Issued: 2:15 PM PST Tuesday, February 9, 2021
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

An elongated upper level trough stretching over most of central Canada continues to keep us in cool NW flow aloft. Stratus or stratocumulus covers much of the Cascades near and north of I-90 with clearer conditions to the south. This trend will continue overnight.  A weak system upstream in the NW flow will reach the area tomorrow afternoon. This may cause some light snow flurries for the north and central Cascades. Clearer conditions will once again be found further south. 

Strong high pressure over central British Columbia has been slowly driving arctic air south.  Fraser valley outflow and offshore flow through the Cascade gaps should increase in earnest Wednesday night and especially Thursday. This will partially be in response to lower pressures from an approaching frontal system.  Warm frontal moisture will likely reach Mt Hood Wednesday night and extend northward during the day on Thursday. Forecast models are now in somewhat better alignment that light snow will reach north towards the north Cascades during the daylight hours. Light snow will transition to a more moderate snowfall south of Stevens Pass along both sides of the Cascade crest. Mt Hood should see more modest snow amounts from this system with relatively higher snow levels versus the rest of the forecast area.  

Thursday will also mark the day when the coldest air becomes entrenched over Washington State. Locally strong east winds at likely at the Passes and possibly at ridgeline level for the central and south Washington Cascades.  Fraser outflow winds from the NE will likely impact terrain near and north of Hwy 542.  Wind chills will definitely be below zero in many locations...stay warm! 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Tuesday Night Partly cloudy.
Wednesday Partly cloudy in the morning, becoming cloudy with a chance of light snow in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy.
Wednesday Mostly cloudy in the morning, becoming cloudy with a chance of light snow in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy.
Wednesday Mostly cloudy in the morning, becoming cloudy with a chance of light snow in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear.
Wednesday Mostly clear in the morning, becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy. Light east winds at Pass level.
Wednesday Mostly cloudy in the morning, becoming cloudy with a chance of light snow in the afternoon. Variable light winds at Pass level.
Tuesday Night Partly cloudy. Light east winds at Pass level.
Wednesday Mostly cloudy in the morning, becoming cloudy with a chance of light snow in the afternoon. Variable light winds at Pass level.
Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy.
Wednesday Mostly cloudy.
Tuesday Night Partly to mostly cloudy.
Wednesday Mostly cloudy
Tuesday Night Mostly clear.
Wednesday Partly cloudy.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear.
Wednesday Mostly suuny.

Precipitation (in)

Tuesday Night Wednesday Wednesday Night Thursday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass 0 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0 LT 0.10 0 0.25
Crystal Mt 0 0 0 0.25
Paradise 0 0 0 0.25 - 0.50
White Pass 0 0 0 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass 0 0 0 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 0 0 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0 0 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 LT 0.25 0.50
Timberline 0 0 LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday LT 0.10
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.25
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.50
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Tuesday Night 0
Wednesday 0
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75

