Issued: 7:08 AM PST Tuesday, January 5, 2021
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Weather Synopsis

The final major storm in an unrelenting train off the Pacific will approach the area on Tuesday, lifting a warm front over western Washington. Following a cool start on Tuesday with post-frontal snow showers winding down, light precipitation ahead of the approaching warm front has reached the Washington Coast. Light snowfalls should gradually fill in across NW Washington during the morning hours, then increase into the moderate to heavy range in the afternoon in these same areas during the afternoon, while moving light precipitation into other areas of Washington. Increasing E low-level flow will allow some of this light precipitation to spill onto the E slopes of the Cascades. Increasing SSW or S ridgeline for the Hurricane Ridge and Mt. Baker areas should become moderate and strong, respectively, from late morning onwards.

The storm reaches peak precipitation intensity Tuesday evening and overnight where areas favored by SSW can expect very heavy snowfall rates, tapering with a frontal passage in the early morning hours. E flow through the passes should keep the passes cool and we don't expect a wind shift with the frontal passage, just a decrease in E flow. Light to moderate post-frontal showers should end relatively quickly on Tuesday over Washington State. Mt. Hood should see a delay in the onset and the end of the storm with heavier precipitation late Tuesday night and Wednesday morning before tapering off in the afternoon. 

Overall, the storm is likely to bring 1-2 ft of snow to many areas of the Cascades with the most expected at Mt. Baker, Paradise, Snoqualmie Pass, and Washington Pass.

An incoming upper trough will likely bring a disturbance with some light to moderate snow moving into the Olympics and Mt. Hood area during the afternoon.

Weather Forecast

Olympics
West North
West Central
West South
Stevens Pass
Snoqualmie Pass
East North
East Central
East South
Mt. Hood
Use dropdown to select your zone
Tuesday Light rain and snow in the morning becoming moderate to heavy in the afternoon. Ridgeline winds becoming moderate to strong.
Tuesday Night Heavy rain and snow in the evening, decreasing overnight.
Tuesday Light rain and snow developing in the morning and becoming heavy in the afternoon. Ridgeline winds increasing to strong by the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Very heavy rain and snow decreasing slightly in the early morning hours.
Tuesday Periods of light rain and snow, increasing and possibly becoming moderate late in the day.
Tuesday Night Heavy rain and snow.
Tuesday Periods of light rain and snow, increasing and possibly becoming moderate late in the day.
Tuesday Night Heavy rain and snow at Paradise and Crystal with moderate rain and snow at White Pass.
Tuesday Periods of light rain and snow, increasing late in the day. Light E winds at pass level.
Tuesday Night Moderate rain and snow. Light E winds at pass level.
Tuesday Periods of light rain and snow, increasing and possibly becoming moderate late in the day. W pass-level wind switching to E early in the day and increasing in the light-moderate range during the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Heavy rain and snow. Decreasing moderate E winds at pass level.
Tuesday Periods of light snow, increasing and possibly becoming moderate late in the day.
Tuesday Night Heavy snow.
Tuesday Periods of light rain and snow, increasing and possibly becoming moderate late in the day.
Tuesday Night Heavy rain and snow.
Tuesday Partly to mostly cloudy in the morning with light rain and snow developing late in the day.
Tuesday Night Moderate rain and snow.
Tuesday Mostly cloudy with increasing ridgeline winds with strong gusts in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night Moderate rain and snow developing in the overnight hours.

Precipitation (in)

