Issued: 7:27 AM PST Thursday, December 29, 2016
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k

Weather Synopsis for Thursday & Monday

Warm frontal moisture will continue to ride over flat upper level ridging that is centered over the Pacific Northwest today. This will mean continuing light rain and snow for the north Cascades and Olympics with decreasing clouds and precipitation further south. There is a large north to south snow level gradient over our region as well, with much milder temperatures expected down in Oregon.

The frontal boundary will quickly sag south this evening, producing a period of moderate to heavy precipitation especially for the west slopes of the central Cascades. There will be a slight warming trend today. A shift from east to west winds should allow snow levels to bump up to 3500 feet for Snoqualmie Pass area this evening. A brief period of strong westerly winds should accompany the frontal passage late this afternoon and evening. Showers should continue overnight in a period of NW flow, with perhaps a convergence zone forming downwind of Vancouver Island.

The trailing longwave trough will swing through the area on Friday, keeping the air mass unstable enough to support scattered showers mainly along the west slopes of the Cascades. Weak ridging will flop over the area Friday night as we get a break between weather systems.     

Weather Forecast

Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Thursday Morning

Light rain and snow north part. Partly to mostly cloudy south part.  

Thursday Afternoon

Moderate rain and snow north part. Light rain and snow developing south part. Winds increasing. Slight warming trend. 

Thursday Night

Moderate rain and snow transitioning to light to moderate showers overnight. Windy. Cooling trend late. 

Friday

Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers. Cooler. 

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Thursday Morning

Periods of light rain and snow north part. Partly cloudy south part.  

Thursday Afternoon

Light to moderate rain and snow north part. Light rain and snow developing south part. Winds increasing. Slight warming trend. 

Thursday Night

Light to moderate rain and snow transitioning to light to occasionally moderate showers overnight. Windy. Cooling trend late. 

Friday

Partly to cloudy with isolated light snow showers. Cooler. 

Mt. Hood Area
Thursday

Partly cloudy. Mild. 

Thursday Night

Light rain and snow developing and transitioning to light showers late overnight. Windy. Cooling trend late. 

Friday

Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers. Cooler. 

Olympics
Thursday Morning - Thursday Mid-day

Light rain and snow Thursday morning becoming moderate rain and snow by mid-day. Windy. Warming trend. 

Thursday Afternoon

Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. Cooling trend late. 

Thursday Night

Mostly cloudy with light rain and snow showers. Cooler. 

Friday

Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered light snow showers. 

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Thursday Morning Snow Level * 3000' 1500' 1000' ' ' 2000' ' 7500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level * 3000' 2500' 2500' ' ' 3000' ' 6000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level 2000' 2000' 2000' ' ' 3500' ' 5500'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level 1500' 1500' 500' ' ' 1500' ' 2000'
Friday Night Freezing Level 1500' 500' 0' ' ' 500' ' 1500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level
1500'
Friday Night Freezing Level
1500'
Thursday Mid-day Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level
1500'
Friday Night Freezing Level
500'
Thursday Mid-day Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Washington Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level
500'
Friday Night Freezing Level
0'
Thursday Mid-day Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Leavenworth Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level
'
Friday Night Freezing Level
'
Thursday Mid-day Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level
'
Friday Night Freezing Level
'
Thursday Mid-day Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level
1500'
Friday Night Freezing Level
500'
Thursday Mid-day Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level
'
Friday Night Freezing Level
'
Thursday Mid-day Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
5500'
Thursday Night - Friday Snow Level
2000'
Friday Night Freezing Level
1500'
Thursday Mid-day Snow Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Monday Monday
Hurricane Ridge 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 1.00 - 1.50 LT 0.10
Washington Pass 0 - 0.75 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass 1.00 - 1.50 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass 1.00 - 1.50 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Paradise 0 - 0.50 LT 0.10
White Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.25 LT 0.10
LT 0.25 LT 0.10

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Morning - Thursday SW 30 - 40 S 15 - 25 SE 15 - 25 --- - SW 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon W 15 - 25 SW 20 - 30 SW 25 - 35 --- - WSW 15 - 25
Thursday Night NW 15 - 25 W 10 - 20 W 15 - 25 --- - W 25 - 35
Friday N 0 - 10 NW 0 - 10 NW 5 - 15 --- - NW 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Morning - Thursday SW 30 - 40
Thursday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Thursday Night NW 15 - 25
Friday N 0 - 10
Friday Night W 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Morning - Thursday S 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Thursday Night W 10 - 20
Friday NW 0 - 10
Friday Night W 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning - Thursday SE 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SW 25 - 35
Thursday Night W 15 - 25
Friday NW 5 - 15
Friday Night W 0 - 10
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Thursday Morning - Thursday --- -
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Friday --- -
Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Morning - Thursday SW 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25
Thursday Night W 25 - 35
Friday NW 10 - 20
Friday Night NW 0 - 10
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning - Thursday SW 30 - 40
Thursday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Thursday Night NW 15 - 25
Friday N 0 - 10
Friday Night W 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning - Thursday S 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Thursday Night W 10 - 20
Friday NW 0 - 10
Friday Night W 0 - 10
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning - Thursday SE 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SW 25 - 35
Thursday Night W 15 - 25
Friday NW 5 - 15
Friday Night W 0 - 10
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning - Thursday --- -
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Friday --- -
Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning - Thursday SW 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25
Thursday Night W 25 - 35
Friday NW 10 - 20
Friday Night NW 0 - 10

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Morning SW 25 - 35 SW 20 - 30 WSW 40 - 50 --- - WSW 35 - 45
Thursday Afternoon SW 35 - 45 SW 50 - 60 WSW 50 - 60 --- - WSW 50 - 60
Thursday Night W 20 - 30 W 30 - 40 W 30 - 50 --- - WSW 50 - 60
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning SW 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon SW 35 - 45
Thursday Night W 20 - 30
Friday - Friday Night N 10 - 20
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning SW 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon SW 50 - 60
Thursday Night W 30 - 40
Friday - Friday Night N 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning WSW 40 - 50
Thursday Afternoon WSW 50 - 60
Thursday Night W 30 - 50
Friday - Friday Night NW 15 - 25
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Afternoon --- -
Thursday Night --- -
Friday - Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning WSW 35 - 45
Thursday Afternoon WSW 50 - 60
Thursday Night WSW 50 - 60
Friday - Friday Night N 15 - 25

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k

Previous forecast from Dec 25, 2016

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