Issued: 2:12 PM PST Thursday, January 28, 2021
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

The cool upper trough influencing our weather this week continues to weaken as the trough axis moves onshore over the Pacific Northwest Thursday night. Light bands of snowfall primarily over northern Washington are most likely to bring a few inches of accumulating low-density snowfall to the Mt Baker area as they weaken and continue to lift away from the region on light SSW flow aloft. With partially clearing skies in many areas overnight, temperatures should cool off into the teens and low twenties in many mountain locations.

Friday should be a dry day in most areas with a mix of clouds and sun. Clouds should increase late in the day ahead of a modest trough. Light snow should reach the western Olympic Mountains late in the day.

Light snowfall should spread throughout the forecast region Friday night as SSW winds pick up into the moderate range. The heaviest snow and strongest winds are likely in the Mt. Baker area. The front should remain over the region on Saturday with light snowfall continuing to favor the volcanoes.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Thursday Night Isolated snow flurries with mostly cloudy skies in the evening, then becoming mostly clear.
Friday Mostly sunny in the morning, then becoming mostly cloudy in the afternoon.
Thursday Night Periods of light to occasionally moderate snow in the evening tapering to snow flurries.
Friday Partly cloudy with a chance of snow flurries early. Mostly sunny in the middle of the day. Clouds increasing late in the day.
Thursday Night Periods of light snow in the evening tapering to snow flurries.
Friday Partly cloudy with frequent sun breaks in the middle of the day.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy in the evening, then partly cloudy after midnight.
Friday Mostly sunny with clouds increasing late in the day.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy. Light E winds at the Pass.
Friday Partly to mostly sunny.
Thursday Night Mostly cloudy. Light E winds at the Pass.
Friday Partly to mostly sunny.
Thursday Night Light snow or snow flurries ending in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy.
Friday Partly cloudy early with increased sunshine throughout the day.
Thursday Night Snow flurries ending in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy.
Friday Mostly sunny skies.
Thursday Night Snow flurries ending in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy.
Friday Mostly sunny skies.
Thursday Night Snow flurries in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy.
Friday Mostly sunny in the morning with clouds increasing in the afternoon. A slight chance of light snow developing late in the day.

Precipitation (in)

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Saturday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.25 0 0.25 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10 0.25
Stevens Pass 0 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt 0 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Paradise 0 0 0.25 0.25
White Pass 0 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge 0 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head 0 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 0 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Timberline LT 0.10 0 0.25 0.25 - 0.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday 0
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.50
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Friday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Friday Night 0.25
Saturday 0.25 - 0.50

Snow Level (ft)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon Friday Evening* Friday Night* Saturday Morning* Saturday Afternoon*
Olympics 1500' 1000' 1500' 3000' 2000' 1500' 2000' 2500'
West North 2000' 1500' 1500' 2500' 1500' 1500' 1500' 2000'
West Central 2500' 1500' 2000' 3000' 1500' 1500' 1500' 2000'
West South 2500' 1500' 1500' 3500' 2000' 1500' 1500' 3000'
Stevens Pass 2500' 1500' 1500' 3000' 1500' 1000' 500' 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass 2500' 1500' 2000' 3000' 2000' 1000' 1000' 2000'
East North 2000' 1000' 1000' 3000' 1500' 500' 0 1500'
East Central 2500' 1000' 1500' 3000' 1500' 1000' 1000' 2000'
East South 3000' 1000' 1500' 3500' 2000' 1500' 1500' 3000'
Mt. Hood 3000' 2000' 2000' 3500' 2500' 2000' 2500' 3500'
Olympics Elevation
Thursday Evening 1500'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Friday Evening* 2000'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 2000'
Saturday Afternoon* 2500'
West North Elevation
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Friday Evening* 1500'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 2000'
West Central Elevation
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning* 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Friday Evening* 1500'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 2000'
West South Elevation
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Friday Evening* 2000'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 3000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Friday Evening* 1500'
Friday Night* 1000'
Saturday Morning* 500'
Saturday Afternoon* 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 1500'
Friday Morning* 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Friday Evening* 2000'
Friday Night* 1000'
Saturday Morning* 1000'
Saturday Afternoon* 2000'
East North Elevation
Thursday Evening 2000'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning* 1000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Friday Evening* 1500'
Friday Night* 500'
Saturday Morning* 0'
Saturday Afternoon* 1500'
East Central Elevation
Thursday Evening 2500'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Friday Evening* 1500'
Friday Night* 1000'
Saturday Morning* 1000'
Saturday Afternoon* 2000'
East South Elevation
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 1000'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Friday Evening* 2000'
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday Morning* 1500'
Saturday Afternoon* 3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening 3000'
Thursday Night 2000'
Friday Morning* 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Friday Evening* 2500'
Friday Night* 2000'
Saturday Morning* 2500'
Saturday Afternoon* 3500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Thursday Night Friday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 23 / 15 23 / 15
West North 23 / 19 23 / 20
West Central 25 / 17 23 / 16
West South 25 / 17 28 / 16
Stevens Pass 26 / 15 28 / 16
Snoqualmie Pass 25 / 17 25 / 16
East North 24 / 16 25 / 15
East Central 25 / 16 27 / 16
East South 24 / 17 30 / 17
Mt. Hood 26 / 19 30 / 19
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 23 / 15
Friday 23 / 15
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 23 / 19
Friday 23 / 20
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 25 / 17
Friday 23 / 16
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 25 / 17
Friday 28 / 16
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 26 / 15
Friday 28 / 16
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 25 / 17
Friday 25 / 16
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 24 / 16
Friday 25 / 15
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 25 / 16
Friday 27 / 16
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 24 / 17
Friday 30 / 17
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Thursday Night 26 / 19
Friday 30 / 19

