Issued: 2:20 PM PST Friday, February 1, 2019
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Friday night through Tuesday

A frontal system currently passing through western Washington this afternoon will weaken and split as it passes inland. Before it weakens, it is delivering a generous shot of moisture for the Mt. Baker area and to a lesser extent the Paradise/Crystal/Chinook Pass region. Snow levels have been around 4500 ft in the north and 6000 ft over the south Washington Cascades. Cool east flow caused a wintry mix earlier this morning at Snoqualmie Pass before a switch to rain. Only a minor cooling trend is expected tonight behind the front. 

Showers should quickly diminish overnight for all areas except for Mt. Baker, where more moderate rain and snow showers will linger for the first half of the night. The Pacific Northwest should be in a lull for much of Saturday with weather systems to our south and north, but not much happening in our region. The cloud forecast is tricky, but a partial clearing trend is expected for the west slopes of the Cascades and Mt. Hood in the afternoon, with a better bet for sunshine along the east slopes of the Cascades. 

The lull between weather systems should continue through Sunday morning. The exception may be some light rain and snow that brushes the Mt. Hood area as it rotates up from a cut-off low pressure well to the south. 

 As a strong upper level ridge amplifies well offshore near 150W, a deep upper low will move south and dig off of our waters on Sunday. As the low sets up offshore, it will begin to rotate light snow showers towards the Olympics and west slopes of the Cascades during the day.  

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Friday Night Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers.
Mt. Baker
Friday Night Light to moderate rain and snow showers becoming light showers after midnight.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Friday Night Mostly cloudy light rain and snow showers decreasing after midnight.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Friday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers becoming light scattered showers and easing after midnight. Light east wind in the Passes becoming west in the evening.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Friday Night Light to moderate rain and snow showers, heaviest Paradise area. Showers becoming scattered light showers after midnight.
Mt. Hood
Friday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers becoming light scattered showers and easing after midnight.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Friday Evening Snow Level 4500' 4500' 4500' 5000' 5000' 5000' 5500' 6000'
Friday Night Snow Level 4000' 4000' 4000' 4500' 4000' 4500' 4500' 5500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level 3500' 3500' 3000' 4000' 3500' 4000' 4000' 5500'
Saturday Afternoon Freezing Level 4000' 4000' 4000' 4500' 4500' 4500' 5500' 6500'
Saturday Evening Freezing Level 3000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 3500' 3500' 4500' 6000'
Saturday Night Freezing Level 2500' 2000' 1500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 3000' 4500'
Sunday Morning Snow Level 1500' 1000' 1500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Friday Night Snow Level
4000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Afternoon Freezing Level
4000'
Saturday Evening Freezing Level
3000'
Saturday Night Freezing Level
2500'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Friday Night Snow Level
4000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Afternoon Freezing Level
4000'
Saturday Evening Freezing Level
3000'
Saturday Night Freezing Level
2000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
Washington Pass Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Friday Night Snow Level
4000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Saturday Afternoon Freezing Level
4000'
Saturday Evening Freezing Level
3000'
Saturday Night Freezing Level
1500'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Leavenworth Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
5000'
Friday Night Snow Level
4500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Saturday Afternoon Freezing Level
4500'
Saturday Evening Freezing Level
3500'
Saturday Night Freezing Level
2500'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
5000'
Friday Night Snow Level
4000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Afternoon Freezing Level
4500'
Saturday Evening Freezing Level
3500'
Saturday Night Freezing Level
2500'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
5000'
Friday Night Snow Level
4500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Saturday Afternoon Freezing Level
4500'
Saturday Evening Freezing Level
3500'
Saturday Night Freezing Level
2500'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
5500'
Friday Night Snow Level
4500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Saturday Afternoon Freezing Level
5500'
Saturday Evening Freezing Level
4500'
Saturday Night Freezing Level
3000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
6000'
Friday Night Snow Level
5500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
5500'
Saturday Afternoon Freezing Level
6500'
Saturday Evening Freezing Level
6000'
Saturday Night Freezing Level
4500'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Friday Night Tuesday Tuesday Night Tuesday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 0 0 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Washington Pass 0.25 LT 0.10 0 0
Leavenworth LT 0.10 0 0 0
Stevens Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0.50 LT 0.10 0 0
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0 0 0
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 0 0 0
Paradise 0.50 LT 0.10 0 0
White Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 0 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0
Tuesday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0
Tuesday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0
Tuesday 0
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0
Tuesday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Friday Evening SW 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20 WSW 15 - 25 SW 10 - 20 SW 15 - 25
Friday Night SW 5 - 15 SW 5 - 15 SW 5 - 15 WSW 10 - 20 SW 5 - 15
Saturday Morning SW 0 - 10 SW 0 - 10 SW 5 - 15 SW 0 - 10 SW 0 - 10
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Friday Evening SW 10 - 20
Friday Night SW 5 - 15
Saturday Morning SW 0 - 10
Saturday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Evening SW 10 - 20
Friday Night SW 5 - 15
Saturday Morning SW 0 - 10
Saturday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening WSW 15 - 25
Friday Night SW 5 - 15
Saturday Morning SW 5 - 15
Saturday Afternoon W 0 - 10
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Friday Evening SW 10 - 20
Friday Night WSW 10 - 20
Saturday Morning SW 0 - 10
Saturday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening SW 15 - 25
Friday Night SW 5 - 15
Saturday Morning SW 0 - 10
Saturday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SW 10 - 20
Friday Night SW 5 - 15
Saturday Morning SW 0 - 10
Saturday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SW 10 - 20
Friday Night SW 5 - 15
Saturday Morning SW 0 - 10
Saturday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Evening WSW 15 - 25
Friday Night SW 5 - 15
Saturday Morning SW 5 - 15
Saturday Afternoon W 0 - 10
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SW 10 - 20
Friday Night WSW 10 - 20
Saturday Morning SW 0 - 10
Saturday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SW 15 - 25
Friday Night SW 5 - 15
Saturday Morning SW 0 - 10
Saturday Afternoon VAR 0 - 10

