Issued: 7:15 AM PST Thursday, January 6, 2022
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Weather Synopsis

A major storm continues to wallop the Pacific Northwest and it will continue to impact the region through Friday.

A parent low near Haida Gwaii has lifted a warm front north to the central Washington Cascades. That front has stalled and continues to bring very heavy rain and snow to the west slopes of the Cascades and Olympics with all snow remaining with entrenched cold air on the east slopes of the Casacades. Snowfall will continue to be dense and heavily rimed in many areas. 1-3" snowfall per hour snowfall rates should continue from the Mountain loop south to Mt. Hood through the morning hours. Rain and snowfall rates will decrease very slightly during the afternoon precipitation should ease for Mt. Hood as the stalled front lifts slightly northward. Snow levels will rise to 5000-6000 ft across the SW Washington Cascades and a battle will play out as the warmer air tries to work north and eastward. Expect sharp differences in temperature across small areas and gradually the warmer air will erode the colder air entrenched east of the Cascade Crest, but some below-freezing temperatures will remain there, particularly north of I-90.

A new low forming at the leading edge of an offshore upper trough will lift the front draped over the region into the North Cascades, focusing the heaviest precipitation from Paradise north to the Canadian Border. Winds will increase and turn increasingly southerly, allowing some E flow to return through the Cascade Passes and we could see a changeover back to more mixed precipitation or even all snow.

The cold front and aforementioned low pressure should cross the Cascades Friday morning with widespread strong winds switching from S to W and heavy precipitation throughout the region. The front should turn precipitation showery by late Friday morning through the afternoon as snow levels lower.

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Light rain and snow increasing in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Light snow in the morning, becoming moderate in the afternoon. Strong ridgeline winds.
Thursday Light snow in the morning, becoming moderate in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Heavy rain and snow. Strong ridgeline winds overnight.
Thursday Very heavy snow becoming very heavy rain and snow in the afteroon.
Thursday Night Decreasing heavy rain and snow. Strong ridgeline winds.
Thursday Rain and snow: Very heavy at Paradise and White Pass, heavy at Crystal. Ridgeline winds increasing to strong. Decreasing light to moderate E winds switching W in the afternoon at the pass.
Thursday Night Heavy rain and snow at Paradise. Moderate to heavy rain and snow at Crystal and White Pass. Strong ridgeline winds. Variable winds becoming moderate E overnight at the Pass.
Thursday Very heavy snow. Decreasing light to moderate E winds switching W in the afternoon at the pass.
Thursday Night Decreasing heavy snow, possibly mixing with rain at lower elevations west of the Pass in the evening. Strong ridgeline wind gusts. Variable winds becoming moderate E overnight at the Pass.
Thursday Very heavy snow mixing with sleet, freezing rain and rain in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Decreasing heavy rain or freezing rain in the evening, possibly changing back to all snow overnight. Strong ridgeline wind gusts.
Thursday Moderate snow.
Thursday Night Moderate to heavy snow.
Thursday Decreasing very heavy snow. Strong ridgeline wind gusts.
Thursday Night Decreasing moderate to heavy rain or snow. Strong ridgeline winds.
Thursday Decreasing very heavy snow, sleet, freezing rain, and rain. Strong ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Decreasing moderate snow, sleet, freezing rain, and rain. Strong ridgeline winds.
Thursday Very heavy rain and snow in the morning, becoming light in the afternoon. Strong to extreme ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Light to moderate rain and snow. Strong to extreme ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Thursday Night Friday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 0.75 -1.00 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 - 0.50 1.50 - 2.00 0.75 -1.00
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 1.50 - 2.00 2.00 - 2.50 0.75 -1.00
Stevens Pass 2.00 - 2.50 1.00 - 1.50 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass 2.50 - 3.50 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 - 0.75
Crystal Mt 1.00 - 1.50 0.75 -1.00 0.50
Paradise 2.50 1.50 0.75 -1.00
White Pass 2.00 0.75 0.50 - 0.75
Washington Pass 0.75 1.50 0.50
Mission Ridge 1.00 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 2.00 1.00 0.50 - 0.75
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows 1.00 0.25 - 0.50 0.75
Timberline 1.00 0.25 - 0.50 0.75
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0.75 -1.00
Friday 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night 1.50 - 2.00
Friday 0.75 -1.00
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday 1.50 - 2.00
Thursday Night 2.00 - 2.50
Friday 0.75 -1.00
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday 2.00 - 2.50
Thursday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Friday 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday 2.50 - 3.50
Thursday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday 1.00 - 1.50
Thursday Night 0.75 -1.00
Friday 0.50
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday 2.50
Thursday Night 1.50
Friday 0.75 -1.00
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday 2.00
Thursday Night 0.75
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.75
Thursday Night 1.50
Friday 0.50
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday 1.00
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday 2.00
Thursday Night 1.00
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday 1.00 - 1.50
Thursday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday 1.00
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 0.75
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday 1.00
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 0.75

