Issued: 7:55 AM PST Friday, February 6, 2015
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Friday & Thursday

The story hasn't changed much since yesterday; moist and strong southwest aloft flow will deliver another frontal system to the area today at mild snow levels. 24 hour precipitation (mostly rain) amounts were in in the 1-3 inch range near and west of the crest, except for Mt. Baker who saw an amazing 5 inches of water. The snow level has stayed a bit lower than predicted for the NE Washington Cascades. 

A frontal boundary should pass through the Cascades in the afternoon. The jet stream will begin to dip south during the day Friday... with most of the energy becoming refocused into Northern California later today and tonight.  

This southerly shift in the jet stream will allow a modest drop in snow levels late Friday afternoon to 5000-6000 feet across the area, where the snow level should stay through the short term period. Showers should ease Friday night, except in the Mt. Baker area where moderate showers may continue. An upper level shortwave will lift northeast on Saturday... and this weather system should bring a more modest amount of precipitation to the mountains. Showers will continue Saturday night. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics, Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Friday

Light rain and snow becoming moderate by mid-day. Precipitation locally heavy Mt. Baker area. Mild, then slight cooling in the afternoon. 

Friday Night

Light rain and snow showers, except locally moderate to heavy showers Mt. Baker area.  Slightly cooler. 

Saturday

Light to moderate rain and snow, increasing in the afternoon. 

Mt. Hood Area
Friday

Light rain and snow. Mild, then slight cooling in the afternoon. 

Friday Night

Light rain and snow showers, except occasionally moderate showers Friday evening.  Slightly cooler. 

Saturday

Light rain and snow, except moderate late morning through mid-day. 

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Friday

Light rain and snow becoming moderate by mid-day near the crest. Mild, then slight cooling in the afternoon. 

Friday Night

Light rain and snow showers in the evening, tapering down and becoming mostly cloudy with scattered showers after midnight. Slightly cooler. 

Saturday

Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow near the crest, increasing in the afternoon. 

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Friday Morning Snow Level 7000' 7000' 6000' ' ' 7500' ' 8000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level 5500' 5500' 5500' ' ' 6000' ' 6500'
Friday Night - Saturday Snow Level 5500' 5500' 5000' ' ' 5500' ' 6000'
Saturday Night Snow Level 5000' 5000' 4500' ' ' 5000' ' 5500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
7000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
Friday Night - Saturday Snow Level
5500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
5000'
Saturday Snow Level
5500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
7000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
Friday Night - Saturday Snow Level
5500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
5000'
Saturday Snow Level
5000'
Washington Pass Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
6000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
Friday Night - Saturday Snow Level
5000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
4500'
Saturday Snow Level
5000'
Leavenworth Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Friday Night - Saturday Snow Level
'
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
Saturday Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Friday Night - Saturday Snow Level
'
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
Saturday Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
7500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
Friday Night - Saturday Snow Level
5500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
5000'
Saturday Snow Level
5500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Friday Night - Saturday Snow Level
'
Saturday Night Snow Level
'
Saturday Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Morning Snow Level
8000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
6500'
Friday Night - Saturday Snow Level
6000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
5500'
Saturday Snow Level
6000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Thursday Thursday
Hurricane Ridge 0 - 1.00 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 - 3.00 1.50 - 2.00
Washington Pass 0 - 1.00 0 - 0.75
Stevens Pass 0.75 - 1.00 0 - 1.00
Snoqualmie Pass 1.00 - 1.50 0 - 1.00
Mission Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt 1.50 - 2.00 0.75 - 1.00
Paradise 1.50 - 2.00 0 - 1.50
White Pass 0 - 1.00 0 - 0.75
Mt Hood Meadows 0 - 0.75 1.00 - 1.50
0 - 1.00 0 - 1.50

