It feels almost tropical for the first day of December with mountain temps in the 40s and 50s and some 60s in the valleys and lowlands. The last in a series of atmospheric river events that have occurred over the last week will come to an end tonight as the frontal boundary finally shifts south from British Columbia towards the north Cascades, but loses its sub-tropical moisture tap in the process. The frontal boundary will hang up over the north/central Cascades with snow levels slowly lowering to 4500-6000' Wednesday night. A few inches of snow may accumulate above these levels, particularly in the Mt Baker area down to the Mtn Loop highway through Thursday morning. While leftover showers will decrease along the west slopes of the Cascades during the day Thursday, low-level clouds will stick around for the central Cascades. Other areas will be dry, but with periods of high clouds. The strong westerly ridgeline winds and extreme alpine winds experienced in many areas since Tuesday will slowly start to decrease Wednesday into Thursday.
The jet-stream positioning will largely stay unchanged through Friday over southern British Columbia with zonal westerly flow aloft. The relative cooling that does occur Wednesday night will struggle to push south and the result will be an exaggerated N-S freezing level gradient with the warmest freezing levels down near Mt Hood through the short term. A developing frontal system offshore will merge with a broad upper trough swinging south from the Gulf of Alaska later Friday. While Friday will be a dry day overall, high and mid clouds will stream over the area and there is a chance that some precipitation will work its way into the central/northwest Cascades by Friday afternoon.
Weather Forecast
Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Wednesday
Night
Cloudy with periods of light rain increasing after midnight.
Thursday
Partly to mostly cloudy.
Wednesday
Night
Cloudy with light to moderate rain and snow increasing in the evening. Strong winds becoming moderate overnight.
Thursday
Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers in the morning, becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon.
Wednesday
Night
Cloudy with periods of light rain becoming light to moderate rain and snow around midnight. Strong winds becoming moderate overnight.
Thursday
Cloudy with light rain and snow showers in the morning, then mostly cloudy in the afternoon.
Wednesday
Night
Cloudy. Periods of light rain and snow late. Strong winds.
Thursday
Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers in the morning, becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon.
Wednesday
Night
Cloudy with periods of light rain becoming light rain and snow around midnight. Strong to moderate west winds at ridgeline and Pass level becoming moderate overnight.
Thursday
Cloudy with light rain and snow showers in the morning, then mostly cloudy in the afternoon. Light to moderate west winds at Pass level.
Wednesday
Night
Cloudy with periods of light rain becoming light rain and snow after midnight. Strong west winds at ridgeline and Pass level.
Thursday
Cloudy with light rain and snow showers in the morning, then mostly cloudy in the afternoon. Light to moderate west winds at Pass level.
Wednesday
Night
Cloudy with periods of light rain and snow near the crest. Strong winds.
Thursday
Overcast with high clouds.
Wednesday
Night
Cloudy. Periods of light rain and snow near the crest after midnight. Strong winds.
Partly to mostly cloudy with periods of high clouds.