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon* Thursday Evening Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon
Olympics 4500' 5000' 5000' 4500' 4000' 3000'
West North 0 2500' 3500' 3500' 3000' 3000'
West Central 0 4000' 4500' 4000' 4000' 3000'
West South 5000' 5000' 4500' 4000' 4000' 3500'
Stevens Pass 0 3000' 4000' 3500' 3500' 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass 500' 3500' 4500' 3000' 3000' 3500'
East North 0 2500' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3500'
East Central 0 2500' 3000' 2500' 3000' 3500'
East South 3000' 5000' 5000' 4000' 4500' 3500'
Mt. Hood 6500' 5500' 5000' 4500' 4500' 3000'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Morning* 4500'
Thursday Afternoon* 5000'
Thursday Evening 5000'
Thursday Night* 4500'
Friday Morning* 4000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
West North Elevation
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night* 3500'
Friday Morning* 3000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 4000'
Thursday Evening 4500'
Thursday Night* 4000'
Friday Morning* 4000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
West South Elevation
Thursday Morning* 5000'
Thursday Afternoon* 5000'
Thursday Evening 4500'
Thursday Night* 4000'
Friday Morning* 4000'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
Thursday Evening 4000'
Thursday Night* 3500'
Friday Morning* 3500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning* 500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3500'
Thursday Evening 4500'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 3000'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
East North Elevation
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 3000'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night* 2500'
Friday Morning* 3000'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
East South Elevation
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 5000'
Thursday Evening 5000'
Thursday Night* 4000'
Friday Morning* 4500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Morning* 6500'
Thursday Afternoon* 5500'
Thursday Evening 5000'
Thursday Night* 4500'
Friday Morning* 4500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Thursday Night
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 34 / 32 33 / 31
West North 32 / 30 32 / 30
West Central 31 / 27 33 / 31
West South 34 / 33 33 / 31
Stevens Pass 32 / 20 33 / 32
Snoqualmie Pass 33 / 25 33 / 30
East North 32 / 14 32 / 30
East Central 32 / 23 33 / 30
East South 34 / 34 34 / 32
Mt. Hood 36 / 33 33 / 32
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 34 / 32
Thursday Night 33 / 31
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 32 / 30
Thursday Night 32 / 30
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 31 / 27
Thursday Night 33 / 31
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 34 / 33
Thursday Night 33 / 31
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 32 / 20
Thursday Night 33 / 32
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 33 / 25
Thursday Night 33 / 30
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 32 / 14
Thursday Night 32 / 30
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 32 / 23
Thursday Night 33 / 30
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 34 / 34
Thursday Night 34 / 32
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 36 / 33
Thursday Night 33 / 32

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon Thursday Evening Thursday Night
Olympics WSW 20-30 SW 20-30 SW 30-40 SSW 30-40
West North SW 15-25 SSW 20-30 SSW 15-25 SSW 30-40
West Central SSW 10-20 SW 10-20 SW 25-35 SW 30-40
West South WSW 15-25 WSW 25-35 SW 35-50 SW 30-40
Stevens Pass WSW 10-20 WSW 10-20 WSW 20-30 SW 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass W 10-20 WSW 15-25 SW 25-35 SW 15-25
East North SW 10-20 WSW 20-30 SW 20-30 SW 25-35
East Central W 15-25 WSW 20-30 WSW 30-40 SW 25-35
East South WSW 25-35 WSW 25-35 SW 30-40 SW 25-35
Mt. Hood WSW 35-50 WSW 35-50 SW 30-40 SW 30-40
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning WSW 20-30
Thursday Afternoon SW 20-30
Thursday Evening SW 30-40
Thursday Night SSW 30-40
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SW 15-25
Thursday Afternoon SSW 20-30
Thursday Evening SSW 15-25
Thursday Night SSW 30-40
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SSW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SW 10-20
Thursday Evening SW 25-35
Thursday Night SW 30-40
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning WSW 15-25
Thursday Afternoon WSW 25-35
Thursday Evening SW 35-50
Thursday Night SW 30-40
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning WSW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon WSW 10-20
Thursday Evening WSW 20-30
Thursday Night SW 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning W 10-20
Thursday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Thursday Evening SW 25-35
Thursday Night SW 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning SW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon WSW 20-30
Thursday Evening SW 20-30
Thursday Night SW 25-35
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning W 15-25
Thursday Afternoon WSW 20-30
Thursday Evening WSW 30-40
Thursday Night SW 25-35
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning WSW 25-35
Thursday Afternoon WSW 25-35
Thursday Evening SW 30-40
Thursday Night SW 25-35
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning WSW 35-50
Thursday Afternoon WSW 35-50
Thursday Evening SW 30-40
Thursday Night SW 30-40

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Previous forecast from Jan 5, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.