Issued: 2:52 PM PST Wednesday, January 16, 2019
by Robert Hahn

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Wednesday night through Wednesday

A strong closed low slowly weakening and filling off the California coast is beginning to veer northward while it sends a chunk of energy directly into California. Wednesday night, a weakening band of moisture will lift northward and spread moderate snowfall to Mt. Hood and the east slopes of the southern WA Cascades with lighter snowfall for other areas.

On Thursday, expect increasing S then SW flow as the low tracks about 250 miles off our coastline, with continued cool easterly flow through the passes. Periods of light snow are expected with higher snow levels west of the Cascade crest. The main energy with the low will arrive from the SW late Thursday, bringing moderate rain and snow throughout the region into Thursday night. A wind shift late Thursday night is likely to change Snoqualmie pass to rain, but slightly higher elevations will remain snow. 

On Friday, rain and snow showers will decrease as the initial low departs, but a second low tracking to our NW, well offshore, will spread increasing moisture to our coastal regions late in the day as snow levels rise. 

 

 

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Wednesday Night Increasing clouds in the evening with light rain developing. Moderate winds, strong gusts.
Mt. Baker
Wednesday Night Cloudy. Light to moderate winds.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Wednesday Night Increasing clouds, then increasing light snow from south to north. Light to moderate winds.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Wednesday Night Increasing light snow, possibly moderate in the early morning hours. Moderate winds gusting strong at pass level; Moderate winds at crest level.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Wednesday Night Light to occasionally moderate snow. Moderate winds.
Mt. Hood
Wednesday Night A period of moderate snow. Moderate winds.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Wednesday Evening Snow Level * 5000' 4500' 2000' 1500' 2000' 3000' 3000' 3500'
Wednesday Night Snow Level * 6000' 4000' 2000' 1500' 2000' 3000' 3000' 3500'
Thursday Morning Snow Level * 5000' 3500' 2500' 2000' 2500' 2500' 3000' 3500'
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level * 4500' 4500' 3000' 2500' 3000' 3000' 4000' 4000'
Thursday Evening Snow Level * 4500' 4000' 3000' 2500' 3000' 3000' 3500' 4000'
Thursday Night Snow Level 4500' 3500' 3000' 3000' 3000' 3500' 3500' 3500'
Friday Morning Snow Level 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3500' 3000' 3000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
4500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Washington Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
3000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Leavenworth Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
3000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Stevens Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
3000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Wednesday Night Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Morning Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Evening Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Thursday Night Snow Level
3500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
3000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Wednesday Night Wednesday Wednesday Night Wednesday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 2.00 0.50 - 0.75
Washington Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.50 LT 0.25
Leavenworth LT 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.50 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.50 0.25
Mission Ridge 0.25 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Crystal Mt 0.25 0.25 0.50 LT 0.25
Paradise 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 1.50 0.25
White Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 0.50 LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows 0.75 0.50 1.00 - 1.50 0.50
0.75 0.50 1.00 - 1.50 0.50 - 0.75
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday Night 2.00
Wednesday 0.50 - 0.75
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.25
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday LT 0.10
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.50
Wednesday 0.25
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night LT 0.10
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.50
Wednesday 0.25
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night LT 0.25
Wednesday LT 0.10
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.25
Wednesday 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.25
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.50
Wednesday 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday Night 1.50
Wednesday 0.25
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.25
Wednesday Night 0.50
Wednesday LT 0.25
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.75
Wednesday 0.50
Wednesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday 0.50
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Wednesday Night 0.75
Wednesday 0.50
Wednesday Night 1.00 - 1.50
Wednesday 0.50 - 0.75

