Issued: 2:36 PM PST Thursday, December 20, 2018
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Thursday night through Saturday

A deep low pressure system passing to our north brought high winds and mild temperatures to the Olympics and west slopes of the Cascades today. Mt. Baker (Pan Dome) recorded 3 consecutive hours of gusts over 100 mph!  The associated cold front has passed through the Cascades early this afternoon, so locations that were spared the strongest of winds during the day like the Passes and the east slopes of the Cascades will see stronger winds materialize later this afternoon and tonight. A sharp cooling trend has begun as much colder air is advected into the region. Post-frontal showers will produce light to moderate snow accumulations along the west slopes of the Cascades and Mt. Hood overnight with lighter amounts for the east slopes of the Cascades. 

Shortwave upper level ridging will build over the area on Friday representing a relative break in the action, but there will still be a chance of showers for the mountains with lingering instability and weak onshore flow.  A weak frontal boundary producing generally light rain and snow will stall over the north Cascades and Olympics Friday night through Saturday morning with drier conditions likely for the south Washington Cascades and Mt. Hood. The next Pacific frontal system should reach the Olympic Peninsula by late Saturday afternoon. 

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Thursday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers in the evening, becoming scattered showers after midnight. Sharp cooling trend. Winds easing overnight.
Mt. Baker
Thursday Night Light to moderate rain and snow showers in the evening, becoming scattered showers after midnight. Sharp cooling trend. Winds easing overnight.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Thursday Night Light rain and snow showers in the evening, becoming isolated showers after midnight. Sharp cooling trend. Winds easing overnight.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Thursday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers in the evening, becoming scattered showers late. Sharp cooling trend. Windy in the alpine. Moderate west winds at Pass level.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Thursday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers in the evening, becoming scattered showers late. Sharp cooling trend. Windy.
Mt. Hood
Thursday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow showers. Sharp cooling trend. Windy in the alpine.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Thursday Evening Snow Level 2500' 2500' 3500' 3500' 2500' 2500' 3000' 4000'
Thursday Night Snow Level 1500' 1000' 500' 1500' 1000' 1000' 1500' 2000'
Friday Morning Snow Level 1000' 500' 500' 500' 1000' 1000' 1500' 1500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level 1500' 1000' 500' 1500' 1500' 1500' 1500' 2000'
Friday Evening Snow Level 2000' 1000' 500' 1500' 1500' 1500' 2000' 2000'
Friday Night Snow Level 2500' 1000' 500' 500' 1000' 1000' 1500' 2000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level * 3500' 2000' 500' 1500' 2000' 2500' 4000' 3500'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
1500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Friday Night Snow Level
2500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
1000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
Friday Evening Snow Level
1000'
Friday Night Snow Level
1000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Washington Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
500'
Friday Night Snow Level
500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Leavenworth Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
1500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Friday Night Snow Level
500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
1500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
1000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Stevens Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
1000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Friday Night Snow Level
1000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
2500'
Thursday Night Snow Level
1000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
1000'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
1500'
Friday Night Snow Level
1000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
3000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
1500'
Friday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
1500'
Friday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Friday Night Snow Level
1500'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Thursday Night Snow Level
2000'
Friday Morning Snow Level
1500'
Friday Afternoon Snow Level
2000'
Friday Evening Snow Level
2000'
Friday Night Snow Level
2000'
Saturday Morning Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Thursday Night Saturday Saturday Night Saturday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.25 0.25
Washington Pass 0.25 LT 0.10 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Leavenworth LT 0.10 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Stevens Pass 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge LT 0.25 0 0 0
Crystal Mt 0.25 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Paradise 0.50 LT 0.10 LT 0.10 LT 0.10
White Pass 0.25 LT 0.10 0 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows 0.50 LT 0.10 0 0
0.75 LT 0.10 0 0
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.50
Saturday LT 0.25
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0.25
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.50 - 0.75
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night LT 0.25
Saturday 0
Saturday Night 0
Saturday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.50
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Saturday LT 0.10
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.25
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Saturday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.50
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Saturday 0
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Thursday Night 0.75
Saturday LT 0.10
Saturday Night 0
Saturday 0

