Issued: 1:59 PM PST Wednesday, December 8, 2021
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A frontal system passed through the area Wednesday morning, dropping a few inches of snow as temperatures cooled off during the day.  Strong to extreme west winds have been recorded at many a weather station today in the post-frontal westerly flow.  Light but persistent snow showers are around Wednesday afternoon, with the heaviest shower activity trained on I-90 with a Puget Sound Convergence Zone.  Similar shower coverage will continue tonight, but the Convergence Zone should float back to the north later this afternoon and evening, delivering a few additional inches to the Stevens Pass area.  

A secondary upper level feature will pass over our area late Wednesday night into Thursday. This weather-maker will reinvigorate shower activity first for the north Cascades later Wednesday night but then quickly shift the axis of more moderate showers to the central Cascades and eventually down to Mt. Hood by late Thursday morning. With snow levels already quite low an additional 4-10 inches of snow are likely through Thursday afternoon along the west slopes of the Cascades and Passes.  Snowfall totals will taper off further east of the Cascade crest.  Mt Hood and areas near the Mt Loop Highway may end up with closer to a foot of additional snow.  Strong westerly winds will begin to decrease Wednesday night and then hold more or less steady into Thursday.  

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy in the evening, then light snow increasing after midnight.
Thursday Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate snow showers.
Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers in the evening, then light to occasionally moderate snow developing after midnight.
Thursday Light to moderate snow showers in the morning, then cloudy with scattered snow showers in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow showers, increasing after midnight.
Thursday Moderate to occasionally heavy snow showers.
Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers in the evening, then light to occasionally moderate snow developing late. Strong winds.
Thursday Light to moderate snow showers.
Wednesday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow showers decreasing in the evening. Strong winds at Pass level and along ridgelines.
Thursday Light to moderate snow showers tapering in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow showers decreasing in the evening. Strong winds at Pass level and along ridgelines.
Thursday Light to moderate snow showers.
Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers in the evening, then light to occasionally moderate snow developing late.
Thursday Light to occasionally moderate snow showers in the morning, then cloudy with scattered snow showers in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with scattered light snow showers in the evening, heaviest near the Cascade crest then light to occasionally moderate snow developing late. Strong to extreme winds.
Thursday Light to occasionally moderate snow showers, heaviest near the Cascade crest.
Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy with isolated light snow showers in the evening, tapering down overnight. Strong to extreme winds.
Thursday Light to occasionally moderate snow showers, heaviest near the Cascade crest.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate snow showers. Strong winds.
Thursday Moderate to occasionally heavy snow showers. Strong winds.

Precipitation (in)

Wednesday Night Thursday Thursday Night Friday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
Stevens Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 0.25
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Paradise LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
White Pass LT 0.10 0.50 0.25 LT 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Timberline 0.25 0.75 -1.00 0.50 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 0.50
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.50
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday LT 0.25
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday 0.75 -1.00
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics 1500' 500' 1000' 1500' 1500' 1000' 1500' 2500'
West North 1000' 1000' 1500' 1500' 1500' 1000' 1000' 2000'
West Central 1500' 1000' 1500' 1500' 1500' 1000' 1500' 2500'
West South 1500' 1000' 1500' 1500' 1500' 1500' 1500' 2500'
Stevens Pass 1500' 500' 1500' 1500' 1500' 1000' 1500' 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass 1500' 1000' 1500' 1500' 1500' 1500' 1500' 2500'
East North 1000' 500' 1000' 1500' 1500' 0 1000' 2000'
East Central 1500' 1000' 1500' 1500' 1500' 1000' 1500' 2500'
East South 1500' 1000' 1500' 1500' 1500' 1000' 1500' 2500'
Mt. Hood 2000' 1500' 1500' 2000' 1500' 1500' 2000' 3000'
Olympics Elevation
Wednesday Evening 1500'
Wednesday Night 500'
Thursday Morning 1000'
Thursday Afternoon 1500'
Thursday Evening 1500'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
West North Elevation
Wednesday Evening 1000'
Wednesday Night 1000'
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 1500'
Thursday Evening 1500'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning 1000'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
West Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening 1500'
Wednesday Night 1000'
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 1500'
Thursday Evening 1500'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
West South Elevation
Wednesday Evening 1500'
Wednesday Night 1000'
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 1500'
Thursday Evening 1500'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening 1500'
Wednesday Night 500'
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 1500'
Thursday Evening 1500'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening 1500'
Wednesday Night 1000'
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 1500'
Thursday Evening 1500'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
East North Elevation
Wednesday Evening 1000'
Wednesday Night 500'
Thursday Morning 1000'
Thursday Afternoon 1500'
Thursday Evening 1500'
Thursday Night 0'
Friday Morning 1000'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
East Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening 1500'
Wednesday Night 1000'
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 1500'
Thursday Evening 1500'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
East South Elevation
Wednesday Evening 1500'
Wednesday Night 1000'
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 1500'
Thursday Evening 1500'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening 2000'
Wednesday Night 1500'
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 2000'
Thursday Evening 1500'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Wednesday Night Thursday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 22 / 19 25 / 19
West North 21 / 17 24 / 19
West Central 22 / 19 24 / 20
West South 22 / 19 26 / 20
Stevens Pass 23 / 19 25 / 20
Snoqualmie Pass 23 / 19 25 / 21
East North 19 / 15 23 / 15
East Central 22 / 18 25 / 17
East South 22 / 19 26 / 19
Mt. Hood 26 / 22 26 / 21
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 22 / 19
Thursday 25 / 19
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 21 / 17
Thursday 24 / 19
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 22 / 19
Thursday 24 / 20
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 22 / 19
Thursday 26 / 20
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 23 / 19
Thursday 25 / 20
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 23 / 19
Thursday 25 / 21
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 19 / 15
Thursday 23 / 15
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 22 / 18
Thursday 25 / 17
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 22 / 19
Thursday 26 / 19
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 26 / 22
Thursday 26 / 21

