Issued: 2:17 PM PST Thursday, December 9, 2021
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A cool and stormy weather pattern continues.

An unstable WNW flow continues Thursday night as a cold trough exits to our east. Snow shower activity increasingly becomes focused on the southern Cascades and areas of convergence from just north of Snoqualmie Pass to the Mountain Loop. Mt. Hood can expect 5-7" of lower-density snow, with lesser amounts further north.

Friday doesn't feature much of a break between storm systems. Snow showers gradually increase ahead of strong frontal system dropping toward the region down the coast of British Columbia. Ahead of the advancing warm front, light snow should become moderate in many areas during the afternoon. Snow levels top out in the 1000-2500 ft range. Winds also begin to increase Friday afternoon with WSW flow focusing the strongest winds east of the Cascade Crest and at Mt. Hood.

Snowfall continues to increase Friday night and very stormy conditions as the frontal system arrives. Expect 1-3" per hour rates of snowfall. Ridgeline winds shift more SWerly and increase into the strong range. With cold easterly flow in place until the cold frontal passage, it's likely that freezing rain could develop at Snoqualmie Pass in the early morning hours.

The heaviest snow shifts southward Saturday as the cold front through during the morning hours. The cold front may result in a brief bump in freezing levels and a brief switch of rain up to around 3000-3500 ft before cooling aloft reaches lower altitudes by Saturday afternoon as moderate to heavy snow showers and brisk WSW winds continue behind the front.

Expect storm totals in the 1-3 ft range through the short-term forecast period.

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Night Light snow showers at times.
Friday Increasing light snow.
Thursday Night Cloudy with light snow flurries. More consistent snow showers are likely in the southeast part of the zone.
Friday Increasing light snow become moderate in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Light snow showers and convergence.
Friday Increasing light snow become moderate in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Light snow showers, heaviest at Paradise.
Friday Increasing light snow becoming moderate, then heavy in the afternoon at Paradise. Increasing light snow at White Pass and Crystal.
Thursday Night Light snow showers and convergence. Decreasing light W wind at the Pass.
Friday Light W wind at the Pass, increasing late in the day.
Thursday Night Light snow showers and convergence. Decreasing light W wind at the Pass.
Friday Light W wind at the Pass, increasing late in the day.
Thursday Night Decreasing light snow showers.
Friday Increasing light snow.
Thursday Night Light snow showers, primarily closer to the Cascade Crest.
Friday Increasing light snow becoming moderate near the Cascade Crest.
Thursday Night Light snow showers, primarily closer to the Cascade Crest.
Friday Increasing light snow.
Thursday Night Moderate snow showers.
Friday Light to moderate snow.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0.25 1.00 - 1.50 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 1.50 - 2.00 0.75 -1.00
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.50 0.75
Stevens Pass 0.25 0.25 0.75 -1.00 0.50 - 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 0.75
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0.75 -1.00 1.00
Paradise 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 1.50 1.50
White Pass LT 0.10 0.25 0.50 1.00 - 1.50
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.75 -1.00 0.75
Mission Ridge 0 LT 0.10 0.25 0.75
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 1.00 - 1.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.75
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 1.50
Timberline 0.50 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 1.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Saturday 0.50
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night 1.50 - 2.00
Saturday 0.75 -1.00
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Saturday 0.75
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0.75 -1.00
Saturday 0.50 - 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night 1.00
Saturday 0.75
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0.75 -1.00
Saturday 1.00
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night 1.50
Saturday 1.50
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.25
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday 1.00 - 1.50
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.75 -1.00
Saturday 0.75
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday LT 0.10
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.75
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night 1.00
Saturday 1.00 - 1.50
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday 0.75
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday 1.50
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday 0.50
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday 1.50

