Issued: 2:36 PM PST Sunday, March 6, 2016
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Sunday & Sunday

Afternoon Update: Changes to the wind forecast Sunday night and Monday morning

A front moved through the Cascades early Sunday morning with blustery showers in SW flow following the frontal passage. After a decent shot of predominately rain along both the east and west slopes of the Cascades including Mt. Hood, snow levels should fluctuate between 3500-4000 feet along the west slopes and 4000-4500 feet along the east slopes on Sunday. 

Precipitation will be convective in nature and the air mass will be unstable enough that there will be a chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. 

A low pressure system will develop along the base of the longwave trough, roughly around the central Oregon coast late Sunday night and lift northeastward Monday morning. This should give a brief burst of light to moderate rain and snow at cool snow levels predominately for the south and central Cascades including Mt. Hood. The air mass will be unstable again on Monday afternoon, but unless there are substantial sunbreaks the chance of thunderstorms appears lower.  A brief period of westerly flow Monday afternoon through early evening may cause a convergence zone to form around the Stevens Pass area before showers diminish Monday night.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
Sunday

Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. Winds moderating by late morning. Chance of an afternoon thunderstorm. Cooler. 

Sunday Night

Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers. 

Monday

Mostly cloudy with scattered light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. 

Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Sunday

Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. Winds moderating by late morning. Chance of an afternoon thunderstorm. Cooler. 

Sunday Evening

Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers. 

Sunday Night - Monday Morning

Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow developing south Cascades overnight and spreading northward Monday morning.  

Monday Afternoon - Monday Evening

Mostly cloudy with scattered light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. Possible convergence zone Stevens Pass area Monday afternoon and evening. 

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Sunday

Cloudy with light rain and snow showers, occasionally moderate near the Cascade crest. Winds moderating by mid-day. Chance of an afternoon thunderstorm. Cooler. 

Sunday Evening

Parlty cloudy with isolated light rain and snow showers. 

Sunday Night - Monday Morning

Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow developing southeast Cascades overnight and spreading northward Monday morning.  

Monday Afternoon

Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers. 

Mt. Hood Area
Sunday

Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. Winds moderating in the afternoon. Chance of an afternoon thunderstorm. Cooler. 

Sunday Evening

Cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers. 

Sunday Night - Monday Morning

Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow.  

Monday Afternoon

Mostly cloudy with scattered light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. 

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Sunday Snow Level 4000' 3500' 4500' ' ' 4000' ' 4000'
Sunday Night Snow Level 2500' 2500' 2500' ' ' 3000' ' 3000'
Monday Snow Level 3000' 3000' 3000' ' ' 3000' ' 3000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Sunday Snow Level
4000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
2500'
Monday Snow Level
3000'
Monday Night Snow Level
2500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday Snow Level
3500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
2500'
Monday Snow Level
3000'
Monday Night Snow Level
2000'
Washington Pass Elevation
Sunday Snow Level
4500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
2500'
Monday Snow Level
3000'
Monday Night Snow Level
1500'
Leavenworth Elevation
Sunday Snow Level
'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Monday Snow Level
'
Monday Night Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Sunday Snow Level
'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Monday Snow Level
'
Monday Night Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Snow Level
4000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
3000'
Monday Snow Level
3000'
Monday Night Snow Level
1500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Sunday Snow Level
'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Monday Snow Level
'
Monday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Snow Level
4000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
3000'
Monday Snow Level
3000'
Monday Night Snow Level
2000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Sunday Sunday
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.75 - 1.00 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Stevens Pass 0 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass 0 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Paradise 0.75 - 1.00 0.50 - 0.75
White Pass 0 - 0.50 0 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows 0.75 - 1.00 0 - 0.50
0 - 1.00 0.50 - 0.75

