A weakening trough stalls over the Pacific Northwest region. The trough has brought in cooler, more seasonable temperatures, and some light precipitation. On the downstream side of the trough, a band of mostly light rain and snow continues to lift northward across the central and northern Cascades as the day progresses. A surface low in eastern Washington will enhance NE winds along the east slopes of the Cascades, which in turn enhances light rain and snow for the Wenatchee Mountains and other far-eastern mountain areas. On the back side of the trough, winds have switched SW or WSW. Rain and snow showers extending from the Washington Coast to Olympia and south to the Oregon border on Monday morning remain light overall, but locally intense in convective cells. These showers should drift ENE, enhancing shower activity along the west slopes of the Cascades from mid-morning through the evening hours and gradually taper overnight. Expect some weak convergence during the evening hours to focus on the Mountain Loop vicinity. Snow levels lower from around 3500 ft on Monday to Snoqualmie Pass level overnight night.
Flow begins to split around the region on Tuesday, allowing the region to mostly dry out, but expect just enough instability for an isolated rain/snow shower with snow levels rising from 3000 to around 4000 ft.
Weather Forecast
Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
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Monday
Light rain and snow showers, increasing in the northern Olympics during the afternoon.
Monday
Night
Light rain and snow showers.
Monday
Periods of light rain and snow.
Monday
Night
Rain and snow showers peak during the evening, then decrease.
Monday
Periods of light rain and snow.
Monday
Night
Rain/snow showers and weak convergence during the evening hours. Rain/snow decreases overnight.
Monday
Light rain and snow showers, heaviest at Paradise.
Monday
Night
Decreasing light rain and snow showers, heaviest at Paradise.
Monday
Increasing periods of light rain or snow, becoming showery during the afternoon. Increasing light ridgeline and W wind at the Pass.
Monday
Night
Decreasing light rain/snow showers. Light ridgeline and W wind becoming variable at the Pass by morning.
Monday
Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers, decrease in the afternoon. Increasing light to occasionally moderate ridgeline and light W wind at the Pass.
Monday
Night
Decreasing light rain/snow showers. Light ridgeline and W wind becoming variable at the Pass by morning.
Monday
Increasing periods of light rain or snow.
Monday
Night
Decreasing light rain or snow showers.
Monday
Periods of light to occasionally moderate rain or snow.
Monday
Night
Decreasing light rain or snow showers.
Monday
Light rain or snow showers mainly near the Cascade Crest.
Monday
Night
Very light rain or snow showers.
Monday
Light rain or snow showers. Decreasing moderate ridgeline winds.
Monday
Night
Light rain or snow showers in the evening, decrease or end overnight.
The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.
The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.
The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.
*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.
Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.
The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.
Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.
Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).