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics W 15-25 W 15-25 WNW 20-30 WNW 15-25
West North SW 10-20 WSW 10-20 W 5-15 W 5-15
West Central W 15-25 W 15-25 WSW 10-20 WNW 15-25
West South W 20-30 W 20-30 W 20-30 W 15-25
Stevens Pass W 25-35 W 15-25 W 10-20 W 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass W 30-40 W 20-30 W 15-25 W 15-25
East North W 25-35 W 20-30 W 15-25 WNW 10-20
East Central W 35-50 W 30-40 W 20-30 W 20-30
East South W 30-40 W 25-35 W 20-30 W 20-30
Mt. Hood W 25-35 W 20-30 WNW 25-35 WNW 30-40
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 15-25
Wednesday Night W 15-25
Thursday Morning WNW 20-30
Thursday Afternoon WNW 15-25
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SW 10-20
Wednesday Night WSW 10-20
Thursday Morning W 5-15
Thursday Afternoon W 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 15-25
Wednesday Night W 15-25
Thursday Morning WSW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon WNW 15-25
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 20-30
Wednesday Night W 20-30
Thursday Morning W 20-30
Thursday Afternoon W 15-25
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 25-35
Wednesday Night W 15-25
Thursday Morning W 10-20
Thursday Afternoon W 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 30-40
Wednesday Night W 20-30
Thursday Morning W 15-25
Thursday Afternoon W 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 25-35
Wednesday Night W 20-30
Thursday Morning W 15-25
Thursday Afternoon WNW 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 35-50
Wednesday Night W 30-40
Thursday Morning W 20-30
Thursday Afternoon W 20-30
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 30-40
Wednesday Night W 25-35
Thursday Morning W 20-30
Thursday Afternoon W 20-30
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 25-35
Wednesday Night W 20-30
Thursday Morning WNW 25-35
Thursday Afternoon WNW 30-40

Extended Weather Synopsis

A strong Pacific frontal system emanating from a deep low in the Gulf of Alaska will be the main weather story over the weekend. It will be hard to discern a break in the pattern as decreasing showers on Friday give way to increasing warm frontal precipitation over the entire forecast area by Friday afternoon. Snow levels will start quite low Friday morning but will rebound into the 2000-3000' range by Friday afternoon. 

A strong cold front will approach the area Friday night and pass through the Cascades Saturday morning.  Precipitation will become heavy first for the Olympics and northwest Cascades Friday night ahead of the cold front.  Moderate to heavy precipitation will spread south and east during the early morning hours on Saturday.  A sliver of warm air ahead of the warm front will bump on snow levels at least for the central and south Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood.  Overall, this storm should produce about 1-2" of water equivalent for most areas through Saturday afternoon. We should be talking about new snowfall totals in terms of one or more feet for mountain locations, but it will depend on the final track/warm air influx with the system. 

Snow levels will rapidly fall Saturday night.  The trailing upper level trough should keep snow piling up in the form of showers through the end of the weekend. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Friday Night* Saturday * Saturday Night Sunday
West North 2500' 3000' 1500' 1000'
Snoqualmie Pass 2500' 3500' 1500' 1500'
Mt. Hood 3000' 5000' 2000' 2500'
West North Elevation
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday * 3000'
Saturday Night 1500'
Sunday 1000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday * 3500'
Saturday Night 1500'
Sunday 1500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Night* 3000'
Saturday * 5000'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday 2500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 7, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.