Issued: 2:00 PM PST Tuesday, December 20, 2022
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A fast-moving low pressure system walloped the area today with heavy snowfall with snow levels near sea level, and strong winds in many areas. We are well on our way to storm totals between 12-30 inches.  As of 2 pm, the back edge of the heavier snowfall associated with the cold front is dropping from NW to SE and moving into the central/south Washington Cascades and down to Mt. Hood. 

As the front drops further south this evening, expect rapid cooling to erase any relative warming trend that occurred today. Strong west winds will continue south of Hwy 2 through this evening. Post-frontal showers in westerly flow will add another few inches along the west slopes of the Cascades and Passes overnight. A weak convergence zone is likely to form this afternoon and last through the early morning hours between Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass. Mt. Hood will continue to see heavy snowfall rates of several inches an hour last through early tonight. Also for Mt Hood, West winds will be extreme, even for a place that's no stranger to wind. 

The winter solstice will greet us with what will likely be the coldest day of the year. High pressure will build offshore, leading to a general drying trend. While many areas will see mid-day/afternoon sun on Wednesday to help feign warmth, morning low clouds are likely to stick around for Stevens/Snoqualmie Passes and along east slopes of the Cascades. Weak easterly flow may even squeeze out a few flurries in these locations. 

Very strong offshore flow will develop Wednesday night and Thursday, driving the coldest regional air across the Cascade crest. Expect strong and gusty East winds in the Passes, leading to a dangerously cold wind chill. The next frontal system will approach on Thursday. Clouds will increase Wednesday night with light snow developing either Thursday or Thursday night. 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy with isolated light snow showers
Wednesday Partly sunny. Very cold.
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy with isolated light snow showers
Wednesday Partly to mostly cloudy in the morning with a chance of snow showers, partly sunny in the afternoon. Very cold.
Tuesday Night Light snow showers in the evening, becoming scattered after midnight.
Wednesday Mostly cloudy in the morning with scattered snow showers, partly sunny in the afternoon with increasing high clouds. Very cold.
Tuesday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow showers in the evening, becoming scattered after midnight. Strong ridgeline winds decreasing after midnight.
Wednesday Mostly cloudy in the morning, partly sunny in the afternoon with increasing high clouds. Very cold.
Tuesday Night Light snow showers in the evening, becoming scattered after midnight. Moderate ridgeline and Pass level west winds decreasing after midnight.
Wednesday Cloudy with a chance of flurries. Light east wind increasing at Pass level in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow showers in the evening, becoming scattered after midnight. Moderate to strong ridgeline and Pass level west winds decreasing after midnight.
Wednesday Cloudy with a chance of flurries. Light east wind increasing at Pass level in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy with isolated snow showers.
Wednesday Partly cloudy in the morning, partly sunny in the afternoon. Very cold.
Tuesday Night Light snow showers in the evening, becoming scattered after midnight. Strong ridgeline winds decreasing late.
Wednesday Mostly cloudy with low clouds and a chance of flurries. More sun higher terrain. Very cold.
Tuesday Night Light snow showers in the evening, becoming scattered after midnight. Strong ridgeline winds decreasing late.
Wednesday Mostly cloudy with low clouds and a chance of flurries. More sun higher terrain. Very cold.
Tuesday Night Moderate to occasionally heavy snow becoming light to moderate snow showers after midnight. Strong winds, extreme in the alpine.
Wednesday Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers in the morning, then partly sunny. Strong ridgeline winds decreasing in the afternoon.

Precipitation (in)

