Issued: 1:59 PM PST Wednesday, January 27, 2021
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

A deep trough off the west coast of the US gradually shifts east, directing the more active weather toward California. SSW upper-level flow ahead of the trough will lift a weak circulation center northward along the coast, spreading another band of generally light snowfall across our region Wednesday night into Thursday morning. The setup appears fairly similar to Tuesday night with southerly winds aloft, but lighter E winds near the surface. Temperatures remain cold, so expect high snow-to-water ratios once again focusing on the E slopes of the Cascades, Olympics, and volcanoes. These areas can expect another 3-6" of snow, while central Cascade passes might only pick up 1-2".

The surface feature associated with Wednesday night's precipitation fizzles off the Washington Coast Thursday morning as periods of light snowfall gradually giving way to partial sunshine from south to north.

Thursday night, the energy associated with the trough has formed a cutoff low in the California near-shore waters. The northerly remnants of the trough move over the region with partly cloudy skies and a chance of lingering snow flurries remaining with below normal temperatures.

On Friday, light E flow at low-levels shifts back westerly by the afternoon as the next front approaches. Expect partly cloudy skies becoming mostly cloudy late in the day. After a cool start, temperatures should moderate to near seasonal norms.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Wednesday Night Cloudy with periods of light snow from late evening onwards.
Thursday Partly cloudy with increasing clouds banked up against N part of the Olympics in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with periods of light snow.
Thursday Mostly cloudy with a chance of light snow in the morning. Becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with periods of light snow.
Thursday Mostly cloudy with a chance of light snow in the morning. Becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Bands of light to moderate snow.
Thursday Mostly cloudy with a chance of light snow in the morning. Becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with periods of light snow. Light E winds at the Pass.
Thursday Mostly cloudy with a chance of light snow in the morning. Becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. Decreasing light E winds at the Pass.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with periods of light snow. Light E winds with moderate gusts at the Pass.
Thursday Mostly cloudy with a chance of light snow in the morning. Becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. Decreasing light E winds at the Pass.
Wednesday Night Periods of light snow.
Thursday Mostly cloudy with a chance of light snow in the morning. Becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Periods of light to occasionally moderate snow.
Thursday Mostly cloudy with a chance of light snow in the morning. Becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Bands of light to occasionally moderate snow.
Thursday Mostly cloudy with a chance of light snow in the morning. Becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Bands of moderate snow.
Thursday Mostly cloudy with a chance of light snow in the morning. Becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon.

Precipitation (in)

Wednesday Night Thursday Thursday Night Friday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0 0
Paradise 0.25 LT 0.10 0 0
White Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0 0
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Timberline 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.50
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Wednesday Evening* Wednesday Night* Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon* Thursday Evening* Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon
Olympics 1500' 1500' 1000' 2000' 1500' 1000' 1500' 2500'
West North 1000' 500' 1000' 2000' 2000' 1000' 1500' 3000'
West Central 1000' 500' 1000' 2500' 2000' 1000' 1500' 3000'
West South 2000' 1000' 1500' 2500' 2500' 1500' 2000' 3500'
Stevens Pass 500' 0 500' 2000' 2000' 1000' 1500' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 1000' 500' 1000' 2500' 2000' 1500' 1500' 3000'
East North 500' 0 500' 2000' 2000' 500' 1000' 3000'
East Central 1000' 500' 1000' 2000' 2000' 1000' 1500' 3000'
East South 2000' 1500' 1500' 3000' 3000' 1500' 2000' 3500'
Mt. Hood 2500' 2500' 2000' 3000' 3000' 2500' 3000' 3500'
Olympics Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 1500'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning* 1000'
Thursday Afternoon* 2000'
Thursday Evening* 1500'
Thursday Night* 1000'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
West North Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 1000'
Wednesday Night* 500'
Thursday Morning* 1000'
Thursday Afternoon* 2000'
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night* 1000'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
West Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 1000'
Wednesday Night* 500'
Thursday Morning* 1000'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night* 1000'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
West South Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 2000'
Wednesday Night* 1000'
Thursday Morning* 1500'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
Thursday Evening* 2500'
Thursday Night* 1500'
Friday Morning* 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 500'
Wednesday Night* 0'
Thursday Morning* 500'
Thursday Afternoon* 2000'
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night* 1000'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 1000'
Wednesday Night* 500'
Thursday Morning* 1000'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night* 1500'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
East North Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 500'
Wednesday Night* 0'
Thursday Morning* 500'
Thursday Afternoon* 2000'
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night* 500'
Friday Morning* 1000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
East Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 1000'
Wednesday Night* 500'
Thursday Morning* 1000'
Thursday Afternoon* 2000'
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night* 1000'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
East South Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 2000'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning* 1500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
Thursday Evening* 3000'
Thursday Night* 1500'
Friday Morning* 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 2500'
Wednesday Night* 2500'
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
Thursday Evening* 3000'
Thursday Night* 2500'
Friday Morning* 3000'
Friday Afternoon 3500'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Wednesday Night Thursday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 21 / 18 24 / 20
West North 20 / 16 25 / 18
West Central 22 / 16 26 / 18
West South 25 / 20 27 / 21
Stevens Pass 21 / 17 25 / 19
Snoqualmie Pass 22 / 17 26 / 19
East North 19 / 15 24 / 17
East Central 23 / 17 24 / 19
East South 23 / 20 27 / 21
Mt. Hood 26 / 24 27 / 24
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 21 / 18
Thursday 24 / 20
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 20 / 16
Thursday 25 / 18
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 22 / 16
Thursday 26 / 18
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 25 / 20
Thursday 27 / 21
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 21 / 17
Thursday 25 / 19
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 22 / 17
Thursday 26 / 19
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 19 / 15
Thursday 24 / 17
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 23 / 17
Thursday 24 / 19
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 23 / 20
Thursday 27 / 21
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 26 / 24
Thursday 27 / 24

