Issued: 2:35 PM PDT Friday, March 19, 2021
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

The Pacific Northwest has entered another cool and snowy pattern. A closed low with ample cold air aloft produced heavy snowfall over the Olympic Mountains Thursday night and Friday. The low shifts onshore Friday night as an open trough. Moderate to heavy snow showers continue over the Olympics, but should increasingly shift into the Cascades. S and SW winds continue to favor the Washington Cascades volcanoes where we expect up to a foot of snowfall. Moderate W winds follow the trough as it slides east of the Cascades on Saturday. The pattern favors mountain-enhanced snowfall along the west slopes of the Cascades from the mountain loop south to Mt. Hood. These areas can expect 4-10" of snow above 3500 ft on Saturday with lighter amounts for the north Cascades and the east slopes. Within the post-frontal convective showery regime, a Puget Sound Convergence Zone (PSCZ) develops in the vicinity of Snoqualmie and Stevens passes Saturday afternoon with locally intense snowfall. The PSCZ fizzles Saturday evening as cold air filtering into the region may bring a dusting of snow even to the Cascade foothills. As the postfrontal moisture eases, snowfall begins ahead of another frontal system dropping arriving with increasing snowfall on Sunday. The mountains of western Washington can expect an additional 1-3" of snow with the approaching warm front.

The spring-like westerly flow pattern keeps clouds piled up along the west slopes of the Cascades both Saturday and Sunday while the east slopes may see more frequent sun breaks with downslope winds boosting high temperatures.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Friday Night Light to moderate snow showers.
Saturday Light convective snow showers, mixing with rain at low elevations in the afternoon.
Friday Night Heavy snow showers.
Saturday Light convective snow showers, mixing with rain at low elevations in the afternoon.
Friday Night Increasing moderate rain and snow showers.
Saturday Moderate convective snow showers and convergence developing in the southern part, mixing with rain at low elevations in the afternoon.
Friday Night Moderate rain and snow showers at Paradise; light at Crystal and White Pass.
Saturday Moderate to heavy rain and snow showers at Paradise; moderate at White Pass; light at Crystal.
Friday Night Increasing light snow showers. Variable wind at the Pass.
Saturday Moderate convective rain and snow showers, heaviest in potential convergence during the afternoon.
Friday Night Increasing light rain and snow showers. Variable wind at the Pass.
Saturday Moderate convective rain and snow showers, heaviest in potential convergence during the afternoon.
Friday Night Light rain and snow showers.
Saturday Light convective snow showers, mixing with rain at lower elevations in the afternoon.
Friday Night Light rain and snow showers. Strong wind gusts at times.
Saturday Light convective snow showers, mixing with rain at lower elevations in the afternoon.
Friday Night Light rain and snow showers.
Saturday Light convective snow showers, mixing with rain at lower elevations in the afternoon.
Friday Night Moderate rain and snow showers.
Saturday Moderate convective snow showers, mixing with rain at lower elevations in the afternoon.

Precipitation (in)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
5 pm - 5 am 5 am - 5 pm 5 pm - 5 am 5 am - 5 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.75 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 0.25
Stevens Pass LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 0.50 0.25 0.25
Crystal Mt 0.25 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Paradise 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
White Pass 0.25 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Washington Pass 0.25 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Timberline 0.25 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.75
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.50
Saturday 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10

