Issued: 7:05 AM PST Friday, December 10, 2021
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Weather Synopsis

A deep, cold upper-level low in the Gulf of Alaska shifts southward over the course of the next 5 days. A strong cold front will move toward our region from the northwest, at the leading edge of this region of low pressure.

With cold air in place, pre-frontal increasing light to moderate snowfall will increase in coverage across the region on Friday. Expect 2-6" of snow to fall near and west of the Cascade Crest with 1-2" further east. Winds will also increase into the moderate range by Friday afternoon.

The occluded frontal system moves to the PNW coastline by early Saturday morning, bringing very stormy conditions with increasing heavy snowfall and increasing moderate to strong SW winds (extreme possible at Mt. Hood). A wintry mix in the early morning hours at Snoqualmie Pass as a warm sector of the storm brings in a sliver of milder air, but significant accumulations remain on track above 3500 ft. The wintry mix could change to rain briefly (extending to the east slopes of the Cascades below 3500 ft) as the cold front passage cuts off a period of E flow cuts and snow levels temporarily rise. Moderate snow showers follow later Saturday morning with cooling behind the front. However, the southern Cascades should continue the heavy snowfall through much of the day on Saturday.

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Friday Cloudy with light snow developing in the late morning hours and increasing in the afternoon.
Friday Night Heavy snow becoming very heavy and mixing with rain below 4000 ft after midnight. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Light snow showers in the morning with increasing light to moderate snow in the afternoon.
Friday Night Heavy snow in the evening becoming very heavy after midnight. Strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Light snow in the morning becoming moderate in the afternoon.
Friday Night Moderate to heavy snow in the evening, becoming very heavy overnight. Strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Light snow in the morning becoming moderate in the afternoon at Paradise. Increasing light snow for Crystal and White Pass.
Friday Night Increasing heavy snow at Paradise. Light snow becoming heavy overnight at Crystal. Increasing light to moderate snow at White Pass. Strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Increasing light snow. Increasing light W wind through the Pass, becoming moderate by the end of the day.
Friday Night Moderate snow in the evening, becoming heavy overnight. Light to moderate variable, then E wind at the Pass.
Friday Light snow in the morning becoming moderate in the afternoon. Increasing light W wind through the Pass, becoming moderate by the end of the day.
Friday Night Increasing heavy snow. Light to moderate variable, then E wind at the Pass.
Friday Periods of light snow, increasing in the afternoon.
Friday Night Light snow in the evening becoming heavy overnight.
Friday Periods of light snow, increasing in the afternoon.
Friday Night Light snow in the evening becoming moderate to heavy overnight.
Friday Periods of light snow, increasing in the afternoon.
Friday Night Increasing light snow.
Friday Light snow showers change to light to moderate snow from mid-morning onwards. Increasing moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Friday Night Increasing light to moderate snow. Strong to extreme ridgeline winds.

Precipitation (in)

Friday Friday Night Saturday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 1.50 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 - 0.50 2.00 0.75 -1.00
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.50 0.75
Stevens Pass 0.25 0.75 -1.00 0.75 -1.00
Snoqualmie Pass 0.50 1.00 0.75 -1.00
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 0.75 -1.00 0.75 -1.00
Paradise 0.25 - 0.50 1.50 1.50
White Pass 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 1.00 - 1.50
Washington Pass LT 0.10 1.00 0.75
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0.25 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.25 0.75 0.75 -1.00
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.75
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 1.50
Timberline 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 1.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 1.50
Saturday 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night 2.00
Saturday 0.75 -1.00
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Saturday 0.75
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0.75 -1.00
Saturday 0.75 -1.00
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday 0.50
Friday Night 1.00
Saturday 0.75 -1.00
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0.75 -1.00
Saturday 0.75 -1.00
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night 1.50
Saturday 1.50
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday 1.00 - 1.50
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 1.00
Saturday 0.75
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday 0.75 -1.00
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday 0.75
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday 1.50
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday 1.50

Snow Level (ft)