Tuesday Tuesday Night Wednesday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.75 0.75 -1.00 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area 1.00 2.00 - 2.50 LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass LT 0.25 1.50 LT 0.25
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 0.75 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 1.50 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 1.00 LT 0.25
Paradise 0.25 1.50 - 2.00 0.50
White Pass LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
Washington Pass 0.25 1.00 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head LT 0.25 1.00 LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0.50 0.50 - 0.75
Timberline 0 0.50 0.50 - 0.75
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0.75
Tuesday Night 0.75 -1.00
Wednesday LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 1.00
Tuesday Night 2.00 - 2.50
Wednesday LT 0.25
Mt. Loop - Barlow Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night 1.50
Wednesday LT 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.75
Wednesday 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night 1.50
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Crystal Mt Precipitation (in)
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night 1.00
Wednesday LT 0.25
Paradise Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night 1.50 - 2.00
Wednesday 0.50
White Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night 1.00
Wednesday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation (in)
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.10
Salmon la Sac - Gallagher Head Precipitation (in)
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night 1.00
Wednesday LT 0.25
Tieton River - Darland Mt. Precipitation (in)
Tuesday LT 0.10
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0.50
Wednesday 0.50 - 0.75
Timberline Precipitation (in)
Tuesday 0
Tuesday Night 0.50
Wednesday 0.50 - 0.75

Snow Level (ft)

Tuesday Morning* Tuesday Afternoon* Tuesday Evening* Tuesday Night* Wednesday Morning* Wednesday Afternoon*
Olympics 2000' 3000' 3500' 4000' 2500' 3000'
West North 1500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500' 3000'
West Central 2000' 2500' 2500' 2000' 2500' 3000'
West South 1500' 3000' 3000' 3500' 3500' 4000'
Stevens Pass 2000' 2500' 2500' 2000' 2500' 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass 2000' 3000' 2500' 2500' 2500' 3000'
East North 500' 2000' 2000' 1500' 2000' 3000'
East Central 1500' 3000' 2500' 2500' 3500' 3000'
East South 2000' 3000' 3500' 3500' 4000' 4000'
Mt. Hood 2000' 4000' 5500' 4500' 4500' 4000'
Olympics Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 2000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3000'
Tuesday Evening* 3500'
Tuesday Night* 4000'
Wednesday Morning* 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
West North Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 1500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 2500'
Tuesday Evening* 2500'
Tuesday Night* 2500'
Wednesday Morning* 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
West Central Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 2000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 2500'
Tuesday Evening* 2500'
Tuesday Night* 2000'
Wednesday Morning* 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
West South Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 1500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3000'
Tuesday Evening* 3000'
Tuesday Night* 3500'
Wednesday Morning* 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 4000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 2000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 2500'
Tuesday Evening* 2500'
Tuesday Night* 2000'
Wednesday Morning* 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 2000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3000'
Tuesday Evening* 2500'
Tuesday Night* 2500'
Wednesday Morning* 2500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
East North Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 2000'
Tuesday Evening* 2000'
Tuesday Night* 1500'
Wednesday Morning* 2000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
East Central Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 1500'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3000'
Tuesday Evening* 2500'
Tuesday Night* 2500'
Wednesday Morning* 3500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 3000'
East South Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 2000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 3000'
Tuesday Evening* 3500'
Tuesday Night* 3500'
Wednesday Morning* 4000'
Wednesday Afternoon* 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Morning* 2000'
Tuesday Afternoon* 4000'
Tuesday Evening* 5500'
Tuesday Night* 4500'
Wednesday Morning* 4500'
Wednesday Afternoon* 4000'

5000' Temperatures (°F)

Tuesday Tuesday Night
Max / Min Max / Min
Olympics 29 / 25 30 / 25
West North 27 / 23 29 / 28
West Central 27 / 23 30 / 27
West South 31 / 24 31 / 29
Stevens Pass 28 / 21 29 / 27
Snoqualmie Pass 27 / 23 28 / 26
East North 26 / 18 25 / 23
East Central 28 / 19 28 / 26
East South 30 / 22 30 / 26
Mt. Hood 34 / 24 35 / 30
Olympics 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 29 / 25
Tuesday Night 30 / 25
West North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 27 / 23
Tuesday Night 29 / 28
West Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 27 / 23
Tuesday Night 30 / 27
West South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 31 / 24
Tuesday Night 31 / 29
Stevens Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 28 / 21
Tuesday Night 29 / 27
Snoqualmie Pass 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 27 / 23
Tuesday Night 28 / 26
East North 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 26 / 18
Tuesday Night 25 / 23
East Central 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 28 / 19
Tuesday Night 28 / 26
East South 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 30 / 22
Tuesday Night 30 / 26
Mt. Hood 5000' Temperature Forecast
(Max / Min)
Tuesday 34 / 24
Tuesday Night 35 / 30

