Issued: 2:22 PM PST Tuesday, December 24, 2024
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

We're in the midst of a very active and impactful week of winter weather in the mountains through the forecast period.

Very light snow shower activity continues Tuesday night as onshore flow arrives over a weak ridge, adding very light amounts of fresh snow above 3000 ft going into Christmas day. Temperatures cool, keeping snow levels below the mountain passes. By the overnight hours, expect rapidly increasing high stratiform clouds to spread across the region, lowering and thickening across the Olympics as a very potent system approaches.

This system will ultimately deliver a long-duration heavy snowfall event. This is due to the arrival of an initial frontal system on Christmas Day, followed by reinforcement from a developing low tracking into southern British Columbia overnight. Moderate to heavy snowfall spreads first into the Olympics between 4 and 7 AM Wednesday, and then throughout the Cascades later in the morning. Precipitation intensifies through the afternoon along with S winds and low-level E flow. Snow levels should be around 2500 ft west of the Cascade Crest and 500-1000 ft lower for the mountain gaps and E slopes of the Cascades.

Snow levels rise overnight and peak early Thursday, with 3500-5000 ft snow levels. We're monitoring a period of very intense W winds associated with winds wrapping around the low-pressure center as it passes. Expect limited cooling behind the frontal passage early Thursday. This front will mark a shift from snow to rain at Snoqualmie Pass up to around 3500 ft. Post-frontal SW flow sustains moderate to heavy snowfall for the west slopes of the Cascades on Thursday with some spillover onto the E slopes.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy with very light snow showers at times. Increasing light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Moderate rain and snow becomes heavy from mid-morning onwards. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Night Decreasing light snow showers, locally moderate in the Skagit during the evening hours where convergence lingers. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Increasing light rain and snow becomes heavy by late morning. Moderate ridgeline winds become strong.
Tuesday Night Decreasing light snow showers, locally moderate in the Skagit during the evening hours where convergence lingers. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Light rain and snow develops by mid-morning and becomes moderate, then potentially heavy late in the day.
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy with a few light rain or snow showers in the evening. Light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Light rain and snow develops around mid-morning, then becomes moderate to heavy in the afternoon. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Night Decreasing light snow showers. Moderate ridgeline and light to occasionally moderate W wind at the Pass.
Wednesday Increasing light to moderate snow starting in the late morning hours. Light ridgeline winds become moderate around the time snowfall starts. Increasing light E wind at the Pass with moderate gusts.
Tuesday Night Decreasing light rain and snow showers end overnight. Moderate ridgeline and light to occasionally moderate W wind at the Pass.
Wednesday Increasing light to moderate snow starting in the late morning hours. Light ridgeline winds become moderate around the time snowfall starts. Increasing light to moderate E wind at the Pass.
Tuesday Night Light snow showers. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Cloudy to start, then increasing light snow during the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Night Partly cloudy with very light snow showers near the Cascade Crest. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Cloudy to start, then increasing light snow during the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Night Partly cloudy with snow flurries near the Cascade Crest. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Cloudy to start, then increasing light snow during the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Night Rain and snow showers decrease or end. Cooler. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Moderate rain and snow develop in the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline winds become strong late in the day.

Precipitation (in)

Tuesday Night Wednesday Wednesday Night Thursday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 0.75 -1.00 1.00 0.75 -1.00
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 0.75 -1.00 1.50 - 2.00 1.00 - 1.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.10 0.25 1.00 - 1.50 1.00
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.75 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass 0 LT 0.25 1.50 0.75
Crystal Mt 0 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 - 0.75
Paradise 0 0.50 - 0.75 2.00 1.00
White Pass 0 0.25 0.75 -1.00 0.75
Washington Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25 0.75 0.50
Mission Ridge 0 LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 LT 0.25 1.00 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0.25 1.00 0.50 - 0.75
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0.25 1.00 0.50 - 0.75
Timberline 0 0.25 1.00 - 1.50 0.75
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0.75 -1.00
Wednesday Night 1.00
Thursday 0.75 -1.00
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday 0.75 -1.00
Wednesday Night 1.50 - 2.00
Thursday 1.00 - 1.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Thursday 1.00
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.75
Thursday 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 1.50
Thursday 0.75
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday Night 2.00
Thursday 1.00
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.75 -1.00
Thursday 0.75
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.75
Thursday 0.50
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Thursday 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 1.00
Thursday 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night 1.00
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night 1.00
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Thursday 0.75

