Issued: 2:12 PM PST Friday, December 4, 2020
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Friday night through Thursday

Saturday will be warm and sunny for many locations, under the influence of high pressure. East of the Cascade Crest and through the mountain gaps inversion conditions re-develop, keeping lower elevations significantly cooler. Moderate E winds through the mountain gaps will gust into the strong range at times. This should depress freezing levels for the mountain passes, although you can probably get into the warmer air aloft if you climb above 5000 ft.

A weakening system arrives and breaks down the ridge Saturday night into Sunday, but it partially splits south into Oregon. Models diverge regarding the amount of moisture brought in by this system. Some models have up to an inch of water falling on Mt. Hood and Paradise, while others have very little moisture reaching our region at all. Your best plan is to check the forecast on Saturday for more accurate water numbers.

The system should cool the air west of the Cascades Crest enough to slow and then switch the E flow to westerly by Sunday morning. However, with cool air in place on the east slopes and moving through the passes, precipitation is likely to fall as primarily snow for the major passes. Mt. Baker, Paradise, Hurricane Ridge, and parts of Mt. Hood are likely to have higher snow levels.

The system clears out Sunday afternoon and with it increasing sunshine and warmer air returns to the region.

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Friday Night Mostly clear. Mild. Increasing generally light winds.
Mt. Baker
Friday Night Mostly clear. Mild. Increasing generally light winds.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Friday Night Mostly clear. Mild. Inversion below 5000 ft. Light winds in the north. Moderate E winds central Cascades.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Friday Night Mostly clear. Inversion below 5000 ft. Increasing moderate 5000 ft winds and E wind through the mountain gaps.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Friday Night Mostly clear. Inversion below 5000 ft, particularly near and east of the Cascade Crest. Increasing moderate E wind through the mountain gaps.
Mt. Hood
Friday Night Mostly clear. Inversion below 5000 ft, particularly on the E slopes of Mt Hood. Moderate winds above treeline.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Friday Evening Freezing Level * 11000' 11000' 1500' 2000' 2500' 3000' 11500' 11500'
Friday Night Freezing Level * 11500' 11000' 1000' 1000' 2000' 2500' 11500' 11500'
Saturday Morning Freezing Level * 11500' 11500' 1500' 1000' 1500' 2000' 11500' 11500'
Saturday Afternoon Freezing Level * 10500' 11000' 1500' 2000' 2000' 2500' 10000' 10500'
Saturday Evening Snow Level * 7500' 8000' 1000' 1000' 1000' 1500' 7500' 7500'
Saturday Night Snow Level * 6000' 6000' 1000' 1000' 1000' 1500' 6000' 5000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level 5500' 5000' 1000' 2000' 3000' 3500' 4000' 4500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Friday Evening Freezing Level
11000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Freezing Level
11500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Freezing Level
11500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Freezing Level
10500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Evening Snow Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
5500'
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
5500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Evening Freezing Level
11000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Freezing Level
11000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Freezing Level
11500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Freezing Level
11000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Evening Snow Level
8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
5000'
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
5000'
Washington Pass Elevation
Friday Evening Freezing Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Freezing Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Freezing Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Freezing Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Evening Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
2000'
Leavenworth Elevation
Friday Evening Freezing Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Freezing Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Freezing Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Freezing Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Evening Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
2500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening Freezing Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Freezing Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Freezing Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Freezing Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Evening Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
4500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening Freezing Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Freezing Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Freezing Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Freezing Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Evening Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
4500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Friday Evening Freezing Level
11500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Freezing Level
11500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Freezing Level
11500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Freezing Level
10000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Evening Snow Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
4500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening Freezing Level
11500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Freezing Level
11500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Morning Freezing Level
11500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Freezing Level
10500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Evening Snow Level
7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Sunday Afternoon Freezing Level
5000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Friday Night Thursday Thursday Night Thursday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0 LT 0.10 0
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Washington Pass 0 0 LT 0.10 0
Leavenworth 0 0 LT 0.10 0
Stevens Pass 0 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge 0 0 LT 0.10 0
Crystal Mt 0 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Paradise 0 0 0.25 - 0.50 0.25
White Pass 0 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 0.50 0.25
0 0 0.50 - 0.75 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0.50
Thursday 0.25
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0
Thursday 0
Thursday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Thursday 0.25

