Issued: 2:11 PM PST Friday, January 5, 2024
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

The eagerly awaited shift to a cold and snowy pattern has arrived! 

A frontal system sweeping down the British Columbia coastline approaches Friday evening. Expect moderate to strong SW ridgeline winds in many areas throughout the night. Snowfall will be most intense for the Olympics and Mt Baker areas during the evening hours, with moderate to heavy snow spreading throughout the Cascades overnight. Winds shift W following a cold frontal passage early Saturday morning. Expect light to locally moderate snow showers behind the front early in the day, becoming moderate with increasing W winds during the afternoon. Post-frontal snow showers may be locally intense under convergence bands that focus on Snoqualmie and Stevens passes, with most other shower activity from Mt Rainier southward. Bundle up as snow levels lower to 1000-2000 ft by the afternoon. 
WNW winds and snow showers linger longest in the Mt Hood area Saturday night and likely taper early Sunday. By Sunday morning, expect full sunshine along the east slopes of the Washington Cascades with partly cloudy skies and a chance of snow flurries for the west slopes. Mid-level clouds likely increase during the afternoon. 5000 ft temperatures will only peak in the low to mid-20s, so pack some extra layers.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Friday Night Moderate to heavy snow. Moderate ridgeline winds become light overnight.
Saturday Light snow showers or flurries. Increasing light ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Heavy snow. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds decrease overnight.
Saturday Light snow showers. Light ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Moderate snow becomes heavy. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday Light to moderate snow showers. Light ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Light rain and snow become moderate to heavy. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday Decreasing light to moderate snow showers (heaviest at Paradise). Increasing light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Light snow becomes moderate overnight. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds become light. Light W wind switches E at the Pass in the evening hours.
Saturday Moderate snow showers and convergence bands. Increasing light to moderate ridgeline winds. Increasing light W wind at the Pass.
Friday Night Light snow (possibly mixing with rain in the early evening at the Pass) becomes moderate overnight. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds. Light W wind switches E at the Pass.
Saturday Moderate snow showers and convergence bands. Increasing moderate ridgeline winds. Increasing light to moderate W wind at the Pass.
Friday Night Increasing light snow may become moderate. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday Decreasing light snow showers. Light ridgeline winds become moderate.
Friday Night Increasing light snow may become moderate. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Decreasing light snow showers, heaviest in convergence spillover. Increasing light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Increasing light snow may become moderate. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Saturday Decreasing light snow showers. Increasing light to moderate ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Light snow becomes moderate to potentially heavy overnight. Increasing strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Heavy snow in the morning becomes moderate in the afternoon. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10 0 0
Mt Baker Ski Area 1.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.75 -1.00 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 0
Stevens Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0.50 0.50 0.25 0
Crystal Mt 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 0
Paradise 0.75 -1.00 0.50 LT 0.25 0
White Pass 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25 0
Washington Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.25 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.25 0.50 0.50 LT 0.10
Timberline 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 0.50 LT 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 1.50
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.75 -1.00
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.75 -1.00
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night 0.50
Sunday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday Night 0.50
Sunday LT 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Friday Evening* Friday Night* Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon Saturday Evening Saturday Night Sunday Morning Sunday Afternoon
Olympics 3000' 2500' 1500' 1500' 1500' 500' 1000' 2000'
West North 2000' 2500' 1500' 1000' 0 0 500' 1000'
West Central 2500' 2500' 1500' 1500' 1500' 0 500' 1500'
West South 3000' 2500' 2000' 1500' 1500' 500' 500' 1500'
Stevens Pass 2500' 2000' 1500' 1500' 500' 0 500' 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 2000' 2000' 1500' 1000' 500' 500' 1500'
East North 2000' 1500' 1500' 1500' 500' 0 0 1500'
East Central 2500' 2000' 1500' 2000' 1000' 0 500' 2000'
East South 3000' 2500' 1500' 2000' 1500' 500' 500' 2000'
Mt. Hood 3000' 2500' 2500' 2000' 2000' 1500' 1500' 2000'
Olympics Elevation
Friday Evening* 3000'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 1500'
Saturday Evening 1500'
Saturday Night 500'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
West North Elevation
Friday Evening* 2000'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 1000'
Saturday Evening 0'
Saturday Night 0'
Sunday Morning 500'
Sunday Afternoon 1000'
West Central Elevation
Friday Evening* 2500'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 1500'
Saturday Evening 1500'
Saturday Night 0'
Sunday Morning 500'
Sunday Afternoon 1500'
West South Elevation
Friday Evening* 3000'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 1500'
Saturday Evening 1500'
Saturday Night 500'
Sunday Morning 500'
Sunday Afternoon 1500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening* 2500'
Friday Night* 2000'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 1500'
Saturday Evening 500'
Saturday Night 0'
Sunday Morning 500'
Sunday Afternoon 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening* 3000'
Friday Night* 2000'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 1500'
Saturday Evening 1000'
Saturday Night 500'
Sunday Morning 500'
Sunday Afternoon 1500'
East North Elevation
Friday Evening* 2000'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 1500'
Saturday Evening 500'
Saturday Night 0'
Sunday Morning 0'
Sunday Afternoon 1500'
East Central Elevation
Friday Evening* 2500'
Friday Night* 2000'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 2000'
Saturday Evening 1000'
Saturday Night 0'
Sunday Morning 500'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
East South Elevation
Friday Evening* 3000'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 2000'
Saturday Evening 1500'
Saturday Night 500'
Sunday Morning 500'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening* 3000'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 2000'
Saturday Evening 2000'
Saturday Night 1500'
Sunday Morning 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Friday Night Saturday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 28 / 23 24 / 18
West North 29 / 24 23 / 17
West Central 28 / 26 25 / 20
West South 29 / 27 27 / 20
Stevens Pass 28 / 26 25 / 21
Snoqualmie Pass 28 / 246 25 / 22
East North 25 / 20 23 / 15
East Central 28 / 24 24 / 20
East South 27 / 25 25 / 21
Mt. Hood 29 / 27 27 / 23
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 28 / 23
Saturday 24 / 18
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 29 / 24
Saturday 23 / 17
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 28 / 26
Saturday 25 / 20
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 29 / 27
Saturday 27 / 20
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 28 / 26
Saturday 25 / 21
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 28 / 246
Saturday 25 / 22
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 25 / 20
Saturday 23 / 15
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 28 / 24
Saturday 24 / 20
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 27 / 25
Saturday 25 / 21
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 29 / 27
Saturday 27 / 23