Ridgeline Winds (mph)

Tuesday Morning Tuesday Afternoon Tuesday Evening Tuesday Night
Olympics SSW 15-25 SSW 25-35 SSW 20-30 SW 10-20
West North S 20-30 S 30-40 S 25-35 SSW 20-30
West Central SSW 10-20 S 15-25 SSE 15-25 SSW 20-30
West South SSW 15-25 SSW 20-30 SW 25-35 SW 20-30
Stevens Pass SSW 5-15 SSE 5-15 SSE 10-20 SSW 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass SSW 5-15 ESE 10-20 ESE 10-20 SE 5-15
East North SW 10-20 S 10-20 SSE 10-20 S 10-20
East Central SW 10-20 SSW 15-25 SSW 20-30 SW 20-30
East South SW 5-15 S 5-15 SSW 15-25 SW 15-25
Mt. Hood SW 15-25 SW 20-30 SW 30-40 SW 30-40
Olympics Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning SSW 15-25
Tuesday Afternoon SSW 25-35
Tuesday Evening SSW 20-30
Tuesday Night SW 10-20
West North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning S 20-30
Tuesday Afternoon S 30-40
Tuesday Evening S 25-35
Tuesday Night SSW 20-30
West Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning SSW 10-20
Tuesday Afternoon S 15-25
Tuesday Evening SSE 15-25
Tuesday Night SSW 20-30
West South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning SSW 15-25
Tuesday Afternoon SSW 20-30
Tuesday Evening SW 25-35
Tuesday Night SW 20-30
Stevens Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning SSW 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon SSE 5-15
Tuesday Evening SSE 10-20
Tuesday Night SSW 5-15
Snoqualmie Pass Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning SSW 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon ESE 10-20
Tuesday Evening ESE 10-20
Tuesday Night SE 5-15
East North Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning SW 10-20
Tuesday Afternoon S 10-20
Tuesday Evening SSE 10-20
Tuesday Night S 10-20
East Central Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning SW 10-20
Tuesday Afternoon SSW 15-25
Tuesday Evening SSW 20-30
Tuesday Night SW 20-30
East South Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning SW 5-15
Tuesday Afternoon S 5-15
Tuesday Evening SSW 15-25
Tuesday Night SW 15-25
Mt. Hood Ridgeline Winds (mph)
Tuesday Morning SW 15-25
Tuesday Afternoon SW 20-30
Tuesday Evening SW 30-40
Tuesday Night SW 30-40

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Precipitation I Snow Level I 5000' Temps I Ridgeline Winds I

Previous forecast from Jan 4, 2021

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.

The 5000’ temperature forecast does not imply a trend over the 12 hr period and only represents the max and min temperatures within a 12 hr period in the zone. The 6-hr snow level forecast, the forecast discussion, and weather forecast sections may add detail regarding temperature trends.

The snow level forecast represents the general snow level over a 6 hr time period. Freezing levels are forecast when precipitation is not expected.

*Easterly or offshore flow is highlighted with an asterisk when we expect relatively cool east winds in the major Cascade Passes. Easterly flow will often lead to temperature inversions and is a key variable for forecasting precipitation type in the Cascade Passes. Strong easterly flow events can affect terrain on a more regional scale.

Ridgeline winds are the average wind speed and direction over a 6 hr time period.

The wind forecast represents an elevation range instead of a single elevation slice. The elevation range overlaps with the near and above treeline elevation bands in the avalanche forecast and differs per zone.

Wind direction indicates the direction the wind originates or comes from on the 16-point compass rose.

Water Equivalent (WE) is the liquid water equivalent of all precipitation types; rain, snow, ice pellets, etc., forecast to the hundredth of an inch at specific locations. To use WE as a proxy for snowfall amounts, start with a snow to water ratio of 10:1 (10 inches of snow = 1 inch WE). Temperatures at or near freezing will generally have a lower ratio (heavy wet snow) and very cold temperatures can have a much higher ratio (dry fluffy snow).

The label LT, is shorthand for ‘less than’.