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon Friday Evening Friday Night* Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics 1500' 1000' 1500' 2000' 3000' 3500' 2500' 2500'
West North 1000' 0 0 1000' 1500' 2500' 2500' 2500'
West Central 1000' 500' 500' 1500' 2000' 2500' 3000' 3000'
West South 1500' 1000' 1000' 2000' 2500' 3000' 3000' 3000'
Stevens Pass 1000' 500' 500' 1500' 2000' 3000' 3000' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 1000' 1000' 1000' 1500' 2500' 3000' 3000' 3000'
East North 500' 0 0 1000' 1500' 2500' 2500' 3500'
East Central 1000' 500' 500' 1500' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3500'
East South 1500' 1000' 1000' 2000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 3500'
Mt. Hood 2000' 1500' 2000' 2500' 3000' 3000' 3500' 4000'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Evening 1500'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 3000'
Friday Night* 3500'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
West North Elevation
Thursday Evening 1000'
Thursday Night 0'
Friday Morning 0'
Friday Afternoon 1000'
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Evening 1000'
Thursday Night 500'
Friday Morning 500'
Friday Afternoon 1500'
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
West South Elevation
Thursday Evening 1500'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning 1000'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 2500'
Friday Night* 3000'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening 1000'
Thursday Night 500'
Friday Morning 500'
Friday Afternoon 1500'
Friday Evening 2000'
Friday Night* 3000'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening 1000'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning 1000'
Friday Afternoon 1500'
Friday Evening 2500'
Friday Night* 3000'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
East North Elevation
Thursday Evening 500'
Thursday Night 0'
Friday Morning 0'
Friday Afternoon 1000'
Friday Evening 1500'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Evening 1000'
Thursday Night 500'
Friday Morning 500'
Friday Afternoon 1500'
Friday Evening 2500'
Friday Night* 2500'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
East South Elevation
Thursday Evening 1500'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning 1000'
Friday Afternoon 2000'
Friday Evening 3000'
Friday Night* 3000'
Saturday Morning 3500'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning 2000'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Friday Evening 3000'
Friday Night* 3000'
Saturday Morning 3500'
Saturday Afternoon 4000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Night Friday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 19 / 14 26 / 18
West North 18 / 13 23 / 17
West Central 19 / 13 24 / 17
West South 19 / 15 25 / 19
Stevens Pass 19 / 16 25 / 17
Snoqualmie Pass 19 / 17 25 / 20
East North 16 / 11 23 / 13
East Central 19 / 14 24 / 17
East South 19 / 15 25 / 18
Mt. Hood 21 / 19 26 / 21
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 19 / 14
Friday 26 / 18
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 18 / 13
Friday 23 / 17
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 19 / 13
Friday 24 / 17
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 19 / 15
Friday 25 / 19
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 19 / 16
Friday 25 / 17
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 19 / 17
Friday 25 / 20
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 16 / 11
Friday 23 / 13
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 19 / 14
Friday 24 / 17
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 19 / 15
Friday 25 / 18
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 21 / 19
Friday 26 / 21

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics W 5-15 WSW 5-15 SW 10-20 SW 20-30
West North W 5-15 WSW 5-15 SW 10-20 SSW 15-25
West Central WNW 10-20 WNW 5-15 WSW 10-20 SW 15-25
West South WNW 10-20 W 5-15 SW 5-15 SW 15-25
Stevens Pass WNW 10-20 W 5-15 WSW 10-20 WSW 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass NW 15-25 WNW 10-20 W 10-20 WSW 15-25
East North WNW 5-15 W 10-20 WSW 15-25 WSW 15-25
East Central WNW 15-25 WNW 15-25 W 15-25 WSW 20-30
East South WNW 15-25 W 10-20 W 15-25 WSW 15-25
Mt. Hood W 15-25 W 15-25 W 25-35 WSW 25-35
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 5-15
Thursday Night WSW 5-15
Friday Morning SW 10-20
Friday Afternoon SW 20-30
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 5-15
Thursday Night WSW 5-15
Friday Morning SW 10-20
Friday Afternoon SSW 15-25
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 10-20
Thursday Night WNW 5-15
Friday Morning WSW 10-20
Friday Afternoon SW 15-25
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 10-20
Thursday Night W 5-15
Friday Morning SW 5-15
Friday Afternoon SW 15-25
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 10-20
Thursday Night W 5-15
Friday Morning WSW 10-20
Friday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening NW 15-25
Thursday Night WNW 10-20
Friday Morning W 10-20
Friday Afternoon WSW 15-25
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 5-15
Thursday Night W 10-20
Friday Morning WSW 15-25
Friday Afternoon WSW 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 15-25
Thursday Night WNW 15-25
Friday Morning W 15-25
Friday Afternoon WSW 20-30
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WNW 15-25
Thursday Night W 10-20
Friday Morning W 15-25
Friday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 15-25
Thursday Night W 15-25
Friday Morning W 25-35
Friday Afternoon WSW 25-35

Extended Weather Synopsis

Unstable WSW flow will continue moderate snow shower activity and significant accumulations Saturday night. A large-scale upper low and associated upper trough will continue digging southward off the coast Sunday through Monday. This pattern will reduce the moisture feed to our region somewhat, resulting in lighter snow showers on Sunday. Moisture will ride northward on the downstream side of the trough into our region through Monday. Snow showers should focus increasingly on the Cascade Volcanoes.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Night Sunday Sunday Night Monday
West North 1000' 500' 1000' 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass 1500' 1000' 1000' 1500'
Mt. Hood 3000' 2000' 2000' 2500'
West North Elevation
Saturday Night 1000'
Sunday 500'
Sunday Night 1000'
Monday 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night 1500'
Sunday 1000'
Sunday Night 1000'
Monday 1500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night 3000'
Sunday 2000'
Sunday Night 2000'
Monday 2500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 8, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.