Issued: 2:29 PM PST Saturday, December 15, 2018
by Dennis D'Amico

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Weather Synopsis for Saturday night through Sunday

High and mid clouds from an incoming frontal system are spreading inland this afternoon. Pre-frontal precipitation will quickly move over the area Saturday night. A trough digging south behind the N-S oriented frontal band will split the system on Sunday, directing some of the energy from the system into California. Light precipitation will fall across the region Saturday night and Sunday, except for locally heavier amounts expected over the Olympics and the Mt. Baker area. A period of southeasterly flow may also drive up snowfall totals locally for the Mission Ridge area Sunday. 

Offshore easterly winds will continue to increase overnight through the Cascade Passes. Cool easterly flow will initially delay a transition from snow to rain Sunday. A modest warm-up with this pattern is expected to peak Sunday afternoon and evening. Generally windy conditions will develop in the alpine Saturday night and Sunday as the front weakens and stalls out over the area.  

Showers will eventually taper down into Monday morning. There won't be much of a break in the weather, as a deep low pressure system headed into central British Colubia directs a moisture laden atmospheric river towards the Pacific Northwest late Monday afternoon.   

Weather Forecast

Hurricane Ridge
Saturday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow. Warming trend. Becoming windy.
Mt. Baker
Saturday Night Light to occasionally moderate rain and snow. Becoming windy late.
Washington Pass and Leavenworth
Saturday Night Light rain and snow developing overnight.
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass
Saturday Night Periods of light rain and snow overnight. Moderate east winds at Pass level.
Mt. Rainier, Crystal and White Pass
Saturday Night Light rain and snow developing overnight.
Mt. Hood
Saturday Night Periods of light rain and snow overnight. Warming trend.

Snow/Freezing Level (ft)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Washington Pass Leavenworth Stevens Pass Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier, Crystal & White Pass Mt. Hood
Saturday Evening Snow Level * 3500' 2500' 2000' 2000' 2000' 2500' 3000' 4500'
Saturday Night Snow Level * 5500' 3000' 2000' 2000' 2500' 3000' 4000' 6500'
Sunday Morning Snow Level * 6500' 4500' 2000' 2000' 3000' 3000' 4500' 7000'
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level * 6500' 5000' 3000' 3500' 4000' 5000' 6000' 7000'
Sunday Evening Snow Level 5000' 5000' 4000' 4500' 5000' 5500' 5500' 6000'
Sunday Night Snow Level 4000' 4000' 3500' 4500' 4000' 4000' 4500' 4500'
Monday Morning Snow Level 4000' 4000' 3500' 4000' 4000' 4000' 4000' 4000'
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
5500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Evening Snow Level
5000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
4000'
Monday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
4500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Evening Snow Level
5000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
4000'
Monday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Washington Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Evening Snow Level
4000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
3500'
Monday Morning Snow Level
3500'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Leavenworth Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
3500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Evening Snow Level
4500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
4500'
Monday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Stevens Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
2000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Evening Snow Level
5000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
4000'
Monday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
2500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Evening Snow Level
5500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
4000'
Monday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Mt. Rainier & Crystal Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
3000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
4000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
6000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Evening Snow Level
5500'
Sunday Night Snow Level
4500'
Monday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Evening Snow Level
4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Saturday Night Snow Level
6500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Morning Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Afternoon Snow Level
7000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Sunday Evening Snow Level
6000'
Sunday Night Snow Level
4500'
Monday Morning Snow Level
4000'
Monday Afternoon Snow Level
5000'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Precipitation Forecast

Saturday Night Sunday Sunday Night Sunday
4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm 4 pm - 4 am 4 am - 4 pm
Hurricane Ridge 0.25 - 0.50 0.75 0.25 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area 0.75 1.50 - 2.00 1.00 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Leavenworth LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 0
Stevens Pass LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass LT 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
Mission Ridge LT 0.10 0.50 - 0.75 LT 0.25 0
Crystal Mt 0.25 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Paradise 0.25 0.50 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.10
White Pass LT 0.10 0.25 - 0.50 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows LT 0.10 0.25 LT 0.25 LT 0.10
LT 0.25 0.25 0.25 LT 0.10
Hurricane Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday 0.75
Sunday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.25
Mt Baker Ski Area Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0.75
Sunday 1.50 - 2.00
Sunday Night 1.00
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Washington Pass Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday LT 0.10
Leavenworth Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0
Stevens Pass Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Snoqualmie Pass Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday LT 0.10
Mission Ridge Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.50 - 0.75
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0
Crystal Mt Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Paradise Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night 0.25
Sunday 0.50
Sunday Night 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday LT 0.10
White Pass Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.25 - 0.50
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Mt Hood Meadows Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night LT 0.10
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night LT 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10
Timberline Precipitation Forecast
Saturday Night LT 0.25
Sunday 0.25
Sunday Night 0.25
Sunday LT 0.10

Free Winds at 5000' (mph)