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Thursday Evening Thursday Night Friday Morning Friday Afternoon
Olympics SW 0-10 SW 0-10 SW 5-15 SSW 5-15
West North SSW 0-10 SSW 0-10 S 5-15 SSW 5-15
West Central WSW 5-15 WSW 0-10 SW 0-10 SW 5-15
West South WSW 0-10 WSW 0-10 WSW 0-10 SW 5-15
Stevens Pass W 0-10 WSW 0-10 WSW 0-10 W 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass W 5-15 W 5-15 W 0-10 W 5-15
East North WSW 0-10 WSW 5-15 WSW 0-10 WSW 5-15
East Central W 0-10 WSW 5-15 W 5-15 WSW 5-15
East South W 0-10 W 0-10 W 0-10 WSW 5-15
Mt. Hood SW 10-20 SW 5-15 SW 0-10 SW 5-15
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SW 0-10
Thursday Night SW 0-10
Friday Morning SW 5-15
Friday Afternoon SSW 5-15
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SSW 0-10
Thursday Night SSW 0-10
Friday Morning S 5-15
Friday Afternoon SSW 5-15
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WSW 5-15
Thursday Night WSW 0-10
Friday Morning SW 0-10
Friday Afternoon SW 5-15
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WSW 0-10
Thursday Night WSW 0-10
Friday Morning WSW 0-10
Friday Afternoon SW 5-15
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 0-10
Thursday Night WSW 0-10
Friday Morning WSW 0-10
Friday Afternoon W 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 5-15
Thursday Night W 5-15
Friday Morning W 0-10
Friday Afternoon W 5-15
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening WSW 0-10
Thursday Night WSW 5-15
Friday Morning WSW 0-10
Friday Afternoon WSW 5-15
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 0-10
Thursday Night WSW 5-15
Friday Morning W 5-15
Friday Afternoon WSW 5-15
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening W 0-10
Thursday Night W 0-10
Friday Morning W 0-10
Friday Afternoon WSW 5-15
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Thursday Evening SW 10-20
Thursday Night SW 5-15
Friday Morning SW 0-10
Friday Afternoon SW 5-15

Extended Weather Synopsis

The leading edge of a deep trough reaches the coastline and merges with a stalled and weakening frontal band on Saturday night, putting our region on the active downstream side of the trough. Expect increasing light to moderate rain and snow, particularly for the Olympic Mountains and Coast areas Saturday night. SSW flow continues with light E flow at the surface on Sunday as the leading edge of the trough shifts eastward. Moderate rain and snow should focus on the Cascades volcanoes.  Sunday night, precipitation intensifies across the region as models indicate the development of a surface low aiming for Vancouver Island. The trough manages to tap into some subtropical moisture which is likely to bring snow levels to an apex slightly above Snoqualmie Pass level by Sunday night. On Monday, the heavier moisture lingers into the morning hours and gradually exits as the trough axis approaches our nearshore water and a cooler, showery regime takes over.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Saturday Night* Sunday * Sunday Night* Monday
West North 2000' 2500' 3000' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 2500' 3000' 3500' 3500'
Mt. Hood 4000' 4000' 5000' 4000'
West North Elevation
Saturday Night* 2000'
Sunday * 2500'
Sunday Night* 3000'
Monday 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night* 2500'
Sunday * 3000'
Sunday Night* 3500'
Monday 3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night* 4000'
Sunday * 4000'
Sunday Night* 5000'
Monday 4000'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 28, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.