Issued: 1:54 PM PST Saturday, January 31, 2015
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Saturday & Thursday

The first half of the weekend will be dry with upper level ridging offshore and freezing levels again quite mild. An approaching frontal system stretching from the parent low outside of 150 W will begin to spread high clouds over the area this afternoon. 

Clouds should increase and lower overnight with light rain and snow from a warm front developing for the north Cascades and Olympics after midnight. Light rain and snow will spread over the area on early Sunday and become moderate in the afternoon along the west slopes. The front should pass through Sunday afternoon, producing a modest bump in snow levels for the Cascade passes with a switch to west winds.  

Generally light rain and snow showers are expected to taper down Sunday night. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics, Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Saturday - Saturday Evening

Partly sunny with increasing high clouds mainly central and north Cascades and Olympics in the afternoon. Areas of low clouds Snoqualmie Pass.  

Saturday Night

Cloudy with light rain and snow developing Olympics and north Cascades. 

Sunday Morning - Sunday Mid-day

Light rain and snow. Precipitation may initially start as a light wintry mix for Snoqualmie Pass Sunday morning. 

Sunday Afternoon

Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow becoming showers in the late afternoon.  Warming trend late in the day mainly Cascade Passes and south/central Cascades.  

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Saturday - Saturday Evening

Partly sunny with increasing high clouds mainly centraleast and northeast Cascades in the afternoon.  Areas of low clouds and vallyey fog along the east slopes.  

Saturday Night

Cloudy with light rain and snow developing northeast Cascades. 

Sunday Morning - Sunday Mid-day

Light rain and snow.  

Sunday Afternoon - Sunday Evening

Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow near the Cascade crest becoming showers in the late afternoon. 

Mt. Hood Area
Saturday

Mostly sunny with increasing high clouds in the afternoon.    

Saturday Night

Becoming mostly cloudy overnight, clouds lowering. 

Sunday Morning - Sunday Mid-day

Light rain and snow developing.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Saturday - Saturday Evening Freezing Level * 8000' 6500' 6000' ' ' 7500' ' 9500'
Saturday Night - Sunday Mid-day Snow Level * 5000' 4000' 3500' ' ' 3500' ' 5000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level 5000' 4500' 4000' ' ' 5000' ' 5500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Saturday - Saturday Evening Freezing Level
8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night - Sunday Mid-day Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
4500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday - Saturday Evening Freezing Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night - Sunday Mid-day Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
4000'
Washington Pass Elevation
Saturday - Saturday Evening Freezing Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night - Sunday Mid-day Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
4000'
Leavenworth Elevation
Saturday - Saturday Evening Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night - Sunday Mid-day Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Saturday - Saturday Evening Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night - Sunday Mid-day Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday - Saturday Evening Freezing Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night - Sunday Mid-day Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
4500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Saturday - Saturday Evening Freezing Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night - Sunday Mid-day Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
'
Sunday Night Snow Level
'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday - Saturday Evening Freezing Level
9500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night - Sunday Mid-day Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
5500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Thursday Thursday
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75
Washington Pass LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 0.75 - 1.00
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 0.50 - 0.75
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50
Paradise LT 0.10 0.75 - 1.00
White Pass LT 0.10 0 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 0.50 - 0.75
LT 0.10 0 - 0.75

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening S 0 - 10 E 0 - 10 E 5 - 15 --- - SE 0 - 10
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning SW 5 - 15 S 5 - 15 SE 5 - 15 --- - SW 5 - 15
Sunday Afternoon W 5 - 15 SW 15 - 25 WSW 15 - 25 --- - W 15 - 25
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening S 0 - 10
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning SW 5 - 15
Sunday Afternoon W 5 - 15
Sunday Night SW 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening E 0 - 10
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning S 5 - 15
Sunday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Sunday Night SW 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening E 5 - 15
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning SE 5 - 15
Sunday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25
Sunday Night SW 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening --- -
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning --- -
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening SE 0 - 10
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning SW 5 - 15
Sunday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Sunday Night SW 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening S 0 - 10
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning SW 5 - 15
Sunday Afternoon W 5 - 15
Sunday Night SW 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening E 0 - 10
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning S 5 - 15
Sunday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Sunday Night SW 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening E 5 - 15
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning SE 5 - 15
Sunday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25
Sunday Night SW 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening --- -
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning --- -
Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening SE 0 - 10
Saturday Night - Sunday Morning SW 5 - 15
Sunday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Sunday Night SW 10 - 20

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening WNW 5 - 15 W 5 - 15 NW 10 - 20 --- - NW 15 - 25
Sunday Morning W 15 - 25 W 20 - 30 W 25 - 35 --- - WSW 15 - 25
Sunday Mid-day - Sunday Afternoon W 30 - 40 W 30 - 40 W 35 - 45 --- - W 40 - 50
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening WNW 5 - 15
Sunday Morning W 15 - 25
Sunday Mid-day - Sunday Afternoon W 30 - 40
Sunday Night WSW 20 - 30
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening W 5 - 15
Sunday Morning W 20 - 30
Sunday Mid-day - Sunday Afternoon W 30 - 40
Sunday Night W 35 - 45
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening NW 10 - 20
Sunday Morning W 25 - 35
Sunday Mid-day - Sunday Afternoon W 35 - 45
Sunday Night WSW 30 - 40
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening --- -
Sunday Morning --- -
Sunday Mid-day - Sunday Afternoon --- -
Sunday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Saturday Afternoon - Saturday Evening NW 15 - 25
Sunday Morning WSW 15 - 25
Sunday Mid-day - Sunday Afternoon W 40 - 50
Sunday Night W 25 - 35

Extended Weather Synopsis for Thursday night through Thursday

Westerly flow will deliver another and potentially stronger system on Monday. Precipitation should become moderate Monday with westerly winds increasing as well. After the the surface low passes somewhere along the Washington/British Columbia border Monday afternoon, orographics and an upper level shortwave should maintain showers along the west slopes Monday night and Tuesday.  Snow levels will fluctuate but look to be moderately cool throughout the short and long term periods.

There is forecast model disagreement whether the upper level ridge will re-establish itself offshore on Wednesday leading to a dry day with a gradual warming trend (GFS solution) or if another weather disturbance this time approaching from the SW will keep precipitation in the forecast (European model). 

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes and Mt. Hood area
Monday

Moderate rain and snow increasing throughout the day. Winds increasing. 

Monday Night

Light to moderate rain and snow showers decreasing after midnight. 

Tuesday - Tuesday Night

Mostly cloudy with light rain and snow showers decreasing Tuesday night. 

Wednesday

Partly sunny and warmer. 

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Monday

Light to moderate rain and snow increasing throughout the day. Winds increasing. 

Monday Night

Light rain and snow showers decreasing after midnight and becoming mostly cloudy. 

Tuesday - Tuesday Night

Mostly cloudy with light rain and snow showers decreasing Tuesday night. 

Wednesday

Mostly sunny and slightly warmer. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Monday Morning Snow Level 3000' - 4000' 4000' - 5000' 5500' - 6500' *
Monday Afternoon Snow Level 3500' - 4500' 4500' - 5500' 5000' - 6000'
Monday Night - Tuesday Night Snow Level 3000' - 4000' 3500' - 4500' 4000' - 5000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Monday Morning Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Monday Night - Tuesday Night Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Wednesday Freezing Level
4000' - 5000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Morning Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
Monday Night - Tuesday Night Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Wednesday Freezing Level
5500' - 6500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Morning Snow Level
5500' - 6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
5000' - 6000'
Monday Night - Tuesday Night Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Wednesday Freezing Level
7500' - 8500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 31, 2015

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