Issued: 7:08 AM PST Tuesday, December 21, 2021
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Weather Synopsis

The Pacific Northwest squeezes in a mostly dry day as a weak ridge wedge into the region. Light WSW winds at mid-levels continue to filter mild air to locations near and west of the Cascade Crest, with many locations near 5000 ft in the 30s for the Central Washington Cascades southward on Thursday morning. East of the Cascades, cold air remains entrenched and with warm air putting a lid air movement, deep valley locations such as Mazama has been in the ice box (below zero). This has created a 30+ degree inversion at Washington Pass. The inversion is less significant at Snoqualmie Pass and should mix out with daytime warming, bringing above freezing temperatures to most elevations by the afternoon. Skies should be partly to mostly cloudy across the region with some very light rain or snow showers arriving across the northern and western Cascades late in the day.

A compact, but deep low dropping down the west coast of Canada spreads a band of increasing warm frontal precipitation into the region Tuesday night. The heaviest rain and snow should focus on the mountain loop and Mt. Baker areas. Mt. Baker can expect 8-12" of dense snowfall by Wednesday morning. WSW ridgeline winds should increase overnight, becoming strong in some locations east of the Cascade Crest and at Mt. Hood overnight.

Flow switches SW and then SSW on Wednesday within the warm sector of the storm. The strongest winds are likely to focus on the Olympics and Mt. Bake with the heaviest rain and snow on the volcanoes - locations such as Paradise and Mt. Baker. Snow levels should be slightly lower - in the 3500 ft range.

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Tuesday Partly cloudy in the morning, then becoming mostly cloudy with a slight chance of a rain or snow shower in the afternoon. Mild.
Tuesday Night Increasing light rain and snow, becoming showery by morning.
Tuesday Partly cloudy early, then becoming mostly cloudy with increasing chances of snow showers.
Tuesday Night Heavy rain and snow.
Tuesday Partly cloudy early, then becoming mostly cloudy with increasing chances of rain or snow showers in the afternoon. Mild.
Tuesday Night Heavy rain and snow.
Tuesday Partly to mostly cloudy. Mild.
Tuesday Night Rain and snow: Becoming heavy at Paradise, moderate at White Pass, and light at Crystal.
Tuesday Partly cloudy early, then becoming mostly cloudy with increasing chances of rain or snow showers in the afternoon. Mild. Decreasing light E winds at the Pass.
Tuesday Night Light rain and snow becoming moderate. Light E wind switching W and increasing into the moderate range at the Pass.
Tuesday Partly cloudy early, then becoming mostly cloudy with a slight chance of a rain or snow shower in the afternoon. Mild. Decreasing light E winds at the Pass.
Tuesday Night Light rain and snow above pass level, becoming moderate. Light E wind switching W and increasing into the moderate range at the Pass.
Tuesday Partly cloudy with a strong inversion in the morning making temperatures very cold in the valleys. Then becoming mostly cloudy with a chance of very light snow showers in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Light snow becoming moderate.
Tuesday Partly cloudy with increasing clouds. Milder western part after inversion mixes out.
Tuesday Night Light snow developing and becoming moderate western part. Increasing ridgeline winds becoming moderate to strong overnight.
Tuesday Partly cloudy. Mild after inversion mixes out.
Tuesday Night Increasing light rain and snow.
Tuesday Partly cloudy; clouds increasing during the afternoon. Mild.
Tuesday Night Light rain and snow becoming moderate overnight and cooling. Increasing ridgeline winds becoming strong overnight.

Precipitation (in)

Tuesday Tuesday Night Wednesday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 LT 0.25 0.75
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 1.00 1.00
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.10 1.00 0.75
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 0.50 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0.50 - 0.75 0.50 - 0.75
Crystal Mt 0 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Paradise 0 0.75 0.75
White Pass 0 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 0.50
Mission Ridge 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0.25 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Timberline 0 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday 0.75
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 1.00
Wednesday 1.00
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 1.00
Wednesday 0.75
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.50
Wednesday 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday 0.50 - 0.75
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0.75
Wednesday 0.75
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday 0.50
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50

Snow Level (ft)