Snow Level (ft)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon Saturday Evening Saturday Night Sunday Morning Sunday Afternoon
Olympics 3000' 2500' 2500' 3000' 2000' 1000' 1500' 2000'
West North 3000' 2500' 2000' 3000' 2500' 10001000' 1000' 2000'
West Central 3500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 1000' 1000' 2000'
West South 3500' 2500' 2000' 3000' 2500' 1000' 1000' 2500'
Stevens Pass 3500' 2500' 2000' 3000' 3000' 1000' 1000' 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 2500' 2000' 2500' 2500' 1000' 1000' 2500'
East North 3500' 2000' 2000' 3500' 3000' 1000' 500' 2500'
East Central 3500' 2500' 2500' 3500' 3000' 1000' 1000' 2500'
East South 3500' 2500' 2500' 3500' 3000' 1000' 1000' 3000'
Mt. Hood 3500' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3000' 1500' 1500' 2500'
Olympics Elevation
Friday Evening 3000'
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening 2000'
Saturday Night 1000'
Sunday Morning 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
West North Elevation
Friday Evening 3000'
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening 2500'
Saturday Night 10001000'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
West Central Elevation
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening 2500'
Saturday Night 1000'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
West South Elevation
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening 2500'
Saturday Night 1000'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 2500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 1000'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening 2500'
Saturday Night 1000'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 2500'
East North Elevation
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 1000'
Sunday Morning 500'
Sunday Afternoon 2500'
East Central Elevation
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 1000'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 2500'
East South Elevation
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 1000'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 1500'
Sunday Morning 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 2500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Friday Night Saturday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 27 / 24 26 / 23
West North 28 / 24 27 / 24
West Central 28 / 23 27 / 23
West South 27 / 24 29 / 24
Stevens Pass 30 / 22 29 / 23
Snoqualmie Pass 30 / 22 28 / 23
East North 30 / 22 31 / 22
East Central 30 / 20 30 / 21
East South 29 / 22 30 / 22
Mt. Hood 29 / 24 30 / 24
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 27 / 24
Saturday 26 / 23
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 28 / 24
Saturday 27 / 24
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 28 / 23
Saturday 27 / 23
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 27 / 24
Saturday 29 / 24
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 30 / 22
Saturday 29 / 23
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 30 / 22
Saturday 28 / 23
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 30 / 22
Saturday 31 / 22
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 30 / 20
Saturday 30 / 21
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 29 / 22
Saturday 30 / 22
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 29 / 24
Saturday 30 / 24

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics SSW 15-25 SW 10-20 W 5-15 WSW 10-20
West North S 15-25 S 15-25 SSW 5-15 W 15-25
West Central S 15-25 SSW 15-25 SW 10-20 W 15-25
West South SSW 15-25 SW 20-30 WSW 10-20 WNW 10-20
Stevens Pass SSW 5-15 SW 10-20 WSW 5-15 W 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass SSE 5-15 SW 10-20 WSW 10-20 WNW 20-30
East North SSW 10-20 SSW 10-20 SW 10-20 W 15-25
East Central SSW 15-25 SW 15-25 WSW 15-25 WNW 20-30
East South SW 10-20 WSW 15-25 WSW 15-25 W 15-25
Mt. Hood WSW 20-30 WSW 20-30 WSW 20-30 W 20-30
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSW 15-25
Friday Night SW 10-20
Saturday Morning W 5-15
Saturday Afternoon WSW 10-20
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening S 15-25
Friday Night S 15-25
Saturday Morning SSW 5-15
Saturday Afternoon W 15-25
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening S 15-25
Friday Night SSW 15-25
Saturday Morning SW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon W 15-25
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSW 15-25
Friday Night SW 20-30
Saturday Morning WSW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon WNW 10-20
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSW 5-15
Friday Night SW 10-20
Saturday Morning WSW 5-15
Saturday Afternoon W 15-25
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSE 5-15
Friday Night SW 10-20
Saturday Morning WSW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon WNW 20-30
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSW 10-20
Friday Night SSW 10-20
Saturday Morning SW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon W 15-25
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SSW 15-25
Friday Night SW 15-25
Saturday Morning WSW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon WNW 20-30
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening SW 10-20
Friday Night WSW 15-25
Saturday Morning WSW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon W 15-25
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WSW 20-30
Friday Night WSW 20-30
Saturday Morning WSW 20-30
Saturday Afternoon W 20-30

Extended Weather Synopsis

NW flow keeps the extended forecast snowy. A strong cold front associated with Sunday's warm front arrives Sunday night. The warm sector arrives with moderate SW and slight warming, but the major passes should stay all snow. Temperatures drop behind the front and moderate to strong W winds behind the front keep heavy snowfall going into early Monday. Light snow showers and possible convergence activity continue for the west slopes of the Cascades on Monday as upper-level flow turns NWerly. Cool maintains clouds and light snow flurry activity for the west slopes of the Cascades Monday night and Tuesday.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Sunday Night Monday Monday Night Tuesday
West North 2000' 2000' 1500' 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass 2000' 2000' 2000' 2000'
Mt. Hood 2000' 2500' 2500' 2000'
West North Elevation
Sunday Night 2000'
Monday 2000'
Monday Night 1500'
Tuesday 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night 2000'
Monday 2000'
Monday Night 2000'
Tuesday 2000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night 2000'
Monday 2500'
Monday Night 2500'
Tuesday 2000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Mar 19, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.