Issued: 7:01 AM PST Thursday, January 17, 2019
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k

Weather Synopsis for Thursday & Wednesday

A broad and vertically stacked closed low is weakening as it tracks northward about 250 miles offshore is lifting an initial round of light snowfall across the central and north Cascades this morning. The band of snowfall continues to favor Mission Ridge where several additional inches are likely in the early morning hours before drying sets in. Southerly flow and disorganized light rain or snow will continue as snow levels west of the Cascade crest remain elevated, while moderate easterly flow keeps the east slopes and passes below freezing on Thursday.

In the afternoon the main energy associated with the closed low will impact the Olympics, Hood area, and Mt. Rainier areas where light snow will increase and may be locally heavier along the E slopes of the Olympics. Moisture will increase for all areas overnight with flow switching SWerly and precipitation favoring the Cascade Volcanoes where 1-1.5" of water are likely overnight with less than an inch forecast for all other NWAC precipitation stations.

On Friday the flow once again becomes southerly and post-frontal showers will decrease with minimal cooling. Increasing rain and snow will arrive along the coastline late in the day ahead of a rapidly deepening low tracking well to our NW that is tapping into sub-tropical moisture.

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Mt. Baker
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Mt. Hood

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Thursday Morning Snow Level 5000' 4000' 2500' 1500' 2000' 2500' 3500' 4000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level 4500' 4500' 3000' 2500' 3000' 3000' 3500' 4000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level 4500' 4000' 3000' 2500' 3000' 3000' 3500' 3500'
Thursday Night Snow Level 4000' 3500' 2500' 3000' 3000' 3500' 3500' 3500'
Friday Morning Snow Level 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3000' 3000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
5000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
4000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Washington Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
2500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Leavenworth Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
2000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Thursday Thursday Night Wednesday
4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.25 - 0.50 1.50 0.50
Washington Pass 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Leavenworth 0.25 LT 0.25 0
Stevens Pass LT 0.25 0.50 - 0.75 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 0.75 -1.00 LT 0.25
Mission Ridge 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt 0.25 0.50 LT 0.25
Paradise 0.25 1.50 0.25
White Pass LT 0.10 0.50 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0.25 - 0.50 1.00 0.50
0.25 - 0.50 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 - 0.75
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night 1.50
Wednesday 0.50
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.25
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Wednesday 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday LT 0.25
Thursday Night 0.75 -1.00
Wednesday LT 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.25
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Thursday 0.25
Thursday Night 1.50
Wednesday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday LT 0.10
Thursday Night 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night 1.00
Wednesday 0.50
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Thursday 0.25 - 0.50
Thursday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday 0.50 - 0.75

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Morning SE 25 - 35 E 10 - 20 E 10 - 20 ESE 15 - 25 SSE 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SSE 25 - 35 ESE 20 - 30 ESE 20 - 30 SSE 20 - 30 SW 30 - 45
Thursday Evening SW 30 - 45 SE 20 - 30 SW 25 - 35 SW 25 - 35 SW 35 - 50
Thursday Night SW 25 - 35 S 20 - 30 WSW 25 - 35 WSW 20 - 30 WSW 20 - 30
Friday Morning SSW 10 - 20 SSW 15 - 25 WSW 15 - 25 SSW 10 - 20 SSW 15 - 25
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Morning SE 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon SSE 25 - 35
Thursday Evening SW 30 - 45
Thursday Night SW 25 - 35
Friday Morning SSW 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon E 25 - 35
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Morning E 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon ESE 20 - 30
Thursday Evening SE 20 - 30
Thursday Night S 20 - 30
Friday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon ESE 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Morning E 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon ESE 20 - 30
Thursday Evening SW 25 - 35
Thursday Night WSW 25 - 35
Friday Morning WSW 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon ESE 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Thursday Morning ESE 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SSE 20 - 30
Thursday Evening SW 25 - 35
Thursday Night WSW 20 - 30
Friday Morning SSW 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon ESE 10 - 20
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Morning SSE 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SW 30 - 45
Thursday Evening SW 35 - 50
Thursday Night WSW 20 - 30
Friday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon SSE 25 - 35
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning SE 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon SSE 25 - 35
Thursday Evening SW 30 - 45
Thursday Night SW 25 - 35
Friday Morning SSW 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon E 25 - 35
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning E 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon ESE 20 - 30
Thursday Evening SE 20 - 30
Thursday Night S 20 - 30
Friday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon ESE 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning E 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon ESE 20 - 30
Thursday Evening SW 25 - 35
Thursday Night WSW 25 - 35
Friday Morning WSW 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon ESE 10 - 20
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning ESE 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SSE 20 - 30
Thursday Evening SW 25 - 35
Thursday Night WSW 20 - 30
Friday Morning SSW 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon ESE 10 - 20
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning SSE 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SW 30 - 45
Thursday Evening SW 35 - 50
Thursday Night WSW 20 - 30
Friday Morning SSW 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon SSE 25 - 35

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Morning S 20 - 30 SSW 10 - 20 SSW 25 - 35 SSW 30 - 45 SSW 35 - 50
Thursday Afternoon SSW 35 - 50 SW 20 - 30 SSW 40 - 60 SSW 45 - 65 SW 45 - 65
Thursday Evening SSW 35 - 50 SSW 40 - 60 SW 40 - 60 SW 40 - 60 WSW 40 - 60
Thursday Night SW 25 - 35 WSW 35 - 50 WSW 40 - 60 WSW 35 - 50 WSW 35 - 50
Friday Morning SSW 20 - 30 SW 20 - 30 WSW 25 - 35 WSW 25 - 35 WSW 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning S 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon SSW 35 - 50
Thursday Evening SSW 35 - 50
Thursday Night SW 25 - 35
Friday Morning SSW 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon S 15 - 25
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning SSW 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon SW 20 - 30
Thursday Evening SSW 40 - 60
Thursday Night WSW 35 - 50
Friday Morning SW 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon SSE 10 - 20
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning SSW 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon SSW 40 - 60
Thursday Evening SW 40 - 60
Thursday Night WSW 40 - 60
Friday Morning WSW 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon S 20 - 30
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning SSW 30 - 45
Thursday Afternoon SSW 45 - 65
Thursday Evening SW 40 - 60
Thursday Night WSW 35 - 50
Friday Morning WSW 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon SSW 30 - 45
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Morning SSW 35 - 50
Thursday Afternoon SW 45 - 65
Thursday Evening WSW 40 - 60
Thursday Night WSW 35 - 50
Friday Morning WSW 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon SW 50 - 70

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k

Previous forecast from Jan 16, 2019

The NWAC program is administered by the USDA-Forest Service and operates from the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Seattle. NWAC services are made possible by important collaboration and support from a wide variety of federal, state and private cooperators.