Issued: 2:19 PM PST Thursday, December 2, 2021
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A welcome pattern change has started across the Pacific Northwest as cooler air and cooler weather systems begin to impact the region.

Very light post-frontal convergence snow flurries in the central Washington Cascades Thursday will dissipate by Thursday evening as the low-level westerly flow dries out. Cool air continues to filter into northern and western Washington overnight, resulting in 5000 ft temperatures dropping into the teens and low 20s in many areas. Subtle ridging will produce a warming trend across the southern Cascades. The result will be a very large temperature contrast from north to south along the Cascades that persists into Friday. Low-level winds should shift easterly through the mountain gaps.

High clouds increase as a weak warm from moves in from the west on Friday. Temperatures continue to moderate within the system's warm sector Friday night, from the central Washington Cascades southward. Moisture north of the warm front brings some increasing light snow to the northern Cascades and Olympics late Friday evening into Friday night as a compact low approaches our near-shore waters.

Snow levels should drop as the low moves across northern Oregon early Saturday and a well-phased trough brings a push of strong westerly winds to the southern Cascades. Expect a period of moderate snow peaking Saturday morning with 3-6" possible during the day for most NWAC stations near and west of the Cascade Crest.

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Night Partly cloudy with decreasing low-level clouds.
Friday Mostly cloudy with increasing mid and high-level clouds.
Thursday Night Partly cloudy with decreasing low-level clouds.
Friday Mostly cloudy with increasing mid and high-level clouds.
Thursday Night Partly to mostly cloudy with decreasing low-level clouds.
Friday Mostly cloudy with increasing mid and high-level clouds.
Thursday Night Snow flurries ending early. Becoming mostly cloudy with decreasing low-level clouds.
Friday Mostly cloudy with increasing mid and high-level clouds.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy with decreasing low-level clouds. Light W wind at the Pass.
Friday Mostly cloudy with increasing mid and high-level clouds. Light E wind at the Pass.
Thursday Night Snow flurries ending early. Becoming mostly cloudy with decreasing low-level clouds. Light W wind at the Pass.
Friday Mostly cloudy with increasing mid and high-level clouds. Light to occasionally moderate E wind at the Pass.
Thursday Night Partly cloudy.
Friday Filtered sunshine possible early, then increasing mid and high-level clouds.
Thursday Night High-level cloud cover.
Friday Mostly cloudy with increasing mid and high-level clouds.
Thursday Night High-level cloud cover.
Friday Mostly cloudy with increasing mid and high-level clouds.
Thursday Night High-level cloud cover with low clouds decreasing.
Friday Mostly cloudy with increasing mid and high-level clouds.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 0 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 0 0.25 0.25
Stevens Pass 0 0 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt 0 0 LT 0.25 0.25
Paradise 0 0 LT 0.25 0.50
White Pass 0 0 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass 0 0 0.25 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge 0 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 0 LT 0.10 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0 LT 0.10 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 0 0.25 - 0.50
Timberline 0 0 0 0.25 - 0.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.50
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon* Friday Evening* Friday Night* Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics 2500' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3000' 2500' 1000' 2500'
West North 2500' 1500' 1000' 3000' 2500' 2500' 1500' 1000'
West Central 3000' 2500' 1500' 3500' 3000' 3000' 2000' 1500'
West South 4000' 3500' 4000' 6000' 6000' 5000' 3000' 2500'
Stevens Pass 3500' 3000' 3000' 4500' 4000' 3000' 2500' 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 3000' 3000' 4500' 5000' 4000' 2000' 2000'
East North 3500' 2000' 1000' 3500' 2500' 2500' 2000' 2000'
East Central 4000' 3500' 3500' 5000' 4500' 3000' 2500' 3000'
East South 4500' 4000' 5000' 6500' 5500' 4500' 4000' 3500'
Mt. Hood 6500' 7500' 9000' 6500' 9000' 8500' 6500' 5500'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 2500'
Friday Morning* 2500'
Friday Afternoon* 3000'
Friday Evening* 3000'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning 1000'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
West North Elevation
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning* 1000'
Friday Afternoon* 3000'
Friday Evening* 2500'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 1000'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 2500'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon* 3500'
Friday Evening* 3000'
Friday Night* 3000'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 1500'
West South Elevation
Thursday Evening 4000'
Thursday Night 3500'
Friday Morning* 4000'
Friday Afternoon* 6000'
Friday Evening* 6000'
Friday Night* 5000'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night 3000'
Friday Morning* 3000'
Friday Afternoon* 4500'
Friday Evening* 4000'
Friday Night* 3000'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night 3000'
Friday Morning* 3000'
Friday Afternoon* 4500'
Friday Evening* 5000'
Friday Night* 4000'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 2000'
East North Elevation
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning* 1000'
Friday Afternoon* 3500'
Friday Evening* 2500'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 2000'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Evening 4000'
Thursday Night 3500'
Friday Morning* 3500'
Friday Afternoon* 5000'
Friday Evening* 4500'
Friday Night* 3000'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
East South Elevation
Thursday Evening 4500'
Thursday Night 4000'
Friday Morning* 5000'
Friday Afternoon* 6500'
Friday Evening* 5500'
Friday Night* 4500'
Saturday Morning 4000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening 6500'
Thursday Night 7500'
Friday Morning* 9000'
Friday Afternoon* 6500'
Friday Evening* 9000'
Friday Night* 8500'
Saturday Morning 6500'
Saturday Afternoon 5500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Night Friday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 20 / 18 29 / 18
West North 20 / 16 28 / 17
West Central 23 / 17 29 / 20
West South 26 / 22 34 / 26
Stevens Pass 25 / 18 28 / 22
Snoqualmie Pass 24 / 20 29 / 23
East North 20 / 17 25 / 18
East Central 24 / 23 28 / 24
East South 28 / 26 31 / 25
Mt. Hood 34 / 30 37 / 30
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 20 / 18
Friday 29 / 18
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 20 / 16
Friday 28 / 17
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 23 / 17
Friday 29 / 20
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 26 / 22
Friday 34 / 26
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 25 / 18
Friday 28 / 22
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 24 / 20
Friday 29 / 23
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 20 / 17
Friday 25 / 18
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 24 / 23
Friday 28 / 24
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 28 / 26
Friday 31 / 25
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 34 / 30
Friday 37 / 30

