Issued: 6:22 PM PST Thursday, January 30, 2020
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Thursday night through Friday

1820 Update: Hurricane Ridge weather for Friday afternoon

The first slug of warm frontal moisture has arrived along the coast this afternoon. Generally light precipitation will spread inland this evening. Snow levels will take a sharp drop at the onset of the precipitation, but warm, strong WSW flow will quickly override the cooler air trapped over the Cascade mountains Friday night. There may be a period of mixed precipitation or freezing rain for Snoqualmie/White Passes early this evening and then for Stevens Pass later this evening before a switch to rain. 

Eventually, snow will turn to rain for most locations. Cooler snow levels will hang on the longest in the Washington Pass/east Hwy20 corridor through late morning or mid-day Friday.  As the second pulse of moisture arrives on Friday, the warm front will begin to lift north, shifting the axis of heavier precipitation into British Columbia. This may allow for a late day sun breakout at Mt. Hood with freezing levels around 10,000 ft. Winds will be the other big story with this pattern. WSW winds that increased this afternoon will become stronger overnight and continue through Friday. 

We may be headed toward an exceptional mountain wind event Friday night through Saturday morning. Forecast models show WSW winds buffeting most areas in Washington State with 5000' foot winds in the 40-60 mph with much higher gusts likely. The frontal boundary now looks to take a bit longer to sweep through Friday morning. That translates to more wind and rain at high snow levels Friday night. A strong cold front will sweep through Saturday mid-morning with snow levels plummeting to near sea level by late Saturday afternoon or evening. Winds will remain gusty through Saturday afternoon. A Puget Sound Convergence Zone may quickly pile up locally heavier snow accumulations. 

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Thursday Night Light to moderate rain and snow. Warming trend. Strong winds.
Mt. Baker
Thursday Night Light rain and snow increasing overnight to moderate. Warming trend. Strong winds.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Thursday Night Light rain and snow increasing overnight to light to moderate. Warming trend. Strong alpine winds.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Thursday Night Light rain and snow increasing overnight to moderate. Warming trend. Strong winds. Mixed precipitation or freezing rain possible early evening Snoqualmie and late even Stevens Pass before changing to rain.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Thursday Night Light rain and snow increasing overnight to moderate. Freezing rain possible White Pass early this evening. Warming trend. Strong winds.
Mt. Hood
Thursday Night Light rain and snow increasing overnight to moderate. Warming trend. Strong winds.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Thursday Evening Snow Level * 7000' 3500' 2000' 3000' 4000' 4000' 5500' 8500'
Thursday Night Snow Level 8000' 6500' 4000' 6500' 6500' 7500' 7500' 8500'
Friday Morning Snow Level 9000' 7500' 6500' 7500' 7500' 8000' 8500' 8500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level 6500' 7500' 7000' 7500' 7500' 8000' 7500' 10000'
Friday Evening Snow Level 7000' 6500' 6000' 6000' 6000' 6500' 6000' 9000'
Friday Night Snow Level 7000' 6500' 6000' 6000' 6000' 6500' 6000' 9000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level 4500' 5500' 5500' 6000' 5500' 6000' 6000' 9000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
8000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
9000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
6500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
7000'
Friday Night Snow Level
7000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
6500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
7500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
7500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
6500'
Friday Night Snow Level
6500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
5500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
Washington Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
4000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
6500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
7000'
Friday Evening Snow Level
6000'
Friday Night Snow Level
6000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
5500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Leavenworth Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
6500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
7500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
7500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
6000'
Friday Night Snow Level
6000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
6000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
6500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
7500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
7500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
6000'
Friday Night Snow Level
6000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
5500'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
7500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
8000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
8000'
Friday Evening Snow Level
6500'
Friday Night Snow Level
6500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
6000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
7500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
8500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
7500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
6000'
Friday Night Snow Level
6000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
6000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
8500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
8500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
8500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
10000'
Friday Evening Snow Level
9000'
Friday Night Snow Level
9000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
9000'
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Thursday Night Friday Friday Night Friday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.50 0.75 -1.00 1.00 0.50 - 0.75
Mt Baker Ski Area 1.00 1.00 - 1.50 1.50 - 2.00 1.00 - 1.50
Washington Pass 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 0.25 0.50 - 0.75
Leavenworth LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50
Stevens Pass 0.75 -1.00 0.75 -1.00 0.25 - 0.50 1.00
Snoqualmie Pass 1.00 0.75 -1.00 0.25 1.00
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0.25
Crystal Mt LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10 0.50
Paradise 1.50 1.00 LT 0.25 1.00
White Pass 0.75 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 0.75
Mt Hood Meadows 0.75 LT 0.25 0 0.50 - 0.75
1.00 LT 0.25 0 0.75
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.50
Friday 0.75 -1.00
Friday Night 1.00
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 1.00
Friday 1.00 - 1.50
Friday Night 1.50 - 2.00
Friday 1.00 - 1.50
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.25
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Friday Night 0.25
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.75 -1.00
Friday 0.75 -1.00
Friday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Friday 1.00
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 1.00
Friday 0.75 -1.00
Friday Night 0.25
Friday 1.00
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.50
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 1.50
Friday 1.00
Friday Night LT 0.25
Friday 1.00
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.75
Friday 0.25 - 0.50
Friday Night LT 0.10
Friday 0.75
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.75
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0
Friday 0.50 - 0.75
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 1.00
Friday LT 0.25
Friday Night 0
Friday 0.75

