Issued: 2:17 PM PST Tuesday, January 21, 2020
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Tuesday night through Tuesday

A very wet and active weather pattern will impact our mountains in a major way.

A trough has moved into the Pacific Northwest with moderate to strong SW and WSW flow bringing scattered, but convective and locally intense rain and snow showers across the region. Snow levels are hovering around 3000 ft through this event. E flow should switch W by the early evening at the Cascade Passes as the trough axis moves over the region. A shortwave this evening should bring a period of more intense and steadier precipitation. Models have shifted the heaviest precipitation generally to the north of Stevens Pass, so Mt. Baker and Washington Pass benefit. Winds should peak with the shortwave, delivering strong winds to the alpine, with gradually decreasing WSW winds overnight and into Wednesday morning has post-frontal showers gradually decrease.

A warm front moving in from the SW is moving in slightly more rapidly than previous forecast guidance indicated, so expect intensifying snowfall throughout the day, with the Olympics, Mt. Hood and Mt. Rainier areas impacted in the morning and then rain/snow picks up further north as well in the afternoon. We expect heavy rain/snow associated with this warm front and also 10-15F of warming over a 6-12 hour period for many areas. The warming should impact Mt. Hood and the Olympics significantly on Wednesday, with other areas holding off until Wednesday night. Wednesday night, the warm front focuses rain and snow on the North Cascades with a weak cold front streaming moisture into the Olympics. The front should sag gradually SE during the day on Thursday, bringing the heavier precipitation in that direction.

As warm, moist subtropical air continues to stream NW, the last pass to transition to rain should be Washington Pass sometime on Thursday afternoon with snow to rain transitions at Snoqualmie Pass and Stevens Wednesday evening or night.

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Tuesday Night Moderate rain and snow showers becoming light after midnight. Gradually decreasing winds.
Mt. Baker
Tuesday Night Heavy snow decreasing after midnight. Decreasing moderate 5000 ft winds.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Tuesday Night Moderate snow, possibly heavy at times.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Tuesday Night Moderate snow in the evening, then becoming light to occasionally moderate. Some areas may get heavier banded showers, likely north of Stevens Pass. Moderate 5000 ft winds gusting strong. Decreasing moderate W winds through the Passes becoming light.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Tuesday Night Heavy rain/snow in the evening at Paradise, otherwise light to moderate rain/snow at Paradise and White Passes with light rain and snow at Crystal in the evening, then nearly switching off.
Mt. Hood
Tuesday Night Moderate to heavy rain/snow. Moderate 5000 ft winds gusting strong.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Tuesday Evening Snow Level 3000' 2500' 3000' 2500' 3000' 2500' 3000' 3000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level 3000' 2500' 2000' 2000' 2500' 2500' 2500' 2500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level 2000' 2500' 1500' 1000' 2000' 2000' 2000' 3000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level * 3000' 2500' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 5000'
Wednesday Evening Snow Level * 6000' 3000' 2500' 2500' 3000' 4000' 5000' 6000'
Wednesday Night Snow Level * 6500' 5000' 2500' 3000' 4000' 6000' 6000' 6500'
Thursday Morning Snow Level * 6500' 5500' 3500' 5500' 6000' 6500' 6500' 6500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Washington Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Leavenworth Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Stevens Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
2500'
Wednesday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Wednesday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Tuesday Night Tuesday Tuesday Night Tuesday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.50 LT 0.25 0.50 0.50 - 0.75
Mt Baker Ski Area 1.00 0.25 1.00 1.00 - 1.50
Washington Pass 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 0.50 - 0.75
Leavenworth LT 0.25 LT 0.25 0.25 0.25
Stevens Pass 0.25 - 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 1.00 - 1.50 0.75 -1.00
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt 0.25 LT 0.25 0.25 0.50
Paradise 0.75 1.00 - 1.50 1.50 1.00 - 1.50
White Pass 0.50 0.50 0.50 - 0.75 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 - 0.75 1.50 1.00 0.25 - 0.50
0.50 - 0.75 1.50 1.00 0.25 - 0.50
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.50
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.50 - 0.75
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 1.00
Tuesday 0.25
Tuesday Night 1.00
Tuesday 1.00 - 1.50
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday 0.50 - 0.75
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.25
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Tuesday 0.50
Tuesday Night 1.00
Tuesday 0.75
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Tuesday 0.75 -1.00
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night LT 0.10
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night LT 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.25
Tuesday LT 0.25
Tuesday Night 0.25
Tuesday 0.50
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.75
Tuesday 1.00 - 1.50
Tuesday Night 1.50
Tuesday 1.00 - 1.50
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.50
Tuesday 0.50
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday 0.50
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday 1.50
Tuesday Night 1.00
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Tuesday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Tuesday 1.50
Tuesday Night 1.00
Tuesday 0.25 - 0.50