Tuesday Night Wednesday Wednesday Night Thursday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 0 0 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 0 0 LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.25 0 0 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass LT 0.25 0 0 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 0 0 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 0 0 LT 0.10
Paradise 0.25 0 0 0.25
White Pass 0.25 0 0 LT 0.10
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0 0 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0 0 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.25 0 0 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.25 0 0 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0.75 0 0 LT 0.25
Timberline 0.75 -1.00 0 0 LT 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.75
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0.75 -1.00
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon* Wednesday Evening* Wednesday Night* Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon*
Olympics 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 500'
West North 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
West Central 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
West South 1000' 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stevens Pass 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
East North 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
East Central 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
East South 1500' 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mt. Hood 4500' 1500' 0 0 0 0 0 0
Olympics Elevation
Tuesday Evening 0'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 0'
Wednesday Afternoon* 0'
Wednesday Evening* 0'
Wednesday Night* 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 500'
West North Elevation
Tuesday Evening 0'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 0'
Wednesday Afternoon* 0'
Wednesday Evening* 0'
Wednesday Night* 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 0'
West Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening 0'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 0'
Wednesday Afternoon* 0'
Wednesday Evening* 0'
Wednesday Night* 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 0'
West South Elevation
Tuesday Evening 1000'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 0'
Wednesday Afternoon* 0'
Wednesday Evening* 0'
Wednesday Night* 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 0'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening 0'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 0'
Wednesday Afternoon* 0'
Wednesday Evening* 0'
Wednesday Night* 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 0'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening 0'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 0'
Wednesday Afternoon* 0'
Wednesday Evening* 0'
Wednesday Night* 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 0'
East North Elevation
Tuesday Evening 0'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 0'
Wednesday Afternoon* 0'
Wednesday Evening* 0'
Wednesday Night* 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 0'
East Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening 0'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 0'
Wednesday Afternoon* 0'
Wednesday Evening* 0'
Wednesday Night* 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 0'
East South Elevation
Tuesday Evening 1500'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 0'
Wednesday Afternoon* 0'
Wednesday Evening* 0'
Wednesday Night* 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 0'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening 4500'
Tuesday Night 1500'
Wednesday Morning 0'
Wednesday Afternoon* 0'
Wednesday Evening* 0'
Wednesday Night* 0'
Thursday Morning* 0'
Thursday Afternoon* 0'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Tuesday Night Wednesday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 16 / 11 15 / 10
West North 15 / 9 10 / 2
West Central 16 / 10 12 / 5
West South 23 / 13 14 / 7
Stevens Pass 18 / 13 13 / 6
Snoqualmie Pass 19 / 14 13 / 7
East North 9 / -1 5 / -5
East Central 13 / 3 7 / -2
East South 23 / 10 10 / 0
Mt. Hood 32 / 19 22 / 15
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 16 / 11
Wednesday 15 / 10
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 15 / 9
Wednesday 10 / 2
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 16 / 10
Wednesday 12 / 5
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 23 / 13
Wednesday 14 / 7
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 18 / 13
Wednesday 13 / 6
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 19 / 14
Wednesday 13 / 7
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 9 / -1
Wednesday 5 / -5
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 13 / 3
Wednesday 7 / -2
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 23 / 10
Wednesday 10 / 0
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 32 / 19
Wednesday 22 / 15

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon
Olympics WSW 10-20 W 5-15 WNW 0-10 NW 0-10
West North WSW 5-15 WSW 0-10 VAR 0-10 ENE 0-10
West Central W 10-20 W 5-15 W 0-10 VAR 0-10
West South W 20-30 W 15-25 WNW 5-15 NW 0-10
Stevens Pass W 15-25 W 5-15 WNW 5-15 ESE 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass WSW 20-30 W 15-25 WNW 5-15 ESE 5-15
East North W 10-20 W 10-20 NW 5-15 VAR 0-10
East Central W 25-35 WNW 15-25 WNW 10-20 ESE 0-10
East South W 25-35 WNW 15-25 NW 5-15 VAR 0-10
Mt. Hood W 40-55 W 40-55 WNW 25-35 W 15-25
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 10-20
Tuesday Night W 5-15
Wednesday Morning WNW 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon NW 0-10
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 5-15
Tuesday Night WSW 0-10
Wednesday Morning VAR 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon ENE 0-10
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 10-20
Tuesday Night W 5-15
Wednesday Morning W 0-10
Wednesday Afternoon VAR 0-10
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 20-30
Tuesday Night W 15-25
Wednesday Morning WNW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon NW 0-10
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 15-25
Tuesday Night W 5-15
Wednesday Morning WNW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon ESE 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 20-30
Tuesday Night W 15-25
Wednesday Morning WNW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon ESE 5-15
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 10-20
Tuesday Night W 10-20
Wednesday Morning NW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon VAR 0-10
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 25-35
Tuesday Night WNW 15-25
Wednesday Morning WNW 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon ESE 0-10
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 25-35
Tuesday Night WNW 15-25
Wednesday Morning NW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon VAR 0-10
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 40-55
Tuesday Night W 40-55
Wednesday Morning WNW 25-35
Wednesday Afternoon W 15-25

Extended Weather Synopsis

We'll see another N-S frontal system arrive on Friday. Each consecutive system will take a bite out of the very cold air mass over the region with a gradual warming trend over several days. By Saturday, an even stronger frontal system (potential atmospheric river) will arrive with even warmer temperatures that pushes milder across the Cascades and into eastern Washington/Oregon. This will be a messy transition, with periods of heavy snow, freezing rain, and eventually rain in some areas. Many details are up in the air, but there's high confidence we are beginning to pivot from a cold and snowy pattern to a milder and wetter pattern in the extended. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Night* Friday * Friday Night* Saturday *
West North 0 3500' 6000' 6500'
Snoqualmie Pass 0 1000' 6000' 7000'
Mt. Hood 0 6500' 7500' 8000'
West North Elevation
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday * 3500'
Friday Night* 6000'
Saturday * 6500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday * 1000'
Friday Night* 6000'
Saturday * 7000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday * 6500'
Friday Night* 7500'
Saturday * 8000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 20, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.