Issued: 2:08 PM PST Wednesday, December 1, 2021
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
Thursday
Thursday Night
Friday
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge
LT 0.25
0
0
0
Mt Baker Ski Area
0.50
0
0
LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
0.25 - 0.50
LT 0.10
0
LT 0.10
Stevens Pass
LT 0.25
LT 0.10
0
0
Snoqualmie Pass
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
0
0
Crystal Mt
0
0
0
0
Paradise
0
0
0
0
White Pass
0
LT 0.10
0
0
Washington Pass
LT 0.10
0
0
LT 0.10
Mission Ridge
0
0
0
0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
0
0
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
0
0
0
0
Mt Hood Meadows
0
0
0
0
Timberline
0
0
0
0
Hurricane Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
LT 0.25
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Mt Baker Ski Area
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0.50
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Thursday
LT 0.10
Thursday Night
0
Friday
LT 0.10
Stevens Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
LT 0.25
Thursday
LT 0.10
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Snoqualmie Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
LT 0.10
Thursday
LT 0.10
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Crystal Mt
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Paradise
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
White Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.10
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Washington Pass
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
LT 0.10
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
LT 0.10
Mission Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
LT 0.10
Thursday
LT 0.10
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Mt Hood Meadows
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Timberline
Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
0
Thursday Night
0
Friday
0
Issued: 2:08 PM PST Wednesday, December 1, 2021
Snow Level (ft)
Wednesday
Evening
Wednesday
Night
Thursday
Morning
Thursday
Afternoon
Thursday
Evening
Thursday
Night
Friday
Morning
Friday
Afternoon
Olympics
6500'
4500'
3000'
2500'
2500'
2500'
2500'
3000'
West North
6500'
4500'
3500'
3000'
2500'
1500'
2500'
3000'
West Central
7500'
5500'
4000'
3000'
3000'
3000'
5500'
5000'
West South
10000'
6500'
5000'
3500'
3500'
5500'
6500'
7000'
Stevens Pass
8500'
5500'
4500'
3000'
3000'
3000'
4500'
4500'
Snoqualmie Pass
9000'
6000'
4500'
3000'
3000'
3000'
6000'
5500'
East North
8000'
5500'
4500'
3500'
2500'
2500'
2500'
3500'
East Central
9000'
6500'
5500'
4000'
3500'
4500'
4500'
4500'
East South
10000'
7500'
5500'
5000'
5000'
6000'
7000'
7500'
Mt. Hood
11500'
11500'
6000'
6000'
6000'
9000'
9000'
8500'
Olympics
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening
6500'
Wednesday
Night
4500'
Thursday
Morning
3000'
Thursday
Afternoon
2500'
Thursday
Evening
2500'
Thursday
Night
2500'
Friday
Morning
2500'
Friday
Afternoon
3000'
West North
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening
6500'
Wednesday
Night
4500'
Thursday
Morning
3500'
Thursday
Afternoon
3000'
Thursday
Evening
2500'
Thursday
Night
1500'
Friday
Morning
2500'
Friday
Afternoon
3000'
West Central
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening
7500'
Wednesday
Night
5500'
Thursday
Morning
4000'
Thursday
Afternoon
3000'
Thursday
Evening
3000'
Thursday
Night
3000'
Friday
Morning
5500'
Friday
Afternoon
5000'
West South
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening
10000'
Wednesday
Night
6500'
Thursday
Morning
5000'
Thursday
Afternoon
3500'
Thursday
Evening
3500'
Thursday
Night
5500'
Friday
Morning
6500'
Friday
Afternoon
7000'
Stevens Pass
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening
8500'
Wednesday
Night
5500'
Thursday
Morning
4500'
Thursday
Afternoon
3000'
Thursday
Evening
3000'
Thursday
Night
3000'
Friday
Morning
4500'
Friday
Afternoon
4500'
Snoqualmie Pass
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening
9000'
Wednesday
Night
6000'
Thursday
Morning
4500'
Thursday
Afternoon
3000'
Thursday
Evening
3000'
Thursday
Night
3000'
Friday
Morning
6000'
Friday
Afternoon
5500'
East North
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening
8000'
Wednesday
Night
5500'
Thursday
Morning
4500'
Thursday
Afternoon
3500'
Thursday
Evening
2500'
Thursday
Night
2500'
Friday
Morning
2500'
Friday
Afternoon
3500'
East Central
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening
9000'
Wednesday
Night
6500'
Thursday
Morning
5500'
Thursday
Afternoon
4000'
Thursday
Evening
3500'
Thursday
Night
4500'
Friday
Morning
4500'
Friday
Afternoon
4500'
East South
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening
10000'
Wednesday
Night
7500'
Thursday
Morning
5500'
Thursday
Afternoon
5000'
Thursday
Evening
5000'
Thursday
Night
6000'
Friday
Morning
7000'
Friday
Afternoon