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics SSE 0-10 SE 5-15 SE 0-10 SSE 0-10
West North S 0-10 SE 10-20 SE 0-10 SSE 0-10
West Central ESE 5-15 SE 5-15 SE 0-10 SSE 0-10
West South SSE 5-15 S 10-20 SE 5-15 SSE 0-10
Stevens Pass SE 5-15 SE 5-15 SE 5-15 SSE 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass ESE 10-20 SE 5-15 SE 5-15 SSE 0-10
East North SE 5-15 SE 5-15 SE 5-15 SSE 0-10
East Central SSE 5-15 SSE 10-20 SE 10-20 SSE 0-10
East South SSE 5-15 S 10-20 SE 5-15 SSE 0-10
Mt. Hood S 10-20 SW 10-20 SE 5-15 SSE 5-15
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SSE 0-10
Wednesday Night SE 5-15
Thursday Morning SE 0-10
Thursday Afternoon SSE 0-10
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening S 0-10
Wednesday Night SE 10-20
Thursday Morning SE 0-10
Thursday Afternoon SSE 0-10
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening ESE 5-15
Wednesday Night SE 5-15
Thursday Morning SE 0-10
Thursday Afternoon SSE 0-10
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SSE 5-15
Wednesday Night S 10-20
Thursday Morning SE 5-15
Thursday Afternoon SSE 0-10
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SE 5-15
Wednesday Night SE 5-15
Thursday Morning SE 5-15
Thursday Afternoon SSE 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening ESE 10-20
Wednesday Night SE 5-15
Thursday Morning SE 5-15
Thursday Afternoon SSE 0-10
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SE 5-15
Wednesday Night SE 5-15
Thursday Morning SE 5-15
Thursday Afternoon SSE 0-10
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SSE 5-15
Wednesday Night SSE 10-20
Thursday Morning SE 10-20
Thursday Afternoon SSE 0-10
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening SSE 5-15
Wednesday Night S 10-20
Thursday Morning SE 5-15
Thursday Afternoon SSE 0-10
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening S 10-20
Wednesday Night SW 10-20
Thursday Morning SE 5-15
Thursday Afternoon SSE 5-15

Extended Weather Synopsis

WSW flow increases Friday night as a weakening frontal system moves into the region, spreading increasing light snow. The front should move through during the early morning hours on Saturday with light post-frontal snow showers. A deep, cold trough digs into the offshore waters on Saturday, shifting flow SWerly late in the day. The leading edge of the trough should bring increasing snowfall on SSW flow as waves of moderate rain and snow move into the region with snow levels rising to near seasonal norms. East flow should keep the passes plenty cold for snow.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Friday Night* Saturday * Saturday Night* Sunday *
West North 1500' 2000' 2000' 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass 2000' 1500' 2000' 2500'
Mt. Hood 2000' 2500' 3500' 3500'
West North Elevation
Friday Night* 1500'
Saturday * 2000'
Saturday Night* 2000'
Sunday * 2000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Night* 2000'
Saturday * 1500'
Saturday Night* 2000'
Sunday * 2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Night* 2000'
Saturday * 2500'
Saturday Night* 3500'
Sunday * 3500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 27, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.