Issued: 2:19 PM PST Saturday, November 19, 2022
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

High pressure will fend off several very weak and attenuating frontal systems through the day on Monday, extending an unusually long November dry spell. High clouds will replace clear skies for many areas Saturday night as the first fizzling system approaches. On Sunday, a gap between systems will allow mid and high clouds to mostly dissipate by the afternoon. Clouds once again increase Sunday night as a second weak system reaches the region with almost no moisture remaining. On Monday, the high pressure finally begins to break down and clouds thicken as some light precipitation reaches the Washington coastline by the end of the day.

The high-pressure aloft continues to allow cold air to pool near the surface east of the Cascades. This continues to drive light to moderate E winds and cold air through the mountain gaps, creating inversions up to around 5000-5500 ft. As the fizzling systems arrive Sunday and Sunday night, light W winds aloft will try to over-run this colder air, but it won't displace it at lower elevations. Therefore, expect the E winds to continue through the gaps, albeit slightly weakened relative to Saturday. This pattern is likely to continue into Monday.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Saturday Night Increasing high and mid-level clouds. Mild.
Sunday A mix of clouds and sun in the morning with clouds increasing in the afternoon.
Saturday Night Increasing high and mid-level clouds.
Sunday Mostly cloudy to start, with more sun than clouds by the afternoon.
Saturday Night Increasing high and mid-level clouds.
Sunday Mostly cloudy to start, with more sun than clouds by the afternoon.
Saturday Night Mostly clear to start with increasing high and mid-level clouds.
Sunday Mostly cloudy to start, with more sun than clouds by the afternoon.
Saturday Night Mostly clear to start with increasing high and mid-level clouds. Inversion conditions with multiple freezing levels. Light ridgeline winds with light to occasionally moderate E winds at the Pass.
Sunday Mostly cloudy to start, with more sun than clouds by the afternoon. Light, but variable winds at ridgeline with light to occasionally moderate E winds at the Pass.
Saturday Night Mostly clear to start with increasing high and mid-level clouds. Inversion conditions with multiple freezing levels. Light to moderate ridgeline and E winds at the Pass.
Sunday Mostly cloudy to start, with more sun than clouds by the afternoon. Light, but variable winds at ridgeline with and light to occasionally moderate E winds at the Pass.
Saturday Night Mostly clear to start with increasing high and mid-level clouds.
Sunday Mostly cloudy to start, with more sun than clouds by the afternoon.
Saturday Night Mostly clear to start with increasing high and mid-level clouds.
Sunday Mostly cloudy to start, with more sun than clouds by the afternoon.
Saturday Night Mostly clear in the evening with high clouds increasing after midnight.
Sunday Mostly cloudy to start, with more sun than clouds by the afternoon.
Saturday Night Mostly clear in the evening with high clouds increasing after midnight.
Sunday Mostly cloudy to start, with more sun than clouds by the afternoon.

Precipitation (in)

Saturday Night Sunday Sunday Night Monday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0 0 0
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 0 0 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 0 0 0
Stevens Pass 0 0 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0 0
Crystal Mt 0 0 0 0
Paradise 0 0 0 0
White Pass 0 0 0 0
Washington Pass 0 0 0 0
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 0 0 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0 0 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 0 0
Timberline 0 0 0 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Saturday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night 0
Monday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Evening* Saturday Night* Sunday Morning* Sunday Afternoon* Sunday Evening* Sunday Night* Monday Morning* Monday Afternoon*
Olympics 9500' 8500' 8000' 8000' 7500' 7000' 7500' 7500'
West North 7000' 6500' 5500' 7000' 6000' 5000' 5000' 6000'
West Central 6500' 5000' 4500' 7000' 6000' 5500' 5500' 6500'
West South 7000' 6000' 6500' 7500' 6500' 6000' 6000' 7000'
Stevens Pass 2500' 1500' 1500' 6000' 2500' 2500' 3000' 5500'
Snoqualmie Pass 2500' 2000' 2500' 6500' 6000' 5500' 5500' 5000'
East North 1000' 500' 500' 5000' 1000' 1000' 1000' 5000'
East Central 1000' 500' 1000' 6000' 1000' 1000' 1000' 5000'
East South 1500' 500' 2000' 7500' 1500' 1000' 1000' 6500'
Mt. Hood 5000' 4500' 5000' 8500' 6500' 6500' 6000' 7500'
Olympics Elevation
Saturday Evening* 9500'
Saturday Night* 8500'
Sunday Morning* 8000'
Sunday Afternoon* 8000'
Sunday Evening* 7500'
Sunday Night* 7000'
Monday Morning* 7500'
Monday Afternoon* 7500'
West North Elevation
Saturday Evening* 7000'
Saturday Night* 6500'
Sunday Morning* 5500'
Sunday Afternoon* 7000'
Sunday Evening* 6000'
Sunday Night* 5000'
Monday Morning* 5000'
Monday Afternoon* 6000'
West Central Elevation
Saturday Evening* 6500'
Saturday Night* 5000'
Sunday Morning* 4500'
Sunday Afternoon* 7000'
Sunday Evening* 6000'
Sunday Night* 5500'
Monday Morning* 5500'
Monday Afternoon* 6500'
West South Elevation
Saturday Evening* 7000'
Saturday Night* 6000'
Sunday Morning* 6500'
Sunday Afternoon* 7500'
Sunday Evening* 6500'
Sunday Night* 6000'
Monday Morning* 6000'
Monday Afternoon* 7000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening* 2500'
Saturday Night* 1500'
Sunday Morning* 1500'
Sunday Afternoon* 6000'
Sunday Evening* 2500'
Sunday Night* 2500'
Monday Morning* 3000'
Monday Afternoon* 5500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening* 2500'
Saturday Night* 2000'
Sunday Morning* 2500'
Sunday Afternoon* 6500'
Sunday Evening* 6000'
Sunday Night* 5500'
Monday Morning* 5500'
Monday Afternoon* 5000'
East North Elevation
Saturday Evening* 1000'
Saturday Night* 500'
Sunday Morning* 500'
Sunday Afternoon* 5000'
Sunday Evening* 1000'
Sunday Night* 1000'
Monday Morning* 1000'
Monday Afternoon* 5000'
East Central Elevation
Saturday Evening* 1000'
Saturday Night* 500'
Sunday Morning* 1000'
Sunday Afternoon* 6000'
Sunday Evening* 1000'
Sunday Night* 1000'
Monday Morning* 1000'
Monday Afternoon* 5000'
East South Elevation
Saturday Evening* 1500'
Saturday Night* 500'
Sunday Morning* 2000'
Sunday Afternoon* 7500'
Sunday Evening* 1500'
Sunday Night* 1000'
Monday Morning* 1000'
Monday Afternoon* 6500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Evening* 5000'
Saturday Night* 4500'
Sunday Morning* 5000'
Sunday Afternoon* 8500'
Sunday Evening* 6500'
Sunday Night* 6500'
Monday Morning* 6000'
Monday Afternoon* 7500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Saturday Night Sunday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 42 / 38 45 / 39
West North 36 / 32 36 / 31
West Central 36 / 32 38 / 32
West South 35 / 31 42 / 32
Stevens Pass 32 / 28 39 / 30
Snoqualmie Pass 32 / 29 39 / 30
East North 27 / 24 34 / 26
East Central 29 / 25 38 / 27
East South 30 / 25 41 / 28
Mt. Hood 32 / 28 42 / 34
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 42 / 38
Sunday 45 / 39
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 36 / 32
Sunday 36 / 31
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 36 / 32
Sunday 38 / 32
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 35 / 31
Sunday 42 / 32
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 32 / 28
Sunday 39 / 30
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 32 / 29
Sunday 39 / 30
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 27 / 24
Sunday 34 / 26
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 29 / 25
Sunday 38 / 27
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 30 / 25
Sunday 41 / 28
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday Night 32 / 28
Sunday 42 / 34

