Issued: 1:51 PM PST Wednesday, November 23, 2022
by Dallas Glass

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

The high-pressure ridge building over our region has resulted in a beautiful afternoon for most of our mountain locations. Cool temperatures, generally light winds, and plenty of blue sky abound. Look for this pattern to continue Wednesday night. With colder air well established east of the mountains, expect temperature inversions and patchy fog, particularly in valleys and passes near and east of the Cascade Crest. So, if you head out Thursday morning for a pre-Thanksgiving meal mountain adventure, you may find the trailheads much chillier than higher up the hillside. 

As the ridge pushes inland Thursday, so too will much warmer air. Locations near the Olympics, Mt Hood, and the other Cascade volcanoes will feel the brunt of the heat, and freezing levels will start to soar. As the warm air moves over the mountains, you're likely to encounter multiple freezing levels, especially in the passes and east-side valleys where cold temperatures will try to persist at lower elevations. No matter how you look at it, Thanksgiving day will be the warmest and sunniest day of the week. 

Clouds should start to arrive ahead of our next storm system Thursday night. While most locations stay dry, the Olympics and North Cascades will likely see a few showers in the wee hours of the morning. Precipitation should spread from the NW to the SE early Friday. With warm air in place for much of the Pacific Northwest, most locations will start this storm as rain or freezing rain. Fortunately, a cold front should sweep through the region and send the snowlevels plummeting to near 3-4000ft. This cooling trend will continue into Friday night as showers bring additional snow to the mountains.  

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Wednesday Night Partly cloudy. SW winds becoming moderate overnight.
Thursday Mostly sunny with increasing high clouds in the afternoon. Warming. Moderate SW winds.
Wednesday Night Partly cloudy becoming mostly clear. Winds becoming moderate from the SSW.
Thursday Mostly sunny with some high clouds increasing in the afternoon. Temperatures warming significantly during the day. Moderate SSW winds becoming stronger in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Partly cloudy, becoming mostly clear. Winds becoming SSW light to moderate.
Thursday Mostly sunny with a few high clouds late in the afternoon. Temperatures warming significantly during the day. Moderate SSW winds.
Wednesday Night Becoming mostly clear overnight. SW winds becoming light to moderate.
Thursday Mostly sunny with high thin clouds increasing in the afternoon. Temperatures warming significantly during the day. SSW winds becoming moderate.
Wednesday Night Becoming mostly clear with patch fog near the Pass. Light east flow causing temperature inversions.
Thursday Mostly sunny with temperature and inversions in the morning. Warming in the afternoon. High thin clouds increasing later in the day. East flow at Pass level with light to moderate SW ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Becoming mostly clear patch fog near the Pass. Light easterly flow causing temperature inversions. Ridgetop winds becoming SW light to moderate.
Thursday Mostly sunny with temperature inversions in the morning. Warming in the afternoon. High clouds increasing late in the day. Light east flow at Pass level with moderate SSW ridgetop winds.
Wednesday Night Partly cloudy with clearing. Patchy fog in the mountain valleys. Light to moderate W winds becoming SW.
Thursday Mostly sunny with patchy fog and temperature inversions in the valleys. Warming in the afternoon. Moderate SW winds increasing in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Partly cloudy becoming mostly clear. Temperature inversions and fog in the valleys. W winds becoming moderate.
Thursday Mostly sunny with temperature inversions and fog in the morning. Warming in the afternoon. Moderate SW winds increasing later in the day.
Wednesday Night Partly cloudy with some clearing overnight. Temperature inversions and fog possible in the mountain valleys. W winds becoming light to moderate.
Thursday Mostly sunny with temperature inversions and fog possible in the morning. Significant warming in the afternoon. SW winds becoming moderate.
Wednesday Night Becoming mostly clear with temperature inversions and patchy fog. W winds becoming light to moderate.
Thursday Mostly sunny with temperature inversions and fog possible in the morning. Significant warming in the afternoon. SW winds becoming moderate.

Precipitation (in)

