Issued: 2:29 PM PST Friday, January 31, 2020
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Friday night through Thursday

Temperatures are in the 30's and 40's for nearly all NWAC stations below Camp Muir on Friday afternoon as an atmospheric river continues to impact the Pacific Northwest, bringing subtropical moisture and 6000-9000 ft snow levels, multiple inches of rainfall to the west slopes and passes of Washington State.

The warm-front pushed north of the region Saturday afternoon, shifting the brunt of the moisture into British Columbia, but the associated strong cold front should push south, bringing heavy rain and high elevation snow to the region overnight and strong to extreme alpine winds. Expect the front to pass the Olympics around 6 AM and the Cascades around 9 AM tomorrow with cooling starting several hours before the frontal passage, with snow levels dropping rapidly behind the front as the precipitation turns showery. We expect the rain to turn to snow at Snoqualmie Pass before noon and convergence bands are likely in the central Cascades through Saturday evening, leaving locally significant snowfall totals at lower elevations, but most areas of the Cascades west slopes should see some accumulation. By the afternoon, snow levels will be well below the Passes.

On Saturday night, light snow showers should continue with a trough over the region and snow levels dropping to near sea level.

The trough digs on Sunday with sustained snow levels below 1500 ft, with very light snow showers enhanced Sunday afternoon as a shortwave rides down the back of the trough.

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Friday Night Heavy rain and high elevation snow. Snow levels lowering after midnight. Strong to extreme ridge-top winds.
Mt. Baker
Friday Night Heavy rain and high elevation snow. Snow levels lowering after midnight. Strong to extreme ridge-top winds.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Friday Night Moderate rain and high elevation snow with significant spillover east of the Crest. Strong to extreme Crest-level winds.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Friday Night Cloudy with drizzle likely through the evening and then light to moderate rain and high elevation snow developing in the early morning hours. Strong to extreme Crest-level winds. Light W winds through the Passes becoming moderate to strong in the early morning hours.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Friday Night Cloudy with drizzle likely through the evening and then light to moderate rain and high elevation snow developing in the early morning hours. Strong to extreme Crest-level winds.
Mt. Hood
Friday Night Cloudy with drizzle likely. Strong to extreme alpine winds.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Friday Evening Snow Level 7000' 6000' 6000' 7500' 6000' 6500' 7000' 9500'
Friday Night Snow Level 6000' 5500' 5500' 7000' 6500' 6500' 6500' 8500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level 2000' 2500' 3500' 4000' 3500' 3500' 3500' 5000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level 1500' 1500' 2000' 2500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 3000'
Saturday Evening Snow Level 1000' 500' 500' 1000' 500' 500' 1000' 2000'
Saturday Night Snow Level 1000' 0' 0' 0' 0' 0' 500' 1000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level 1000' 0' 0' 0' 500' 0' 500' 1000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
7000'
Friday Night Snow Level
6000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
1000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
1000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
6000'
Friday Night Snow Level
5500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
0'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
0'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
Washington Pass Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
6000'
Friday Night Snow Level
5500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
0'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
0'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
Leavenworth Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
7500'
Friday Night Snow Level
7000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
1000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
0'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
0'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
6000'
Friday Night Snow Level
6500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
0'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
6500'
Friday Night Snow Level
6500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
0'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
0'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
7000'
Friday Night Snow Level
6500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
1000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
500'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
500'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening Snow Level
9500'
Friday Night Snow Level
8500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
5000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Saturday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
1000'
Sunday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Friday Night Thursday Thursday Night Thursday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 1.00 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 2.00 - 2.50 0.75 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Washington Pass 0.50 - 0.75 0.75 LT 0.10 0
Leavenworth LT 0.10 0.25 0 0
Stevens Pass 0.25 0.75 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass 0.25 1.00 0.25 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge 0 0.25 0 0
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 0
Paradise 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
White Pass 0 1.00 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0 1.50 0.25 LT 0.10
0 1.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 1.00
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 2.00 - 2.50
Thursday 0.75
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Thursday 0.75
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.25
Thursday 0.75
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.25
Thursday 1.00
Thursday Night 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night 0
Thursday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Thursday 0
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday 1.00 - 1.50
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Thursday LT 0.25
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0
Thursday 1.00
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Thursday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0
Thursday 1.50
Thursday Night 0.25
Thursday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Friday Night 0
Thursday 1.50
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday LT 0.25

