Issued: 2:36 PM PST Wednesday, December 18, 2019
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Wednesday night through Wednesday

A series of systems will bring the most impactful weather to our mountains so far this winter.
An average frontal system spreads rain and snow throughout the Cascades and Olympics Wednesday night, favoring the volcanoes (particularly Mt. Hood) with SSW winds ahead of the system and SW winds behind it.  Expect E flow through the Passes switching to westerly, but temperatures should be cool enough that the precipitation stays snow at Snoqualmie Pass. Light to moderate post-frontal rain and snow showers continue on Thursday, decreasing over the central and northern Washington Cascades in the afternoon. Pass-level flow switches back easterly in the afternoon as the next system approaches from the south.

The second system is an atmospheric river event that brings subtropical moisture into mid-latitudes. This system's leading-edge will be a strong warm front arriving early Thursday afternoon for Mt. Hood and late in the day for the southern Washington Cascades, bringing heavy rain/snow, strong to extreme winds, and rising snow levels.

Thursday night, the warm front continues lifting northward, spreading the very stormy weather and heavy rain/snow with it. Expect significant accumulations at 1-3" per hour rates. Cold air entrenched E of the Cascade Crest and E flow should keep the Passes cold through the evening hours with a shift to rain at Snoqualmie Pass likely before midnight and then Stevens Pass, likely after midnight as E flow diminishes and the cold air pool gets replaced with warmer air flushing in from the subtropics. There is a potential for some freezing rain near and E of the passes as warmer air moves in at mid-levels.

On Friday, the atmospheric river continues to take aim on the Washington Cascades with very stormy and wet weather and a slight cooling trend during the day.

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Wednesday Night Moderate rain and snow in the evening, tapering to light showers after 10 PM.
Mt. Baker
Wednesday Night Moderate to heavy rain and snow.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Wednesday Night Periods of light snow.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Wednesday Night Moderate rain and snow with significant accumulations at the Passes. Moderate E winds through the Passes becoming light by morning.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Wednesday Night Moderate rain and snow - heaviest at Paradise.
Mt. Hood
Wednesday Night Heavy rain and snow.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Wednesday Evening Snow Level * 3500' 3000' 1000' 1000' 1500' 2000' 3000' 3500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level * 3000' 2000' 500' 500' 1000' 1500' 3000' 3500'
Thursday Morning Snow Level 3000' 2000' 500' 500' 1500' 2000' 3000' 4000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level * 3500' 3000' 2000' 1500' 2500' 2500' 3500' 4500'
Thursday Evening Snow Level 4000' 3000' 2000' 1500' 2000' 2500' 4000' 6000'
Thursday Night Snow Level 5000' 3000' 2000' 2500' 3000' 4500' 5500' 6000'
Friday Morning Snow Level 4000' 4000' 3000' 4500' 4500' 5000' 5500' 6000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
5000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Washington Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
2000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Leavenworth Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
2500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
4500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
5000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
5500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
5500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
6000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
6000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
6000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Wednesday Night Wednesday Wednesday Night Wednesday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 LT 0.25 1.00 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.75 -1.00 0.25 - 0.50 2.00 1.00
Washington Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.10 1.00 - 1.50 0.75 -1.00
Leavenworth LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.50 - 0.75 0.25
Stevens Pass 0.25 0.25 1.00 1.00
Snoqualmie Pass 0.50 0.25 1.50 1.00 - 1.50
Mission Ridge 0.25 LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 1.50 - 2.00 1.00 - 1.50
Paradise 0.75 0.75 2.00 1.50 - 2.00
White Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.50 1.00
Mt Hood Meadows 0.75 -1.00 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 0.50
1.00 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 0.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.25
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 1.00
Wednesday 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.75 -1.00
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday Night 2.00
Wednesday 1.00
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday 0.75 -1.00
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night 1.00
Wednesday 1.00
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.50
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night 1.50
Wednesday 1.00 - 1.50
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.25
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday LT 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday Night 1.50 - 2.00
Wednesday 1.00 - 1.50
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.75
Wednesday 0.75
Wednesday Night 2.00
Wednesday 1.50 - 2.00
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday 1.00
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.75 -1.00
Wednesday 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday Night 0.50
Wednesday 0.50
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 1.00
Wednesday 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday Night 0.50
Wednesday 0.50

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Evening S 20 - 30 SSE 20 - 30 SE 20 - 30 S 15 - 25 SW 25 - 35
Wednesday Night SSW 10 - 20 S 20 - 30 SSW 20 - 30 SW 15 - 25 WSW 25 - 35
Thursday Morning S 5 - 15 S 5 - 15 S 5 - 15 S 5 - 15 SW 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Evening S 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SSW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning S 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon SSE 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Evening SSE 20 - 30
Wednesday Night S 20 - 30
Thursday Morning S 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon E 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening SE 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SSW 20 - 30
Thursday Morning S 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon ESE 15 - 25
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Wednesday Evening S 15 - 25
Wednesday Night SW 15 - 25
Thursday Morning S 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon SSE 15 - 25
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening SW 25 - 35
Wednesday Night WSW 25 - 35
Thursday Morning SW 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon SW 40 - 50
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening S 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SSW 10 - 20
Thursday Morning S 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon SSE 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SSE 20 - 30
Wednesday Night S 20 - 30
Thursday Morning S 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon E 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SE 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SSW 20 - 30
Thursday Morning S 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon ESE 15 - 25
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening S 15 - 25
Wednesday Night SW 15 - 25
Thursday Morning S 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon SSE 15 - 25
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SW 25 - 35
Wednesday Night WSW 25 - 35
Thursday Morning SW 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon SW 40 - 50

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Evening SSW 35 - 45 SW 30 - 40 SW 40 - 50 SW 35 - 50 WSW 40 - 55
Wednesday Night WSW 30 - 40 WSW 30 - 40 WSW 35 - 45 WSW 35 - 45 WSW 45 - 60
Thursday Morning SW 20 - 30 WSW 15 - 25 WSW 20 - 30 WSW 20 - 30 WSW 35 - 45
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SSW 35 - 45
Wednesday Night WSW 30 - 40
Thursday Morning SW 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon SSW 15 - 25
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SW 30 - 40
Wednesday Night WSW 30 - 40
Thursday Morning WSW 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SSW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SW 40 - 50
Wednesday Night WSW 35 - 45
Thursday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon SW 30 - 40
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SW 35 - 50
Wednesday Night WSW 35 - 45
Thursday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon SW 35 - 45
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening WSW 40 - 55
Wednesday Night WSW 45 - 60
Thursday Morning WSW 35 - 45
Thursday Afternoon WSW 60 - 80

Extended Weather Synopsis for Wednesday night through Wednesday

Friday night, the firehose continues, with another rise in snow levels as another along the frontal system lifts northward.

On Saturday and Saturday night, precipitation should decrease and gradually become showery with gradually lowering snow levels that should reach Snoqualmie Pass level overnight Saturday.

The cooling and drying trend continues on Sunday with light to occasionally moderate snow showers and a weak trough over our region.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Friday Night Snow Level 2500' - 3500' 3000' - 4000' 5500' - 6500'
Saturday Snow Level 3000' - 4000' 3500' - 4500' 4000' - 5500'
Saturday Night Snow Level 2000' - 3000' 2500' - 3500' 3000' - 4000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Night Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Saturday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
Sunday Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Night Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Saturday Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Sunday Snow Level
1000' - 2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Night Snow Level
5500' - 6500'
Saturday Snow Level
4000' - 5500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Sunday Snow Level
2000' - 3000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 18, 2019

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