6500'
6500'
4500'
Mt. Hood
10500'
11000'
11000'
12000'
12000'
11000'
7500'
5000'
Olympics
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
9000'
Wednesday
Night*
9500'
Thursday
Morning*
9500'
Thursday
Afternoon*
10500'
Thursday
Evening*
10000'
Thursday
Night*
7000'
Friday
Morning
5000'
Friday
Afternoon
3000'
West North
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
5000'
Wednesday
Night*
4500'
Thursday
Morning*
5000'
Thursday
Afternoon*
9500'
Thursday
Evening*
8000'
Thursday
Night*
7000'
Friday
Morning
4500'
Friday
Afternoon
3000'
West Central
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
6500'
Wednesday
Night*
6500'
Thursday
Morning*
7000'
Thursday
Afternoon*
10000'
Thursday
Evening*
8000'
Thursday
Night*
7000'
Friday
Morning
5000'
Friday
Afternoon
3000'
West South
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
6500'
Wednesday
Night*
6500'
Thursday
Morning*
7000'
Thursday
Afternoon*
11000'
Thursday
Evening*
9000'
Thursday
Night*
8000'
Friday
Morning
6000'
Friday
Afternoon
4000'
Stevens Pass
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
3000'
Wednesday
Night*
2500'
Thursday
Morning*
3000'
Thursday
Afternoon*
9000'
Thursday
Evening*
6000'
Thursday
Night*
4000'
Friday
Morning
6000'
Friday
Afternoon
3000'
Snoqualmie Pass
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
3500'
Wednesday
Night*
3000'
Thursday
Morning*
3000'
Thursday
Afternoon*
9500'
Thursday
Evening*
6500'
Thursday
Night*
6000'
Friday
Morning
6000'
Friday
Afternoon
3000'
East North
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
2500'
Wednesday
Night*
2000'
Thursday
Morning*
2000'
Thursday
Afternoon*
7000'
Thursday
Evening*
3000'
Thursday
Night*
3000'
Friday
Morning
4000'
Friday
Afternoon
3000'
East Central
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
2500'
Wednesday
Night*
2000'
Thursday
Morning*
2000'
Thursday
Afternoon*
8000'
Thursday
Evening*
3000'
Thursday
Night*
3000'
Friday
Morning
5000'
Friday
Afternoon
3000'
East South
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
4000'
Wednesday
Night*
4000'
Thursday
Morning*
4500'
Thursday
Afternoon*
11000'
Thursday
Evening*
7000'
Thursday
Night*
6500'
Friday
Morning
6500'
Friday
Afternoon
4500'
Mt. Hood
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening*
10500'
Wednesday
Night*
11000'
Thursday
Morning*
11000'
Thursday
Afternoon*
12000'
Thursday
Evening*
12000'
Thursday
Night*
11000'
Friday
Morning
7500'
Friday
Afternoon
5000'
Issued: 1:51 PM PST Wednesday, November 23, 2022
5000' Temperatures (°F)
Wednesday
Night
Thursday
Max / Min
Max / Min
Olympics
38 / 36
44 / 39
West North
35 / 30
44 / 35
West Central
35 / 31
45 / 36
West South
39 / 32
48 / 40
Stevens Pass
34 / 31
43 / 32
Snoqualmie Pass
35 / 31
42 / 35
East North
31 / 29
37 / 27
East Central
35 / 31
43 / 30
East South
36 / 31
47 / 32
Mt. Hood
38 / 35
51 / 37
Olympics
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
38 / 36
Thursday
44 / 39
West North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
35 / 30
Thursday
44 / 35
West Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
35 / 31
Thursday
45 / 36
West South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
39 / 32
Thursday
48 / 40
Stevens Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
34 / 31
Thursday
43 / 32
Snoqualmie Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
35 / 31
Thursday
42 / 35
East North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
31 / 29
Thursday
37 / 27
East Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
35 / 31
Thursday
43 / 30
East South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
36 / 31
Thursday
47 / 32
Mt. Hood
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
38 / 35
Thursday
51 / 37
Issued: 1:51 PM PST Wednesday, November 23, 2022
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
Wednesday
Night
Thursday
Morning
Thursday
Afternoon
Olympics
SW 10-20
SW 15-25
SW 15-25
SW 15-25
West North
SW 10-20
SSW 15-25
SSW 15-25
SSW 25-35
West Central
SW 5-15
SSW 10-20
SSW 15-25
SSW 15-25
West South
SW 5-15
SW 10-20
SSW 10-20
SSW 15-25
Stevens Pass
SW 5-15
SW 5-15
SSW 10-20
SSW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass
SW 5-15
SW 10-20
SSW 10-20
SSW 15-25
East North
W 10-20
SW 10-20
SW 15-25
SW 20-30
East Central
W 10-20
W 15-25
SW 15-25
SW 20-30
East South
W 5-15
W 10-20
SW 10-20
SW 15-25
Mt. Hood
WNW 5-15
W 10-20
SW 10-20
SW 10-20
Olympics
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
SW
10-20
Wednesday
Night
SW
15-25
Thursday
Morning
SW
15-25
Thursday
Afternoon
SW
15-25
West North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
SW
10-20
Wednesday
Night
SSW
15-25
Thursday
Morning
SSW
15-25
Thursday
Afternoon
SSW
25-35
West Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
SW
5-15
Wednesday
Night
SSW
10-20
Thursday
Morning
SSW
15-25
Thursday
Afternoon
SSW
15-25
West South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
SW
5-15
Wednesday
Night
SW
10-20
Thursday
Morning
SSW
10-20
Thursday
Afternoon
SSW
15-25
Stevens Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
SW
5-15
Wednesday
Night
SW
5-15
Thursday
Morning
SSW
10-20
Thursday
Afternoon
SSW
10-20
Snoqualmie Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
SW
5-15
Wednesday
Night
SW
10-20
Thursday
Morning
SSW
10-20
Thursday
Afternoon
SSW
15-25
East North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
W
10-20
Wednesday
Night
SW
10-20
Thursday
Morning
SW
15-25
Thursday
Afternoon
SW
20-30
East Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
W
10-20
Wednesday
Night
W
15-25
Thursday
Morning
SW
15-25
Thursday
Afternoon
SW
20-30
East South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
W
5-15
Wednesday
Night
W
10-20
Thursday
Morning
SW
10-20
Thursday
Afternoon
SW
15-25
Mt. Hood
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
WNW
5-15
Wednesday
Night
W
10-20
Thursday
Morning
SW
10-20
Thursday
Afternoon
SW
10-20
Issued: 1:51 PM PST Wednesday, November 23, 2022
Extended Weather Synopsis
As the storm system exits Friday night, expect snow showers, particularly along the west slopes of the central and southern Cascades. Behind the front, most locations should experience about 18-24hrs of generally dry weather as a transient ridge passes overhead. Another low-pressure system will begin to impact the region Saturday afternoon/evening and bring us another round of significant mountain snow. With cold air already in place, this looks to be an entire snow event for nearly all trailheads. Our active weather pattern appears to persist into the middle of next week.
The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.
The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.
The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.
*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.
Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.
The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.
Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.
Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).