Issued: 7:07 AM PST Thursday, February 4, 2021
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Weather Synopsis

A plume of moisture is rounding over a broad offshore ridge into our area on strong NW flow aloft. A disturbance arriving today has started to spread light snowfall into the area which should increase into the moderate range from Snoqualmie Pass to Mt. Baker where 4-8" of snow are possible by the end of the day. Crystal Mountain appears to be partially blocked by Mt. Rainier due to the westerly low-level flow. Winds are ramping up into the moderate range at many NWAC stations Thursday morning, particularly in the southern Washington Cascades, Mt. Hood area, the Cascade Passes, and along the east slopes of the Cascades. The White Pass upper station already has strong (30+ mph) winds.

A stronger impulse of energy arrives tonight as snow increases into the moderate to heavy range from Paradise to Mt. Baker. Another 6-12" of snow are likely above 3500 ft. Lower elevations such as Snoqualmie Pass should see snow totals significantly diminished by a rain/snow mix. Mt. Hood should start to get some light snowfall as well. Westerly winds will ramp up into the moderate to strong range after midnight into early Friday. The strongest winds will be along the east slopes of the Cascades and Mt. Hood where very strong to extreme gusts are likely.

On Friday, the pulse of energy shifts east of our region allowing snowfall to decrease from the moderate to the light range. Snow levels begin to drop toward the end of the day.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Increasing light snow.
Thursday Night Light snow. Moderate ridgeline winds may be strong at times after midnight.
Thursday Light snow early, then moderate snow.
Thursday Night Heavy rain and snow. Moderate ridgeline winds with strong gusts.
Thursday Light snow early, then moderate snow.
Thursday Night Heavy rain and snow. Moderate ridgeline winds with strong gusts.
Thursday Increasing light snow, heaviest at Paradise.
Thursday Night Heavy snow at Paradise and White Pass with light to moderate snow at Crystal. Increasing moderate to occasionally strong ridgeline winds.
Thursday Moderate snow developing. Light W wind at the Pass.
Thursday Night Heavy rain and snow. Light to moderate W wind at the Pass.
Thursday Light snow early, becoming moderate. W wind increasing into the light to moderate range at the Pass. Strong ridgeline wind gusts likely late in the day.
Thursday Night Heavy rain and snow. Snow levels near or slightly above the Pass. Increasing moderate W winds at the Pass. Moderate to occasionally strong ridgeline winds.
Thursday Increasing light snow.
Thursday Night Moderate snow. Increasing moderate to occasionally strong ridgeline winds.
Thursday Increasing light snow.
Thursday Night Moderate snow. Strong ridgeline winds, likely very strong in the Wenatchee Mountains.
Thursday Increasing light snow becoming a mix of rain and snow in the afternoon with rising snow levels.
Thursday Night Light snow. Increasing moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Thursday Cloudy with very light snow possible at times. Increasing moderate to strong ridgeline winds.
Thursday Night Increasing light snow. Increasing strong ridgeline winds with very strong to extreme gusts.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Thursday Night Friday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.25 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.50 - 0.75 0.75 -1.00 LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 0.25 - 0.50
Stevens Pass 0.50 1.00 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass 0.50 - 0.75 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 - 0.75
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50
Paradise 0.25 1.00 0.75
White Pass LT 0.10 0.75 0.50
Washington Pass LT 0.25 0.50 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 0.25 0.50 - 0.75
Timberline LT 0.10 0.25 0.50 - 0.75
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75
Thursday Night 0.75 -1.00
Friday LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night 1.00
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.50
Thursday Night 1.00
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.50 - 0.75
Thursday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night 1.00
Friday 0.75
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0.75
Friday 0.50
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Friday 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.50 - 0.75

