Issued: 7:08 AM PST Thursday, December 19, 2019
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k

Weather Synopsis for Thursday & Wednesday

An atmospheric river is poised to impact the Pacific Northwest over Thursday through Saturday. The initial moisture is moving into the Washington coastline and northern Oregon early Thursday morning. It will gradually spread northward throughout the day, reaching the Mt. Rainier area by late morning and Snoqualmie Pass during the afternoon. The largest impacts today will be in the Mt. Hood area where snow totals should be 10-18" , winds will become strong to extreme at 5000 ft, and snow levels will rise.

With cold air in place, particularly east of the Cascade Crest, the region will become a battleground between the warm, moist air and the colder entrenched air. Thus, we expect strong easterly gradients to keep the Cascade Passes all snow through the evening hours, but a changeover to rain is likely by Friday morning. Model soundings indicate good potential for freezing rain at Snoqualmie Pass during the transition. These events are very difficult to forecast and it wouldn't surprise us if the E flow kept Snoqualmie Pass all snow until Friday morning.

Thursday night and Friday the greatest impacts will be in Washington state as the moisture feed takes aim on the region. Most of our mountain stations should pick up 1-5" of precipitable water, with strong to extreme winds, and rising snow levels impacting the entire region.

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Mt. Baker
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Mt. Hood

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Thursday Morning Snow Level * 3000' 2500' 2500' 1000' 2500' 2500' 3000' 4000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level * 3500' 3000' 2500' 1000' 3500' 3000' 3500' 5000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level * 4500' 3000' 2000' 1000' 3000' 3000' 5000' 6000'
Thursday Night Snow Level * 4500' 4500' 4000' 5000' 5500' 5500' 5500' 5500'
Friday Morning Snow Level * 3500' 4000' 4500' 5500' 5000' 5000' 5000' 5500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Washington Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Leavenworth Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Morning Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Thursday Thursday Night Wednesday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 0.75 -1.00 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 1.50 - 2.00 0.75 -1.00
Washington Pass LT 0.25 1.00 - 1.50 0.75 -1.00
Leavenworth LT 0.25 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Stevens Pass 0.25 1.00 1.00
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 1.50 1.00
Mission Ridge 0.25 0.50 0.25
Crystal Mt 0.25 - 0.50 1.50 1.00 - 1.50
Paradise 0.75 2.00 - 2.50 2.00
White Pass 0.50 - 0.75 1.00 1.00
Mt Hood Meadows 1.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75
1.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0.75 -1.00
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 1.50 - 2.00
Wednesday 0.75 -1.00
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday 0.75 -1.00
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0.75
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night 1.00
Wednesday 1.00
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night 1.50
Wednesday 1.00
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night 0.50
Wednesday 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night 1.50
Wednesday 1.00 - 1.50
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Thursday 0.75
Thursday Night 2.00 - 2.50
Wednesday 2.00
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75
Thursday Night 1.00
Wednesday 1.00
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Thursday 1.50
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday 0.50 - 0.75
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Thursday 1.50
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday 0.50 - 0.75

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Morning S 5 - 15 SSE 15 - 25 SSE 10 - 20 S 10 - 20 SSW 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SSE 25 - 35 ESE 20 - 30 ESE 20 - 30 SSE 25 - 35 SW 35 - 45
Thursday Evening SW 30 - 40 SE 25 - 35 S 35 - 45 SSW 35 - 45 WSW 50 - 70
Thursday Night SSW 15 - 25 SSW 25 - 35 SSW 35 - 45 SSW 35 - 45 SW 55 - 75
Friday Morning SW 10 - 20 SW 20 - 30 SW 25 - 35 SW 25 - 35 SW 40 - 60
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Morning S 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon SSE 25 - 35
Thursday Evening SW 30 - 40
Thursday Night SSW 15 - 25
Friday Morning SW 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon SSW 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Morning SSE 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon ESE 20 - 30
Thursday Evening SE 25 - 35
Thursday Night SSW 25 - 35
Friday Morning SW 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon WSW 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning SSE 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon ESE 20 - 30
Thursday Evening S 35 - 45
Thursday Night SSW 35 - 45
Friday Morning SW 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Thursday Morning S 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon SSE 25 - 35
Thursday Evening SSW 35 - 45
Thursday Night SSW 35 - 45
Friday Morning SW 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SW 35 - 45
Thursday Evening WSW 50 - 70
Thursday Night SW 55 - 75
Friday Morning SW 40 - 60
Friday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning S 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon SSE 25 - 35
Thursday Evening SW 30 - 40
Thursday Night SSW 15 - 25
Friday Morning SW 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon SSW 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning SSE 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon ESE 20 - 30
Thursday Evening SE 25 - 35
Thursday Night SSW 25 - 35
Friday Morning SW 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon WSW 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning SSE 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon ESE 20 - 30
Thursday Evening S 35 - 45
Thursday Night SSW 35 - 45
Friday Morning SW 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning S 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon SSE 25 - 35
Thursday Evening SSW 35 - 45
Thursday Night SSW 35 - 45
Friday Morning SW 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SW 35 - 45
Thursday Evening WSW 50 - 70
Thursday Night SW 55 - 75
Friday Morning SW 40 - 60
Friday Afternoon SW 20 - 30

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Morning SSW 15 - 25 WSW 15 - 25 WSW 20 - 30 WSW 15 - 25 WSW 30 - 40
Thursday Afternoon SSW 20 - 30 S 15 - 25 SW 40 - 60 SW 50 - 70 WSW 60 - 80
Thursday Evening SW 40 - 60 SW 50 - 65 SW 65 - 85 SW 60 - 80 SW 65 - 85
Thursday Night SW 35 - 45 SW 50 - 70 SW 75 - 95 SW 65 - 85 WSW 60 - 80
Friday Morning SSW 40 - 60 SW 45 - 60 SW 55 - 75 WSW 45 - 60 WSW 65 - 85
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SSW 20 - 30
Thursday Evening SW 40 - 60
Thursday Night SW 35 - 45
Friday Morning SSW 40 - 60
Friday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning WSW 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon S 15 - 25
Thursday Evening SW 50 - 65
Thursday Night SW 50 - 70
Friday Morning SW 45 - 60
Friday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon SW 40 - 60
Thursday Evening SW 65 - 85
Thursday Night SW 75 - 95
Friday Morning SW 55 - 75
Friday Afternoon WSW 35 - 45
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning WSW 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SW 50 - 70
Thursday Evening SW 60 - 80
Thursday Night SW 65 - 85
Friday Morning WSW 45 - 60
Friday Afternoon WSW 30 - 40
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning WSW 30 - 40
Thursday Afternoon WSW 60 - 80
Thursday Evening SW 65 - 85
Thursday Night WSW 60 - 80
Friday Morning WSW 65 - 85
Friday Afternoon WSW 55 - 75

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k

Previous forecast from Dec 18, 2019

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