7500'
Mt. Hood
Elevation
Wednesday
Evening
11500'
Wednesday
Night
11500'
Thursday
Morning
6000'
Thursday
Afternoon
6000'
Thursday
Evening
6000'
Thursday
Night
9000'
Friday
Morning
9000'
Friday
Afternoon
8500'
Issued: 2:08 PM PST Wednesday, December 1, 2021
5000' Temperatures (°F)
Wednesday
Night
Thursday
Max / Min
Max / Min
Olympics
39 / 31
30 / 25
West North
38 / 30
29 / 25
West Central
39 / 33
32 / 27
West South
40 / 36
35 / 29
Stevens Pass
40 / 34
33 / 28
Snoqualmie Pass
41 / 33
32 / 28
East North
38 / 32
31 / 28
East Central
42 / 36
35 / 30
East South
44 / 37
36 / 32
Mt. Hood
45 / 38
38 / 34
Olympics
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
39 / 31
Thursday
30 / 25
West North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
38 / 30
Thursday
29 / 25
West Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
39 / 33
Thursday
32 / 27
West South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
40 / 36
Thursday
35 / 29
Stevens Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
40 / 34
Thursday
33 / 28
Snoqualmie Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
41 / 33
Thursday
32 / 28
East North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
38 / 32
Thursday
31 / 28
East Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
42 / 36
Thursday
35 / 30
East South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
44 / 37
Thursday
36 / 32
Mt. Hood
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Wednesday
Night
45 / 38
Thursday
38 / 34
Issued: 2:08 PM PST Wednesday, December 1, 2021
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
Wednesday
Night
Thursday
Morning
Thursday
Afternoon
Olympics
SW 10-20
SW 5-15
SW 5-15
W 5-15
West North
SW 15-25
WSW 10-20
SW 5-15
SW 5-15
West Central
SW 10-20
SW 5-15
SW 5-15
W 10-20
West South
WSW 15-25
W 10-20
W 10-20
W 10-20
Stevens Pass
W 15-25
W 15-25
W 10-20
W 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass
W 25-35
W 20-30
W 15-25
W 10-20
East North
W 35-50
W 25-35
W 20-30
W 15-25
East Central
W 35-50
W 30-40
W 20-30
W 15-25
East South
W 30-40
W 25-35
W 20-30
W 15-25
Mt. Hood
W 20-30
W 25-35
W 20-30
W 15-25
Olympics
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
SW
10-20
Wednesday
Night
SW
5-15
Thursday
Morning
SW
5-15
Thursday
Afternoon
W
5-15
West North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
SW
15-25
Wednesday
Night
WSW
10-20
Thursday
Morning
SW
5-15
Thursday
Afternoon
SW
5-15
West Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
SW
10-20
Wednesday
Night
SW
5-15
Thursday
Morning
SW
5-15
Thursday
Afternoon
W
10-20
West South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
WSW
15-25
Wednesday
Night
W
10-20
Thursday
Morning
W
10-20
Thursday
Afternoon
W
10-20
Stevens Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
W
15-25
Wednesday
Night
W
15-25
Thursday
Morning
W
10-20
Thursday
Afternoon
W
5-15
Snoqualmie Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
W
25-35
Wednesday
Night
W
20-30
Thursday
Morning
W
15-25
Thursday
Afternoon
W
10-20
East North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
W
35-50
Wednesday
Night
W
25-35
Thursday
Morning
W
20-30
Thursday
Afternoon
W
15-25
East Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
W
35-50
Wednesday
Night
W
30-40
Thursday
Morning
W
20-30
Thursday
Afternoon
W
15-25
East South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
W
30-40
Wednesday
Night
W
25-35
Thursday
Morning
W
20-30
Thursday
Afternoon
W
15-25
Mt. Hood
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday
Evening
W
20-30
Wednesday
Night
W
25-35
Thursday
Morning
W
20-30
Thursday
Afternoon
W
15-25
Issued: 2:08 PM PST Wednesday, December 1, 2021
Extended Weather Synopsis
Once the developing low pressure system merges with the upper trough, precipitation should quickly spread over the area Friday night. The upper trough will usher in the coolest temperatures in some time, and snow levels should nose-dive into the 1500-3000' range over Washington State with slightly warmer snow levels for Mt Hood. This system looks fast-moving, so snowfall potential will likely be capped as the system quickly exists Saturday afternoon. Leftover snow showers will become scattered Saturday night. Conditions look dry and cool for Sunday as a potentially stronger Pacific frontal system strengthens offshore and is likely to impact the PNW on Monday. Next week looks wet with cooler snow levels relative to what we've seen as of late.
The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.
The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.
The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.
*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.
Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.
The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.
Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.
Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).