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics 2000' 4000' 4500' 4000' 4500' 5000'
West North 1500' 2000' 2500' 3000' 3500' 3500'
West Central 1500' 2000' 3000' 3500' 3500' 3500'
West South 1500' 3000' 4000' 3500' 4000' 4000'
Stevens Pass 1500' 2500' 3000' 3500' 3500' 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass 2000' 2500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500'
East North 1000' 2500' 3000' 3000' 3000' 4000'
East Central 1000' 2500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 4000'
East South 1500' 3500' 4000' 4000' 4000' 4500'
Mt. Hood 2000' 3000' 3500' 3500' 4000' 4000'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Morning 2000'
Thursday Afternoon 4000'
Thursday Evening 4500'
Thursday Night 4000'
Friday Morning 4500'
Friday Afternoon 5000'
West North Elevation
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 2000'
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 3000'
Friday Morning 3500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 2000'
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 3500'
Friday Morning 3500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
West South Elevation
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 3000'
Thursday Evening 4000'
Thursday Night 3500'
Friday Morning 4000'
Friday Afternoon 4000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 2500'
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 3500'
Friday Morning 3500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning 2000'
Thursday Afternoon 2500'
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night 3500'
Friday Morning 3500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
East North Elevation
Thursday Morning 1000'
Thursday Afternoon 2500'
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 3000'
Friday Morning 3000'
Friday Afternoon 4000'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Morning 1000'
Thursday Afternoon 2500'
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night 3500'
Friday Morning 3500'
Friday Afternoon 4000'
East South Elevation
Thursday Morning 1500'
Thursday Afternoon 3500'
Thursday Evening 4000'
Thursday Night 4000'
Friday Morning 4000'
Friday Afternoon 4500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Morning 2000'
Thursday Afternoon 3000'
Thursday Evening 3500'
Thursday Night 3500'
Friday Morning 4000'
Friday Afternoon 4000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Thursday Night
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 30 / 25 30 / 27
West North 27 / 22 29 / 26
West Central 25 / 22 27 / 25
West South 28 / 21 29 / 27
Stevens Pass 26 / 23 28 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass 26 / 23 28 / 26
East North 29 / 22 28 / 25
East Central 28 / 22 28 / 26
East South 31 / 22 29 / 27
Mt. Hood 31 / 23 28 / 26
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 30 / 25
Thursday Night 30 / 27
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 27 / 22
Thursday Night 29 / 26
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 25 / 22
Thursday Night 27 / 25
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 28 / 21
Thursday Night 29 / 27
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 26 / 23
Thursday Night 28 / 25
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 26 / 23
Thursday Night 28 / 26
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 29 / 22
Thursday Night 28 / 25
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 28 / 22
Thursday Night 28 / 26
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 31 / 22
Thursday Night 29 / 27
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday 31 / 23
Thursday Night 28 / 26

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon Thursday Evening Thursday Night
Olympics WSW 5-15 WSW 10-20 WSW 15-25 W 15-25
West North WSW 5-15 WSW 10-20 W 15-25 W 15-25
West Central WSW 10-20 WSW 10-20 WSW 15-25 W 15-25
West South WSW 15-25 WNW 15-25 WNW 20-30 WNW 15-25
Stevens Pass W 10-20 W 10-20 W 20-30 W 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass W 10-20 WNW 15-25 WNW 20-30 W 20-30
East North W 5-15 W 10-20 W 10-20 W 20-30
East Central W 10-20 W 20-30 W 25-35 W 30-40
East South WNW 5-15 WNW 10-20 WNW 20-30 W 20-30
Mt. Hood WNW 15-25 WNW 20-30 W 25-35 W 30-40
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning WSW 5-15
Thursday Afternoon WSW 10-20
Thursday Evening WSW 15-25
Thursday Night W 15-25
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning WSW 5-15
Thursday Afternoon WSW 10-20
Thursday Evening W 15-25
Thursday Night W 15-25
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning WSW 10-20
Thursday Afternoon WSW 10-20
Thursday Evening WSW 15-25
Thursday Night W 15-25
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning WSW 15-25
Thursday Afternoon WNW 15-25
Thursday Evening WNW 20-30
Thursday Night WNW 15-25
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning W 10-20
Thursday Afternoon W 10-20
Thursday Evening W 20-30
Thursday Night W 20-30
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning W 10-20
Thursday Afternoon WNW 15-25
Thursday Evening WNW 20-30
Thursday Night W 20-30
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning W 5-15
Thursday Afternoon W 10-20
Thursday Evening W 10-20
Thursday Night W 20-30
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning W 10-20
Thursday Afternoon W 20-30
Thursday Evening W 25-35
Thursday Night W 30-40
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning WNW 5-15
Thursday Afternoon WNW 10-20
Thursday Evening WNW 20-30
Thursday Night W 20-30
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Morning WNW 15-25
Thursday Afternoon WNW 20-30
Thursday Evening W 25-35
Thursday Night W 30-40

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Previous forecast from Feb 3, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.