Issued: 7:06 AM PST Sunday, February 5, 2023
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Weather Synopsis

A system featuring multiple circulation centers moves onshore into the PNW region early Sunday morning. One low center sits off the Washington with another moving into NW Oregon. The deformation zone between these lows will produce the heaviest precipitation today for Mt. Hood, Mt. St. Helens, Mt. Adams, and to a lesser extent Mt. Rainier as the system moves over the area. Low-level E winds should decrease and switch W by late morning. This should decrease the spillover onto the E slopes of the Cascades and focus more precipitation on the west slopes of the Cascades with light precipitation shifting northward as the day progresses. Snow levels generally rise around 500 ft during the day with a messy rain/snow mix likely at Snoqualmie Pass level as warmer air moves in at low levels, but cooler air begins to move in aloft later in the day.

Temperatures cool further Monday night with westerly push of winds. W ridgeline winds could be moderate to strong near and E of the Cascades Crest, focusing light to moderate showers and convergence Monday evening on the west slopes of the Cascades with decreasing showers overnight as temperatures cool. Expect a convergence band to set up near or slightly north of Snoqualmie Pass, enhancing snow locally. Snow levels drop from around 3000 to 2500 ft overnight.

A "dirty ridge" moves over the area on Monday, with moisture spilling into the region ahead of a system sliding down the British Columbia coastline. Expect light rain and snow that should be steadiest from Mt Rainier northward. Temperatures will be seasonable.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Sunday Light rain and snow spreading from the southern Olympics throughout the range during the morning hours and becoming showery later in the day.
Sunday Night Very light rain and snow showers focusing on the western slopes of the Olympics.
Sunday Cloudy through mid-morning then periods of light rain or snow.
Sunday Night Decreasing light rain and snow showers.
Sunday Light rain and snow developing during the morning hours and continuing in the afternoon.
Sunday Night Light to moderate rain and snow showers, heaviest in convergence (southern part) during the evening hours. Shower activity decreases overnight.
Sunday Moderate rain and snow, heaviest south of Mt. Rainier.
Sunday Night Decreasing light rain and snow showers. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds near the Cascade Crest.
Sunday Light rain and snow developing. Light ridgeline winds becoming moderate late in the day. Light pass-level winds start E, but quickly switch W.
Sunday Night Light to moderate snow showers and convergence in the evening with decreasing light showers overnight. Moderate ridgeline and light to moderate W wind at the Pass.
Sunday Light rain and snow developing. Light ridgeline winds becoming moderate late in the day. Light pass-level winds start E, but quickly switch W.
Sunday Night Light to moderate snow showers and convergence in the evening with decreasing light showers overnight. Moderate to occasionally strong ridgeline and light to moderate W wind at the Pass.
Sunday Very light snow at times.
Sunday Night Very light snow showers or flurries near the Cascade Crest. Moderate to occasionally strong ridgeline winds.
Sunday Light rain or snow spreading northward.
Sunday Night Light snow showers. Moderate to occasionally strong ridgeline winds.
Sunday Light rain and snow.
Sunday Night Very light snow showers or flurries near the Cascade Crest. Moderate to occasionally strong ridgeline winds.
Sunday Increasing moderate to occasionally heavy rain, and snow. Increasing moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Sunday Night Moderate rain and snow becoming light and showery overnight. Decreasing strong ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Sunday Sunday Night Monday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.25 0.25
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Paradise 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 0.25
White Pass 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0.75 0.25 LT 0.10
Timberline 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Sunday LT 0.25
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Sunday LT 0.25
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Monday 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Monday 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Sunday LT 0.25
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Monday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Monday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Sunday LT 0.10
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Sunday LT 0.25
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Sunday LT 0.25
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Sunday LT 0.25
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Monday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Sunday 0.75
Sunday Night 0.25
Monday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Sunday 0.75
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Monday LT 0.10

Snow Level (ft)