Tuesday Morning* Tuesday Afternoon* Tuesday Evening* Tuesday Night* Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon
Olympics 5000' 5500' 5000' 4500' 3500' 3500'
West North 2500' 4000' 3500' 3500' 3000' 3000'
West Central 2000' 5000' 4500' 4000' 3500' 3500'
West South 4500' 7000' 5500' 4500' 3500' 3500'
Stevens Pass 3000' 5500' 5000' 4000' 3500' 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 6000' 5000' 4000' 3500' 3500'
East North 1000' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3000' 3500'
East Central 2500' 4500' 4500' 3500' 3500' 3500'
East South 4000' 7000' 6000' 4500' 3500' 4000'
Mt. Hood 6000' 7500' 5500' 4000' 4000' 4000'
Olympics Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 5000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 5500'
Tuesday Evening* 5000'
Tuesday Night* 4500'
Wednesday Morning 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3500'
West North Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 2500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 4000'
Tuesday Evening* 3500'
Tuesday Night* 3500'
Wednesday Morning 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon 3000'
West Central Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 2000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 5000'
Tuesday Evening* 4500'
Tuesday Night* 4000'
Wednesday Morning 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3500'
West South Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 4500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 7000'
Tuesday Evening* 5500'
Tuesday Night* 4500'
Wednesday Morning 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 3000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 5500'
Tuesday Evening* 5000'
Tuesday Night* 4000'
Wednesday Morning 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 3000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 6000'
Tuesday Evening* 5000'
Tuesday Night* 4000'
Wednesday Morning 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3500'
East North Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 1000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3500'
Tuesday Evening* 3500'
Tuesday Night* 3500'
Wednesday Morning 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon 3500'
East Central Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 2500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 4500'
Tuesday Evening* 4500'
Tuesday Night* 3500'
Wednesday Morning 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon 3500'
East South Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 4000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 7000'
Tuesday Evening* 6000'
Tuesday Night* 4500'
Wednesday Morning 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 6000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 7500'
Tuesday Evening* 5500'
Tuesday Night* 4000'
Wednesday Morning 4000'
Wednesday Afternoon 4000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Tuesday Tuesday Night
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 35 / 32 33 / 29
West North 32 / 26 32 / 29
West Central 33 / 31 33 / 29
West South 38 / 30 34 / 29
Stevens Pass 34 / 31 34 / 30
Snoqualmie Pass 34 / 31 33 / 29
East North 32 / 20 31 / 26
East Central 34 / 29 33 / 29
East South 38 / 31 33 / 30
Mt. Hood 40 / 29 34 / 30
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 35 / 32
Tuesday Night 33 / 29
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 32 / 26
Tuesday Night 32 / 29
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 33 / 31
Tuesday Night 33 / 29
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 38 / 30
Tuesday Night 34 / 29
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 34 / 31
Tuesday Night 34 / 30
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 34 / 31
Tuesday Night 33 / 29
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 32 / 20
Tuesday Night 31 / 26
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 34 / 29
Tuesday Night 33 / 29
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 38 / 31
Tuesday Night 33 / 30
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 40 / 29
Tuesday Night 34 / 30

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Tuesday Morning Tuesday Afternoon Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night
Olympics WSW 5-15 SW 10-20 SW 15-25 SW 20-30
West North WSW 5-15 WSW 10-20 SW 10-20 SSW 20-30
West Central WSW 5-15 WSW 10-20 SW 10-20 SW 20-30
West South W 0-10 WSW 0-10 SW 5-15 SW 15-25
Stevens Pass WSW 5-15 W 10-20 WSW 5-15 WSW 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass W 5-15 W 5-15 WSW 5-15 WSW 15-25
East North W 10-20 WSW 15-25 WSW 15-25 SW 15-25
East Central W 15-25 W 15-25 WSW 15-25 WSW 25-35
East South WSW 0-10 WSW 0-10 WSW 5-15 WSW 15-25
Mt. Hood WSW 0-10 WSW 5-15 SW 15-25 WSW 25-35
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning WSW 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon SW 10-20
Tuesday Evening SW 15-25
Tuesday Night SW 20-30
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning WSW 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon WSW 10-20
Tuesday Evening SW 10-20
Tuesday Night SSW 20-30
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning WSW 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon WSW 10-20
Tuesday Evening SW 10-20
Tuesday Night SW 20-30
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning W 0-10
Tuesday Afternoon WSW 0-10
Tuesday Evening SW 5-15
Tuesday Night SW 15-25
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning WSW 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon W 10-20
Tuesday Evening WSW 5-15
Tuesday Night WSW 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning W 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon W 5-15
Tuesday Evening WSW 5-15
Tuesday Night WSW 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning W 10-20
Tuesday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Tuesday Evening WSW 15-25
Tuesday Night SW 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning W 15-25
Tuesday Afternoon W 15-25
Tuesday Evening WSW 15-25
Tuesday Night WSW 25-35
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning WSW 0-10
Tuesday Afternoon WSW 0-10
Tuesday Evening WSW 5-15
Tuesday Night WSW 15-25
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning WSW 0-10
Tuesday Afternoon WSW 5-15
Tuesday Evening SW 15-25
Tuesday Night WSW 25-35

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Previous forecast from Dec 20, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.