An unseasonably cold upper trough spawned two circulation centers today; one in the vicinity of the San Juans that combined with some low-level convergence has been directing steady showers into the northwest and central-west Cascades. The broader circulation is spinning counter-clockwise south of Grays Harbor with bands of snow showers extending to Mt Hood and the south Washington Cascades on both sides of the crest. Lighter and more scattered snow showers with sunbreaks can be found in other areas.
As the upper trough digs southeast Tuesday night, we'll see a drying trend with a turn to drier northerly flow aloft. Showers should quickly taper down for the Cascades of Whatcom, Skagit and Snohomish counties and linger a bit longer into the evening for the south Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood. The general drying and clearing trend will help mid-mountain low temperatures bottom out into the teens and even some single digits overnight.
On Wednesday, we'll see some passing high clouds and filtered sunshine for the Washington Cascades in the morning. A warm front around Vancouver Island will begin to increase low-level clouds along the west slopes of the Cascades, Olympics and Mt Hood in the afternoon. A few flurries are possible later in the day, especially for the Mt Loop Hwy and north to the Canadian border. All areas will see generally light westerly ridgeline winds ramp up quickly in the afternoon hours as the front approaches.
The front will sag south Wednesday night with light snow overspreading the area, heaviest in the Mt Baker area, and increasing ridgeline winds. Storm conditions will ramp up quickly Thursday morning with increased snow and winds. On Thursday morning before the frontal passage we'll see a slight bump in snow levels but we don't need to worry about rain at your favorite mountain Pass or ski area base in this cold pattern. We'll quickly transition on mid-Thursday to post-frontal snow showers in blustery westerly flow. Early March will feel much like the last few weeks of February.
Weather Forecast
Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Tuesday
Night
Partly to mostly cloudy in the evening with isolated light snow showers. Mostly clear after midnight.
Wednesday
Partly sunny with filtered sunshine in the morning. Cloudy with a chance of snow in the afternoon. Increasing ridgeline winds in the afternoon.
Tuesday
Night
Mostly cloudy in the evening with scattered light to occasionally moderate snow showers. Mostly clear after midnight.
Wednesday
Partly sunny with filtered sunshine in the morning. Cloudy with a chance of snow in the afternoon. Increasing ridgeline winds in the afternoon.
Tuesday
Night
Mostly cloudy in the evening with light to occasionally moderate snow showers. Mostly clear after midnight.
Wednesday
Partly sunny with filtered sunshine in the morning. Cloudy with a chance of snow in the afternoon. Increasing ridgeline winds in the afternoon.
Tuesday
Night
Mostly cloudy in the evening with light to occasionally moderate snow showers. Mostly clear after midnight.
Wednesday
Partly to mostly sunny with filtered sunshine in the morning. Becoming mostly cloudy in the afternoon. Increasing ridgeline winds in the afternoon.
Tuesday
Night
Mostly cloudy in the evening with scattered light snow showers. Mostly clear after midnight. Light west winds at ridgeline and Pass level.
Wednesday
Partly to mostly sunny with filtered sunshine in the morning. Becoming mostly cloudy in the afternoon. Increasing Pass level and ridgeline west winds in the afternoon.
Tuesday
Night
Mostly cloudy in the evening with scattered light snow showers. Mostly clear after midnight. Light west winds at ridgeline and Pass level.
Wednesday
Partly to mostly sunny with filtered sunshine in the morning. Becoming mostly cloudy in the afternoon. Increasing Pass level and ridgeline west winds in the afternoon.
Tuesday
Night
Mostly cloudy in the evening with scattered light snow showers. Mostly clear after midnight.
Wednesday
Partly to mostly sunny with filtered sunshine in the morning. Becoming mostly cloudy in the afternoon. Increasing ridgeline winds in the afternoon.
Tuesday
Night
Mostly cloudy in the evening with scattered light snow showers. Mostly clear after midnight.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny in the morning. Becoming partly to mostly cloudy in the afternoon. Increasing ridgeline winds in the afternoon.
Tuesday
Night
Mostly cloudy in the evening with light to occasionally moderate snow showers. Mostly clear after midnight.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny in the morning, then becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. Increasing ridgeline winds in the afternoon.
Tuesday
Night
Cloudy in the evening with light to occasionally moderate snow showers. Becoming mostly clear late.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny in the morning, then becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. Increasing ridgeline winds in the afternoon.