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Friday Evening S 5 - 15 S 5 - 15 ESE 15 - 25 ESE 10 - 20 ESE 10 - 20
Friday Night S 5 - 15 SSE 5 - 15 ESE 20 - 30 ESE 15 - 25 ESE 15 - 25
Saturday Morning SSE 10 - 20 SE 10 - 20 ESE 20 - 30 ESE 15 - 25 SE 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Friday Evening S 5 - 15
Friday Night S 5 - 15
Saturday Morning SSE 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon S 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Evening S 5 - 15
Friday Night SSE 5 - 15
Saturday Morning SE 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon S 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening ESE 15 - 25
Friday Night ESE 20 - 30
Saturday Morning ESE 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon ESE 15 - 25
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Friday Evening ESE 10 - 20
Friday Night ESE 15 - 25
Saturday Morning ESE 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon ESE 10 - 20
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening ESE 10 - 20
Friday Night ESE 15 - 25
Saturday Morning SE 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon SSW 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Friday Evening S 5 - 15
Friday Night S 5 - 15
Saturday Morning SSE 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon S 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Friday Evening S 5 - 15
Friday Night SSE 5 - 15
Saturday Morning SE 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon S 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Evening ESE 15 - 25
Friday Night ESE 20 - 30
Saturday Morning ESE 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon ESE 15 - 25
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Friday Evening ESE 10 - 20
Friday Night ESE 15 - 25
Saturday Morning ESE 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon ESE 10 - 20
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Friday Evening ESE 10 - 20
Friday Night ESE 15 - 25
Saturday Morning SE 10 - 20
Saturday Afternoon SSW 10 - 20

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Friday Evening SSW 15 - 25 SSW 10 - 20 S 10 - 20 SSE 10 - 20 ESE 15 - 25
Friday Night SSW 20 - 30 SSW 15 - 25 SSE 15 - 25 SSE 20 - 30 SE 20 - 30
Saturday Morning S 20 - 30 SW 15 - 25 S 15 - 25 S 15 - 25 S 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SSW 15 - 25
Friday Night SSW 20 - 30
Saturday Morning S 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon S 20 - 30
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SSW 10 - 20
Friday Night SSW 15 - 25
Saturday Morning SW 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon SSW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Evening S 10 - 20
Friday Night SSE 15 - 25
Saturday Morning S 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SSE 10 - 20
Friday Night SSE 20 - 30
Saturday Morning S 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Friday Evening ESE 15 - 25
Friday Night SE 20 - 30
Saturday Morning S 15 - 25
Saturday Afternoon SW 20 - 30

Extended Weather Synopsis for Thursday night through Thursday

Warm air continues to stream into the region Sunday night and Monday ahead of a frontal system dropping south from an Aleutian Low Pressure. Clouds and very light precipitation may skirt the Olympics and Mt Baker area on Monday. The front passing through our area is expected to bring a decent round of warm precipitation (rain and high elevation snow) on Tuesday before the frontal passage brings some cooling. Much of this is likely to fall as rain at at pass level with mild westerly flow returning. This front represents the start of a more active weather pattern for our region.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Sunday Night Freezing Level 5000' - 6000' 6000' - 7000' 6500' - 8500' *
Monday Freezing Level 6500' - 7500' 7500' - 9000' 9500' - 11500' *
Monday Night Snow Level 7000' - 8000' 8000' - 9000' 10000' - 11000' *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday Night Freezing Level
5000' - 6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Freezing Level
6500' - 7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
7000' - 8000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Snow Level
7000' - 8000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night Freezing Level
6000' - 7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Freezing Level
7500' - 9000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
8000' - 9000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Snow Level
8000' - 9000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night Freezing Level
6500' - 8500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Freezing Level
9500' - 11500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Monday Night Snow Level
10000' - 11000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Snow Level
10000' - 11000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 4, 2020

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