Issued: 7:13 AM PST Saturday, February 13, 2021
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Weather Synopsis

A well-defined and potent surface low continues to deliver a significant snowstorm to the mountains and lowlands of the Pacific Northwest. With very cold air in place, we're seeing very high snow ratios. Heavier bands of snow have made it further north than we expected. Northern parts of the Cascades and the Olympics can expect storm totals (Friday night & Saturday) in the 3-8" range. Central Cascades can expect totals in the 5-15" range, while the southern Cascades and Mt. Hood area can expect totals in the 1-3 ft range. Temperatures are bitterly cold in the Cascades and with moderate to strong E winds through the mountain gaps, wind chills are well below zero.

The snowfall should gradually ease from north to south. Precipitation should increasingly focus on the southern Cascades as the low moves onshore near the mouth of the Columbia River early this morning. E winds and snowfall ease throughout the region over the course of the day on Saturday. Flow also becomes increasingly westerly with instability showers seen moving into the coastal areas early this morning.

A subtle shortwave keeps moderate snowfall going Saturday night in the Mt. Hood area with very light snow for much of Washington State.

On Sunday, a slightly stronger shortwave should bring more light to moderate snow across the region. With only a slight moderation in temperatures, expect the high snow ratios to continue.

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Saturday Light to occasionally moderate snow tapering to flurries by afternoon.
Saturday Night Snow flurries in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy.
Saturday Decreasing light to moderate snow tapering to snow flurries late in the day.
Saturday Night Cloudy with snow flurries.
Saturday Moderate snow in the morning becoming light by afternoon.
Saturday Night Cloudy with very light snow showers.
Saturday Decreasing moderate to heavy snow in the morning, becoming light to moderate in the afternoon.
Saturday Night Light snow showers.
Saturday Moderate snow in the morning becoming light by afternoon. Decreasing moderate E winds at the Pass. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Night Cloudy with very light snow showers. Light E winds at the Pass.
Saturday Moderate to occasionally heavy snow in the morning becoming light by the end of the day. Decreasing moderate to occasionally strong winds at the Pass. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Night Very light snow showers. Light to moderate E winds at the Pass.
Saturday Light snow.
Saturday Night Very light snow or snow flurries.
Saturday Moderate snow in the morning becoming light by the end of the day.
Saturday Night Very light snow showers.
Saturday Gradually decreasing light to moderate snow.
Saturday Night Decreasing light snow showers.
Saturday Decreasing heavy snow. Moderate to occasionally strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Night Moderate snow.

Precipitation (in)

Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 0 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Paradise 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25 0.25
White Pass 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0.75 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Timberline 0.75 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Saturday 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday 0.50
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Saturday 0.75
Saturday Night 0.50
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Saturday 0.75
Saturday Night 0.50
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50

Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Morning* Saturday Afternoon* Saturday Evening* Saturday Night* Sunday Morning* Sunday Afternoon*
Olympics 0 0 0 0 500' 1500'
West North 0 0 0 0 0 500'
West Central 0 0 0 0 0 0
West South 0 0 0 0 0 1000'
Stevens Pass 0 0 0 0 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0 0 0 0
East North 0 0 0 0 0 0
East Central 0 0 0 0 0 0
East South 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mt. Hood 0 0 500' 0 0 500'
Olympics Elevation
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
Saturday Evening* 0'
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday Morning* 500'
Sunday Afternoon* 1500'
West North Elevation
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
Saturday Evening* 0'
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday Morning* 0'
Sunday Afternoon* 500'
West Central Elevation
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
Saturday Evening* 0'
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday Morning* 0'
Sunday Afternoon* 0'
West South Elevation
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
Saturday Evening* 0'
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday Morning* 0'
Sunday Afternoon* 1000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
Saturday Evening* 0'
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday Morning* 0'
Sunday Afternoon* 0'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
Saturday Evening* 0'
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday Morning* 0'
Sunday Afternoon* 0'
East North Elevation
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
Saturday Evening* 0'
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday Morning* 0'
Sunday Afternoon* 0'
East Central Elevation
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
Saturday Evening* 0'
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday Morning* 0'
Sunday Afternoon* 0'
East South Elevation
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
Saturday Evening* 0'
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday Morning* 0'
Sunday Afternoon* 0'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 0'
Saturday Evening* 500'
Saturday Night* 0'
Sunday Morning* 0'
Sunday Afternoon* 500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Saturday Saturday Night
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 22 / 19 20 / 15
West North 19 / 16 15 / 13
West Central 14 / 8 17 / 11
West South 21 / 13 22 / 21
Stevens Pass 12 / 5 11 / 7
Snoqualmie Pass 11 / 6 14 / 8
East North 11 / 2 8 / 4
East Central 10 / 3 11 / 4
East South 14 / 2 18 / 11
Mt. Hood 26 / 9 25 / 23
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 22 / 19
Saturday Night 20 / 15
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 19 / 16
Saturday Night 15 / 13
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 14 / 8
Saturday Night 17 / 11
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 21 / 13
Saturday Night 22 / 21
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 12 / 5
Saturday Night 11 / 7
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 11 / 6
Saturday Night 14 / 8
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 11 / 2
Saturday Night 8 / 4
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 10 / 3
Saturday Night 11 / 4
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 14 / 2
Saturday Night 18 / 11
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 26 / 9
Saturday Night 25 / 23

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon Saturday Evening Saturday Night
Olympics SSW 10-20 W 5-15 WSW 5-15 WSW 5-15
West North SE 10-20 SSE 10-20 SSE 5-15 S 5-15
West Central ESE 20-30 SE 10-20 SE 5-15 S 5-15
West South SSE 10-20 WSW 15-25 WNW 5-15 WSW 5-15
Stevens Pass ESE 15-25 ESE 5-15 SE 0-10 S 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass ESE 15-25 ESE 10-20 SE 0-10 SE 0-10
East North ESE 15-25 ESE 10-20 SE 5-15 SSE 5-15
East Central ESE 10-20 SSE 0-10 WSW 0-10 WSW 5-15
East South SSE 5-15 WSW 10-20 W 5-15 WSW 5-15
Mt. Hood W 20-30 W 20-30 W 10-20 W 15-25
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning SSW 10-20
Saturday Afternoon W 5-15
Saturday Evening WSW 5-15
Saturday Night WSW 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning SE 10-20
Saturday Afternoon SSE 10-20
Saturday Evening SSE 5-15
Saturday Night S 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning ESE 20-30
Saturday Afternoon SE 10-20
Saturday Evening SE 5-15
Saturday Night S 5-15
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning SSE 10-20
Saturday Afternoon WSW 15-25
Saturday Evening WNW 5-15
Saturday Night WSW 5-15
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning ESE 15-25
Saturday Afternoon ESE 5-15
Saturday Evening SE 0-10
Saturday Night S 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning ESE 15-25
Saturday Afternoon ESE 10-20
Saturday Evening SE 0-10
Saturday Night SE 0-10
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning ESE 15-25
Saturday Afternoon ESE 10-20
Saturday Evening SE 5-15
Saturday Night SSE 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning ESE 10-20
Saturday Afternoon SSE 0-10
Saturday Evening WSW 0-10
Saturday Night WSW 5-15
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning SSE 5-15
Saturday Afternoon WSW 10-20
Saturday Evening W 5-15
Saturday Night WSW 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning W 20-30
Saturday Afternoon W 20-30
Saturday Evening W 10-20
Saturday Night W 15-25

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Previous forecast from Feb 12, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.