Issued: 7:09 AM PST Saturday, February 6, 2021
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Weather Synopsis

Our final major upper-level disturbance in NW flow has started to bring moderate snowfall to the Cascades from I-90 to the Candian border. The rain and snow should intensify in the same areas and expand southward as the day progresses as the surface low tracks down the British Columbia coastline. Snow levels along the west slopes of the Cascades should rise from 2000 ft this morning and peak in the 3000-3500 ft range. Accelerating down-slope winds are warmer along the east slopes of the Cascades, leading to snow levels around 500 ft higher east of the mountains. We expect around 8-12" of snow above 3500 ft from Snoqualmie Pass to Mt. Baker by the end of the day on Saturday with 6-8" for White Pass and Paradise.

Postfrontal moderate snowfall should focus on the central Washington Cascades Saturday night as snow levels lower. Strong convergence bands could create intense snowfall rates and snowfall amounts in the 4-8" range from Snoqualmie Pass to the Mountain Loop area overnight.

The snow will gradually decrease, but the same areas of the central Cascades should pick up another 2-8" of low-density snow on Sunday.

This system will be very windy throughout with moderate to strong ridgeline winds across a wide area. The strongest winds will be east of the Cascades and through mountain gaps Saturday and Saturday night with strong to extreme likely for the Wenatchee Mountains and White Pass. The winds should gradually ease on Sunday.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Saturday Light snow, heaviest during the mid-morning hours.
Saturday Night Mostly cloudy with light snow showers possible.
Saturday Heavy snow. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Night Mostly cloudy with periods of light snow or snow showers.
Saturday Heavy rain and snow. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds peaking in the afternoon.
Saturday Night Moderate snow, heaviest in convergence. Gradually decreasing moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Moderate to heavy rain and snow developing at Paradise and White Pass with light rain and snow at Crystal. Very strong to extreme ridgeline winds near White Pass. Elsewhere, ridgeline winds will be strong.
Saturday Night Light snow showers, heaviest at Paradise. Decreasing moderate to strong ridgeline winds in most locations. Very strong ridgeline winds continue, but gradually decreasing near White Pass.
Saturday Heavy rain and snow. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds peaking in the afternoon. Moderate W winds at the Pass.
Saturday Night Moderate snow, locally heavy in convergence bands. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds. Decreasing light to moderate W winds at the Pass.
Saturday Heavy rain and snow. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds peaking in the afternoon. Moderate W winds at the Pass.
Saturday Night Moderate snow, locally heavy in convergence bands. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds. Decreasing moderate W winds at the Pass.
Saturday Moderate rain and snow. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Night Light snow showers. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Moderate to heavy rain and snow western part, lighter further east. Strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Night Moderate snow showers western part, lighter further east. Strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Light snow. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Night Light snow showers. Moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Saturday Light rain and snow developing in the morning, potentially becoming moderate in the afternoon. Strong to very strong ridgeline winds with extreme gusts.
Saturday Night Light rain and snow showers. Strong to very strong ridgeline winds with extreme gusts.

Precipitation (in)

Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 0 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 1.00 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass 1.00 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass 1.00 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Paradise 0.75 0.25 LT 0.25
White Pass 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Washington Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0.75 0.50 LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Timberline 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Saturday 1.00
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday 1.00 - 1.50
Saturday Night 0.50
Sunday LT 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday 1.00
Saturday Night 0.50
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday 1.00
Saturday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Saturday 0.75
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Saturday 0.75
Saturday Night 0.50
Sunday LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25

Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon Saturday Evening Saturday Night Sunday Morning Sunday Afternoon
Olympics 3000' 3500' 3000' 1500' 1000' 2000'
West North 2000' 2500' 3000' 1500' 1000' 1000'
West Central 2000' 2500' 3000' 2000' 1000' 1500'
West South 2000' 3500' 3000' 2000' 1000' 1500'
Stevens Pass 2000' 3000' 3000' 2000' 1000' 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass 2000' 3000' 3000' 2000' 1000' 1500'
East North 2000' 3000' 3000' 1500' 1000' 1500'
East Central 3000' 3500' 3000' 2000' 1000' 1500'
East South 3000' 4000' 3500' 2000' 1000' 2000'
Mt. Hood 2500' 3000' 3500' 2500' 2000' 2000'
Olympics Elevation
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 1500'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
West North Elevation
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 1500'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 1000'
West Central Elevation
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 1500'
West South Elevation
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 1500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 1500'
East North Elevation
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 1500'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 1500'
East Central Elevation
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 1500'
East South Elevation
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 4000'
Saturday Evening 3500'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Morning 2500'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening 3500'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday Morning 2000'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Saturday Saturday Night
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 29 / 25 24 / 19
West North 29 / 23 25 / 17
West Central 28 / 22 27 / 18
West South 29 / 23 27 / 20
Stevens Pass 29 / 22 27 / 19
Snoqualmie Pass 29 / 22 28 / 20
East North 29 / 22 26 / 17
East Central 30 / 22 28 / 19
East South 31 / 22 27 / 18
Mt. Hood 29 / 25 29 / 24
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 29 / 25
Saturday Night 24 / 19
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 29 / 23
Saturday Night 25 / 17
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 28 / 22
Saturday Night 27 / 18
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 29 / 23
Saturday Night 27 / 20
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 29 / 22
Saturday Night 27 / 19
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 29 / 22
Saturday Night 28 / 20
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 29 / 22
Saturday Night 26 / 17
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 30 / 22
Saturday Night 28 / 19
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 31 / 22
Saturday Night 27 / 18
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Saturday 29 / 25
Saturday Night 29 / 24

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon Saturday Evening Saturday Night
Olympics W 15-25 W 15-25 W 10-20 W 10-20
West North WSW 15-25 W 20-30 W 20-30 W 20-30
West Central WSW 20-30 W 25-35 WNW 25-35 W 20-30
West South W 25-35 W 30-40 W 25-35 W 20-30
Stevens Pass W 20-30 W 25-35 W 25-35 W 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass W 20-30 W 25-35 W 25-35 W 20-30
East North WSW 20-30 W 25-35 W 25-35 W 25-35
East Central W 30-40 W 35-50 W 30-40 W 30-40
East South W 20-30 W 25-35 W 25-35 W 20-30
Mt. Hood W 30-40 W 35-50 W 30-40 W 30-40
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning W 15-25
Saturday Afternoon W 15-25
Saturday Evening W 10-20
Saturday Night W 10-20
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning WSW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon W 20-30
Saturday Evening W 20-30
Saturday Night W 20-30
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning WSW 20-30
Saturday Afternoon W 25-35
Saturday Evening WNW 25-35
Saturday Night W 20-30
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning W 25-35
Saturday Afternoon W 30-40
Saturday Evening W 25-35
Saturday Night W 20-30
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning W 20-30
Saturday Afternoon W 25-35
Saturday Evening W 25-35
Saturday Night W 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning W 20-30
Saturday Afternoon W 25-35
Saturday Evening W 25-35
Saturday Night W 20-30
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning WSW 20-30
Saturday Afternoon W 25-35
Saturday Evening W 25-35
Saturday Night W 25-35
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning W 30-40
Saturday Afternoon W 35-50
Saturday Evening W 30-40
Saturday Night W 30-40
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning W 20-30
Saturday Afternoon W 25-35
Saturday Evening W 25-35
Saturday Night W 20-30
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Saturday Morning W 30-40
Saturday Afternoon W 35-50
Saturday Evening W 30-40
Saturday Night W 30-40

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Previous forecast from Feb 5, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.