Issued: 2:38 PM PST Monday, December 23, 2024
by Dallas Glass

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

After a rather quiet day, things are starting to change. The first hints of our next storm are already becoming apparent across the mountains. High clouds have begun to push in from the SE and ridgeline winds switched to the S-SE. Even the first bands of precipitation are showing off the coast on radar.

This storm will move inland overnight and looks eerily similar to our storm from Sunday night/Monday morning. Precipitation moves from SSW to NNE across the area. It should reach locations near and south of I-90 in the mid to late evening (6-10 pm) before spreading northward around midnight. Weather models look juicier this afternoon than this morning. Favored locations like Mt Baker, Mt Saint Helens, Mt Hood, Crystal, and Mt Rainier could see near or above an inch of water. With southeasterly winds, upslope precipitation along the eastern forecast zones favors areas like the Wenatchee Mountains. 

While the precipitation is impressive, the gusty winds will make this event feel particularly stormy. Winds increase significantly in the evening and remain strong until they finally shift more westerly sometime tomorrow morning. East flow in the passes should keep Stevens and White Pass as snow, and maybe a rain-snow mix at Snoqualmie. As winds turn W, expect a slight bump in temperatures that could bring a brief period of rain or mixed precipitation to all the passes. 

Showers linger through the morning hours focussed mainly on the west slopes of the Cascades and Passes. As we move into the afternoon, showers wane and you could even see sun breaks, particularly in the southern and eastern areas. This sets us up for a quiet Christmas Eve for Santa to visit good little girls and boys.  

Christmas morning looks cloudy, cool, and calm. This won't last long, a parade of strong storms is set to impact the region starting late in the day. It's hard to say when the first wave of precipitation will arrive. It could be before sunset or it might hold off until the evening. Either way, get out and enjoy the new toys early before the weather turns. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Monday Night Stormy with strong and gusty winds and periods of heavy precipitation.
Tuesday Cloudy with showers in the morning. Sun breaks in the afternoon. Moderate SW winds decreasing.
Monday Night Stormy conditions developing. Strong and gusty winds with periods of heavy precipitation.
Tuesday Stormy conditions continuing in the morning, then becoming showery. A few sun breaks possible. Moderate SW winds.
Monday Night Stormy conditions developing overnight with strong and gusty winds and periods of heavy precipitation.
Tuesday Stormy conditions continue in the morning, then becoming showery. A few sun breaks possible in the afternoon. Light to moderate WSW winds.
Monday Night Stormy conditions developing in the late evening with strong and gusty winds and periods of heavy precipiation. Snow heaviest near Mt Saint Helens, Mt Rainier, and Crystal Mt.
Tuesday Showers mainly in the morning, becoming more isolated in the afternoon. Sun breaks possible. Light to moderate WSW winds.
Monday Night Cloudy with rain and snow developing in the late evening. E flow maintaining snow at pass level. Moderate but gusty E-SE winds.
Tuesday A slight bump in temperatures as E flow turns W in the morning. Showers becoming more isolated with some low clouds and sun breaks in the afternoon. W winds becoming light to moderate.
Monday Night Cloudy with rain and snow developing in the late evening. Moderate and gusty E flow could maintain a rain/snow mix at pass level. Strong and gusty SE ridgeline winds decreasing slightly.
Tuesday A slight bump in temperatures as E flow turns W in the morning with rain at pass level. Cooling with showers in the afternoon. A few sun breaks and low clouds possible late in the day. Winds becoming moderate W.
Monday Night Clouds thickening and lowering with rain and snow mainly after midnight. Precipitation could be heaviest in the eastern and southern portions of the zone. Moderate but gusty ridgeline winds.
Tuesday Showers mainly in the morning, particularly near the crest. Isolated showers and sun breaks in the afternoon.
Monday Night Clouds thickening and lowering with rain and snow developing in the late evening. Precipitation should be heaviest in the Wenatchee, Teanaway, and Enchantment Ranges. Moderate to strong and gusty S winds.
Tuesday Showers mainly in the morning and close to the crest. Isolated showers and sun breaks in the afternoon. Light to moderate westerly winds increasing slightly.
Monday Night Cloudy with rain and snow developing in the late evening. Precipitation could be heaviest near Ahtanum Meadows. Strong and gusty SSE winds decreasing slightly and turning SSW.
Tuesday Showers in the morning mainly along the crest. Isolated showers with sun breaks in the afternoon. WSW winds becoming moderate to strong.
Monday Night Stormy conditions with very strong and gusty winds and periods of heavy precipitation.
Tuesday Rain and snow showers, mainly in the morning. Sun breaks possible in the afternoon. Light to moderate westerly winds becoming moderate to strong.