Hurricane Ridge Mt. Baker Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Saturday Evening S 30 - 40 SE 15 - 25 ESE 15 - 25 SE 15 - 25 SE 10 - 20
Saturday Night S 30 - 40 SE 20 - 35 ESE 15 - 30 SE 15 - 30 SE 10 - 20
Sunday Morning S 35 - 45 SE 20 - 35 ESE 15 - 30 SE 20 - 30 SE 15 - 25
Hurricane Ridge Elevation
Saturday Evening S 30 - 40
Saturday Night S 30 - 40
Sunday Morning S 35 - 45
Sunday Afternoon S 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Elevation
Saturday Evening SE 15 - 25
Saturday Night SE 20 - 35
Sunday Morning SE 20 - 35
Sunday Afternoon SE 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Saturday Evening ESE 15 - 25
Saturday Night ESE 15 - 30
Sunday Morning ESE 15 - 30
Sunday Afternoon ESE 15 - 30
Mt. Rainier Elevation
Saturday Evening SE 15 - 25
Saturday Night SE 15 - 30
Sunday Morning SE 20 - 30
Sunday Afternoon SE 20 - 30
Mt. Hood Elevation
Saturday Evening SE 10 - 20
Saturday Night SE 10 - 20
Sunday Morning SE 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon SE 15 - 30
Hurricane Ridge Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening S 30 - 40
Saturday Night S 30 - 40
Sunday Morning S 35 - 45
Sunday Afternoon S 20 - 30
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening SE 15 - 25
Saturday Night SE 20 - 35
Sunday Morning SE 20 - 35
Sunday Afternoon SE 15 - 25
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening ESE 15 - 25
Saturday Night ESE 15 - 30
Sunday Morning ESE 15 - 30
Sunday Afternoon ESE 15 - 30
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening SE 15 - 25
Saturday Night SE 15 - 30
Sunday Morning SE 20 - 30
Sunday Afternoon SE 20 - 30
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening SE 10 - 20
Saturday Night SE 10 - 20
Sunday Morning SE 15 - 25
Sunday Afternoon SE 15 - 30

Directions above indicate the direction the wind blows from on the 16-point cardinal scale. These winds indicate "free" winds, or those winds in the atmosphere not influenced by terrain. Topographical effects may produce greater or lower wind speeds in certain locations as well as significant variations in direction.

Free Winds at 9000' (mph)

Mt. Baker Washington Pass Stevens to Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Rainier Mt. Hood
Saturday Evening SSW 35 - 45 SSW 25 - 35 SW 40 - 50 SW 45 - 55 SW 45 - 55
Saturday Night S 50 - 60 SSW 35 - 45 SW 50 - 60 SW 50 - 60 SW 50 - 60
Sunday Morning S 50 - 60 S 35 - 45 SW 50 - 60 SSW 50 - 60 SW 50 - 60
Mt. Baker Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening SSW 35 - 45
Saturday Night S 50 - 60
Sunday Morning S 50 - 60
Sunday Afternoon SSW 45 - 55
Washington Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening SSW 25 - 35
Saturday Night SSW 35 - 45
Sunday Morning S 35 - 45
Sunday Afternoon SSW 30 - 40
Stevens and Snoqualmie Pass Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening SW 40 - 50
Saturday Night SW 50 - 60
Sunday Morning SW 50 - 60
Sunday Afternoon SW 50 - 60
Mt. Rainier Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening SW 45 - 55
Saturday Night SW 50 - 60
Sunday Morning SSW 50 - 60
Sunday Afternoon SW 50 - 60
Mt. Hood Direction - Speed
Saturday Evening SW 45 - 55
Saturday Night SW 50 - 60
Sunday Morning SW 50 - 60
Sunday Afternoon SW 50 - 60

Extended Weather Synopsis for Sunday night through Sunday

Heavy precipitation will spread over the area Monday night with snow levels on the rise. Easterly flow will once again slow warming in the Passes, but a change to rain is expected for most areas by early Tuesday morning.  The initial frontal boundary will pass late Monday night, but strong westerly flow and additional waves of moisture will keep the tap turned on during the day Tuesday with generally mild snow levels. 

Showers will diminish Wednesday night into Thursday morning as strong upper level ridging quickly builds along the West Coast. However, a developing low pressure system well offshore may spread warm frontal precipitation over the area as it lifts north Thursday afternoon.  

Extended Snow/Freezing Levels

Mt. Baker Snoqualmie Pass Mt. Hood Easterly Flow *
Monday Night Snow Level 3500' - 4500' 3000' - 5000' 6500' - 7500' *
Tuesday Snow Level 4500' - 5500' 5500' - 6500' 6500' - 7500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level 3500' - 4500' 3500' - 4500' 4500' - 5500'
Mt. Baker Elevation
Monday Night Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Wednesday Snow Level
2500' - 3500'
Snoqualmie Pass Elevation
Monday Night Snow Level
3000' - 5000'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Snow Level
5500' - 6500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
3500' - 4500'
Wednesday Snow Level
3000' - 4000'
Mt. Hood Elevation
Monday Night Snow Level
6500' - 7500'
(Easterly Flow *)
Tuesday Snow Level
6500' - 7500'
Tuesday Night Snow Level
4500' - 5500'
Wednesday Snow Level
4500' - 5500'

* Easterly flow in the Cascade Passes can cause locally lower Snow or Freezing levels than areas further west.
Freezing Level is when no precipitation is forecast.

Jump to: Weather Forecast I Snow/Freezing Level I Precipitation I Free Winds 5k I Free Winds 9k I Extended Weather

Previous forecast from Dec 15, 2018

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