Issued: 2:06 PM PST Tuesday, February 28, 2023
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
Wednesday
Wednesday Night
Thursday
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
4 pm - 4 am
4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge
LT 0.10
0
LT 0.25
0.25 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area
LT 0.10
LT 0.10
0.25 - 0.50
0.50 - 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
LT 0.25
0
0.25
0.75
Stevens Pass
LT 0.10
0
LT 0.25
0.50
Snoqualmie Pass
LT 0.10
0
LT 0.25
0.50 - 0.75
Crystal Mt
LT 0.10
0
LT 0.10
0.25 - 0.50
Paradise
LT 0.25
0
LT 0.25
0.50 - 0.75
White Pass
LT 0.25
0
LT 0.10
0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass
0
0
LT 0.10
0.25
Mission Ridge
0
0
0
LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
LT 0.10
0
LT 0.10
0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
LT 0.25
0
LT 0.10
0.25
Mt Hood Meadows
LT 0.25
0
LT 0.10
0.50
Timberline
LT 0.25
0
LT 0.10
0.75
Hurricane Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
0
Wednesday Night
LT 0.25
Thursday
0.25 - 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
LT 0.10
Wednesday Night
0.25 - 0.50
Thursday
0.50 - 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.25
Wednesday
0
Wednesday Night
0.25
Thursday
0.75
Stevens Pass
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
0
Wednesday Night
LT 0.25
Thursday
0.50
Snoqualmie Pass
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
0
Wednesday Night
LT 0.25
Thursday
0.50 - 0.75
Crystal Mt
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
0
Wednesday Night
LT 0.10
Thursday
0.25 - 0.50
Paradise
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.25
Wednesday
0
Wednesday Night
LT 0.25
Thursday
0.50 - 0.75
White Pass
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.25
Wednesday
0
Wednesday Night
LT 0.10
Thursday
0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
0
Wednesday
0
Wednesday Night
LT 0.10
Thursday
0.25
Mission Ridge
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
0
Wednesday
0
Wednesday Night
0
Thursday
LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.10
Wednesday
0
Wednesday Night
LT 0.10
Thursday
0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt.
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.25
Wednesday
0
Wednesday Night
LT 0.10
Thursday
0.25
Mt Hood Meadows
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.25
Wednesday
0
Wednesday Night
LT 0.10
Thursday
0.50
Timberline
Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night
LT 0.25
Wednesday
0
Wednesday Night
LT 0.10
Thursday
0.75
Issued: 2:06 PM PST Tuesday, February 28, 2023
Snow Level (ft)
Tuesday
Evening
Tuesday
Night
Wednesday
Morning
Wednesday
Afternoon
Wednesday
Evening
Wednesday
Night
Thursday
Morning*
Thursday
Afternoon
Olympics
500'
0
500'
1500'
500'
1000'
1500'
1000'
West North
500'
0
500'
1500'
500'
500'
1500'
1000'
West Central
500'
0
500'
1500'
500'
500'
1500'
1500'
West South
500'
0
500'
1500'
500'
500'
1500'
1500'
Stevens Pass
500'
0
500'
1500'
500'
500'
1500'
1500'
Snoqualmie Pass
500'
0
500'
1500'
500'
500'
1500'
1500'
East North
500'
0
500'
2000'
500'
500'
1500'
2000'
East Central
500'
0
500'
2000'
500'
500'
1500'
2000'
East South
500'
0
500'
2000'
500'
500'
1500'
2000'
Mt. Hood
500'
0
500'
2000'
500'
500'
2000'
1500'
Olympics
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening
500'
Tuesday
Night
0'
Wednesday
Morning
500'
Wednesday
Afternoon
1500'
Wednesday
Evening
500'
Wednesday
Night
1000'
Thursday
Morning*
1500'
Thursday
Afternoon
1000'
West North
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening
500'
Tuesday
Night
0'
Wednesday
Morning
500'
Wednesday
Afternoon
1500'
Wednesday
Evening
500'
Wednesday
Night
500'
Thursday
Morning*
1500'
Thursday
Afternoon
1000'
West Central
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening
500'
Tuesday
Night
0'
Wednesday
Morning
500'
Wednesday
Afternoon
1500'
Wednesday
Evening
500'
Wednesday
Night
500'
Thursday
Morning*
1500'
Thursday
Afternoon
1500'
West South
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening
500'
Tuesday
Night
0'
Wednesday
Morning
500'
Wednesday
Afternoon
1500'
Wednesday
Evening
500'
Wednesday
Night
500'
Thursday
Morning*
1500'
Thursday
Afternoon
1500'
Stevens Pass
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening
500'
Tuesday
Night
0'
Wednesday
Morning
500'
Wednesday
Afternoon
1500'
Wednesday
Evening
500'
Wednesday
Night
500'
Thursday
Morning*
1500'
Thursday
Afternoon
1500'
Snoqualmie Pass
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening
500'
Tuesday
Night
0'
Wednesday
Morning
500'
Wednesday
Afternoon
1500'
Wednesday
Evening
500'
Wednesday
Night
500'
Thursday
Morning*
1500'
Thursday
Afternoon
1500'
East North
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening
500'
Tuesday
Night
0'
Wednesday
Morning
500'
Wednesday
Afternoon
2000'
Wednesday
Evening
500'
Wednesday
Night
500'
Thursday
Morning*
1500'
Thursday
Afternoon
2000'
