Issued: 2:09 PM PST Wednesday, January 20, 2021
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis

Relatively quiet weather continues across the Pacific Northwest. A compact upper low tracks down the coast, staying offshore. As the low approaches, it is starting to add moisture and dynamic support to a stalled frontal boundary over southern Washington. Very light rain and snow shower activity has started in the Mt. Rainier area. This band should expand and increase slightly in intensity through Thursday morning. The upper low finds some support at the surface and becomes vertically stacked Thursday morning before gradually exiting the region on a track toward northern California. Light snow should gradually wind down Thursday afternoon and night, with very little shift in the location of the precipitation band, thanks to the stationary front. Paradise and Mt. Hood can expect 2-5" of snow while all other locations should pick up 0-2." Winds will be light and temperatures gradually cooling as the departing low draws down Canadian air, so precipitation will generally fall as snow at ski area bases. Easterly low-level flow should be light through Friday morning, peaking with the "heaviest" precipitation Thursday morning.

The Pacific Northwest should be cool and dry with partially clearing skies and light northerly flow aloft on Friday.

 

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Wednesday Night Cloudy with increasing chances of very light rain or snow.
Thursday Periods of light snow, decreasing in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Cloudy.
Thursday Cloudy with a chance of snow flurries.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with increasing chances of very light rain or snow by morning.
Thursday Cloudy with periods of very light snow.
Wednesday Night Light rain and snow developing during the evening and increasing after midnight.
Thursday Cloudy with light rain and snow decreasing in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with very light rain and snow developing in the early morning hours. Light E winds at pass level.
Thursday Cloudy with periods of very light snow. Light E winds at pass level.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with very light rain and snow developing in the early morning hours. Increasing light E winds at pass level.
Thursday Cloudy with periods of light snow. Light to moderate E winds at pass level.
Wednesday Night Cloudy.
Thursday Cloudy with periods of very light snow.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with very light rain and snow developing in the early morning hours.
Thursday Cloudy with periods of light snow.
Wednesday Night Light rain and snow developing during the evening and increasing after midnight.
Thursday Periods of light snow.
Wednesday Night Cloudy with light rain and snow developing after midnight.
Thursday Decreasing light rain and snow.

Precipitation (in)

Wednesday Night Thursday Thursday Night Friday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 0 0 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass 0 LT 0.10 0 0
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 0
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Paradise LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
White Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Washington Pass 0 0 0 0
Mission Ridge 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Timberline LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.10 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0
Friday 0
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night 0
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0

Snow Level (ft)

Wednesday Evening* Wednesday Night* Thursday Morning* Thursday Afternoon* Thursday Evening* Thursday Night* Friday Morning* Friday Afternoon
Olympics 3000' 2500' 2000' 2500' 2000' 2000' 2500' 3000'
West North 2500' 2000' 2000' 2500' 2000' 500' 1500' 2500'
West Central 3000' 2500' 2000' 2500' 2000' 1000' 1500' 3000'
West South 3500' 3000' 2500' 3000' 2500' 1500' 2000' 3500'
Stevens Pass 2500' 2000' 2000' 2500' 2000' 500' 1000' 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass 3000' 2000' 2000' 2500' 2000' 1500' 2000' 3000'
East North 3000' 1500' 1500' 2500' 1500' 0 1000' 2500'
East Central 3000' 2000' 1500' 2500' 2000' 1000' 1500' 3000'
East South 4000' 3000' 2500' 3000' 2000' 1000' 1500' 3000'
Mt. Hood 5500' 4500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 2500' 2500' 3000'
Olympics Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 3000'
Wednesday Night* 2500'
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night* 2000'
Friday Morning* 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
West North Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 2500'
Wednesday Night* 2000'
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night* 500'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
West Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 3000'
Wednesday Night* 2500'
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night* 1000'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
West South Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 3500'
Wednesday Night* 3000'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
Thursday Evening* 2500'
Thursday Night* 1500'
Friday Morning* 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 2500'
Wednesday Night* 2000'
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night* 500'
Friday Morning* 1000'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 3000'
Wednesday Night* 2000'
Thursday Morning* 2000'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night* 1500'
Friday Morning* 2000'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
East North Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 3000'
Wednesday Night* 1500'
Thursday Morning* 1500'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
Thursday Evening* 1500'
Thursday Night* 0'
Friday Morning* 1000'
Friday Afternoon 2500'
East Central Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 3000'
Wednesday Night* 2000'
Thursday Morning* 1500'
Thursday Afternoon* 2500'
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night* 1000'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
East South Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 4000'
Wednesday Night* 3000'
Thursday Morning* 2500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3000'
Thursday Evening* 2000'
Thursday Night* 1000'
Friday Morning* 1500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening* 5500'
Wednesday Night* 4500'
Thursday Morning* 3500'
Thursday Afternoon* 3500'
Thursday Evening* 3500'
Thursday Night* 2500'
Friday Morning* 2500'
Friday Afternoon 3000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Wednesday Night Thursday
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 27 / 24 25 / 22
West North 26 / 23 24 / 22
West Central 28 / 24 25 / 23
West South 30 / 24 26 / 23
Stevens Pass 28 / 24 24 / 21
Snoqualmie Pass 29 / 25 24 / 23
East North 28 / 22 24 / 19
East Central 29 / 25 24 / 21
East South 30 / 25 25 / 22
Mt. Hood 33 / 30 30 / 27
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 27 / 24
Thursday 25 / 22
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 26 / 23
Thursday 24 / 22
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 28 / 24
Thursday 25 / 23
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 30 / 24
Thursday 26 / 23
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 28 / 24
Thursday 24 / 21
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 29 / 25
Thursday 24 / 23
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 28 / 22
Thursday 24 / 19
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 29 / 25
Thursday 24 / 21
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 30 / 25
Thursday 25 / 22
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Wednesday Night 33 / 30
Thursday 30 / 27