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Friday Evening SSW 30 - 40 S 30 - 40 SW 30 - 40 SW 25 - 35 WSW 25 - 35
Friday Night SW 30 - 40 SW 30 - 40 WSW 40 - 55 SW 30 - 40 WSW 35 - 45
Saturday Morning W 20 - 30 WSW 20 - 30 WSW 30 - 40 WSW 20 - 30 WSW 35 - 45
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Friday Evening SSW 30 - 40
Friday Night SW 30 - 40
Saturday Morning W 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon WSW 10 - 20
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Evening S 30 - 40
Friday Night SW 30 - 40
Saturday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon WSW 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Evening SW 30 - 40
Friday Night WSW 40 - 55
Saturday Morning WSW 30 - 40
Saturday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Friday Evening SW 25 - 35
Friday Night SW 30 - 40
Saturday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Evening WSW 25 - 35
Friday Night WSW 35 - 45
Saturday Morning WSW 35 - 45
Saturday Afternoon W 25 - 35
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SSW 30 - 40
Friday Night SW 30 - 40
Saturday Morning W 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon WSW 10 - 20
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Friday Evening S 30 - 40
Friday Night SW 30 - 40
Saturday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon WSW 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SW 30 - 40
Friday Night WSW 40 - 55
Saturday Morning WSW 30 - 40
Saturday Afternoon W 20 - 30
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SW 25 - 35
Friday Night SW 30 - 40
Saturday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Saturday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Friday Evening WSW 25 - 35
Friday Night WSW 35 - 45
Saturday Morning WSW 35 - 45
Saturday Afternoon W 25 - 35

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Friday Evening SW 50 - 70 WNW 55 - 75 WSW 65 - 80 WSW 60 - 75 WSW 60 - 75
Friday Night SW 45 - 65 WSW 70 - 90 WSW 70 - 85 WSW 70 - 85 WSW 70 - 85
Saturday Morning WSW 45 - 65 WSW 50 - 70 WSW 50 - 70 WSW 50 - 70 WSW 50 - 70
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Friday Evening SW 50 - 70
Friday Night SW 45 - 65
Saturday Morning WSW 45 - 65
Saturday Afternoon WSW 35 - 45
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Evening WNW 55 - 75
Friday Night WSW 70 - 90
Saturday Morning WSW 50 - 70
Saturday Afternoon WSW 35 - 45
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Friday Evening WSW 65 - 80
Friday Night WSW 70 - 85
Saturday Morning WSW 50 - 70
Saturday Afternoon WSW 40 - 50
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Friday Evening WSW 60 - 75
Friday Night WSW 70 - 85
Saturday Morning WSW 50 - 70
Saturday Afternoon WSW 35 - 45
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Friday Evening WSW 60 - 75
Friday Night WSW 70 - 85
Saturday Morning WSW 50 - 70
Saturday Afternoon WSW 50 - 65

Extended Weather Synopsis for Thursday night through Thursday

The shortwave should sustain light snow showers with NNW flow and the potential for additional very light snow showers through Monday. The cold weather continues through Tuesday morning as a system brings warming temperatures and light to moderate snow as it spreads into the region on a NW flow. With cold air in place, snow levels probably won't rise much until Tuesday evening.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Sunday Night Snow Level 0' - 0' 0' - 1000' 0' - 1000'
Monday Freezing Level 500' - 1500' 500' - 1500' 1000' - 2000'
Monday Night Freezing Level 0' - 1000' 0' - 1000' 500' - 1500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Sunday Night Snow Level
0' - 0'
Monday Freezing Level
500' - 1500'
Monday Night Freezing Level
0' - 1000'
Tuesday Snow Level
0' - 0'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Sunday Night Snow Level
0' - 1000'
Monday Freezing Level
500' - 1500'
Monday Night Freezing Level
0' - 1000'
Tuesday Snow Level
0' - 1000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Sunday Night Snow Level
0' - 1000'
Monday Freezing Level
1000' - 2000'
Monday Night Freezing Level
500' - 1500'
Tuesday Snow Level
0' - 2000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 31, 2020

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.