Issued: 2:14 PM PST Wednesday, February 8, 2023
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

Radar imagery nicely depicts the southerly flow direction of a few scattered showers at low levels and WNW stratiform precipitation just offshore as a sharp warm front approaches the near-shore waters. This warm front will brush the Olympics during the evening, spreading into the Mt. Baker area during the early morning hours. Increasing S winds will accompany the front, along with very light rain/snow, and significant warming. Overnight lows in many areas west of the Cascade Crest will be during the evening hours with temperatures warming overnight. The exception will be east of the Cascade Crest where the cold, stable air mass will settle into valley locations. Increasing E winds will suck that colder air through the mountain gaps with ridgeline and pass-level winds increasing into the moderate range by Thursday morning.

The warm front lingers near the Canadian Border on Thursday with mostly light rain and snow remaining over the northern Cascades and Olympics. The exception will be areas of the Mt. Baker region favored by southerly flow, which will squeeze out moderate amounts of rain/snow as snow levels rise to around 4000 ft. Very light snow could also develop with upslope flow along the east slopes of the Cascades north of I-90. As the front continues to lift north, expect freezing levels in the central and southern Washington Cascades to rise to 5000-8000 ft by the afternoon, with clouds early in the day giving way to increasing sunshine.

The trailing cold front spreads precipitation into the Olympics late in the day with light to moderate rain and snow Thursday night along with moderate to strong S winds in favored locations such as Mt. Baker as the front moves through after midnight.

Precipitation tapers to light showers with the trailing trough. snow levels drop to 2500-3000 ft typical - typical snow levels for February.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Wednesday Night Periods of very light rain or snow. Increasing temperatures.
Thursday Periods of rain and snow. Milder. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Increasing clouds with very light rain or snow in the early morning hours.
Thursday Moderate rain and snow. Moderate ridgeline winds.
Wednesday Night Increasing clouds with very light rain or snow possible overnight in the northern part.
Thursday Cloudy with periods of very light rain or snow in the northern part. Increasing chances for sunshine in the afternoon. Milder.
Wednesday Night Becoming cloudy.
Thursday Mostly cloudy to start with increasing chances for sunshine in the afternoon. Milder.
Wednesday Night Increasing clouds. Light ridgeline and E wind at the Pass. Increasing light to moderate ridgeline and E winds at the Pass.
Thursday Mostly cloudy to start with increasing chances for sunshine in the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Wednesday Night Increasing clouds. Light ridgeline and E wind at the Pass. Increasing light to moderate ridgeline and E winds at the Pass.
Thursday Mostly cloudy to start with increasing chances for sunshine in the afternoon. Moderate ridgeline and E wind at the Pass.
Wednesday Night Increasing clouds.
Thursday Cloudy with a chance of sprinkles or very light snow.
Wednesday Night Increasing clouds.
Thursday Mostly cloudy with a chance of very light snow and also a chance for increasing sun breaks in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Increasing high clouds.
Thursday Partly cloudy to start, then increasing sunshine.
Wednesday Night Partly cloudy.
Thursday Partly cloudy to start, then increasing sunshine. Moderate ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Wednesday Night Thursday Thursday Night Friday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.50 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 0.50 0.75 0.50 - 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
Stevens Pass 0 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt 0 0 0.25 LT 0.10
Paradise 0 0 0.25 LT 0.25
White Pass 0 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Washington Pass 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0 0.50 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Timberline 0 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.50
Thursday Night 0.75
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Wednesday Evening* Wednesday Night* Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon* Thursday Evening* Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon
Olympics 2500' 3500' 4500' 4000' 3500' 3500' 2500' 3000'
West North 2000' 1000' 2500' 4000' 4000' 3000' 3000' 2500'
West Central 2000' 2000' 3000' 4500' 3500' 3000' 3000' 3000'
West South 3000' 2500' 3500' 6000' 4000' 3500' 3000' 3000'
Stevens Pass 2000' 1500' 2000' 3500' 2500' 3000' 3000' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 2600' 2000' 2500' 5000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3000'
East North 2000' 1000' 1500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500'
East Central 2500' 2000' 2000' 3000' 2500' 3000' 2500' 3000'
East South 3000' 2000' 2500' 5500' 4000' 3500' 3000' 3000'
Mt. Hood 3500' 4000' 4500' 8000' 5500' 4500' 3500' 3500'
Olympics Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 2500'
Wednesday Night* 3500'
Thursday Morning* 4500'
Thursday Afternoon* 4000'
Thursday Evening* 3500'
Thursday Night* 3500'
Friday Morning* 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
West North Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 2000'
Wednesday Night* 1000'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 4000'
Thursday Evening* 4000'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 3000'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
West Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 2000'
Wednesday Night* 2000'
Thursday Morning* 3000'
Thursday Afternoon* 4500'
Thursday Evening* 3500'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 3000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
West South Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 3000'
Wednesday Night* 2500'
Thursday Morning* 3500'
Thursday Afternoon* 6000'
Thursday Evening* 4000'
Thursday Night* 3500'
Friday Morning* 3000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 2000'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 3500'
Thursday Evening* 2500'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 3000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 2600'
Wednesday Night* 2000'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 5000'
Thursday Evening* 3000'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 3000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
East North Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 2000'
Wednesday Night* 1000'
Thursday Morning* 1500'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
Thursday Evening* 2500'
Thursday Night* 2500'
Friday Morning* 2500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
East Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 2500'
Wednesday Night* 2000'
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
Thursday Evening* 2500'
Thursday Night* 3000'
Friday Morning* 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
East South Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 3000'
Wednesday Night* 2000'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 5500'
Thursday Evening* 4000'
Thursday Night* 3500'
Friday Morning* 3000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 3500'
Wednesday Night* 4000'
Thursday Morning* 4500'
Thursday Afternoon* 8000'
Thursday Evening* 5500'
Thursday Night* 4500'
Friday Morning* 3500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Wednesday Night Thursday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 32 / 25 35 / 32
West North 27 / 22 35 / 27
West Central 29 / 21 34 / 28
West South 29 / 23 42 / 29
Stevens Pass 26 / 22 31 / 22
Snoqualmie Pass 26 / 22 32 / 24
East North 22 / 19 27 / 19
East Central 25 / 22 32 / 22
East South 26 / 22 36 / 24
Mt. Hood 32 / 26 42 / 29
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 32 / 25
Thursday 35 / 32
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 27 / 22
Thursday 35 / 27
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 29 / 21
Thursday 34 / 28
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 29 / 23
Thursday 42 / 29
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 26 / 22
Thursday 31 / 22
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 26 / 22
Thursday 32 / 24
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 22 / 19
Thursday 27 / 19
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 25 / 22
Thursday 32 / 22
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 26 / 22
Thursday 36 / 24
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 32 / 26
Thursday 42 / 29

