Issued: 2:01 PM PST Friday, February 5, 2021
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

Friday night features cooling temperatures and a relative break between disturbances arriving on NW flow. Light to moderate W winds will keep snow flurries going in the evening. The approaching upper-level disturbance ushers a surface low south along the British Columbia Coastline. Winds increase and light snowfall develops after midnight from Snoqualmie Pass northward. On Saturday, snow will become heavy from Paradise to Mt. Baker. Increasing W winds accelerate down the east slopes of the Cascades to become very strong or extreme in exposed locations. Precipitation rates peak Saturday afternoon while snow levels peak early Saturday evening in the 3000 ft range. Precipitation becomes light to moderate Saturday night then very light on Sunday as temperatures cool. The east slopes of the Cascades could be mostly sunny on Sunday, but strong downslope winds remain in the forecast through the morning.

By the end of the day Saturday, we expect around a foot of new snow for Mt. Baker, the Mountain Loop, Stevens, Snoqualmie, and Paradise and 6-8" at White Pass.

Saturday night and Sunday could bring an additional 6-12" of snow to the central Washington Cascades and Passes.

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Friday Night Partly cloudy in the evening with clouds increasing and thickening overnight.
Saturday Light snow.
Friday Night Clouds increasing in the evening, then light snow developing overnight.
Saturday Heavy snow decreasing late in the day. Strong ridgeline wind gusts.
Friday Night Clouds increasing in the evening, then light snow developing overnight.
Saturday Heavy snow. Strong ridgeline wind gusts.
Friday Night Partly cloudy in the evening, then clouds increasing and light snow developing in the early morning hours.
Saturday Moderate snow becoming heavy at Paradise. Increasing light to moderate snow at White Pass. Light snow at Crystal. Snow mixing with rain at low elevations in the afternoon. Strong to extreme ridgeline winds near White Pass.
Friday Night Clouds increasing in the evening, then light snow developing in the early morning hours. Light W winds at the Pass.
Saturday Increasing moderate rain and snow becoming heavy. Increasing moderate to strong ridgeline winds. Moderate W winds at Pass level.
Friday Night Clouds increasing in the evening, then light snow developing in the early morning hours. Light W winds at the Pass.
Saturday Increasing heavy rain and snow. Increasing moderate to strong ridgeline winds. Moderate W winds at Pass level.
Friday Night Clouds increasing in the evening, then light snow developing in the early morning hours.
Saturday Increasing light to moderate snow.
Friday Night Mostly cloudy, then light snow developing in the early morning hours.
Saturday Increasing moderate rain and snow. Strong to extreme ridgeline winds heaviest in the Wenatchee Mountains.
Friday Night Partly cloudy, then light snow developing in the early morning hours.
Saturday Increasing light to moderate snow. Moderate to strong winds with very strong to extreme winds possible.
Friday Night Partly cloudy, then light snow developing in the early morning hours.
Saturday Light snow becoming moderate from late morning onward. Increasing strong to very strong winds with extreme gusts.

Precipitation (in)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0.25 0 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 0.75 -1.00 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.25 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 1.00 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.50
Crystal Mt 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Paradise LT 0.10 0.75 -1.00 0.25 LT 0.25
White Pass LT 0.10 0.75 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge 0 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 0.75 0.50 LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 LT 0.25 0 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Timberline LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.75 -1.00
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 1.00 - 1.50
Saturday Night 0.50
Sunday LT 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 1.00
Saturday Night 0.50
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 1.00 - 1.50
Saturday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday 0.50
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0.75 -1.00
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0.75
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0.75
Saturday Night 0.50
Sunday LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Friday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night 0
Sunday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10