Snow Level (ft)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics 1000' 500' 1000' 1500' 500' 0 500' 1000'
West North 500' 0 500' 1000' 500' 0 0 0
West Central 500' 0 500' 1500' 500' 0 0 0
West South 500' 0 500' 2500' 1000' 0 0 0
Stevens Pass 500' 0 500' 1500' 500' 0 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 500' 0 500' 1500' 500' 0 0 0
East North 500' 0 500' 1000' 500' 0 0 0
East Central 500' 0 500' 1000' 500' 0 0 0
East South 500' 0 1000' 2000' 500' 0 0 0
Mt. Hood 2000' 1500' 2000' 3500' 1500' 0 500' 1000'
Olympics Elevation
Tuesday Evening 1000'
Tuesday Night 500'
Wednesday Morning 1000'
Wednesday Afternoon 1500'
Wednesday Evening 500'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 500'
Thursday Afternoon 1000'
West North Elevation
Tuesday Evening 500'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 500'
Wednesday Afternoon 1000'
Wednesday Evening 500'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 0'
West Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening 500'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 500'
Wednesday Afternoon 1500'
Wednesday Evening 500'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 0'
West South Elevation
Tuesday Evening 500'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 500'
Wednesday Afternoon 2500'
Wednesday Evening 1000'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 0'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening 500'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 500'
Wednesday Afternoon 1500'
Wednesday Evening 500'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 0'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening 500'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 500'
Wednesday Afternoon 1500'
Wednesday Evening 500'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 0'
East North Elevation
Tuesday Evening 500'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 500'
Wednesday Afternoon 1000'
Wednesday Evening 500'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 0'
East Central Elevation
Tuesday Evening 500'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 500'
Wednesday Afternoon 1000'
Wednesday Evening 500'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 0'
East South Elevation
Tuesday Evening 500'
Tuesday Night 0'
Wednesday Morning 1000'
Wednesday Afternoon 2000'
Wednesday Evening 500'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 0'
Thursday Afternoon 0'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening 2000'
Tuesday Night 1500'
Wednesday Morning 2000'
Wednesday Afternoon 3500'
Wednesday Evening 1500'
Wednesday Night 0'
Thursday Morning 500'
Thursday Afternoon 1000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Tuesday Night Wednesday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 13 / 10 15 / 8
West North 9 / 3 14 / 4
West Central 12 / 9 16 / 7
West South 15 / 11 25 / 11
Stevens Pass 14 / 8 19 / 8
Snoqualmie Pass 13 / 9 19 / 8
East North 10 / 3 13 / 0
East Central 14 / 11 20 / 11
East South 17 / 14 26 / 14
Mt. Hood 22 / 19 31 / 20
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 13 / 10
Wednesday 15 / 8
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 9 / 3
Wednesday 14 / 4
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 12 / 9
Wednesday 16 / 7
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 15 / 11
Wednesday 25 / 11
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 14 / 8
Wednesday 19 / 8
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 13 / 9
Wednesday 19 / 8
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 10 / 3
Wednesday 13 / 0
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 14 / 11
Wednesday 20 / 11
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 17 / 14
Wednesday 26 / 14
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday Night 22 / 19
Wednesday 31 / 20

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night Wednesday Morning Wednesday Afternoon
Olympics W 0-10 W 5-15 W 5-15 SW 5-15
West North SW 0-10 W 5-15 SW 5-15 SW 5-15
West Central WSW 5-15 W 10-20 W 5-15 W 5-15
West South WSW 5-15 W 10-20 W 10-20 W 5-15
Stevens Pass WSW 0-10 W 5-15 W 5-15 W 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass WSW 5-15 W 10-20 W 5-15 W 5-15
East North W 5-15 W 10-20 W 5-15 W 10-20
East Central WSW 5-15 W 10-20 W 5-15 W 10-20
East South W 5-15 W 10-20 W 5-15 W 10-20
Mt. Hood W 10-20 W 15-25 W 20-30 W 15-25
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 0-10
Tuesday Night W 5-15
Wednesday Morning W 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon SW 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening SW 0-10
Tuesday Night W 5-15
Wednesday Morning SW 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon SW 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 5-15
Tuesday Night W 10-20
Wednesday Morning W 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon W 5-15
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 5-15
Tuesday Night W 10-20
Wednesday Morning W 10-20
Wednesday Afternoon W 5-15
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 0-10
Tuesday Night W 5-15
Wednesday Morning W 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon W 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 5-15
Tuesday Night W 10-20
Wednesday Morning W 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon W 5-15
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 5-15
Tuesday Night W 10-20
Wednesday Morning W 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon W 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening WSW 5-15
Tuesday Night W 10-20
Wednesday Morning W 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon W 10-20
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 5-15
Tuesday Night W 10-20
Wednesday Morning W 5-15
Wednesday Afternoon W 10-20
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Evening W 10-20
Tuesday Night W 15-25
Wednesday Morning W 20-30
Wednesday Afternoon W 15-25

Extended Weather Synopsis

As the parent upper level trough kicks inland Thursday night, another disturbance will likely keep snowfall going for the same areas through Friday.  Another slightly stronger frontal system reaches the area Saturday, slowing down as it reaches the coast. This could bring a light to moderate shot of snow across the region. It's unclear if we'll see much warming on Saturday or if we'll have to wait for additional Pacific systems to arrive before dislodging the modified arctic air mass. 

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
West North 0 0 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0 0
Mt. Hood 0 0 0 500'
West North Elevation
Thursday Night 0'
Friday 0'
Friday Night 0'
Saturday 0'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night 0'
Friday 0'
Friday Night 0'
Saturday 0'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night 0'
Friday 0'
Friday Night 0'
Saturday 500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 9, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.