Issued: 2:11 PM PST Saturday, December 10, 2016
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Saturday & Thursday

Another 10-15 inches of generally lower density snow accumulated along the west slopes of the Cascades including the Cascades Passes and in the Olympics for the 24 hours ending 4 am Saturday morning. 

A strong westerly jet will remained aimed into Oregon over the weekend leaving the PNW on the cold side of the jet. That said, cool marine air continues to slowly dislodge a colder arctic air mass in place over the east slopes of the Cascades, with a slow warming trend for the Cascade Passes and east slopes today and tonight although snow levels will remain below Pass levels.  

A surface trough rotating out of a weak surface low off of Vancouver Island has already begun to increase shower activity this afternoon after a relative break in the action this morning.  Light to moderate showers will continue through Sunday before shower activity begins to wane Sunday night. The timing and location of the heaviest shower activity on Sunday is still difficult to pin down but it's safe to say the west slopes of the Cascades and Mt. Hood should continue to pick up moderate amounts of new snow Saturday night and Sunday thanks to good westerly flow and another surface trough swinging through late Sunday morning. A fresh 12-18 inches of snow through Sunday afternoon looks likeliest for Stevens Pass down to Mt. Rainier with Crystal likely being blocked a bit and with higher possible totals down at Mt. Hood.    

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Saturday Mid-day - Saturday Afternoon

Increasing light to moderate snow showers. 

Saturday Night - Sunday

Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. 

Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Saturday Afternoon

Increasing clouds with light to moderate snow showers north part spreading south. Slow warming trend for the Cascade Passes. 

Saturday Night - Sunday

Cloudy with light to moderate rain and snow showers, heaviest Stevens and Snoqualmie Passes and Mt. Rainier.  

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Saturday Afternoon

Increasing clouds with light to moderate snow showers developing. Slow warming trend. 

Saturday Night - Sunday

Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. 

Mt. Hood Area
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Night

Increasing clouds with light to moderate snow showers developing. 

Sunday

Moderate to occasionally heavy rain and snow showers. 

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Night Snow Level 2500' 1500' 1000' ' ' 2000' ' 3000'
Sunday Snow Level 2000' 1000' 1000' ' ' 2000' ' 2500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Night Snow Level
2500'
Sunday Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
1000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Night Snow Level
1500'
Sunday Snow Level
1000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
0'
Washington Pass Elevation
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Night Snow Level
1000'
Sunday Snow Level
1000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
0'
Leavenworth Elevation
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Night Snow Level
'
Sunday Snow Level
'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Night Snow Level
'
Sunday Snow Level
'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Night Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
1500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Night Snow Level
'
Sunday Snow Level
'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Night Snow Level
3000'
Sunday Snow Level
2500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
2000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Thursday Thursday
Hurricane Ridge 0.50 - 0.75 0 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 - 0.75 0.50 - 0.75
Washington Pass 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Stevens Pass 0 - 1.00 0 - 1.00
Snoqualmie Pass 0 - 1.00 1.00 - 1.50
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt 0 - 0.50 0 - 0.75
Paradise 1.00 - 1.50 1.50 - 2.00
White Pass 0 - 0.50 0 - 1.00
Mt Hood Meadows 0.75 - 1.00 0 - 1.50
0 - 1.00 0 - 2.00

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Saturday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25 S 10 - 20 SW 20 - 30 --- - SW 20 - 30
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning WSW 15 - 25 SW 10 - 20 SW 20 - 35 --- - WSW 20 - 35
Sunday Afternoon W 5 - 15 W 0 - 10 WSW 15 - 25 --- - W 25 - 35
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Saturday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning WSW 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon W 5 - 15
Sunday Night N 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning SW 10 - 20
Sunday Afternoon W 0 - 10
Sunday Night NE 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning SW 20 - 35
Sunday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25
Sunday Night W 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Saturday Afternoon --- -
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning --- -
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning WSW 20 - 35
Sunday Afternoon W 25 - 35
Sunday Night WNW 15 - 25
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning WSW 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon W 5 - 15
Sunday Night N 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning SW 10 - 20
Sunday Afternoon W 0 - 10
Sunday Night NE 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning SW 20 - 35
Sunday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25
Sunday Night W 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon --- -
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning --- -
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning WSW 20 - 35
Sunday Afternoon W 25 - 35
Sunday Night WNW 15 - 25

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Saturday Afternoon SW 20 - 30 SW 15 - 25 W 20 - 30 --- - W 25 - 35
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning SW 25 - 40 WSW 15 - 25 WSW 35 - 50 --- - W 35 - 50
Sunday Afternoon W 10 - 20 W 10 - 20 W 20 - 30 --- - W 40 - 50
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning SW 25 - 40
Sunday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Sunday Night W 10 - 20
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning WSW 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Sunday Night WNW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning WSW 35 - 50
Sunday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Sunday Night W 25 - 35
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon --- -
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning --- -
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon W 25 - 35
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning W 35 - 50
Sunday Afternoon W 40 - 50
Sunday Night WNW 30 - 40

Extended Weather Synopsis for Thursday night through Thursday

Weak upper level ridging will build along the coast Monday but not before a weak surface low passes through the Cascades midday perhaps leading to another round of light snow for the central/south Cascades and even along the east slopes. 

With the jet stream to our south and surface high pressure over the Canadian interior, cold and fair weather should begin to settle into our region Monday night and may stick around for awhile. Forecast models indicate easterly flow will increase on Tuesday, so we may get another round of cold easterly flow for the central and south Cascades through midweek. Systems passing through California and Oregon may clip Mt. Hood and the south Washington Cascades with increased cloud cover Tuesday and Wednesday.   

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood area
Tuesday - Wednesday

Mostly clear and cold north and central Cascades, mostly to partly cloudy south Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood. Moderate easterly Pass winds and ridgetop winds south Washington Cascades to Mt. Hood.   

Monday

Mostly cloudy with periods of light snow possible central and south Washington Cascades. 

Monday Night

Partly to mostly cloudy with light showers ending. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Monday - Monday Night Snow Level 0' - 1000' 500' - 1500' 1500' - 2500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Monday - Monday Night Snow Level
0' - 1000'
Tuesday - Wednesday Freezing Level
0' - 1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday - Monday Night Snow Level
500' - 1500'
Tuesday - Wednesday Freezing Level
0' - 1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday - Monday Night Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
Tuesday - Wednesday Freezing Level
0' - 1000'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 10, 2016

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