Snow Level (ft)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon Saturday Evening Saturday Night Sunday Morning Sunday Afternoon
Olympics 4000' 3500' 3000' 3500' 3000' 1500' 1500' 2000'
West North 2500' 2500' 2000' 2500' 2500' 1500' 1000' 1000'
West Central 3000' 2500' 2000' 2500' 3000' 2000' 1000' 1500'
West South 3500' 2000' 1500' 3500' 3000' 2000' 1000' 2000'
Stevens Pass 3500' 2500' 2000' 2500' 3000' 2000' 1000' 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass 3500' 2500' 2000' 3000' 3000' 2000' 1500' 1500'
East North 3000' 2500' 2000' 3000' 3000' 1500' 1000' 1500'
East Central 3500' 2500' 2000' 3500' 3500' 2000' 1500' 2000'
East South 3500' 2500' 2000' 4000' 3500' 2000' 1500' 2000'
Mt. Hood 4000' 3000' 2000' 3000' 3500' 2500' 2000' 2000'
Olympics Elevation
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3500'
Saturday Morning 3000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 1500'
Sunday Morning 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
West North Elevation
Friday Evening 2500'
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening 2500'
Saturday Night 1500'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 1000'
West Central Elevation
Friday Evening 3000'
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 1500'
West South Elevation
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 2000'
Saturday Morning 1500'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 2500'
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 1500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday Morning 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 1500'
East North Elevation
Friday Evening 3000'
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening 3000'
Saturday Night 1500'
Sunday Morning 1000'
Sunday Afternoon 1500'
East Central Elevation
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 3500'
Saturday Evening 3500'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday Morning 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
East South Elevation
Friday Evening 3500'
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 4000'
Saturday Evening 3500'
Saturday Night 2000'
Sunday Morning 1500'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening 4000'
Friday Night 3000'
Saturday Morning 2000'
Saturday Afternoon 3000'
Saturday Evening 3500'
Saturday Night 2500'
Sunday Morning 2000'
Sunday Afternoon 2000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Friday Night Saturday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 29 / 23 29 / 26
West North 25 / 21 28 / 22
West Central 28 / 23 27 / 22
West South 29 / 21 29 / 22
Stevens Pass 28 / 22 28 / 22
Snoqualmie Pass 29 / 22 29 / 22
East North 26 / 23 29 / 22
East Central 28 / 22 30 / 22
East South 28 / 22 31 / 22
Mt. Hood 30 / 25 29 / 24
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 29 / 23
Saturday 29 / 26
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 25 / 21
Saturday 28 / 22
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 28 / 23
Saturday 27 / 22
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 29 / 21
Saturday 29 / 22
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 28 / 22
Saturday 28 / 22
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 29 / 22
Saturday 29 / 22
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 26 / 23
Saturday 29 / 22
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 28 / 22
Saturday 30 / 22
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 28 / 22
Saturday 31 / 22
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Friday Night 30 / 25
Saturday 29 / 24

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Friday Evening Friday Night Saturday Morning Saturday Afternoon
Olympics W 5-15 W 5-15 W 15-25 W 10-20
West North W 15-25 WSW 10-20 WSW 15-25 W 20-30
West Central W 10-20 WSW 15-25 WSW 20-30 W 20-30
West South WNW 10-20 WNW 15-25 W 15-25 W 20-30
Stevens Pass W 10-20 W 15-25 W 20-30 W 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass WNW 15-25 W 20-30 W 20-30 W 25-35
East North W 15-25 W 20-30 WSW 20-30 W 20-30
East Central WNW 25-35 W 25-35 W 30-40 W 30-40
East South W 5-15 W 10-20 W 20-30 W 20-30
Mt. Hood W 20-30 W 20-30 W 30-40 W 35-50
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 5-15
Friday Night W 5-15
Saturday Morning W 15-25
Saturday Afternoon W 10-20
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 15-25
Friday Night WSW 10-20
Saturday Morning WSW 15-25
Saturday Afternoon W 20-30
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 10-20
Friday Night WSW 15-25
Saturday Morning WSW 20-30
Saturday Afternoon W 20-30
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WNW 10-20
Friday Night WNW 15-25
Saturday Morning W 15-25
Saturday Afternoon W 20-30
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 10-20
Friday Night W 15-25
Saturday Morning W 20-30
Saturday Afternoon W 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WNW 15-25
Friday Night W 20-30
Saturday Morning W 20-30
Saturday Afternoon W 25-35
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 15-25
Friday Night W 20-30
Saturday Morning WSW 20-30
Saturday Afternoon W 20-30
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening WNW 25-35
Friday Night W 25-35
Saturday Morning W 30-40
Saturday Afternoon W 30-40
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 5-15
Friday Night W 10-20
Saturday Morning W 20-30
Saturday Afternoon W 20-30
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Friday Evening W 20-30
Friday Night W 20-30
Saturday Morning W 30-40
Saturday Afternoon W 35-50

Extended Weather Synopsis

A weak disturbance on cool NW flow Sunday night may bring up to 5" of snow to our mountains Sunday night. An upper-level arctic low pressure spanning the eastern 3/4 of North America slowly pushes southward and westward, increasingly drying out our weather pattern. Very light snow showers or flurries are possible Monday through Tuesday, but expect plenty of sun breaks and mostly sunny skies for the east slopes of the Cascades. Temperatures will be increasingly below normal and may start setting some record low temperatures by mid-week as upper-level flow shifts northerly.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Sunday Night Monday Monday Night Tuesday
West North 0 0 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass 1000' 500' 500' 0
Mt. Hood 1500' 1000' 1000' 500'
West North Elevation
Sunday Night 0'
Monday 0'
Monday Night 0'
Tuesday 0'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night 1000'
Monday 500'
Monday Night 500'
Tuesday 0'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night 1500'
Monday 1000'
Monday Night 1000'
Tuesday 500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 5, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.