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Wednesday Evening Wednesday Night Thursday Morning Thursday Afternoon
Olympics W 0-10 W 0-10 W 0-10 VAR 0-10
West North W 0-10 VAR 0-10 SE 0-10 E 0-10
West Central W 0-10 WSW 0-10 SE 0-10 ESE 0-10
West South WSW 5-15 WSW 5-15 W 0-10 WSW 0-10
Stevens Pass W 0-10 WSW 0-10 SE 0-10 SE 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass W 0-10 WSW 5-15 SW 0-10 SW 0-10
East North W 0-10 SSE 0-10 E 0-10 ESE 0-10
East Central W 0-10 WSW 0-10 S 0-10 SSW 0-10
East South W 5-15 WSW 5-15 WSW 0-10 WSW 0-10
Mt. Hood W 5-15 WSW 5-15 W 0-10 WSW 0-10
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 0-10
Wednesday Night W 0-10
Thursday Morning W 0-10
Thursday Afternoon VAR 0-10
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 0-10
Wednesday Night VAR 0-10
Thursday Morning SE 0-10
Thursday Afternoon E 0-10
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 0-10
Wednesday Night WSW 0-10
Thursday Morning SE 0-10
Thursday Afternoon ESE 0-10
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening WSW 5-15
Wednesday Night WSW 5-15
Thursday Morning W 0-10
Thursday Afternoon WSW 0-10
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 0-10
Wednesday Night WSW 0-10
Thursday Morning SE 0-10
Thursday Afternoon SE 0-10
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 0-10
Wednesday Night WSW 5-15
Thursday Morning SW 0-10
Thursday Afternoon SW 0-10
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 0-10
Wednesday Night SSE 0-10
Thursday Morning E 0-10
Thursday Afternoon ESE 0-10
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 0-10
Wednesday Night WSW 0-10
Thursday Morning S 0-10
Thursday Afternoon SSW 0-10
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 5-15
Wednesday Night WSW 5-15
Thursday Morning WSW 0-10
Thursday Afternoon WSW 0-10
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Wednesday Evening W 5-15
Wednesday Night WSW 5-15
Thursday Morning W 0-10
Thursday Afternoon WSW 0-10

Extended Weather Synopsis

NNW flow aloft should keep the weather quiet and near or below seasonal temperature norms through Saturday evening. A more significant low tracks into our area on NW flow and should deliver a round of colder rain and snow late Saturday night and Sunday with a sharper trough just offshore by late Sunday. The system is cold enough that snow may be possible in some lowland areas. At this time, accumulations appear generally light over our mountains, with forecast energy focused further south on southern Oregon and California.

Extended Snow Level (ft)

Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday *
West North 1500' 1500' 500' 500'
Snoqualmie Pass 2500' 2000' 1000' 1500'
Mt. Hood 2500' 2500' 1500' 1500'
West North Elevation
Friday Night 1500'
Saturday 1500'
Saturday Night 500'
Sunday * 500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday 2000'
Saturday Night 1000'
Sunday * 1500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Night 2500'
Saturday 2500'
Saturday Night 1500'
Sunday * 1500'

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 20, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.