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Evening ESE 20 - 30 E 10 - 20 E 15 - 25 E 15 - 25 ESE 15 - 25
Wednesday Night SSE 20 - 30 E 10 - 20 E 15 - 25 ESE 10 - 20 ESE 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SE 25 - 35 ESE 10 - 20 E 15 - 25 ESE 20 - 30 SSE 25 - 35
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Wednesday Evening ESE 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SSE 20 - 30
Thursday Morning SE 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon SSE 25 - 35
Mt. Baker Elevation
Wednesday Evening E 10 - 20
Wednesday Night E 10 - 20
Thursday Morning ESE 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon ESE 25 - 35
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Wednesday Evening E 15 - 25
Wednesday Night E 15 - 25
Thursday Morning E 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon ESE 20 - 30
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Wednesday Evening E 15 - 25
Wednesday Night ESE 10 - 20
Thursday Morning ESE 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon SSE 25 - 35
Mt. Hood Elevation
Wednesday Evening ESE 15 - 25
Wednesday Night ESE 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SSE 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon SSW 35 - 50
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening ESE 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SSE 20 - 30
Thursday Morning SE 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon SSE 25 - 35
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening E 10 - 20
Wednesday Night E 10 - 20
Thursday Morning ESE 10 - 20
Thursday Afternoon ESE 25 - 35
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening E 15 - 25
Wednesday Night E 15 - 25
Thursday Morning E 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon ESE 20 - 30
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening E 15 - 25
Wednesday Night ESE 10 - 20
Thursday Morning ESE 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon SSE 25 - 35
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening ESE 15 - 25
Wednesday Night ESE 10 - 20
Thursday Morning SSE 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon SSW 35 - 50

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Wednesday Evening SE 20 - 30 SSE 20 - 30 SSE 30 - 45 SSE 35 - 50 S 30 - 45
Wednesday Night SE 20 - 30 SE 25 - 35 SSE 15 - 25 S 25 - 35 SSW 35 - 50
Thursday Morning S 20 - 30 S 15 - 25 SW 25 - 35 SSW 30 - 45 SSW 45 - 65
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SE 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SE 20 - 30
Thursday Morning S 20 - 30
Thursday Afternoon SSW 25 - 35
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SSE 20 - 30
Wednesday Night SE 25 - 35
Thursday Morning S 15 - 25
Thursday Afternoon SSW 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SSE 30 - 45
Wednesday Night SSE 15 - 25
Thursday Morning SW 25 - 35
Thursday Afternoon SSW 40 - 60
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening SSE 35 - 50
Wednesday Night S 25 - 35
Thursday Morning SSW 30 - 45
Thursday Afternoon SSW 45 - 65
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Wednesday Evening S 30 - 45
Wednesday Night SSW 35 - 50
Thursday Morning SSW 45 - 65
Thursday Afternoon SW 50 - 70

Extended Weather Synopsis for Wednesday night through Wednesday

Friday night, a powerful system moves onshore in central British Columbia. The trailing cold front will bring moderate to strong winds and moderate to heavy snow throughout the region with snow levels briefly elevated in the evening as the front moves onshore. Easterly flow through the passes is unlikely to be cold enough to keep Snoqualmie Pass as snow, while it is too early to say for Stevens Pass at this point. A westerly wind shift will occur very early Saturday morning. 

Moderate post-frontal showers will continue Saturday, becoming light and decreasing from south to north on Saturday night.

An open trough will dig over Oregon and northern California on Sunday, bringing light precipitation to the southern part of the forecast region and a break for much of the Washington Cascades with cool conditions.

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Friday Night Snow Level 3000' - 5000' 2500' - 3500' 6000' - 8000'
Saturday Snow Level 3000' - 4000' 3000' - 4000' 3500' - 4500'
Saturday Night Snow Level 1500' - 3500' 2000' - 4000' 4000' - 5000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Friday Night Snow Level
3000' - 5000'
Saturday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
1500' - 3500'
Sunday Snow Level
2000' - 3000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Friday Night Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Saturday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Saturday Night Snow Level
2000' - 4000'
Sunday Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Friday Night Snow Level
6000' - 8000'
Saturday Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Saturday Night Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Sunday Snow Level
3000' - 4500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Jan 16, 2019

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