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Friday Evening SW 25 - 35 SW 30 - 40 SW 30 - 40 SW 30 - 40 SW 25 - 35
Friday Night SW 20 - 30 SW 35 - 45 SW 35 - 45 SW 30 - 40 SW 20 - 30
Saturday Morning WSW 15 - 25 WSW 20 - 30 W 20 - 30 W 20 - 30 SW 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SW 25 - 35
Friday Night SW 20 - 30
Saturday Morning WSW 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SW 30 - 40
Friday Night SW 35 - 45
Saturday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SW 30 - 40
Friday Night SW 35 - 45
Saturday Morning W 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SW 30 - 40
Friday Night SW 30 - 40
Saturday Morning W 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SW 25 - 35
Friday Night SW 20 - 30
Saturday Morning SW 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon SW 10 - 20

Extended Weather Synopsis for Tuesday night through Tuesday

The colder air bottled up over the interior of British Columbia should begin to seep into the region Sunday night, arriving through the Fraser River Gap and sliding along the east slopes of the Cascades as the coastal surface low pressure system slides further south off of Oregon. Details are hard to pin down, but light snow should accumulate along the north slopes of the Olympics, the east slopes of the Cascades north of I-90, and for the south Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood Sunday night through Monday.  Much colder and drier air should mainly shut off the precipitation for the Mt. Baker area Sunday night but NE ridgecrest winds may increase during this period.   

As the upper low shifts east and the ridge of high pressure shifts closer to our region, light snow showers should wind down Monday night, leaving us with a dry and cold day on Tuesday. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Sunday Night Snow Level 0' - 0' 0' - 1000' 1000' - 2000'
Monday Snow Level 0' - 0' 0' - 1000' 500' - 1500'
Monday Night Freezing Level 0' - 0' 0' - 500' 0' - 500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday Night Snow Level
0' - 0'
Monday Snow Level
0' - 0'
Monday Night Freezing Level
0' - 0'
Tuesday Freezing Level
0' - 0'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night Snow Level
0' - 1000'
Monday Snow Level
0' - 1000'
Monday Night Freezing Level
0' - 500'
Tuesday Freezing Level
0' - 500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
Monday Snow Level
500' - 1500'
Monday Night Freezing Level
0' - 500'
Tuesday Freezing Level
500' - 1500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 1, 2019

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