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Friday Morning SW 40 - 50 SW 30 - 40 S 20 - 30 --- - SW 30 - 40
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening SW 25 - 35 SSW 25 - 35 SW 15 - 30 --- - SW 20 - 30
Friday Night - Saturday Morning SW 20 - 30 SSW 15 - 25 S 10 - 20 --- - S 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon SW 15 - 25 S 10 - 20 SW 10 - 20 --- - SW 35 - 50
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Friday Morning SW 40 - 50
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening SW 25 - 35
Friday Night - Saturday Morning SW 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Saturday Night SW 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Morning SW 30 - 40
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening SSW 25 - 35
Friday Night - Saturday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Saturday Night SSW 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Morning S 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening SW 15 - 30
Friday Night - Saturday Morning S 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Saturday Night SSW 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Friday Morning --- -
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening --- -
Friday Night - Saturday Morning --- -
Saturday Afternoon --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Morning SW 30 - 40
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening SW 20 - 30
Friday Night - Saturday Morning S 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon SW 35 - 50
Saturday Night SW 20 - 30
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Friday Morning SW 40 - 50
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening SW 25 - 35
Friday Night - Saturday Morning SW 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Saturday Night SW 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Friday Morning SW 30 - 40
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening SSW 25 - 35
Friday Night - Saturday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Saturday Night SSW 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Morning S 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening SW 15 - 30
Friday Night - Saturday Morning S 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon SW 10 - 20
Saturday Night SSW 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Friday Morning --- -
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening --- -
Friday Night - Saturday Morning --- -
Saturday Afternoon --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Friday Morning SW 30 - 40
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening SW 20 - 30
Friday Night - Saturday Morning S 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon SW 35 - 50
Saturday Night SW 20 - 30

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Friday Morning SW 50 - 60 SW 40 - 50 SW 60 - 80 --- - SW 60 - 80
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening SW 30 - 40 SW 40 - 50 SW 35 - 45 --- - SW 40 - 50
Friday Night - Saturday Morning SW 25 - 35 SW 25 - 35 SW 20 - 30 --- - SW 30 - 40
Saturday Afternoon SW 20 - 30 SW 20 - 30 SW 35 - 50 --- - SW 40 - 60
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Friday Morning SW 50 - 60
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening SW 30 - 40
Friday Night - Saturday Morning SW 25 - 35
Saturday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Saturday Night SW 15 - 25
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Morning SW 40 - 50
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening SW 40 - 50
Friday Night - Saturday Morning SW 25 - 35
Saturday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Saturday Night SW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Morning SW 60 - 80
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening SW 35 - 45
Friday Night - Saturday Morning SW 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon SW 35 - 50
Saturday Night WSW 25 - 35
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Friday Morning --- -
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening --- -
Friday Night - Saturday Morning --- -
Saturday Afternoon --- -
Saturday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Friday Morning SW 60 - 80
Friday Afternoon - Friday Evening SW 40 - 50
Friday Night - Saturday Morning SW 30 - 40
Saturday Afternoon SW 40 - 60
Saturday Night SW 35 - 45

Extended Weather Synopsis for Thursday night through Thursday

A short break between systems should be seen Sunday morning. A stacked and weakening low pressure system will lift toward the Washington Coast on Sunday afternoon and night, spreading light to moderate precipitation over Mt. Hood by mid-day Sunday and spreading northward in the afternoon.  A modest rise in snow levels is forecast for the Mt. Hood area and south Washington Cascades Sunday afternoon with cooler snow levels further north. 

The low will pass into western Washington Monday... keeping showers throughout the day. The weakening low should traverse the Cascades Monday night with diminishing showers and leftover clouds expected Tuesday. The drying trend that begins Tuesday looks likely to hold well into next week.  

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood area
Sunday Morning

Mostly cloudy with isolated light rain and snow showers. 

Sunday Afternoon - Sunday Evening

Light to moderate rain and snow developing Mt. Hood to central Washington Cascades and spreading north late Sunday afternoon.  

Sunday Night - Monday

Cloudy with light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. 

Monday Night - Tuesday Morning

Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers. 

Tuesday Afternoon

Mostly cloudy. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Sunday Snow Level 4500' - 5500' 5000' - 6500' 7000' - 8000'
Sunday Night Snow Level 5500' - 6500' 6000' - 7000' 6500' - 7500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
5500' - 6500'
Monday - Tuesday Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Snow Level
5000' - 6500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
6000' - 7000'
Monday - Tuesday Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Snow Level
7000' - 8000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
6500' - 7500'
Monday - Tuesday Snow Level
4500' - 5500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 5, 2015

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