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics SW 20-30 W 10-20 WNW 5-15 WNW 10-20
West North SSW 25-35 SSW 20-30 WNW 5-15 WNW 5-15
West Central SW 20-30 SW 20-30 WNW 10-20 WNW 5-15
West South SW 20-30 SW 15-25 WNW 10-20 WNW 15-25
Stevens Pass WSW 20-30 SW 10-20 W 5-15 WNW 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass WSW 20-30 SW 10-20 WNW 10-20 WNW 20-30
East North SW 20-30 SW 15-25 WSW 5-15 WNW 10-20
East Central WSW 25-35 WSW 20-30 WNW 10-20 WNW 20-30
East South WSW 15-25 SW 20-30 W 10-20 WNW 15-25
Mt. Hood WSW 25-35 SW 30-40 W 20-30 WNW 25-35
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 20-30
Friday Night W 10-20
Saturday Morning WNW 5-15
Saturday Afternoon WNW 10-20
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSW 25-35
Friday Night SSW 20-30
Saturday Morning WNW 5-15
Saturday Afternoon WNW 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 20-30
Friday Night SW 20-30
Saturday Morning WNW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon WNW 5-15
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 20-30
Friday Night SW 15-25
Saturday Morning WNW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon WNW 15-25
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 20-30
Friday Night SW 10-20
Saturday Morning W 5-15
Saturday Afternoon WNW 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 20-30
Friday Night SW 10-20
Saturday Morning WNW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon WNW 20-30
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 20-30
Friday Night SW 15-25
Saturday Morning WSW 5-15
Saturday Afternoon WNW 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 25-35
Friday Night WSW 20-30
Saturday Morning WNW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon WNW 20-30
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 15-25
Friday Night SW 20-30
Saturday Morning W 10-20
Saturday Afternoon WNW 15-25
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 25-35
Friday Night SW 30-40
Saturday Morning W 20-30
Saturday Afternoon WNW 25-35

Extended Weather Synopsis

A significant winter storm through the first half of the workweek likely peaks on Tuesday. A weak frontal system brings some light snowfall late Sunday night and Monday. The stronger system arrives Monday night. The track of the low currently differs between various weather model solutions. At this time, we expect snow levels to peak around 3000 ft for Mt Baker, 4500 ft for Paradise, and 6000 ft for Mt Hood on Monday. But the warming will be fairly short-lived with significant snow production during a period of sustained, cold W flow starting Tuesday. Snow levels will be measured in feet in many areas.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Sunday Night Monday Monday Night Tuesday
West North 0 500' 2500' 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass 500' 1000' 2500' 2000'
Mt. Hood 1500' 1500' 5000' 2500'
West North Elevation
Sunday Night 0'
Monday 500'
Monday Night 2500'
Tuesday 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night 500'
Monday 1000'
Monday Night 2500'
Tuesday 2000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night 1500'
Monday 1500'
Monday Night 5000'
Tuesday 2500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 5, 2024

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.