Sunday Morning Sunday Afternoon Sunday Evening Sunday Night Monday Morning Monday Afternoon
Olympics 3500' 3500' 3500' 2500' 3000' 3500'
West North 2500' 3500' 3000' 2500' 2000' 3000'
West Central 2500' 3000' 3000' 2500' 2000' 3000'
West South 3500' 3500' 3000' 2500' 2000' 3500'
Stevens Pass 2000' 3000' 3000' 2500' 2000' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 3500' 3000' 2500' 2000' 3000'
East North 2000' 3500' 3000' 2500' 2000' 3500'
East Central 2500' 3500' 3500' 3000' 2000' 3500'
East South 3500' 3500' 3500' 3000' 2500' 3500'
Mt. Hood 3500' 3000' 3500' 2500' 2500' 3000'
Olympics Elevation
Sunday Morning 3500'
Sunday Afternoon 3500'
Sunday Evening 3500'
Sunday Night 2500'
Monday Morning 3000'
Monday Afternoon 3500'
West North Elevation
Sunday Morning 2500'
Sunday Afternoon 3500'
Sunday Evening 3000'
Sunday Night 2500'
Monday Morning 2000'
Monday Afternoon 3000'
West Central Elevation
Sunday Morning 2500'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
Sunday Evening 3000'
Sunday Night 2500'
Monday Morning 2000'
Monday Afternoon 3000'
West South Elevation
Sunday Morning 3500'
Sunday Afternoon 3500'
Sunday Evening 3000'
Sunday Night 2500'
Monday Morning 2000'
Monday Afternoon 3500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Sunday Morning 2000'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
Sunday Evening 3000'
Sunday Night 2500'
Monday Morning 2000'
Monday Afternoon 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Morning 3000'
Sunday Afternoon 3500'
Sunday Evening 3000'
Sunday Night 2500'
Monday Morning 2000'
Monday Afternoon 3000'
East North Elevation
Sunday Morning 2000'
Sunday Afternoon 3500'
Sunday Evening 3000'
Sunday Night 2500'
Monday Morning 2000'
Monday Afternoon 3500'
East Central Elevation
Sunday Morning 2500'
Sunday Afternoon 3500'
Sunday Evening 3500'
Sunday Night 3000'
Monday Morning 2000'
Monday Afternoon 3500'
East South Elevation
Sunday Morning 3500'
Sunday Afternoon 3500'
Sunday Evening 3500'
Sunday Night 3000'
Monday Morning 2500'
Monday Afternoon 3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Morning 3500'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
Sunday Evening 3500'
Sunday Night 2500'
Monday Morning 2500'
Monday Afternoon 3000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Sunday Sunday Night
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 31 / 29 26 / 26
West North 30 / 29 28 / 23
West Central 30 / 27 27 / 25
West South 31 / 29 29 / 25
Stevens Pass 32 / 28 28 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass 30 / 28 28 / 25
East North 34 / 23 29 / 20
East Central 33 / 26 27 / 26
East South 32 / 28 29 / 26
Mt. Hood 32 / 30 29 / 25
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 31 / 29
Sunday Night 26 / 26
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 30 / 29
Sunday Night 28 / 23
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 30 / 27
Sunday Night 27 / 25
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 31 / 29
Sunday Night 29 / 25
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 32 / 28
Sunday Night 28 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 30 / 28
Sunday Night 28 / 25
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 34 / 23
Sunday Night 29 / 20
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 33 / 26
Sunday Night 27 / 26
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 32 / 28
Sunday Night 29 / 26
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Sunday 32 / 30
Sunday Night 29 / 25

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Sunday Morning Sunday Afternoon Sunday Evening Sunday Night
Olympics SSW 0-10 WSW 5-15 W 10-20 WSW 5-15
West North WNW 0-10 W 5-15 W 15-25 WSW 10-20
West Central SSE 0-10 WNW 10-20 WNW 15-25 WNW 15-25
West South WNW 0-10 WNW 5-15 W 10-20 W 10-20
Stevens Pass SE 0-10 WNW 10-20 WNW 15-25 WNW 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass W 0-10 WNW 10-20 WNW 15-25 WNW 15-25
East North SSW 0-10 WNW 10-20 W 20-30 W 15-25
East Central NW 0-10 WNW 15-25 WNW 20-30 WNW 20-30
East South SW 0-10 WNW 10-20 WNW 20-30 WNW 20-30
Mt. Hood SW 20-30 WSW 25-35 WNW 30-40 W 30-40
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning SSW 0-10
Sunday Afternoon WSW 5-15
Sunday Evening W 10-20
Sunday Night WSW 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning WNW 0-10
Sunday Afternoon W 5-15
Sunday Evening W 15-25
Sunday Night WSW 10-20
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning SSE 0-10
Sunday Afternoon WNW 10-20
Sunday Evening WNW 15-25
Sunday Night WNW 15-25
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning WNW 0-10
Sunday Afternoon WNW 5-15
Sunday Evening W 10-20
Sunday Night W 10-20
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning SE 0-10
Sunday Afternoon WNW 10-20
Sunday Evening WNW 15-25
Sunday Night WNW 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning W 0-10
Sunday Afternoon WNW 10-20
Sunday Evening WNW 15-25
Sunday Night WNW 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning SSW 0-10
Sunday Afternoon WNW 10-20
Sunday Evening W 20-30
Sunday Night W 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning NW 0-10
Sunday Afternoon WNW 15-25
Sunday Evening WNW 20-30
Sunday Night WNW 20-30
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning SW 0-10
Sunday Afternoon WNW 10-20
Sunday Evening WNW 20-30
Sunday Night WNW 20-30
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Sunday Morning SW 20-30
Sunday Afternoon WSW 25-35
Sunday Evening WNW 30-40
Sunday Night W 30-40

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Previous forecast from Feb 4, 2023

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.