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Evening WSW 25 - 35 SW 20 - 30 WSW 25 - 40 SW 20 - 35 W 25 - 35
Thursday Night W 20 - 30 SW 15 - 25 WSW 25 - 40 W 20 - 30 W 20 - 30
Friday Morning W 10 - 20 SW 5 - 15 W 10 - 20 W 10 - 20 W 15 - 25
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Thursday Evening WSW 25 - 35
Thursday Night W 20 - 30
Friday Morning W 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon SW 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Elevation
Thursday Evening SW 20 - 30
Thursday Night SW 15 - 25
Friday Morning SW 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Thursday Evening WSW 25 - 40
Thursday Night WSW 25 - 40
Friday Morning W 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon W 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Thursday Evening SW 20 - 35
Thursday Night W 20 - 30
Friday Morning W 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon W 5 - 15
Mt. Hood Elevation
Thursday Evening W 25 - 35
Thursday Night W 20 - 30
Friday Morning W 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon W 10 - 20
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening WSW 25 - 35
Thursday Night W 20 - 30
Friday Morning W 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon SW 0 - 10
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening SW 20 - 30
Thursday Night SW 15 - 25
Friday Morning SW 5 - 15
Friday Afternoon SW 5 - 15
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening WSW 25 - 40
Thursday Night WSW 25 - 40
Friday Morning W 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon W 5 - 15
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening SW 20 - 35
Thursday Night W 20 - 30
Friday Morning W 10 - 20
Friday Afternoon W 5 - 15
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening W 25 - 35
Thursday Night W 20 - 30
Friday Morning W 15 - 25
Friday Afternoon W 10 - 20

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Thursday Evening SW 40 - 50 SW 50 - 70 SW 40 - 60 SW 40 - 60 WSW 40 - 50
Thursday Night WSW 20 - 30 W 35 - 50 WNW 40 - 50 W 45 - 55 WNW 40 - 50
Friday Morning W 20 - 30 W 20 - 30 NW 35 - 45 WNW 25 - 35 WNW 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening SW 40 - 50
Thursday Night WSW 20 - 30
Friday Morning W 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening SW 50 - 70
Thursday Night W 35 - 50
Friday Morning W 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon W 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening SW 40 - 60
Thursday Night WNW 40 - 50
Friday Morning NW 35 - 45
Friday Afternoon W 25 - 35
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening SW 40 - 60
Thursday Night W 45 - 55
Friday Morning WNW 25 - 35
Friday Afternoon WNW 20 - 30
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Thursday Evening WSW 40 - 50
Thursday Night WNW 40 - 50
Friday Morning WNW 20 - 30
Friday Afternoon WNW 20 - 30

Extended Weather Synopsis for Saturday night through Saturday

You don't need to worry about the pattern taking it down a notch in the extended...the active weather continues.  We should see a frontal passage Saturday night.  The jet will sink south into Oregon and weaken the initial front as it passes inland. However, the parent upper low off the coast of Vancouver Island should spin a series of disturbances inland Sunday and Sunday night, continuing significant shower activity that favors the west slopes of the Cascades. The next developing low pressure system on Monday is forecast to drop south towards Oregon. Forecast models disagree how much far north the precipitation shield will reach into Washington state. 

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Saturday Night Snow Level 1000' - 2000' 1000' - 2000' 3000' - 4000'
Sunday Snow Level 2500' - 3500' 3000' - 4000' 3500' - 4500'
Sunday Night Snow Level 2500' - 3500' 3000' - 4000' 4000' - 5000'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Night Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
Sunday Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Monday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Night Snow Level
1000' - 2000'
Sunday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Monday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Night Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Sunday Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
4000' - 5000'
Monday Snow Level
4500' - 5500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 20, 2018

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