Issued: 2:47 PM PST Tuesday, December 18, 2018
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Tuesday night through Tuesday

A very stormy weather pattern continues...

A strong jet aimed for Oregon chases a departed winter storm Tuesday night. Strong W-SW winds (strongest south of I-90) continue. Moderate post-frontal rain and snow showers will bring significant accumulations above 3500 ft. The atmosphere will be unstable, so expect locally intense snowfall. This pattern will continue Wednesday, but showers will become more sporadic and lighter, ending from south to north as the flow shifts to the SW by afternoon.

A warm front will lift across the region Wednesday evening, warming temperatures above the freezing mark at 5000 ft in most locations with some limited cold air holding on in sheltered valley locations of the NE Cascades. Light snow changing to rain toward morning is expected in the central Cascade Pass locations.

On Thursday, the associated and intensifying low pressure will make landfall on Vancouver Island, dragging a sharp cold front and sharp temperature decreases across the forecast area from west to east. Strong winds will be a greater story than precipitation with this storm, although >1" can be expected for Hurricane Ridge, the North Cascades, and Rainier areas from Wednesday evening through Thursday.

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Tuesday Night Light to moderate snow showers in a slightly cool, unstable air mass. Moderate to strong winds.
Mt. Baker
Tuesday Night Moderate post-frontal snow showers, heavy at times. Moderate wind gusting strong.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Tuesday Night Light post-frontal snow (and low elevation rain) showers, heavier in convective cells. Moderate wind gusting strong.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Tuesday Night Moderate snow showers. Moderate to strong winds.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Tuesday Night Moderate to heavy snow Paradise; moderate snow showers at White Pass; and light snow showers under partially blocked flow at Crystal. Moderate to strong winds.
Mt. Hood
Tuesday Night Moderate snow showers. Strong winds.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Tuesday Evening Snow Level 3500' 3000' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 4500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level 3500' 3000' 3000' 3500' 3000' 3000' 3500' 4000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level 3000' 3000' 2500' 3500' 3000' 3000' 3500' 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level 3500' 3000' 3000' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 4000'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level * 6000' 3500' 3000' 3500' 3500' 5500' 6000' 7000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level * 7500' 5500' 3500' 4500' 5000' 6500' 6500' 7500'
Thursday Morning Snow Level * 5000' 5000' 4000' 4500' 4500' 5000' 5000' 6000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Washington Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Leavenworth Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Tuesday Night Tuesday Tuesday Night Tuesday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 0.50 - 0.75 0.75 -1.00
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 1.00 - 1.50 2.00
Washington Pass 0.25 0.25 0.50 0.75 -1.00
Leavenworth 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25 0.25 0.50
Mission Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 0 0.25 0.25
Crystal Mt 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 0.25 1.00
Paradise 1.00 - 1.50 0.25 0.50 1.00
White Pass 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75
Mt Hood Meadows 0.75 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.50
0.75 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday 0.75 -1.00
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Tuesday 2.00
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.75 -1.00
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.50
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night 0.25
Tuesday 1.00
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night 0.50
Tuesday 1.00
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday 0.50 - 0.75
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.75
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday 0.50
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.75
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday 0.50

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Tuesday Evening WSW 30 - 45 WSW 25 - 35 WSW 30 - 45 WSW 30 - 45 WSW 40 - 60
Tuesday Night WSW 25 - 35 WSW 20 - 30 WSW 25 - 35 WSW 25 - 35 WSW 30 - 45
Wednesday Morning SW 20 - 30 SW 25 - 35 SW 25 - 35 SW 20 - 30 WSW 20 - 30
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Tuesday Evening WSW 30 - 45
Tuesday Night WSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Morning SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon S 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Evening WSW 25 - 35
Tuesday Night WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Morning SW 25 - 35
Wednesday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening WSW 30 - 45
Tuesday Night WSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Morning SW 25 - 35
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Tuesday Evening WSW 30 - 45
Tuesday Night WSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Morning SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening WSW 40 - 60
Tuesday Night WSW 30 - 45
Wednesday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon SSE 5 - 15
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WSW 30 - 45
Tuesday Night WSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Morning SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon S 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WSW 25 - 35
Tuesday Night WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Morning SW 25 - 35
Wednesday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WSW 30 - 45
Tuesday Night WSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Morning SW 25 - 35
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WSW 30 - 45
Tuesday Night WSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Morning SW 20 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WSW 40 - 60
Tuesday Night WSW 30 - 45
Wednesday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Afternoon SSE 5 - 15

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Tuesday Evening WSW 40 - 60 WSW 35 - 50 WSW 50 - 70 WSW 50 - 70 WSW 55 - 75
Tuesday Night WSW 40 - 60 WSW 45 - 65 WSW 45 - 65 WSW 45 - 65 WSW 50 - 70
Wednesday Morning WSW 30 - 45 WSW 35 - 50 WSW 30 - 45 WSW 35 - 50 WSW 35 - 50
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WSW 40 - 60
Tuesday Night WSW 40 - 60
Wednesday Morning WSW 30 - 45
Wednesday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WSW 35 - 50
Tuesday Night WSW 45 - 65
Wednesday Morning WSW 35 - 50
Wednesday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WSW 50 - 70
Tuesday Night WSW 45 - 65
Wednesday Morning WSW 30 - 45
Wednesday Afternoon SW 30 - 45
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WSW 50 - 70
Tuesday Night WSW 45 - 65
Wednesday Morning WSW 35 - 50
Wednesday Afternoon SW 35 - 50
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WSW 55 - 75
Tuesday Night WSW 50 - 70
Wednesday Morning WSW 35 - 50
Wednesday Afternoon SW 55 - 75

Extended Weather Synopsis for Tuesday night through Tuesday

Post-frontal showers will decrease Thursday night under low snow levels.

Friday and Friday night will bring a relative break in the onslaught of storms with cool air in place and a very weak high pressure keeping only a few light snow showers in the forecast. A weak front will tries to impact the region on Saturday morning but generally weakens. 

The next major storm system will begin to impact the region late in the day Saturday with rain/snow and wind arriving along the coastline.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Thursday Night Snow Level 0' - 2000' 0' - 2000' 1000' - 3000'
Friday Snow Level 0' - 2000' 0' - 2000' 1000' - 3000'
Friday Night Snow Level 0' - 2000' 0' - 2000' 0' - 2000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Night Snow Level
0' - 2000'
Friday Snow Level
0' - 2000'
Friday Night Snow Level
0' - 2000'
Saturday Snow Level
0' - 2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night Snow Level
0' - 2000'
Friday Snow Level
0' - 2000'
Friday Night Snow Level
0' - 2000'
Saturday Snow Level
0' - 2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night Snow Level
1000' - 3000'
Friday Snow Level
1000' - 3000'
Friday Night Snow Level
0' - 2000'
Saturday Snow Level
1000' - 3000'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 18, 2018

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