Precipitation (in)

Monday Night Tuesday Tuesday Night Wednesday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 1.00 - 1.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 1.00 0.25 0.25 0.25
Stevens Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt 0.75 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Paradise 0.75 0.25 LT 0.10 0.25
White Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Washington Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge 0.25 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.50 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 1.00 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Timberline 1.00 - 1.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 1.00
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday LT 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.75
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.75
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 1.00
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.25
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Monday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Monday Evening* Monday Night* Tuesday Morning Tuesday Afternoon Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon*
Olympics 6500' 5000' 3500' 3000' 3000' 2500' 3000' 3000'
West North 5000' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3000' 2500' 2500' 3000'
West Central 6000' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3000' 2500' 2500' 3000'
West South 6000' 3500' 4000' 4000' 3000' 2500' 2500' 3000'
Stevens Pass 4500' 3500' 4000' 3500' 3000' 2500' 2500' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 6000' 3500' 4000' 3500' 3000' 2500' 2500' 3000'
East North 4000' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3000' 1500' 1500' 2500'
East Central 4500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3000' 1500' 2000' 2500'
East South 5500' 3500' 4000' 3500' 3000' 1500' 2500' 3000'
Mt. Hood 8000' 6000' 5500' 4000' 3500' 3000' 2500' 3500'
Olympics Elevation
Monday Evening* 6500'
Monday Night* 5000'
Tuesday Morning 3500'
Tuesday Afternoon 3000'
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 2500'
Wednesday Morning 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
West North Elevation
Monday Evening* 5000'
Monday Night* 3500'
Tuesday Morning 3500'
Tuesday Afternoon 3500'
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 2500'
Wednesday Morning 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
West Central Elevation
Monday Evening* 6000'
Monday Night* 3500'
Tuesday Morning 3500'
Tuesday Afternoon 3500'
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 2500'
Wednesday Morning 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
West South Elevation
Monday Evening* 6000'
Monday Night* 3500'
Tuesday Morning 4000'
Tuesday Afternoon 4000'
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 2500'
Wednesday Morning 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Monday Evening* 4500'
Monday Night* 3500'
Tuesday Morning 4000'
Tuesday Afternoon 3500'
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 2500'
Wednesday Morning 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Evening* 6000'
Monday Night* 3500'
Tuesday Morning 4000'
Tuesday Afternoon 3500'
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 2500'
Wednesday Morning 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
East North Elevation
Monday Evening* 4000'
Monday Night* 3500'
Tuesday Morning 3500'
Tuesday Afternoon 3500'
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 1500'
Wednesday Morning 1500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 2500'
East Central Elevation
Monday Evening* 4500'
Monday Night* 3500'
Tuesday Morning 3500'
Tuesday Afternoon 3500'
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 1500'
Wednesday Morning 2000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 2500'
East South Elevation
Monday Evening* 5500'
Monday Night* 3500'
Tuesday Morning 4000'
Tuesday Afternoon 3500'
Tuesday Evening 3000'
Tuesday Night 1500'
Wednesday Morning 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Evening* 8000'
Monday Night* 6000'
Tuesday Morning 5500'
Tuesday Afternoon 4000'
Tuesday Evening 3500'
Tuesday Night 3000'
Wednesday Morning 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Monday Night Tuesday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 34 / 28 27 / 25
West North 34 / 29 31 / 26
West Central 32 / 28 30 / 27
West South 34 / 27 32 / 24
Stevens Pass 33 / 27 30 / 26
Snoqualmie Pass 32 / 27 30 / 26
East North 28 / 25 29 / 22
East Central 31 / 26 30 / 24
East South 32 / 27 30 / 25
Mt. Hood 34 / 29 32 / 26
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 34 / 28
Tuesday 27 / 25
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 34 / 29
Tuesday 31 / 26
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 32 / 28
Tuesday 30 / 27
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 34 / 27
Tuesday 32 / 24
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 33 / 27
Tuesday 30 / 26
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 32 / 27
Tuesday 30 / 26
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 28 / 25
Tuesday 29 / 22
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 31 / 26
Tuesday 30 / 24
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 32 / 27
Tuesday 30 / 25
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Monday Night 34 / 29
Tuesday 32 / 26