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics NNW 0-10 NE 0-10 ENE 0-10 ESE 0-10
West North W 0-10 WNW 0-10 NNE 0-10 SSE 0-10
West Central NW 5-15 NNW 5-15 ENE 0-10 SE 5-15
West South NNW 0-10 N 0-10 ESE 0-10 SE 0-10
Stevens Pass WNW 5-15 NW 0-10 ESE 0-10 ESE 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass NW 10-20 NNW 5-15 ESE 0-10 ESE 5-15
East North WNW 5-15 NW 5-15 NNW 0-10 SSE 0-10
East Central WNW 5-15 WNW 5-15 S 0-10 S 0-10
East South WNW 0-10 SSW 0-10 SSE 0-10 SSE 0-10
Mt. Hood W 0-10 WSW 0-10 WSW 5-15 WSW 10-20
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening NNW 0-10
Thursday Night NE 0-10
Friday Morning ENE 0-10
Friday Afternoon ESE 0-10
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 0-10
Thursday Night WNW 0-10
Friday Morning NNE 0-10
Friday Afternoon SSE 0-10
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening NW 5-15
Thursday Night NNW 5-15
Friday Morning ENE 0-10
Friday Afternoon SE 5-15
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening NNW 0-10
Thursday Night N 0-10
Friday Morning ESE 0-10
Friday Afternoon SE 0-10
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 5-15
Thursday Night NW 0-10
Friday Morning ESE 0-10
Friday Afternoon ESE 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening NW 10-20
Thursday Night NNW 5-15
Friday Morning ESE 0-10
Friday Afternoon ESE 5-15
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 5-15
Thursday Night NW 5-15
Friday Morning NNW 0-10
Friday Afternoon SSE 0-10
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 5-15
Thursday Night WNW 5-15
Friday Morning S 0-10
Friday Afternoon S 0-10
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 0-10
Thursday Night SSW 0-10
Friday Morning SSE 0-10
Friday Afternoon SSE 0-10
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 0-10
Thursday Night WSW 0-10
Friday Morning WSW 5-15
Friday Afternoon WSW 10-20

Extended Weather Synopsis

Post-frontal snow showers taper Saturday night with clearing and chilly temperatures continue to spill into the region. Sunday features chilly temperatures with freezing levels well below the passes in Washington State. High clouds should gradually increase as the next system starts approaching with mid-level clouds arriving by the afternoon.

With cold air in place, a potent low moving in from the WNW reaches the Washington near-shore waters by Monday morning. Light to moderate snowfall becomes heavy by Monday morning. Some areas could see upwards of a foot of lower-density snow before flow shifts northerly and snowfall eases rapidly Monday afternoon.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Night Sunday Sunday Night Monday
West North 500' 1000' 0 500'
Snoqualmie Pass 1500' 1500' 1000' 1000'
Mt. Hood 3000' 2500' 2500' 3000'
West North Elevation
Saturday Night 500'
Sunday 1000'
Sunday Night 0'
Monday 500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night 1500'
Sunday 1500'
Sunday Night 1000'
Monday 1000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night 3000'
Sunday 2500'
Sunday Night 2500'
Monday 3000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 1, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.