East Central
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening
500'
Tuesday
Night
0'
Wednesday
Morning
500'
Wednesday
Afternoon
2000'
Wednesday
Evening
500'
Wednesday
Night
500'
Thursday
Morning*
1500'
Thursday
Afternoon
2000'
East South
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening
500'
Tuesday
Night
0'
Wednesday
Morning
500'
Wednesday
Afternoon
2000'
Wednesday
Evening
500'
Wednesday
Night
500'
Thursday
Morning*
1500'
Thursday
Afternoon
2000'
Mt. Hood
Elevation
Tuesday
Evening
500'
Tuesday
Night
0'
Wednesday
Morning
500'
Wednesday
Afternoon
2000'
Wednesday
Evening
500'
Wednesday
Night
500'
Thursday
Morning*
2000'
Thursday
Afternoon
1500'
Issued: 2:06 PM PST Tuesday, February 28, 2023
5000' Temperatures (°F)
Tuesday
Night
Wednesday
Max / Min
Max / Min
Olympics
20 / 13
27 / 14
West North
20 / 12
25 / 13
West Central
20 / 12
26 / 14
West South
21 / 12
26 / 13
Stevens Pass
20 / 12
25 / 13
Snoqualmie Pass
19 / 12
25 / 13
East North
19 / 10
25 / 13
East Central
20 / 12
26 / 14
East South
20 / 12
27 / 14
Mt. Hood
20 / 14
27 / 17
Olympics
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
20 / 13
Wednesday
27 / 14
West North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
20 / 12
Wednesday
25 / 13
West Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
20 / 12
Wednesday
26 / 14
West South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
21 / 12
Wednesday
26 / 13
Stevens Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
20 / 12
Wednesday
25 / 13
Snoqualmie Pass
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
19 / 12
Wednesday
25 / 13
East North
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
19 / 10
Wednesday
25 / 13
East Central
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
20 / 12
Wednesday
26 / 14
East South
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
20 / 12
Wednesday
27 / 14
Mt. Hood
5000' Temperature Forecast (Max / Min)
Tuesday
Night
20 / 14
Wednesday
27 / 17
Issued: 2:06 PM PST Tuesday, February 28, 2023
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
Tuesday
Night
Wednesday
Morning
Wednesday
Afternoon
Olympics
NW 0-10
NW 0-10
W 5-15
WSW 10-20
West North
NW 0-10
NW 0-10
W 5-15
WSW 10-20
West Central
NW 5-15
NW 5-15
WNW 5-15
W 10-20
West South
NW 5-15
NW 5-15
WNW 5-15
WNW 10-20
Stevens Pass
NW 0-10
WNW 0-10
WNW 5-15
WNW 10-20
Snoqualmie Pass
NW 5-15
NW 5-15
NW 10-20
WNW 15-25
East North
WNW 0-10
NW 5-15
W 5-15
W 10-20
East Central
WNW 5-15
WNW 5-15
W 10-20
WNW 15-25
East South
WNW 5-15
WNW 5-15
W 5-15
WNW 10-20
Mt. Hood
NW 5-15
NW 5-15
WNW 10-20
W 15-25
Olympics
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
NW
0-10
Tuesday
Night
NW
0-10
Wednesday
Morning
W
5-15
Wednesday
Afternoon
WSW
10-20
West North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
NW
0-10
Tuesday
Night
NW
0-10
Wednesday
Morning
W
5-15
Wednesday
Afternoon
WSW
10-20
West Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
NW
5-15
Tuesday
Night
NW
5-15
Wednesday
Morning
WNW
5-15
Wednesday
Afternoon
W
10-20
West South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
NW
5-15
Tuesday
Night
NW
5-15
Wednesday
Morning
WNW
5-15
Wednesday
Afternoon
WNW
10-20
Stevens Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
NW
0-10
Tuesday
Night
WNW
0-10
Wednesday
Morning
WNW
5-15
Wednesday
Afternoon
WNW
10-20
Snoqualmie Pass
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
NW
5-15
Tuesday
Night
NW
5-15
Wednesday
Morning
NW
10-20
Wednesday
Afternoon
WNW
15-25
East North
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
WNW
0-10
Tuesday
Night
NW
5-15
Wednesday
Morning
W
5-15
Wednesday
Afternoon
W
10-20
East Central
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
WNW
5-15
Tuesday
Night
WNW
5-15
Wednesday
Morning
W
10-20
Wednesday
Afternoon
WNW
15-25
East South
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
WNW
5-15
Tuesday
Night
WNW
5-15
Wednesday
Morning
W
5-15
Wednesday
Afternoon
WNW
10-20
Mt. Hood
Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday
Evening
NW
5-15
Tuesday
Night
NW
5-15
Wednesday
Morning
WNW
10-20
Wednesday
Afternoon
W
15-25
Issued: 2:06 PM PST Tuesday, February 28, 2023
Extended Weather Synopsis
Snow will continue to pile up Thursday night, especially along the west slopes of the Cascades and Mt Hood. Cool temperatures and snow showers will stick around on Friday but trend lighter during the daylight hours. There's a fair bit of uncertainty just how much snow the next system approaching from the NW will end up producing on Saturday.
The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.
The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.
The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.
*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.
Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.
The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.
Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.
Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).