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Saturday Evening Saturday Night Sunday Morning Sunday Afternoon
Olympics WNW 0-10 WSW 0-10 WSW 0-10 WSW 0-10
West North WSW 0-10 SW 0-10 SW 0-10 WSW 0-10
West Central NNE 0-10 WNW 0-10 WNW 0-10 WNW 0-10
West South SSE 5-15 WSW 0-10 W 0-10 WSW 0-10
Stevens Pass ESE 5-15 ESE 0-10 ESE 0-10 ESE 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass ESE 10-20 ESE 5-15 ESE 0-10 ESE 5-15
East North WNW 0-10 W 0-10 WNW 5-15 WNW 5-15
East Central S 0-10 WSW 0-10 WNW 5-15 WNW 5-15
East South SSW 0-10 WSW 5-15 WNW 0-10 WNW 0-10
Mt. Hood SW 0-10 WSW 5-15 WSW 5-15 W 5-15
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening WNW 0-10
Saturday Night WSW 0-10
Sunday Morning WSW 0-10
Sunday Afternoon WSW 0-10
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening WSW 0-10
Saturday Night SW 0-10
Sunday Morning SW 0-10
Sunday Afternoon WSW 0-10
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening NNE 0-10
Saturday Night WNW 0-10
Sunday Morning WNW 0-10
Sunday Afternoon WNW 0-10
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening SSE 5-15
Saturday Night WSW 0-10
Sunday Morning W 0-10
Sunday Afternoon WSW 0-10
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening ESE 5-15
Saturday Night ESE 0-10
Sunday Morning ESE 0-10
Sunday Afternoon ESE 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening ESE 10-20
Saturday Night ESE 5-15
Sunday Morning ESE 0-10
Sunday Afternoon ESE 5-15
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening WNW 0-10
Saturday Night W 0-10
Sunday Morning WNW 5-15
Sunday Afternoon WNW 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening S 0-10
Saturday Night WSW 0-10
Sunday Morning WNW 5-15
Sunday Afternoon WNW 5-15
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening SSW 0-10
Saturday Night WSW 5-15
Sunday Morning WNW 0-10
Sunday Afternoon WNW 0-10
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Evening SW 0-10
Saturday Night WSW 5-15
Sunday Morning WSW 5-15
Sunday Afternoon W 5-15

Extended Weather Synopsis

An average system moving in from the NW spreads light rain and high-elevation snow into the Olympics and NW Washington Cascades Monday night. WSW winds increase into the light to moderate range on Tuesday as moderate rain and snow spread throughout the Cascades. Expect messy conditions snow and a chance of freezing rain at the passes as warmer air over-runs cold air in place east of the Cascades. A frontal passage Tuesday evening should bump freezing levels above pass levels as post-frontal moisture quickly tapers off. Expect a dry day on Wednesday with rising freezing levels as a ridge of high pressure builds along the west coast.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Monday Night* Tuesday * Tuesday Night Wednesday
West North 5000' 4500' 3500' 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass 6000' 3000' 4000' 5000'
Mt. Hood 6000' 6500' 6000' 7000'
West North Elevation
Monday Night* 5000'
Tuesday * 4500'
Tuesday Night 3500'
Wednesday 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Night* 6000'
Tuesday * 3000'
Tuesday Night 4000'
Wednesday 5000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Night* 6000'
Tuesday * 6500'
Tuesday Night 6000'
Wednesday 7000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Nov 18, 2022

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.