Issued: 2:24 PM PST Tuesday, November 26, 2019
by Dallas Glass

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Tuesday night through Friday

There are a few key items to take note of in the short term forecast: precipitation near Mt Hood, an eastern Cascade snow event, cold temperatures, and windy conditions. A deep trough over the region and a low-pressure system passing to our south will dominate our short-term weather impacts into Thanksgiving day.

The low-pressure system moving into Oregon will focus precipitation in the Mt Hood area Tuesday night through Wednesday. You could encounter scattered showers in areas of the Washington Cascades and the Olympics Tuesday night. The moisture associated with this system should move east by early Wednesday morning. Easterly winds, combined with available moisture, will create conditions for an upslope snow event in areas east of the Cascade crest. It can be difficult to forecast these eastern Cascade upslope events and the weather models aren't helping much. We're finding quite a bit of variation between models and locations. While the exact amount of precipitation may be uncertain, all the pieces should be in place. You may find quite a bit of variability in the amount of snow from area to area and even slope to slope. 

Cold air will continue to pour into the region from the north. This will keep snow levels very low and precipitation should fall as low-density snow. Even though the water amounts appear modest, snow totals could add up quickly with these cold temperatures. The same trough that is pulling in cold air will drive offshore winds. Expect windy conditions even at lower elevations Wednesday night through Thursday. Moderate to strong east winds could make conditions feel extremely cold and produce sub-zero wind chill values. 

On Thursday, we expect precipitation and winds to decrease and you should find cold and dry conditions in their place. 

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Tuesday Night Scattered showers. Moderate east winds. Cold
Mt. Baker
Tuesday Night High thin clouds. Mostly clear. Moderate east winds. Cold
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy with snow showers possible especially near the Wenatchee Mountains. Moderate east winds. Cold
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy. Scattered snow showers. Strong east winds. Cold.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers possible. Moderate east winds cold.
Mt. Hood
Tuesday Night Snow. Strong east winds. Cold.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Tuesday Evening Snow Level * 1000' 0' 0' 0' 500' 500' 500' 1000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level * 500' 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level * 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 0'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level * 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 500'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level * 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 0'
Wednesday Night Snow Level * 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 0'
Thursday Morning Freezing Level * 1000' 500' 500' 500' 500' 500' 500' 1000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Washington Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Leavenworth Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Night Snow Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Tuesday Night Friday Friday Night Friday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 0 0 0
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Leavenworth LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0 LT 0.10 0 0
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.25 0.25 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Paradise LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
White Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0
Friday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0
Friday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0
Friday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0
Friday 0
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Tuesday Evening ENE 10 - 20 E 15 - 25 E 25 - 35 E 15 - 25 E 25 - 35
Tuesday Night NE 10 - 20 E 15 - 25 E 25 - 35 E 15 - 25 E 25 - 35
Wednesday Morning NE 10 - 20 ENE 15 - 25 E 20 - 30 E 15 - 25 NE 25 - 35
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Tuesday Evening ENE 10 - 20
Tuesday Night NE 10 - 20
Wednesday Morning NE 10 - 20
Wednesday Afternoon NE 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Evening E 15 - 25
Tuesday Night E 15 - 25
Wednesday Morning ENE 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon ENE 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening E 25 - 35
Tuesday Night E 25 - 35
Wednesday Morning E 20 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon E 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Tuesday Evening E 15 - 25
Tuesday Night E 15 - 25
Wednesday Morning E 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon E 5 - 15
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening E 25 - 35
Tuesday Night E 25 - 35
Wednesday Morning NE 25 - 35
Wednesday Afternoon NE 20 - 30
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening ENE 10 - 20
Tuesday Night NE 10 - 20
Wednesday Morning NE 10 - 20
Wednesday Afternoon NE 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening E 15 - 25
Tuesday Night E 15 - 25
Wednesday Morning ENE 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon ENE 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening E 25 - 35
Tuesday Night E 25 - 35
Wednesday Morning E 20 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon E 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening E 15 - 25
Tuesday Night E 15 - 25
Wednesday Morning E 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon E 5 - 15
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening E 25 - 35
Tuesday Night E 25 - 35
Wednesday Morning NE 25 - 35
Wednesday Afternoon NE 20 - 30

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Tuesday Evening E 30 - 40 E 30 - 40 E 35 - 45 ESE 35 - 45 ESE 45 - 60
Tuesday Night E 40 - 55 E 35 - 45 E 40 - 55 E 40 - 55 E 35 - 45
Wednesday Morning E 40 - 55 E 35 - 45 E 45 - 60 E 45 - 60 E 35 - 45
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening E 30 - 40
Tuesday Night E 40 - 55
Wednesday Morning E 40 - 55
Wednesday Afternoon E 45 - 60
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening E 30 - 40
Tuesday Night E 35 - 45
Wednesday Morning E 35 - 45
Wednesday Afternoon E 40 - 55
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening E 35 - 45
Tuesday Night E 40 - 55
Wednesday Morning E 45 - 60
Wednesday Afternoon E 50 - 65
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening ESE 35 - 45
Tuesday Night E 40 - 55
Wednesday Morning E 45 - 60
Wednesday Afternoon E 40 - 55
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening ESE 45 - 60
Tuesday Night E 35 - 45
Wednesday Morning E 35 - 45
Wednesday Afternoon E 30 - 40

Extended Weather Synopsis for Friday night through Friday

The cold dry pattern should set-in on Thursday and stay with us into the weekend. A strong high-pressure ridge in the pacific will deflect any approaching weather systems. The models begin to show this ridge breaking down on Saturday into Sunday, but we'll want to wait and see how that pans out. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Thursday Night Freezing Level 0' - 1000' 0' - 1000' 500' - 1500' *
Friday Freezing Level 0' - 1000' 0' - 1000' 500' - 1500' *
Friday Night Freezing Level 0' - 1000' 0' - 1000' 500' - 1500' *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Night Freezing Level
0' - 1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Freezing Level
0' - 1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Freezing Level
0' - 1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Freezing Level
500' - 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night Freezing Level
0' - 1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Freezing Level
0' - 1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Freezing Level
0' - 1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Freezing Level
500' - 1500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night Freezing Level
500' - 1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Freezing Level
500' - 1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Freezing Level
500' - 1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Freezing Level
500' - 1500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Nov 25, 2019

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.