Friday Morning Friday Afternoon Friday Evening Friday Night* Saturday Morning* Saturday Afternoon
Olympics 1000' 2000' 2500' 3000' 4000' 2500'
West North 0 1000' 1500' 2000' 2500' 2500'
West Central 500' 1500' 2000' 2500' 3000' 3000'
West South 1000' 2000' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3000'
Stevens Pass 500' 2000' 2000' 2500' 3000' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 1000' 2000' 2000' 2500' 3000' 3000'
East North 0 1500' 1500' 2000' 2000' 3000'
East Central 500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2500' 3500'
East South 1000' 2000' 2500' 3000' 3000' 3500'
Mt. Hood 2000' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3500' 4000'
Olympics Elevation
Friday Morning 1000'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 2500'
Friday Night* 3000'
Saturday Morning* 4000'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
West North Elevation
Friday Morning 0'
Friday Afternoon 1000'
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night* 2000'
Saturday Morning* 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
West Central Elevation
Friday Morning 500'
Friday Afternoon 1500'
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning* 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
West South Elevation
Friday Morning 1000'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 2500'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning* 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Morning 500'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning* 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Morning 1000'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning* 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
East North Elevation
Friday Morning 0'
Friday Afternoon 1500'
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night* 2000'
Saturday Morning* 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
East Central Elevation
Friday Morning 500'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night* 2000'
Saturday Morning* 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
East South Elevation
Friday Morning 1000'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 2500'
Friday Night* 3000'
Saturday Morning* 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Friday Evening 2500'
Friday Night* 3000'
Saturday Morning* 3500'
Saturday Afternoon 4000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Friday Friday Night
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 26 / 19 31 / 26
West North 23 / 17 27 / 24
West Central 24 / 20 27 / 25
West South 26 / 18 27 / 26
Stevens Pass 25 / 20 28 / 26
Snoqualmie Pass 25 / 21 27 / 25
East North 23 / 13 27 / 22
East Central 25 / 19 27 / 25
East South 26 / 18 28 / 25
Mt. Hood 27 / 22 29 / 27
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday 26 / 19
Friday Night 31 / 26
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday 23 / 17
Friday Night 27 / 24
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday 24 / 20
Friday Night 27 / 25
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday 26 / 18
Friday Night 27 / 26
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday 25 / 20
Friday Night 28 / 26
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday 25 / 21
Friday Night 27 / 25
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday 23 / 13
Friday Night 27 / 22
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday 25 / 19
Friday Night 27 / 25
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday 26 / 18
Friday Night 28 / 25
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday 27 / 22
Friday Night 29 / 27

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Friday Morning Friday Afternoon Friday Evening Friday Night
Olympics WSW 5-15 SW 15-25 SW 25-35 SW 25-35
West North SW 10-20 SSW 15-25 SSW 25-35 SSW 30-40
West Central WSW 10-20 WSW 20-30 SW 25-35 SW 30-40
West South WSW 5-15 WSW 15-25 SW 25-35 SW 25-35
Stevens Pass W 10-20 WSW 15-25 WSW 20-30 SW 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass W 10-20 W 15-25 WSW 20-30 SW 20-30
East North WSW 10-20 WSW 15-25 SW 25-35 SW 25-35
East Central W 15-25 WSW 20-30 WSW 30-40 SW 30-40
East South W 10-20 WSW 15-25 WSW 25-35 SW 25-35
Mt. Hood W 20-30 WSW 30-40 WSW 40-55 SW 40-55
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Morning WSW 5-15
Friday Afternoon SW 15-25
Friday Evening SW 25-35
Friday Night SW 25-35
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Morning SW 10-20
Friday Afternoon SSW 15-25
Friday Evening SSW 25-35
Friday Night SSW 30-40
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Morning WSW 10-20
Friday Afternoon WSW 20-30
Friday Evening SW 25-35
Friday Night SW 30-40
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Morning WSW 5-15
Friday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Friday Evening SW 25-35
Friday Night SW 25-35
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Morning W 10-20
Friday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Friday Evening WSW 20-30
Friday Night SW 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Morning W 10-20
Friday Afternoon W 15-25
Friday Evening WSW 20-30
Friday Night SW 20-30
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Morning WSW 10-20
Friday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Friday Evening SW 25-35
Friday Night SW 25-35
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Morning W 15-25
Friday Afternoon WSW 20-30
Friday Evening WSW 30-40
Friday Night SW 30-40
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Morning W 10-20
Friday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Friday Evening WSW 25-35
Friday Night SW 25-35
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Morning W 20-30
Friday Afternoon WSW 30-40
Friday Evening WSW 40-55
Friday Night SW 40-55

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Previous forecast from Dec 9, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.