Issued: 2:34 PM PST Thursday, December 29, 2016
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Thursday & Sunday

Afternoon update: Many areas have been nudged lower for Day 1 Precipitation Forecast ending 4 am Friday. 

Warm frontal moisture will continue to ride over flat upper level ridging that is centered over the Pacific Northwest today. This will mean continuing light rain and snow for the north Cascades and Olympics with decreasing clouds and precipitation further south. There is a large north to south snow level gradient over our region as well, with much milder temperatures expected down in Oregon.

The frontal boundary will quickly sag south this evening, producing a period of moderate to heavy precipitation especially for the west slopes of the central Cascades. There will be a slight warming trend today, especially for the south Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood. A shift from east to west winds should allow snow levels to bump up to 3500 feet for Snoqualmie Pass area this evening with precipitation. A brief period of strong westerly winds should accompany the frontal passage late this afternoon and evening while winds decrease for areas like Mt. Baker that saw strong pre-frontal winds during the day. Showers should continue overnight in a period of NW flow, with perhaps a convergence zone forming downwind of Vancouver Island.

The trailing longwave trough will swing through the area on Friday, keeping the air mass unstable enough to support scattered showers mainly along the west slopes of the Cascades in the morning. By the afternoon northerly flow should help dry us out with sunshine expected. Weak ridging will flop over the area Friday night as we continue our break between weather systems.     

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Thursday Afternoon

Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow transitioning to showers. Windy. Cooling trend late. 

Thursday Night

Mostly cloudy with light rain and snow showers. Cooler. 

Friday

Becoming mostly sunny with isolated showers in the morning. 

Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Evening

Moderate rain and snow north part. Light rain and snow developing south part. Winds increasing. Slight warming trend. 

Thursday Night

Light to moderate showers. Cooling trend. 

Friday

Mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers in the morning becoming mostly sunny in the afternoon. Cooler. 

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Thursday Afternoon - Evening

Light to moderate rain and snow north part. Light rain and snow developing south part. Winds increasing. Slight warming trend. 

Thursday Night

Mostly cloudy with light showers. Windy. Cooling trend. 

Friday

Partly cloudy with isolated showers in the morning becoming mostly sunny. 

Mt. Hood Area
Thursday

Partly cloudy. Mild. 

Thursday Night

Light rain and snow developing and transitioning to light showers late overnight. Windy. Cooling trend late. 

Friday

Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers in the morning becoming mostly sunny in the afternoon. Cooler. 

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Thursday Mid-day Snow Level * 4500' 3000' 2000' ' ' 3000' ' 7000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level * 3000' 2500' 2500' ' ' 3000' ' 6000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level 2000' 2000' 2000' ' ' 3500' ' 5500'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level 1500' 1500' 500' ' ' 1500' ' 2000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Mid-day Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level
1500'
Friday Night Freezing Level
1500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Mid-day Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level
1500'
Friday Night Freezing Level
500'
Washington Pass Elevation
Thursday Mid-day Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level
500'
Friday Night Freezing Level
0'
Leavenworth Elevation
Thursday Mid-day Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level
'
Friday Night Freezing Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Mid-day Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level
'
Friday Night Freezing Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Mid-day Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level
1500'
Friday Night Freezing Level
500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Thursday Mid-day Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level
'
Friday Night Freezing Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Mid-day Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
5500'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level
2000'
Friday Night Freezing Level
1500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Sunday Sunday
Hurricane Ridge 0 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 - 1.00 LT 0.10
Washington Pass 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass 1.00 - 1.50 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass 0 - 1.00 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Paradise 0 - 0.50 LT 0.10
White Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.25 LT 0.10
LT 0.25 LT 0.10

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Afternoon W 20 - 30 SW 20 - 35 SW 25 - 45 --- - WSW 15 - 25
Thursday Night NW 15 - 25 W 10 - 20 W 15 - 25 --- - W 25 - 35
Friday N 0 - 10 NW 0 - 10 NW 5 - 15 --- - NW 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Thursday Night NW 15 - 25
Friday N 0 - 10
Friday Night W 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Afternoon SW 20 - 35
Thursday Night W 10 - 20
Friday NW 0 - 10
Friday Night W 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Afternoon SW 25 - 45
Thursday Night W 15 - 25
Friday NW 5 - 15
Friday Night W 0 - 10
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Friday --- -
Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25
Thursday Night W 25 - 35
Friday NW 10 - 20
Friday Night NW 0 - 10
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Thursday Night NW 15 - 25
Friday N 0 - 10
Friday Night W 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SW 20 - 35
Thursday Night W 10 - 20
Friday NW 0 - 10
Friday Night W 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SW 25 - 45
Thursday Night W 15 - 25
Friday NW 5 - 15
Friday Night W 0 - 10
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Friday --- -
Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25
Thursday Night W 25 - 35
Friday NW 10 - 20
Friday Night NW 0 - 10

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Afternoon SW 40 - 50 SW 50 - 60 WSW 50 - 60 --- - WSW 50 - 60
Thursday Night W 20 - 30 W 30 - 40 W 30 - 50 --- - WSW 50 - 60
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SW 40 - 50
Thursday Night W 20 - 30
Friday - Friday Night N 10 - 20
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon SW 50 - 60
Thursday Night W 30 - 40
Friday - Friday Night N 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon WSW 50 - 60
Thursday Night W 30 - 50
Friday - Friday Night NW 15 - 25
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Friday - Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Afternoon WSW 50 - 60
Thursday Night WSW 50 - 60
Friday - Friday Night N 15 - 25

Extended Weather Synopsis for Sunday night through Sunday

A weather system will race down from the NW on Saturday, bringing a quick shot of precipitation to the area that begins Saturday afternoon and continues through the New Year. Alpine winds will quickly ramp up Saturday afternoon as the front sweeps south. 

A weak low pressure system set up off the Washington Coast Sunday may produce some light showers for the southwest and central-west Cascades with some light upslope showers possible over the east slopes. The main story will be the arctic air mass that begins to work over to the west side of the Cascade crest late Sunday and becomes entrenched through Tuesday. Scattered showers should wind down Sunday night and moderate easterly flow may develop on Monday as the high pressure sliding down from British Columbia helps to reinforce the cold air over the PNW. 

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Saturday Morning

Mostly cloudy north and central Cascades and the Olympics.  Mostly sunny south Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood. 

Saturday Afternoon

Light rain and snow developing from north to south over the Cascades and Olympics. Mostly cloudy at Mt. Hood. Alpine winds increasing. 

Saturday Night - Sunday

Light snow showers tapering down with a clearing trend Sunday from north to south.   

Sunday Night - Monday

Clear and cold. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Saturday Snow Level 0' - 1000' 1000' - 2000' 1500' - 2500'
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning Snow Level 0' - 500' 500' - 1500' 1000' - 2000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Snow Level
0' - 1000'
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning Snow Level
0' - 500'
Sunday - Monday Freezing Level
0' - 0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning Snow Level
500' - 1500'
Sunday - Monday Freezing Level
0' - 0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
Sunday - Monday Freezing Level
0' - 0'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 29, 2016

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