Snow Level (ft)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning* Wednesday Afternoon* Wednesday Evening* Wednesday Night* Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon
Olympics 3000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 4000' 4500' 4000' 3500'
West North 3000' 2500' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3500' 3500' 3500'
West Central 3000' 3000' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3500' 3500' 3500'
West South 3000' 3000' 2500' 3000' 3500' 4000' 4000' 4000'
Stevens Pass 3000' 2500' 2000' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3000' 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 2500' 2000' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3000' 3500'
East North 2500' 1000' 1000' 1500' 1500' 1500' 2500' 3000'
East Central 2500' 2000' 2000' 2500' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3500'
East South 2500' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3300' 3500' 4500' 4000'
Mt. Hood 3000' 3000' 2500' 3000' 4500' 5000' 4500' 4500'
Olympics Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 3000'
Wednesday Morning* 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3500'
Wednesday Evening* 4000'
Wednesday Night* 4500'
Thursday Morning* 4000'
Thursday Afternoon 3500'
West North Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 2500'
Wednesday Morning* 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 2500'
Wednesday Evening* 3000'
Wednesday Night* 3500'
Thursday Morning* 3500'
Thursday Afternoon 3500'
West Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 3000'
Wednesday Morning* 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 2500'
Wednesday Evening* 3000'
Wednesday Night* 3500'
Thursday Morning* 3500'
Thursday Afternoon 3500'
West South Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 3000'
Wednesday Morning* 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
Wednesday Evening* 3500'
Wednesday Night* 4000'
Thursday Morning* 4000'
Thursday Afternoon 4000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 2500'
Wednesday Morning* 2000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 2500'
Wednesday Evening* 2500'
Wednesday Night* 3000'
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 2500'
Wednesday Morning* 2000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 2500'
Wednesday Evening* 2500'
Wednesday Night* 3000'
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon 3500'
East North Elevation
Tuesday Evening 2500'
Tuesday Night 1000'
Wednesday Morning* 1000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 1500'
Wednesday Evening* 1500'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon 3000'
East Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening 2500'
Tuesday Night 2000'
Wednesday Morning* 2000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 2500'
Wednesday Evening* 2500'
Wednesday Night* 2500'
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon 3500'
East South Elevation
Tuesday Evening 2500'
Tuesday Night 2500'
Wednesday Morning* 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
Wednesday Evening* 3300'
Wednesday Night* 3500'
Thursday Morning* 4500'
Thursday Afternoon 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 3000'
Wednesday Morning* 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
Wednesday Evening* 4500'
Wednesday Night* 5000'
Thursday Morning* 4500'
Thursday Afternoon 4500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Tuesday Night Wednesday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 28 / 27 30 / 28
West North 27 / 27 29 / 27
West Central 28 / 27 27 / 26
West South 27 / 25 30 / 25
Stevens Pass 25 / 21 26 / 21
Snoqualmie Pass 25 / 21 24 / 21
East North 24 / 19 24 / 19
East Central 24 / 20 25 / 20
East South 25 / 21 26 / 22
Mt. Hood 29 / 24 30 / 25
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 28 / 27
Wednesday 30 / 28
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 27 / 27
Wednesday 29 / 27
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 28 / 27
Wednesday 27 / 26
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 27 / 25
Wednesday 30 / 25
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 25 / 21
Wednesday 26 / 21
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 25 / 21
Wednesday 24 / 21
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 24 / 19
Wednesday 24 / 19
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 24 / 20
Wednesday 25 / 20
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 25 / 21
Wednesday 26 / 22
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 29 / 24
Wednesday 30 / 25

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon
Olympics WSW 10-20 SSW 10-20 SSW 15-25 SSW 30-40
West North WSW 10-20 SSW 15-25 S 20-30 S 25-35
West Central WSW 10-20 SW 10-20 SSW 10-20 SSE 10-20
West South SW 10-20 SW 10-20 SSW 10-20 SSW 15-25
Stevens Pass WSW 10-20 WSW 10-20 SSW 5-15 SE 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass W 10-20 W 15-25 SSW 5-15 ESE 15-25
East North WSW 15-25 WSW 10-20 SW 10-20 S 10-20
East Central W 15-25 W 10-20 SW 10-20 SSW 10-20
East South W 10-20 WSW 5-15 SW 10-20 S 10-20
Mt. Hood W 15-25 WSW 15-25 SW 15-25 SW 25-35
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 10-20
Tuesday Night SSW 10-20
Wednesday Morning SSW 15-25
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 30-40
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 10-20
Tuesday Night SSW 15-25
Wednesday Morning S 20-30
Wednesday Afternoon S 25-35
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 10-20
Tuesday Night SW 10-20
Wednesday Morning SSW 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon SSE 10-20
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 10-20
Tuesday Night SW 10-20
Wednesday Morning SSW 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 15-25
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 10-20
Tuesday Night WSW 10-20
Wednesday Morning SSW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon SE 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 10-20
Tuesday Night W 15-25
Wednesday Morning SSW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon ESE 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 15-25
Tuesday Night WSW 10-20
Wednesday Morning SW 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon S 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 15-25
Tuesday Night W 10-20
Wednesday Morning SW 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 10-20
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 10-20
Tuesday Night WSW 5-15
Wednesday Morning SW 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon S 10-20
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 15-25
Tuesday Night WSW 15-25
Wednesday Morning SW 15-25
Wednesday Afternoon SW 25-35

Extended Weather Synopsis

Thursday night brings a relative reprieve with decreasing mostly light snow showers.

Models exhibit tremendous uncertainty regarding Friday's storm. It could be a very significant system as well, but details are hard to pin down.

Active winter weather continues Friday night through Saturday as yet another system moves through the region. Each system has snow levels close to or slightly above seasonal norms.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Night Friday * Friday Night* Saturday
West North 3500' 3000' 3000' 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 3500' 3000' 3500'
Mt. Hood 4500' 4500' 5000' 4500'
West North Elevation
Thursday Night 3500'
Friday * 3000'
Friday Night* 3000'
Saturday 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night 3500'
Friday * 3500'
Friday Night* 3000'
Saturday 3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night 4500'
Friday * 4500'
Friday Night* 5000'
Saturday 4500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 24, 2024

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.