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics SSW 5-15 SSW 10-20 SSW 15-25 SSW 15-25
West North S 5-15 S 10-20 S 15-25 S 15-25
West Central S 5-15 SSE 5-15 SE 10-20 SE 10-20
West South SSW 0-10 SSE 5-15 ESE 5-15 ESE 10-20
Stevens Pass S 0-10 S 5-15 SSE 5-15 SE 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass SE 0-10 ESE 5-15 ESE 5-15 ESE 10-20
East North SSW 5-15 S 5-15 S 5-15 SSE 5-15
East Central SW 5-15 SW 5-15 SSW 10-20 S 10-20
East South SSW 0-10 SW 0-10 S 5-15 SSE 5-15
Mt. Hood WSW 5-15 SW 0-10 SSW 10-20 SSW 15-25
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SSW 5-15
Wednesday Night SSW 10-20
Thursday Morning SSW 15-25
Thursday Afternoon SSW 15-25
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening S 5-15
Wednesday Night S 10-20
Thursday Morning S 15-25
Thursday Afternoon S 15-25
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening S 5-15
Wednesday Night SSE 5-15
Thursday Morning SE 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SE 10-20
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SSW 0-10
Wednesday Night SSE 5-15
Thursday Morning ESE 5-15
Thursday Afternoon ESE 10-20
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening S 0-10
Wednesday Night S 5-15
Thursday Morning SSE 5-15
Thursday Afternoon SE 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SE 0-10
Wednesday Night ESE 5-15
Thursday Morning ESE 5-15
Thursday Afternoon ESE 10-20
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SSW 5-15
Wednesday Night S 5-15
Thursday Morning S 5-15
Thursday Afternoon SSE 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SW 5-15
Wednesday Night SW 5-15
Thursday Morning SSW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon S 10-20
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SSW 0-10
Wednesday Night SW 0-10
Thursday Morning S 5-15
Thursday Afternoon SSE 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening WSW 5-15
Wednesday Night SW 0-10
Thursday Morning SSW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SSW 15-25

Extended Weather Synopsis

The subtle trough moves east Friday night with a few lingering snow showers or weak convergence may be possible as flow turns NWerly aloft and temperatures continue to cool. Skies remain cloudier in the north with a few flurries on Saturday and Saturday night with shortwaves moving into the region. Temperatures should be below seasonal norms. A stronger system approaches Sunday afternoon with increasing rain/snow and a rise in snow levels from Snoqualmie Pass southward.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
West North 2000' 1500' 2000' 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass 2500' 2000' 2500' 3500'
Mt. Hood 3000' 2500' 3500' 4500'
West North Elevation
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday 1500'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday 2000'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday 3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Night 3000'
Saturday 2500'
Saturday Night 3500'
Sunday 4500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 8, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.