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Sunday Afternoon SW 15 - 25 S 15 - 25 SW 15 - 25 --- - SW 15 - 25
Sunday Night S 0 - 10 SE 0 - 10 ESE 5 - 15 --- - ESE 10 - 20
Monday Morning W 5 - 15 E 0 - 10 ESE 10 - 20 --- - W 15 - 25
Monday Afternoon - Monday Night WSW 5 - 15 WSW 5 - 15 W 10 - 20 --- - WSW 15 - 25
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Sunday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Sunday Night S 0 - 10
Monday Morning W 5 - 15
Monday Afternoon - Monday Night WSW 5 - 15
Monday Mid-day W 10 - 20
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday Afternoon S 15 - 25
Sunday Night SE 0 - 10
Monday Morning E 0 - 10
Monday Afternoon - Monday Night WSW 5 - 15
Monday Mid-day SW 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Sunday Night ESE 5 - 15
Monday Morning ESE 10 - 20
Monday Afternoon - Monday Night W 10 - 20
Monday Mid-day WSW 15 - 30
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Monday Morning --- -
Monday Afternoon - Monday Night --- -
Monday Mid-day --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Sunday Night ESE 10 - 20
Monday Morning W 15 - 25
Monday Afternoon - Monday Night WSW 15 - 25
Monday Mid-day W 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Sunday Night S 0 - 10
Monday Morning W 5 - 15
Monday Afternoon - Monday Night WSW 5 - 15
Monday Mid-day W 10 - 20
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon S 15 - 25
Sunday Night SE 0 - 10
Monday Morning E 0 - 10
Monday Afternoon - Monday Night WSW 5 - 15
Monday Mid-day SW 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Sunday Night ESE 5 - 15
Monday Morning ESE 10 - 20
Monday Afternoon - Monday Night W 10 - 20
Monday Mid-day WSW 15 - 30
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Monday Morning --- -
Monday Afternoon - Monday Night --- -
Monday Mid-day --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Sunday Night ESE 10 - 20
Monday Morning W 15 - 25
Monday Afternoon - Monday Night WSW 15 - 25
Monday Mid-day W 10 - 20

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Sunday Afternoon SW 20 - 30 SW 15 - 25 SW 20 - 30 --- - SW 25 - 35
Sunday Night SW 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20 S 10 - 20 --- - SE 35 - 45
Monday Morning SW 15 - 25 S 15 - 25 SW 20 - 30 --- - W 30 - 40
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Sunday Night SW 10 - 20
Monday Morning SW 15 - 25
Monday Afternoon - Monday Night W 10 - 20
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Sunday Night SW 10 - 20
Monday Morning S 15 - 25
Monday Afternoon - Monday Night WNW 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Sunday Night S 10 - 20
Monday Morning SW 20 - 30
Monday Afternoon - Monday Night W 15 - 30
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Monday Morning --- -
Monday Afternoon - Monday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Sunday Afternoon SW 25 - 35
Sunday Night SE 35 - 45
Monday Morning W 30 - 40
Monday Afternoon - Monday Night W 20 - 30

Extended Weather Synopsis for Sunday night through Sunday

The mean upper level trough positioned in the NE Pacific will continue to drive systems into the PNW every day or so through the extended period and looking out even further into the middle of March. 

A weaker Pacific frontal system will approach on Tuesday and quickly pass through Tuesday night. Of greater interest is the weather system that will develop along the old frontal zone late Tuesday into Wednesday and lift NE across the Washington Cascades. Previous forecast models had shown an atmospheric river event, but latest forecast guidance suggests that the heavier precipitation will be short lived and snow levels will only rise modestly later Wednesday. Thursday appears to be a break between weather systems. 

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Tuesday

Increasing clouds with light rain and snow developing over the Olympics early afternoon and spreading inland. 

Tuesday Night

Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow becoming light showers overnight. 

Wednesday

Moderate rain and snow with a warming trend. 

Wednesday Night - Thursday

Mostly cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers tapering off during the day Thursday. Cooler. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Tuesday Snow Level 2500' - 3500' 2500' - 3500' 3000' - 4000'
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning Snow Level 2000' - 3000' 2500' - 3500' 4000' - 5000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level 4000' - 5000' 3500' - 5000' 6000' - 7000' *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3500' - 5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Tuesday Night - Wednesday Morning Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
6000' - 7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night - Thursday Snow Level
5000' - 6000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Mar 6, 2016

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