Issued: 3:03 PM PST Friday, February 6, 2015
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Friday & Thursday

Another frontal boundary is passing through the Cascades this afternoon in moist and mild SW flow aloft. The jet stream will begin to dip south during the day Friday... with most of the energy becoming refocused into Northern California later today and tonight.  

This southerly shift in the jet stream will allow a modest drop in snow levels late Friday afternoon to 5000-6000 feet across the area, where the snow level should stay through the short term period. Showers should ease Friday night, except in the Mt. Baker area where moderate showers may continue.

An upper level shortwave will lift northeast on Saturday... and this weather system should bring a more modest amount of precipitation to the mountains. East flow may initially bring snow levels down to pass level for Stevens Pass Saturday morning before rising to free-air levels mid-day Saturday. Showers will continue Saturday night. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics, Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Friday Afternoon

Light rain and snow except moderate Mt. Baker area. 

Friday Night

Becoming mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers, occasionally moderate. Slight cooling. 

Saturday

Light rain and snow, becoming moderate from south to north across the area by mid-day. Locally lower snow level Stevens Pass Saturday morning before becoming free-air snow levels mid-day. 

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Friday Afternoon

Light rain and snow. 

Friday Night

Light rain and snow showers in the evening, tapering down and becoming mostly cloudy with scattered showers after midnight. Slightly cooler. 

Saturday

Light rain and snow, occasionally becoming moderate near the crest mid-day. 

Mt. Hood Area
Friday Afternoon

Light rain and snow. 

Friday Evening

Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers.  Slightly cooler. 

Friday Night - Saturday Morning

Light to moderate rain and snow. 

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Friday Afternoon Snow Level 5500' 5500' 5500' ' ' 6000' ' 6500'
Friday Night - Saturday Snow Level * 5500' 5500' 5000' ' ' 5500' ' 6000'
Saturday Snow Level * 5500' 5000' 5000' ' ' 5500' ' 6000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
Friday Night - Saturday Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
5000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
Friday Night - Saturday Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
5000'
Washington Pass Elevation
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
Friday Night - Saturday Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
4500'
Leavenworth Elevation
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Friday Night - Saturday Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Friday Night - Saturday Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
Friday Night - Saturday Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
5000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Friday Night - Saturday Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
6500'
Friday Night - Saturday Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
5500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Thursday Thursday
Hurricane Ridge 0 - 1.00 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 3.00 - 4.00 1.50 - 2.00
Washington Pass 0 - 1.00 0 - 0.75
Stevens Pass 0.75 - 1.00 0 - 1.00
Snoqualmie Pass 1.00 - 1.50 1.00 - 1.50
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt 1.50 - 2.00 0.75 - 1.00
Paradise 1.50 - 2.00 0 - 1.50
White Pass 0.75 - 1.00 0 - 0.75
Mt Hood Meadows 0 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.50
0 - 0.50 0 - 1.50

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening SW 25 - 35 SW 30 - 40 S 15 - 30 --- - SW 20 - 30
Friday Night SW 20 - 30 SSW 15 - 25 S 10 - 20 --- - SSW 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening SW 15 - 25 S 10 - 20 SW 25 - 35 --- - SW 40 - 50
Saturday Night SW 20 - 30 SSW 10 - 20 SSW 10 - 20 --- - SW 20 - 30
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening SW 25 - 35
Friday Night SW 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening SW 15 - 25
Saturday Night SW 20 - 30
Saturday Morning SW 10 - 20
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening SW 30 - 40
Friday Night SSW 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening S 10 - 20
Saturday Night SSW 10 - 20
Saturday Morning SSW 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening S 15 - 30
Friday Night S 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening SW 25 - 35
Saturday Night SSW 10 - 20
Saturday Morning SE 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening --- -
Friday Night --- -
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Saturday Morning --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening SW 20 - 30
Friday Night SSW 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening SW 40 - 50
Saturday Night SW 20 - 30
Saturday Morning SW 35 - 45
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening SW 25 - 35
Friday Night SW 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening SW 15 - 25
Saturday Night SW 20 - 30
Saturday Morning SW 10 - 20
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening SW 30 - 40
Friday Night SSW 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening S 10 - 20
Saturday Night SSW 10 - 20
Saturday Morning SSW 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening S 15 - 30
Friday Night S 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening SW 25 - 35
Saturday Night SSW 10 - 20
Saturday Morning SE 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening --- -
Friday Night --- -
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Saturday Morning --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening SW 20 - 30
Friday Night SSW 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening SW 40 - 50
Saturday Night SW 20 - 30
Saturday Morning SW 35 - 45

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening SW 30 - 40 SW 40 - 50 SW 35 - 45 --- - SW 40 - 50
Friday Night - Saturday Morning SW 25 - 35 SW 25 - 35 SW 20 - 30 --- - SW 30 - 40
Saturday Mid-day - Saturday Afternoon SW 20 - 30 WSW 25 - 35 SW 40 - 50 --- - WSW 50 - 60
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening SW 30 - 40
Friday Night - Saturday Morning SW 25 - 35
Saturday Mid-day - Saturday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Saturday Night SW 35 - 45
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening SW 40 - 50
Friday Night - Saturday Morning SW 25 - 35
Saturday Mid-day - Saturday Afternoon WSW 25 - 35
Saturday Night SW 45 - 55
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening SW 35 - 45
Friday Night - Saturday Morning SW 20 - 30
Saturday Mid-day - Saturday Afternoon SW 40 - 50
Saturday Night SW 40 - 50
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening --- -
Friday Night - Saturday Morning --- -
Saturday Mid-day - Saturday Afternoon --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening SW 40 - 50
Friday Night - Saturday Morning SW 30 - 40
Saturday Mid-day - Saturday Afternoon WSW 50 - 60
Saturday Night SW 30 - 40

Extended Weather Synopsis for Thursday night through Thursday

A short break between systems should be seen Sunday morning. A stacked and weakening low pressure system will lift toward the Washington Coast on Sunday afternoon and night, spreading light to moderate precipitation over Mt. Hood by mid-day Sunday and spreading northward in the afternoon.  A modest rise in snow levels is forecast for the Mt. Hood area and south Washington Cascades Sunday afternoon with cooler snow levels further north. 

The low will pass into western Washington Monday... keeping showers throughout the day. The weakening low should traverse the Cascades Monday night with diminishing showers and leftover clouds expected Tuesday. The drying trend that begins Tuesday looks likely to hold well into next week.  

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood area
Sunday Morning

Mostly cloudy with isolated light rain and snow showers. 

Sunday Afternoon - Sunday Evening

Light to moderate rain and snow developing Mt. Hood to central Washington Cascades and spreading north late Sunday afternoon.  

Sunday Night - Monday

Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. 

Monday Night - Tuesday Morning

Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers. 

Tuesday Afternoon

Mostly cloudy. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Sunday Night Snow Level 5500' - 6500' 6000' - 7000' 6500' - 7500'
Monday - Tuesday Snow Level 4500' - 5500' 4500' - 5500' 4500' - 5500'
Sunday Morning Snow Level 4500' - 5500' 5000' - 6500' 6500' - 7500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday Night Snow Level
5500' - 6500'
Monday - Tuesday Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
5000' - 6000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night Snow Level
6000' - 7000'
Monday - Tuesday Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
5000' - 6500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
5500' - 7000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night Snow Level
6500' - 7500'
Monday - Tuesday Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
6500' - 7500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
7000' - 8000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 6, 2015

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.