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Evening S 20 - 30 S 20 - 30 S 15 - 25 SW 20 - 30 SW 20 - 30
Thursday Night SW 15 - 25 S 15 - 25 SW 20 - 30 SW 25 - 35 SW 25 - 35
Friday Morning SW 35 - 45 S 25 - 35 SW 25 - 35 SW 30 - 40 SW 25 - 35
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Evening S 20 - 30
Thursday Night SW 15 - 25
Friday Morning SW 35 - 45
Friday Afternoon SW 35 - 45
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Evening S 20 - 30
Thursday Night S 15 - 25
Friday Morning S 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon S 35 - 45
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening S 15 - 25
Thursday Night SW 20 - 30
Friday Morning SW 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon SW 35 - 45
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Thursday Evening SW 20 - 30
Thursday Night SW 25 - 35
Friday Morning SW 30 - 40
Friday Afternoon SW 35 - 45
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening SW 20 - 30
Thursday Night SW 25 - 35
Friday Morning SW 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening S 20 - 30
Thursday Night SW 15 - 25
Friday Morning SW 35 - 45
Friday Afternoon SW 35 - 45
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening S 20 - 30
Thursday Night S 15 - 25
Friday Morning S 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon S 35 - 45
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening S 15 - 25
Thursday Night SW 20 - 30
Friday Morning SW 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon SW 35 - 45
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening SW 20 - 30
Thursday Night SW 25 - 35
Friday Morning SW 30 - 40
Friday Afternoon SW 35 - 45
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening SW 20 - 30
Thursday Night SW 25 - 35
Friday Morning SW 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon SW 20 - 30

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Evening SW 35 - 45 SW 40 - 50 SW 40 - 50 SW 35 - 45 W 35 - 45
Thursday Night SW 35 - 45 WSW 40 - 50 WSW 50 - 60 W 40 - 50 W 45 - 55
Friday Morning SW 40 - 50 WSW 50 - 60 WSW 50 - 60 W 45 - 55 W 50 - 60
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening SW 35 - 45
Thursday Night SW 35 - 45
Friday Morning SW 40 - 50
Friday Afternoon SW 50 - 60
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening SW 40 - 50
Thursday Night WSW 40 - 50
Friday Morning WSW 50 - 60
Friday Afternoon WSW 60 - 80
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening SW 40 - 50
Thursday Night WSW 50 - 60
Friday Morning WSW 50 - 60
Friday Afternoon WSW 60 - 80
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening SW 35 - 45
Thursday Night W 40 - 50
Friday Morning W 45 - 55
Friday Afternoon WSW 55 - 65
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening W 35 - 45
Thursday Night W 45 - 55
Friday Morning W 50 - 60
Friday Afternoon W 50 - 60

Extended Weather Synopsis for Friday night through Friday

Showers should become more scattered and taper down late Saturday night. Forecast models are trending weaker with a weak N-S frontal system that should arrive Sunday afternoon. Snow levels will remain quite cold but winds should have abated by Sunday. Upper level ridging build over the area Monday for a drier and cold day. Clouds and a few showers will likely be confined to the west slopes of the Cascades with sunnier skies along the east slopes. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Saturday Night Snow Level 0' - 0' 0' - 0' 500' - 1500'
Sunday Snow Level 0' - 0' 0' - 0' 0' - 1000'
Sunday Night Snow Level 0' - 0' 0' - 0' 0' - 0'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Night Snow Level
0' - 0'
Sunday Snow Level
0' - 0'
Sunday Night Snow Level
0' - 0'
Monday Snow Level
0' - 0'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night Snow Level
0' - 0'
Sunday Snow Level
0' - 0'
Sunday Night Snow Level
0' - 0'
Monday Snow Level
0' - 0'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night Snow Level
500' - 1500'
Sunday Snow Level
0' - 1000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
0' - 0'
Monday Snow Level
0' - 0'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 30, 2020

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