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Monday Evening Monday Night Tuesday Morning Tuesday Afternoon
Olympics SSE 30-40 SW 25-35 SW 15-25 SW 10-20
West North SSE 30-40 S 20-30 SW 15-25 SW 15-25
West Central SE 25-35 SSW 15-25 SW 10-20 SW 10-20
West South SE 25-35 SSW 10-20 WSW 10-20 WSW 10-20
Stevens Pass SE 15-25 SE 10-20 W 5-15 W 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass SE 25-35 SE 15-25 WSW 10-20 W 15-25
East North S 15-25 SSE 15-25 SW 5-15 WSW 5-15
East Central SSE 20-30 S 20-30 WSW 10-20 W 15-25
East South SSE 25-35 SSW 15-25 WSW 10-20 WSW 20-30
Mt. Hood S 30-40 SW 20-30 WSW 10-20 W 20-30
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SSE 30-40
Monday Night SW 25-35
Tuesday Morning SW 15-25
Tuesday Afternoon SW 10-20
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SSE 30-40
Monday Night S 20-30
Tuesday Morning SW 15-25
Tuesday Afternoon SW 15-25
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SE 25-35
Monday Night SSW 15-25
Tuesday Morning SW 10-20
Tuesday Afternoon SW 10-20
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SE 25-35
Monday Night SSW 10-20
Tuesday Morning WSW 10-20
Tuesday Afternoon WSW 10-20
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SE 15-25
Monday Night SE 10-20
Tuesday Morning W 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon W 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SE 25-35
Monday Night SE 15-25
Tuesday Morning WSW 10-20
Tuesday Afternoon W 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening S 15-25
Monday Night SSE 15-25
Tuesday Morning SW 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon WSW 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SSE 20-30
Monday Night S 20-30
Tuesday Morning WSW 10-20
Tuesday Afternoon W 15-25
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening SSE 25-35
Monday Night SSW 15-25
Tuesday Morning WSW 10-20
Tuesday Afternoon WSW 20-30
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Monday Evening S 30-40
Monday Night SW 20-30
Tuesday Morning WSW 10-20
Tuesday Afternoon W 20-30

Extended Weather Synopsis

The long-range forecast looks wet and wild! Storm after storm will slam into the Pacific Northwest bringing periods of heavy snow and strong winds. Some of these could be doozies! As mentioned, the first round of snow starts Christmas Evening with additional bouts of moisture Thursday night and Friday afternoon. Basically about every 24 hours another storm slams into the area. Right now how wet, warm, and windy each storm becomes is a bit unclear. We'll have to see how the models deal with this very active stormy period. 

 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Wednesday Night* Thursday Thursday Night* Friday
West North 3000' 3500' 3000' 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 4000' 3500' 4000'
Mt. Hood 4500' 5000' 4500' 5000'
West North Elevation
Wednesday Night* 3000'
Thursday 3500'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Night* 3500'
Thursday 4000'
Thursday Night* 3500'
Friday 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Night* 4500'
Thursday 5000'
Thursday Night* 4500'
Friday 5000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 23, 2024

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.