Wednesday Night Thursday Thursday Night Friday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0 LT 0.10 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 0 LT 0.25 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 0 LT 0.10 0.50 - 0.75
Stevens Pass 0 0 0 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt 0 0 0 LT 0.25
Paradise 0 0 0 0.25
White Pass 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Washington Pass 0 0 0 0.25
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 0 0 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 0 LT 0.25
Timberline 0 0 0 LT 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.25
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Wednesday Evening* Wednesday Night* Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon* Thursday Evening* Thursday Night* Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics 9000' 9500' 9500' 10500' 10000' 7000' 5000' 3000'
West North 5000' 4500' 5000' 9500' 8000' 7000' 4500' 3000'
West Central 6500' 6500' 7000' 10000' 8000' 7000' 5000' 3000'
West South 6500' 6500' 7000' 11000' 9000' 8000' 6000' 4000'
Stevens Pass 3000' 2500' 3000' 9000' 6000' 4000' 6000' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 3000' 3000' 9500' 6500' 6000' 6000' 3000'
East North 2500' 2000' 2000' 7000' 3000' 3000' 4000' 3000'
East Central 2500' 2000' 2000' 8000' 3000' 3000' 5000' 3000'
East South 4000' 4000' 4500' 11000' 7000' 6500' 6500' 4500'
Mt. Hood 10500' 11000' 11000' 12000' 12000' 11000' 7500' 5000'
Olympics Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 9000'
Wednesday Night* 9500'
Thursday Morning* 9500'
Thursday Afternoon* 10500'
Thursday Evening* 10000'
Thursday Night* 7000'
Friday Morning 5000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
West North Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 5000'
Wednesday Night* 4500'
Thursday Morning* 5000'
Thursday Afternoon* 9500'
Thursday Evening* 8000'
Thursday Night* 7000'
Friday Morning 4500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
West Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 6500'
Wednesday Night* 6500'
Thursday Morning* 7000'
Thursday Afternoon* 10000'
Thursday Evening* 8000'
Thursday Night* 7000'
Friday Morning 5000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
West South Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 6500'
Wednesday Night* 6500'
Thursday Morning* 7000'
Thursday Afternoon* 11000'
Thursday Evening* 9000'
Thursday Night* 8000'
Friday Morning 6000'
Friday Afternoon 4000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 3000'
Wednesday Night* 2500'
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 9000'
Thursday Evening* 6000'
Thursday Night* 4000'
Friday Morning 6000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 3500'
Wednesday Night* 3000'
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 9500'
Thursday Evening* 6500'
Thursday Night* 6000'
Friday Morning 6000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
East North Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 2500'
Wednesday Night* 2000'
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 7000'
Thursday Evening* 3000'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning 4000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
East Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 2500'
Wednesday Night* 2000'
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 8000'
Thursday Evening* 3000'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning 5000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
East South Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 4000'
Wednesday Night* 4000'
Thursday Morning* 4500'
Thursday Afternoon* 11000'
Thursday Evening* 7000'
Thursday Night* 6500'
Friday Morning 6500'
Friday Afternoon 4500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 10500'
Wednesday Night* 11000'
Thursday Morning* 11000'
Thursday Afternoon* 12000'
Thursday Evening* 12000'
Thursday Night* 11000'
Friday Morning 7500'
Friday Afternoon 5000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Wednesday Night Thursday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 38 / 36 44 / 39
West North 35 / 30 44 / 35
West Central 35 / 31 45 / 36
West South 39 / 32 48 / 40
Stevens Pass 34 / 31 43 / 32
Snoqualmie Pass 35 / 31 42 / 35
East North 31 / 29 37 / 27
East Central 35 / 31 43 / 30
East South 36 / 31 47 / 32
Mt. Hood 38 / 35 51 / 37
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 38 / 36
Thursday 44 / 39
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 35 / 30
Thursday 44 / 35
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 35 / 31
Thursday 45 / 36
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 39 / 32
Thursday 48 / 40
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 34 / 31
Thursday 43 / 32
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 35 / 31
Thursday 42 / 35
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 31 / 29
Thursday 37 / 27
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 35 / 31
Thursday 43 / 30
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 36 / 31
Thursday 47 / 32
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 38 / 35
Thursday 51 / 37

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics SW 10-20 SW 15-25 SW 15-25 SW 15-25
West North SW 10-20 SSW 15-25 SSW 15-25 SSW 25-35
West Central SW 5-15 SSW 10-20 SSW 15-25 SSW 15-25
West South SW 5-15 SW 10-20 SSW 10-20 SSW 15-25
Stevens Pass SW 5-15 SW 5-15 SSW 10-20 SSW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass SW 5-15 SW 10-20 SSW 10-20 SSW 15-25
East North W 10-20 SW 10-20 SW 15-25 SW 20-30
East Central W 10-20 W 15-25 SW 15-25 SW 20-30
East South W 5-15 W 10-20 SW 10-20 SW 15-25
Mt. Hood WNW 5-15 W 10-20 SW 10-20 SW 10-20
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SW 10-20
Wednesday Night SW 15-25
Thursday Morning SW 15-25
Thursday Afternoon SW 15-25
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SW 10-20
Wednesday Night SSW 15-25
Thursday Morning SSW 15-25
Thursday Afternoon SSW 25-35
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SW 5-15
Wednesday Night SSW 10-20
Thursday Morning SSW 15-25
Thursday Afternoon SSW 15-25
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SW 5-15
Wednesday Night SW 10-20
Thursday Morning SSW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SSW 15-25
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SW 5-15
Wednesday Night SW 5-15
Thursday Morning SSW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SSW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SW 5-15
Wednesday Night SW 10-20
Thursday Morning SSW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SSW 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 10-20
Wednesday Night SW 10-20
Thursday Morning SW 15-25
Thursday Afternoon SW 20-30
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 10-20
Wednesday Night W 15-25
Thursday Morning SW 15-25
Thursday Afternoon SW 20-30
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 5-15
Wednesday Night W 10-20
Thursday Morning SW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SW 15-25
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening WNW 5-15
Wednesday Night W 10-20
Thursday Morning SW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SW 10-20

Extended Weather Synopsis

As the storm system exits Friday night, expect snow showers, particularly along the west slopes of the central and southern Cascades. Behind the front, most locations should experience about 18-24hrs of generally dry weather as a transient ridge passes overhead. Another low-pressure system will begin to impact the region Saturday afternoon/evening and bring us another round of significant mountain snow. With cold air already in place, this looks to be an entire snow event for nearly all trailheads. Our active weather pattern appears to persist into the middle of next week. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
West North 2500' 2500' 2500' 1000'
Snoqualmie Pass 2500' 3000' 3000' 1500'
Mt. Hood 3000' 3000' 3500' 3000'
West North Elevation
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday 2500'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday 1000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday 3000'
Saturday Night 3000'
Sunday 1500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Night 3000'
Saturday 3000'
Saturday Night 3500'
Sunday 3000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Nov 22, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.