Issued: 7:33 AM PST Thursday, February 27, 2014
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Thursday & Wednesday

An upper level ridge of high pressure has shifted into the intermountain west this morning and surface high pressure over eastern Washington has weakened considerably since yesterday. Easterly winds through the passes have hung on overnight through this morning but should quickly weaken later this morning as warmer air mixes over the Cascade Passes and east slopes.  Already temperatures early Thursday morning are running about 5 or more degrees warmer than Wednesday morning near the Passes and the east slopes.   

An upper level low will slowly shift into northern California and southern Oregon on Thursday. As the low passes inland on Thursday and has begun to rotate a more consolidated band of E-W oriented showers mainly into the Mt. Hood region and the south Washington Cascades. Very light and showers may extend north later in the afternoon to the Olympics and north Cascades.   Sunbreaks should be most likely over the north Cascades, especially through mid-day before clouds rotate up from the upper low.  

Friday should a relatively quiet day with a few isolated showers and a slow cooling trend that should show up first over the north Cascades and spread south and west. Shower activity should be minimal Friday night except for some light upslope snow showers along the east slopes.  Easterly gradients should increase through the Cascade passes and much colder air will begin filtering into the western part of Washington through the Cascade Passes and Fraser River Valley. 

Weather Forecast

Washington Cascades near and west of the crest including Stevens, Snoqualmie, and White Passes
Thursday

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers south Cascades. Partly cloudy north and central Cascades becoming mostly cloudy with isolated showers mainly in the afternoon.   Milder near the Cascade Passes. 

Thursday Night

Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. 

Olympics
Thursday

Partly cloudy becoming mostly cloudy with isolated showers mainly in the afternoon.  

Thursday Night

Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. 

East slopes of the Washington Cascades
Thursday

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers south Cascades. Partly cloudy north and central Cascades becoming mostly cloudy with isolated showers mainly in the afternoon.   Milder. 

Thursday Night

Mostly cloudy with isolated showers. 

Mt. Hood Area
Thursday

Cloudy with light to moderate rain and snow showers. 

Thursday Night

Mostly cloudy with scattered light rain and snow showers. 

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Thursday Morning Snow Level * 6500' ' ' ' ' 5500' ' 6000'
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Evening Snow Level 5500' ' ' ' ' 5000' ' 5500'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level 4500' ' ' ' ' 4500' ' 5000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level * 3000' ' ' ' ' 3000' ' 4000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Evening Snow Level
5500'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Evening Snow Level
'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Washington Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Evening Snow Level
'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Leavenworth Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Evening Snow Level
'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Evening Snow Level
'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Evening Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
4500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Evening Snow Level
'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon - Thursday Evening Snow Level
5500'
Thursday Night - Friday Morning Snow Level
5000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Friday Night Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Wednesday Wednesday
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25
Crystal Mt LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Paradise LT 0.25 LT 0.10
White Pass LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0 - 0.50 LT 0.10
0 - 0.50 LT 0.10

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Morning VAR 0 - 10 --- - E 10 - 20 --- - S 5 - 15
Thursday Mid-day - Friday Morning VAR 0 - 10 --- - W 0 - 10 --- - WSW 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon NE 5 - 15 --- - ESE 10 - 20 --- - E 15 - 25
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Morning VAR 0 - 10
Thursday Mid-day - Friday Morning VAR 0 - 10
Friday Afternoon NE 5 - 15
Friday Night NE 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Mid-day - Friday Morning --- -
Friday Afternoon --- -
Friday Night --- -
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning E 10 - 20
Thursday Mid-day - Friday Morning W 0 - 10
Friday Afternoon ESE 10 - 20
Friday Night ESE 15 - 30
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Mid-day - Friday Morning --- -
Friday Afternoon --- -
Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Morning S 5 - 15
Thursday Mid-day - Friday Morning WSW 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon E 15 - 25
Friday Night E 15 - 25
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning VAR 0 - 10
Thursday Mid-day - Friday Morning VAR 0 - 10
Friday Afternoon NE 5 - 15
Friday Night NE 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Mid-day - Friday Morning --- -
Friday Afternoon --- -
Friday Night --- -
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning E 10 - 20
Thursday Mid-day - Friday Morning W 0 - 10
Friday Afternoon ESE 10 - 20
Friday Night ESE 15 - 30
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning --- -
Thursday Mid-day - Friday Morning --- -
Friday Afternoon --- -
Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning S 5 - 15
Thursday Mid-day - Friday Morning WSW 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon E 15 - 25
Friday Night E 15 - 25

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday - Thursday Evening --- - --- - NW 5 - 15 --- - W 10 - 20
Thursday Night - Friday --- - --- - VAR 0 - 10 --- - VAR 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday - Thursday Evening --- -
Thursday Night - Friday --- -
Friday Night --- -
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday - Thursday Evening --- -
Thursday Night - Friday --- -
Friday Night --- -
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday - Thursday Evening NW 5 - 15
Thursday Night - Friday VAR 0 - 10
Friday Night WNW 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday - Thursday Evening --- -
Thursday Night - Friday --- -
Friday Night --- -
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday - Thursday Evening W 10 - 20
Thursday Night - Friday VAR 0 - 10
Friday Night WNW 5 - 15

Extended Weather Synopsis for Wednesday night through Wednesday

The details continue to be murky for the weekend but NW flow aloft, weak surface low pressure off the Washington Coast and an upper level low over central BC/AB should all help to draw much colder air into the PNW over the weekend as well as provide enough lift and moisture to keep snow showers in the forecast.  There is much disagreement between forecast models on how heavy the snow shower activity Saturday through Saturday night. 

A developing low pressure system should approach from west Sunday. Warm frontal system may start to spread steady precipitation over much of the area by Sunday afternoon.  Again there is much uncertainty to how heavy precipitation will be and how quickly snow levels will rise Sunday afternoon through Sunday night.  Depending on the track of the low Sunday night...snow levels should moderate into Monday with a period of active weather continuing into early next week.   

Extended Weather

Olympics, Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood Area
Saturday - Sunday Morning

Light to moderate snow showers, heaviest west slopes of the Washington Cascades.  Moderate easterly flow developing Saturday Cascade Passes.  

Sunday Afternoon - Sunday Night

Light to moderate rain and snow becoming moderate Sunday evening and overnight.  Gradual warming trend away from the Cascade Passes and east slopes. 

Monday

Light to moderate rain and snow.  Milder.  

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Saturday - Sunday Morning Snow Level ' - ' 0' - 1000' 1000' - 2000' *
Sunday Afternoon - Sunday Evening Snow Level ' - ' 1500' - 2500' 3000' - 4000' *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday - Sunday Morning Snow Level
' - '
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon - Sunday Evening Snow Level
' - '
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night - Monday Snow Level
' - '
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday - Sunday Morning Snow Level
0' - 1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon - Sunday Evening Snow Level
1500' - 2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night - Monday Snow Level
3000' - 5000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday - Sunday Morning Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon - Sunday Evening Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Night - Monday Snow Level
4500' - 6000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Feb 26, 2014

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