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Tuesday Evening SW 15 - 25 S 20 - 30 WSW 20 - 30 WSW 15 - 25 WSW 20 - 30
Tuesday Night SW 10 - 20 SW 15 - 25 WSW 20 - 30 WSW 10 - 20 WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Morning S 5 - 15 S 5 - 15 WSW 5 - 15 SW 5 - 15 WSW 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Tuesday Evening SW 15 - 25
Tuesday Night SW 10 - 20
Wednesday Morning S 5 - 15
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 10 - 20
Mt. Baker Elevation
Tuesday Evening S 20 - 30
Tuesday Night SW 15 - 25
Wednesday Morning S 5 - 15
Wednesday Afternoon SSE 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Tuesday Evening WSW 20 - 30
Tuesday Night WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Morning WSW 5 - 15
Wednesday Afternoon ESE 15 - 25
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Tuesday Evening WSW 15 - 25
Tuesday Night WSW 10 - 20
Wednesday Morning SW 5 - 15
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 15 - 25
Mt. Hood Elevation
Tuesday Evening WSW 20 - 30
Tuesday Night WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Morning WSW 10 - 20
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening SW 15 - 25
Tuesday Night SW 10 - 20
Wednesday Morning S 5 - 15
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 10 - 20
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening S 20 - 30
Tuesday Night SW 15 - 25
Wednesday Morning S 5 - 15
Wednesday Afternoon SSE 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WSW 20 - 30
Tuesday Night WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Morning WSW 5 - 15
Wednesday Afternoon ESE 15 - 25
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WSW 15 - 25
Tuesday Night WSW 10 - 20
Wednesday Morning SW 5 - 15
Wednesday Afternoon SSW 15 - 25
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WSW 20 - 30
Tuesday Night WSW 20 - 30
Wednesday Morning WSW 10 - 20
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Tuesday Evening SW 35 - 45 WSW 35 - 45 WSW 45 - 60 WSW 35 - 45 WSW 35 - 45
Tuesday Night WSW 30 - 40 WSW 35 - 45 WSW 35 - 45 WSW 30 - 40 W 35 - 45
Wednesday Morning WSW 15 - 25 WSW 15 - 25 WSW 30 - 40 WSW 25 - 35 W 35 - 45
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening SW 35 - 45
Tuesday Night WSW 30 - 40
Wednesday Morning WSW 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 25 - 35
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WSW 35 - 45
Tuesday Night WSW 35 - 45
Wednesday Morning WSW 15 - 25
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WSW 45 - 60
Tuesday Night WSW 35 - 45
Wednesday Morning WSW 30 - 40
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 35 - 45
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WSW 35 - 45
Tuesday Night WSW 30 - 40
Wednesday Morning WSW 25 - 35
Wednesday Afternoon WSW 30 - 40
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Tuesday Evening WSW 35 - 45
Tuesday Night W 35 - 45
Wednesday Morning W 35 - 45
Wednesday Afternoon W 35 - 45

Extended Weather Synopsis for Tuesday night through Tuesday

Thursday night should continue to be very wet and mild, but a weak trough will skirt the region on Friday, drying and cooling the region slightly. A mild W wind maintains light to moderate shower activity Friday night with a stronger system moving into the region on a SW flow, bringing another round of heavy rain and high elevation snow.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Thursday Night Snow Level 5000' - 6000' 5000' - 6000' 6000' - 7000' *
Friday Snow Level 4000' - 5000' 4000' - 5000' 4000' - 5000'
Friday Night Snow Level 3000' - 4000' 3500' - 4500' 4000' - 5000' *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Night Snow Level
5000' - 6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Friday Night Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Night Snow Level
5000' - 6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Friday Night Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Snow Level
3500' - 5500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Night Snow Level
6000' - 7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Friday Night Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Snow Level
5000' - 7000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 21, 2020

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