Issued: 2:17 PM PST Wednesday, December 25, 2019
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Wednesday night through Sunday

Merry Christmas folks! Unfortunately, Santa couldn't make up his mind about the storm track this holiday season and we're stuck in a split flow pattern with a gradually filling trough over the region. A weak shortwave ridge noses into the region Wednesday night. ENE winds should develop and push moisture lingering over the Olympics, SW Washington, and Mt. Hood region away from the area, bringing clearing skies and strong radiational cooling to the entire Pacific Northwest Wednesday night.

A system arriving from the NW flattens the ridge as the system approaches on Thursday, spreading increasing clouds along with increasing SSW winds. Some light precipitation may reach the Olympic mountains by the end of the day.

The modest front crosses the region in the middle of the night on Thursday, bringing light to occasionally moderate snow and wind. Temperatures should remain cold as flow switches from E to W at the Passes as the front move through. Light snow showers linger behind the front on Friday. All told, the system is expected to bring 0.5" of snow water equivalent or less across the region, with only very light accumulations east of the Cascade Crest.

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Wednesday Night Clearing skies during the evening, then becoming mostly clear. Cool.
Mt. Baker
Wednesday Night Clear skies. Cool.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Wednesday Night Clear skies with temperature inversions intensifying overnight. Fog or low cloud may develop.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Wednesday Night Mid and high-level clouds clearing during the evening hours, then becoming mostly clear. Light E wind through the Passes. Fog or low clouds may develop through the mountain gaps.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Wednesday Night Mid and high-level clouds clearing during the evening hours, then becoming mostly clear.
Mt. Hood
Wednesday Night Clouds clearing during the evening hours, then becoming mostly clear.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level * 2500' 1000' 500' 1000' 1000' 2000' 2000' 2500'
Wednesday Night Freezing Level * 2500' 500' 0' 0' 0' 1000' 1000' 1500'
Thursday Morning Freezing Level * 2000' 0' 0' 0' 0' 500' 1000' 1000'
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level * 3500' 2500' 2500' 2000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 4000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level * 2500' 1000' 0' 0' 500' 500' 1000' 1500'
Thursday Night Snow Level 2500' 1000' 500' 500' 1000' 1000' 1000' 1500'
Friday Morning Snow Level 2000' 1500' 0' 0' 1500' 2000' 1500' 2500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
2500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
1000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Washington Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
0'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Leavenworth Elevation
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
0'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
0'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
1000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
1000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
1000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening Freezing Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Freezing Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Freezing Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Freezing Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
1500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Wednesday Night Sunday Sunday Night Sunday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0 0 LT 0.25 0
Mt Baker Ski Area 0 0 0.50 LT 0.10
Washington Pass 0 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Leavenworth 0 0 LT 0.10 0
Stevens Pass 0 0 0.25 LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass 0 0 0.25 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge 0 0 0 0
Crystal Mt 0 0 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Paradise 0 0 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
White Pass 0 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
0 0 LT 0.25 LT 0.25
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night 0.50
Sunday LT 0.10
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night 0
Sunday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night LT 0.10
Sunday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday LT 0.10
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0
Sunday 0
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.25

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Evening VAR 0 - 10 E 0 - 10 E 0 - 10 E 0 - 10 E 0 - 10
Wednesday Night SW 0 - 10 SSW 0 - 10 SE 0 - 10 E 0 - 10 E 5 - 15
Thursday Morning SSW 5 - 15 SSW 5 - 15 S 0 - 10 S 0 - 10 SE 0 - 10
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Evening VAR 0 - 10
Wednesday Night SW 0 - 10
Thursday Morning SSW 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Evening E 0 - 10
Wednesday Night SSW 0 - 10
Thursday Morning SSW 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening E 0 - 10
Wednesday Night SE 0 - 10
Thursday Morning S 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon WSW 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Wednesday Evening E 0 - 10
Wednesday Night E 0 - 10
Thursday Morning S 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon WSW 5 - 15
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening E 0 - 10
Wednesday Night E 5 - 15
Thursday Morning SE 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon WSW 5 - 15
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening VAR 0 - 10
Wednesday Night SW 0 - 10
Thursday Morning SSW 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon SW 15 - 25
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening E 0 - 10
Wednesday Night SSW 0 - 10
Thursday Morning SSW 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon S 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening E 0 - 10
Wednesday Night SE 0 - 10
Thursday Morning S 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon WSW 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening E 0 - 10
Wednesday Night E 0 - 10
Thursday Morning S 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon WSW 5 - 15
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening E 0 - 10
Wednesday Night E 5 - 15
Thursday Morning SE 0 - 10
Thursday Afternoon WSW 5 - 15

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Evening ENE 5 - 15 NE 5 - 15 NNE 5 - 15 NE 5 - 15 N 10 - 20
Wednesday Night W 5 - 15 VAR 0 - 10 NNW 5 - 15 NNW 5 - 15 NE 15 - 25
Thursday Morning WSW 15 - 25 WSW 10 - 20 WNW 10 - 20 WNW 5 - 15 NNW 5 - 15
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening ENE 5 - 15
Wednesday Night W 5 - 15
Thursday Morning WSW 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening NE 5 - 15
Wednesday Night VAR 0 - 10
Thursday Morning WSW 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon WSW 20 - 30
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening NNE 5 - 15
Wednesday Night NNW 5 - 15
Thursday Morning WNW 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon WSW 30 - 40
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening NE 5 - 15
Wednesday Night NNW 5 - 15
Thursday Morning WNW 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon WSW 25 - 35
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening N 10 - 20
Wednesday Night NE 15 - 25
Thursday Morning NNW 5 - 15
Thursday Afternoon W 15 - 25

Extended Weather Synopsis for Sunday night through Sunday

On Friday night, the ridge axis moves to the coastline along with an approaching warm front with cold air in place over the PNW. The warm front lifts across NW Washington on Saturday as the shortwave ridge transits the region and flattens, bringing moderating temperatures. Precipitation spreads into the region Saturday afternoon as the cold front approaches the near-shore waters, arriving Saturday night with a re-inforcing system bringing more precipitation on Sunday. With the warm front removing much of the colder air by early Saturday, precipitation type at the Cascade Passes will be much more dependent upon the colder E flow, which appears to be in place for frozen precipitation.

The two systems forecast for the weekend should have more moisture than the one arriving Thursday night.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Friday Night Freezing Level 500' - 1500' 1500' - 2500' 2500' - 3500'
Saturday Snow Level 1000' - 3000' 2000' - 3000' 3500' - 5500' *
Saturday Night Snow Level 3000' - 4000' 3000' - 4000' 4500' - 5500' *
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Night Freezing Level
500' - 1500'
Saturday Snow Level
1000' - 3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Night Freezing Level
1500' - 2500'
Saturday Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Night Freezing Level
2500' - 3500'
Saturday Snow Level
3500' - 5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 25, 2019

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